petermh

Bitcoin 4H Inverse Head and Shoulders

Long
petermh Updated   
BITMEX:XBTUSD.P   Bitcoin
See comment for description (getting around a TradingView bug).
Comment:
This inverse head and shoulders will confirm upon break of $8400, leading to likely pullback on this down move from $10k to the $8800-$9400 area or a higher timeframe bullish reversal. Alternatively, this pattern may break below the right shoulder leading to failure and possible violent downside movement.

Lower timeframes are currently looking bullish.

I would not expect Bitcoin to reach the $8945 level and so would not advise holding a long until then, though I would strongly advise entering short there for at least a scalp.
Comment:
The pattern quickly confirmed with a surge up to nearly 50% of the target before a serious failure occurred, exposing huge weakness in the market with a move down passed the right shoulder.

This break of the right shoulder was a cue to stop out of longs and flip to a short position with a target of $7600 - a target which was quickly reached.

Ultimately, this setup should have yielded an initial ~$250/coin loss followed by a ~$550/coin gain.
Trade closed: target reached
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