Three Drives Pattern(Non-Ideal), potential regression to uptrend_line(minor), Rising Wedgex2 with WW characteristics(5 waves), AB=CD and Doji Candle. RSIbearish divergence. Price closed within Wedge .
Notes on Chart.
Good analysis i believe this is stretched and even the latest rate rise didn't help, i also always have difficult being short this pair historically its easier buying it but cannot fault your analysis just personal observations ...well done