In my opinion, jobless data would be good. Not bad so it will pull down as you predicted. But tomorrow Durable Goods will raise?? So, I think you chart is much better. My chart is outdated. Perhaps, closed.
Also, please remember the data of non-farm payroll has some inaccuracy and pre-GDP also includes those inaccuracy. So, it will go up as the data says but a lot of people are saying not 100% reliable - But remember, market is not logical. Go with the trend -