12.15-19 Gold Trading Analysis for Next Week BFORE Xmas

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1. Year-End Liquidity Profile
As we head into the pre-Christmas week, market liquidity will thin: fewer participants will amplify short-term volatility, though long-term allocating capital (central banks/ETFs) will limit deep pullbacks.


2. Key Weekly Chart Levels (Aligned with the Chart)
1. Support Zones:
- Near-term support: 4257.49 (0.886 Fib retracement level on the chart);
- Core support: 5-week EMA (4188.80), the anchor for the weekly uptrend.
2. Resistance:
- Next week’s key resistance: 4353.59 (current weekly high).


3. Trading Strategy
1. Bias: The weekly uptrend remains intact (noted as "EMAs support for weekly ABC wave up" on the chart);
2. Execution:
- Go long on dips: Enter lightly during pullbacks to 4257–4299 (0.886 support → current close), leveraging year-end liquidity-driven swings;
- Risk Management: Stop-loss should be adjusted dynamically based on intraday/4-hour price action (core rule: avoid breaking the 0.886 support zone). Reduce position size to 70% of your usual allocation (to mitigate volatility risks from thin liquidity);
- Target: Focus on breaking 4353 (current weekly high) next week; hold for further upside if this level is firmly breached.


4. Conclusion
Next week will see amplified volatility due to year-end liquidity, but the weekly bullish structure holds. Dips to support are buying opportunities, with the core goal of breaking the current weekly high at 4353.

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