CFDs on WTI Crude Oil
Long
Updated

Next Week's Crude Oil Trend Analysis and Trading Recommendations

571
The continued escalation of geopolitical tensions in the Middle East remains the core driver propelling oil prices higher. With U.S.-Iran relations at a critical juncture and the Ukrainian attack on the Crimean Bridge exacerbating the Russia-Ukraine conflict, markets are increasingly concerned about potential disruptions to Black Sea crude exports. As a key channel for 2% of global crude oil supplies, risks to Black Sea exports directly threaten supply chain security, triggering a surge in short-term market risk aversion and driving oil prices sustainably higher.

Since crude oil broke through the $64.8 resistance level with a solid candlestick last week, we have maintained a consistent bullish stance. After two weeks of consolidative oscillations, prices finally broke free from the trading range, fully demonstrating the dominance of bullish momentum. When oil prices pulled back to the $71.5–$72.0 range last Friday, we once again emphasized the short-term long strategy, which was subsequently followed by a sharp rally catalyzed by news developments. With the current trend clearly defined, we advise trading in line with the momentum: short-term long positions can be initiated above $71.0 at the start of the week.

USOIL
buy@71-72
tp:75-78

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On Friday, crude oil rebounded sharply amid Middle East-related news, then oscillated and pulled back in late trading, eventually closing with a mid-sized bullish candle on the daily chart. Crude oil prices are highly susceptible to news-driven movements. Given the current Middle East tensions, the rally is likely to extend further. Key resistance to monitor lies in the 78-79 zone.

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