Is usdtry longterm trading range has expiredd ?

FX:USDTRY   U.S. Dollar / Turkish Lira
145 0 5
Since sept '15 usdtry             is in wave IV(red count) which could be :

1)Flat IV sub-waves ABC has been finished then bullish wave(3) is expected (black count).
2)Triangle IV sub-waves ABCDE has been finished then bullish wave-3 expected (blue count).
3)Flat IV as Double three WXYXZ then bearish sub-wave Z is going on (orange count).

Usdtry             may extract from this long term trading range.
Invalidation level for count 1) & 2) is 2.8362.
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