Crude Oil Technical Analysis for the Week of May 5–May 9, 2025

1 265
Forecast for Next Week

Bearish Scenario (Higher Probability):
Trigger: Failure to reclaim $61.60 or a break below $56.

Targets: $55.05 (April 9 low), $52.53, or $49-$43 if the 4-year support at $64 breaks.

Rationale: Bearish MACD cross, descending channel, and OPEC+ production increase fears.

Bullish Scenario (Lower Probability):
Trigger: A hold above $57.08-$56.53 with a bullish reversal pattern (e.g., Bullish Engulfing) or OPEC+ signalling tighter supply.

Targets: $63.90, $65.81 or $68 (14-day forecast).

Rationale: Oversold RSI and potential demand zone support.

Range-Bound Scenario: If prices stay between $57.00-$60.60, expect choppy trading as the market awaits clarity from OPEC+ and economic data.

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