X (US Steel) - New Target @ 30.422 | #Steel #NYSE

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X (US Steel) - New Target @ 30.422 | #Steel #NYSE

Pending bullish market reversal signal

David Alcindor
Predictive Analysis & Forecasting
David Alcindor, CMT Affiliate #227974
Alias: 4xForecaster (Twitter, LinkedIn, StockTwits)

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25 MAR 2014 - Trade Update:


After ignoring a potential recoiling forecast, instead $X took off in the overall forecast direction. On March 20th, it hit the first structural target dead-on, then proceeded to consolidate for 24 hours (6 subsequent candles). However, as of this 4-hour candle, price built the necessary base for a renewed rallying towards our lofty "TG-1 = 30.42 - 18 MAR 14" target.

So far, so good.

Looking ahead, I would caution traders to look for a potential relief decline back to this defined based, thus using the prior resistance as a new support, although price has had the vigor to continue forward before, so a straight 0ne-breath shot to the target is a lesser but reasonable possibility.

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David Alcindor
Predictive Analysis and Forecasting
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David Alcindor
Predictive Analysis &Forecasting

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21 MAR 2014 - Trade Update:

Structural target @ 27.30 reached and hit dead-on as per forecast. Bullish outlook and initial predictive analysis and forecast remain unchanged.


David Alcindor
20 MAR 2014 - Trade Update:

PA did not follow our precautionary unwinding to wards EAGLE, but instead moved on to carve higher highs.

Overall, no change in predictive analysis and forecastign


David Alcindor
Your projection would make this a great trade ( E.A.G.L.E.) as in eagle has landed whats your thoughts on the up swing and why it would turn down first after sweeping price increases in the industry?? Do you think Steel company's in general will get a Bid $MT, $AKS, $X, $NUE, $STLD your trend line has max upside around the 4/9/2014 is this a correct interpretation of your projection??
TraderBoo TraderBoo
Sorry I meant 5/9/2014 for upside target correct??
Hi, @TraderBoo - The end of the arrow does NOT point to a time forecast, but to a price level. Here are the directional signs (not trading signals) for the symbols you have referred to (I think that the underlying sovereign country in which that stock belongs might most likely impact the price of the underlying stock - I am not convinced that a well bid $X would necessarily carry other related stocks. Instead, I expect the whole construction sector to respond to domestic developments at first, but remain subject to the global concerns affecting commodities):

1 - $MT: Early bearish sign; bearish reversal confirmation signal pending
2 - $AKS: Needs to break above 7.04 structure high to challenge current bear strength
3 - $X: Early bullish market reversal as stated before; pending confirmation
4 - $NUE: Confirmed bear strength dominance; 51.03 caps potential relief rally, which would complete bearish 3-Waves; needs 51.55 break to convert bears to bull
5 - $STLD: Confirmed bear dominance; eyeing $15.85 support

Again, keeping one stock ($X) seems well bid for now and emits signs of potential rallying, but the same can not (yet, or at all) be said of other industry-complicit stocks.


David Alcindor
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