willworknow
Short

Up to around $63-65, down for a new low, First target is $42.

FX:USOIL   Crude Oil (WTI)
176 9 1
2 years ago
Short-term short, Long-Term VERY bullish . It appears we have just completed the c wave in a triangle, expecting a trust up to around $63-65 and then plummet to a first target of $42 (new low) within 30-60 days. Much lower could be expected...depending on wave structure. The reason is deflation.

Sorry about not having the correct degree of labeling. I can't figure out how to create circles. This chart still gives you an idea on my ideas.
a year ago
Comment: UPDATE....we are nearing the end of this bear market...although still could reach $13 to $20 for wave C. When complete, we would be starting wave 3 up for an all-time-high above $147....over time. UWTI was trading at ~$650 when oil was @ $110. It is now around $3. If you were to go long UWTI ETF now or near $2 or lower, you could set-it-and-forget-it for the next year or so and make 100-400 times your investment....for doing nothing. $10K x 300 = $3M. Just like with gold, I would expect an ending pattern...possibly an Ending Diagonal...to give a precise entry point....also a good entry for futures options and a quick trade.
a year ago
Comment: UPDATE: On closer inspection of a monthly chart, it appears the 4th wave of a lessor degree, a typical stopping point for this wave 2 correction, is in the $10 area (if you can believe that!!!). This surely would create global unrest...particularly since it costs more to extract the oil than this.
a year ago
Comment: UPDATE: It appears we may have a temporary bottom and have nearly completed 5 waves up. We could be heading for the $60 area before making a new low around $10 area. My wave labels in green are roughly accurate...maybe with the green 5 lower to around $10 to complete red C and what would be wave 2...wave 1 would have been at the all-time high of $147. This is a bear-market rally, although sizable and worth trading long. UWTI is trading at around $2.39 now and was trading at $38 when oil was near $60. A pullback (down) in 3 waves would be a good entry point....which should start soon. One other thing I may change, is the red B...it may have actually ended on 5-02-2011 @ $113.60...with a green a,b,c forming it...instead of just the green a. A first wave may have started on 5-09-2011 and ended a second wave where I have the red B. This would better support a $10 low....a previous 4th wave of a lesser degree. I have updated my chart on my site...since I can't make modifications here. Everyone is bearish oil...I am not...short-term that is. I notice talk/articles about "Can UWTI go to zero" etc. Talk like this is typical at extremes.
a year ago
Comment: UPDATE: We are at a very important juncture in oil...a three-wave pullback would imply a 3rd wave were about to start. Check out my website for a 15-minute chart. The previous low must hold. Remember, around $60 is the target...depending on wave structure.
10 months ago
Comment: UPDATE: $60-69 is the area we are targeting for the 4th wave. This is around the 38.2/50% Fib level. This wave could take numerous forms, one being a Triangle that lasts a LONG time, where we are working on wave a, the first of 5. This is a bear-market rally.
hussain9 PRO
2 years ago
Excellent .
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willworknow hussain9
2 years ago
Thanks...
I would slightly relabel this chart if I could. There appears not to have been a triangle at the very top and a very time consuming wave (ii) expanded flat instead...at least that's the best way, in my mind, to label it.
http://www.trackthemarkets.com/category/oil/
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hussain9 PRO willworknow
2 years ago
I like this weekly chart with the MACD :

snapshot
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hussain9 PRO
a year ago
Thanks for update . 10$ is a crazy no. but this is the way it looks like .
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hussain9 PRO
10 months ago
Do u mean all the wave starting from 26$ is a triangle ? Im gonna b thankful if u kindly update with a chart . I was thinking about all the strong move up as I noticed it started with 3-3- waves . It may b an irregular flat ?
snapshot
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willworknow hussain9
10 months ago
Yes...from the last low @ ~$26....which I would now change to the bottom...end of 5 down for a temporary low.....this would be the start of the correction. My site says the current count...as I see it. I think we are within a 4th correction...so a Triangle is possible...yet unknown. You are right...it could be a flat of some type...it's hard to tell at this point. The main thing...this is corrective. If you are leveraged...this may be a hard trade....if you are trading an ETF...it may not be.
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hussain9 PRO willworknow
10 months ago
thanks a lot . I am seeing some weekness of the current trend just need a confirm to break atrend or break down 43.01$
snapshot
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hussain9 PRO willworknow
10 months ago
I agree with u . its a 4th wave , this is my weekly chart .
snapshot
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hussain9 PRO willworknow
10 months ago
for correction of the triangle in the flat 2nd wave :
snapshot
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