Hmmm, this is an interesting response.
From my experience, only Ego tries to say 'I told you so'. One trade will never define anything about you/me, your/mine success or performance. 1000's of trades will. Its the same % risk on any one trade, so a loss on this one is the same .5%.
From my 13+ years experience, a trader is best served by 'thinking in probabilities'. Meaning just like a poker hand, if I take that hand 1000x, and make money over that 1000x, then that is an edge, and I'll play that hand now. It is no different in trading.
The probabilities to me suggest if I take this trade 100 or 1000x with a favorable enough R:R, then that is an edge I'll play over time. I may or may not make money this time (no idea for sure at this moment), but that is not my over-arching goal as I know I'll lose trades. That over-arching goal is to make money over those 1000 hands/trades, and let my edge play out over time, which may or may not work for me on this hand.
Try to see the forest from the trees, but I cam certainly hoping you make money today and continue to trade successfully.
However, most bull moves do not turn on a dime, and often times require an 'accumulation' process which would include the support level getting tested several times.
Sometimes the more it gets tested (and fails to break) the stronger the counter-trend forces go.
We shall see.
I have no intentions of taking a trade on an NFP spike, and I'm guessing most would not recommend this either. I'd be open to taking one before which I feel could play out, or one after, but am not keen on holding one through NFP (not my style as a whole).
I personally do not trade Gartley's so not much to comment on there. But i'm certainly open to taking a long around the 1180 level if this fails, depending upon the price action context and how it gets there.
But time will tell, and tomorrow should cause some interesting moves in the price action.