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secrets2trade secrets2trade PRO AUDJPY, 240, Short ,
AUDJPY: AUDJPY heads lower?
58 0 6
AUDJPY, 240 Short
AUDJPY heads lower?

Hello Traders, Today we want to share with you the FX:AUDJPY as it broke significant trend line on daily close and shows outflow of capital. Technically the market broke significantly support and currently it seems that this pair is heading south. First target is around 85.35. Our inter market indication showing also a tick to the downside as they currently ...

ChaoticTrader ChaoticTrader OAS, D, Long ,
OAS: Successful $OAS Credit Spread Trade
16 0 4
OAS, D Long
Successful $OAS Credit Spread Trade

We opened this position about 30 days ago and played the time premium after the huge up move in oil prices. Our initial risk was $200 for a total collection of $50.

caputo.philip caputo.philip ITCI, D,
ITCI: ***PREMIUM INCOME***
30 2 2
ITCI, D
***PREMIUM INCOME***

Details are on chart.

caputo.philip caputo.philip AERI, D,
AERI: ***PREMIUM INCOME***
35 1 1
AERI, D
***PREMIUM INCOME***

Great premium income opportunity here! Details are on chart.

caputo.philip caputo.philip ARLZ, D,
ARLZ: ***PREMIUM INCOME***
43 0 1
ARLZ, D
***PREMIUM INCOME***

Great premium income opportunity. Details are on chart.

caputo.philip caputo.philip NVAX, D,
NVAX: ***Premium Income***
58 1 1
NVAX, D
***Premium Income***

NVAX is currently expecting some volatility in the near future given by the prices of these options. Here is one with 43 days to expiry with a 46% margin or error! These incredible numbers translates into 15% cash on cash return in 43 days if not assigned! The delta of this option is at 16.44 which means for the writer or seller of this option, you have a ...

VIX: Volatility risk premium less stable source of Alpha through XIV
65 0 0
VIX, W
Volatility risk premium less stable source of Alpha through XIV

As volatility is becoming more violent and frequent and generally on the rise, the source of alpha through XIV ETN products which shorts second month VIX futures to buy front month futures back is becoming less stable. Whist the VRP (Volatility risk premium) remains technically, the period of rough water will err on the side of the statistically unlikely in terms ...

NaughtyPines NaughtyPines EWZ, D,
EWZ: PREMIUM SELLNG: NEXT WEEK REMAINS A "WASTELAND"
47 2 4
EWZ, D
PREMIUM SELLNG: NEXT WEEK REMAINS A "WASTELAND"

Another week of wasteland for premium selling, with EWZ again topping the volatility charts for non earnings plays, although I may go small with an IWM setup in the May monthly (it's the most volatile amongst the index ETF's, which ain't saying much). I've got one more short-term RUT/IUX setup on that I will need to address, but other than that, it's going to be ...

NaughtyPines NaughtyPines SPY, D,
SPY: TRADE IDEA: SPY JUNE 17TH 177/181/215/219 IRON CONDOR
59 0 3
SPY, D
TRADE IDEA: SPY JUNE 17TH 177/181/215/219 IRON CONDOR

When volatility is low such as it is now in shorter term expiries, you have a couple of different choices when selling premium in broad-based market instruments like SPY, IWM, QQQ, and DIA: (a) sit on your hands, waiting for volatility to pop to a level such that less-than 45 DTE setups are more profitable; or (b) look farther out in time for volatility to ...

NaughtyPines NaughtyPines GDXJ, D,
GDXJ: SOLD GDXJ APRIL 31 23/31 SHORT STRANGLE
28 0 1
GDXJ, D
SOLD GDXJ APRIL 31 23/31 SHORT STRANGLE

As with the XOP play, selling premium where the volatility is and that's in gold issues (GDX, GG, GDXJ) and oil (OIH, XOP) right now. I filled this earlier today for a $98 credit. The current metrics are: Probability of Profit: 72% Max Profit: $90 per contract Buying Power Effect: Undefined Notes: At the suggestion of FractalTrader (that you very much for your ...

NaughtyPines NaughtyPines IUX, D,
IUX: IUX/RUT 80% POP FEB 29TH 895/905/1050/1060 IC
22 0 2
IUX, D
IUX/RUT 80% POP FEB 29TH 895/905/1050/1060 IC

With a paucity of meaningful earnings plays to work this week and having exited all of my Feb index plays, I'm looking for something short-term to bide my time as my core March index setups work themselves out. I'm not yet ready to move into the April monthly (it's still a bit far out) for index setups, so a short duration, high probability setup is a good way to ...

NaughtyPines NaughtyPines PCLN, D,
PCLN: PCLN -- FEB 26TH 947.5/957.5/1212.5/1222.5 IRON CONDOR
27 0 1
PCLN, D
PCLN -- FEB 26TH 947.5/957.5/1212.5/1222.5 IRON CONDOR

PCLN announces earnings tomorrow before market open, so look to put on this play before today's close. As noted in my post early this week regarding this week's earnings play prospects, PCLN's options are somewhat illiquid, so look for a fill of any setup at or above the mid price and resist the urge to chase price for a fill ... . You can naturally play with ...

NaughtyPines NaughtyPines IUX, D,
IUX: RUT/IUX MARCH 31ST 805/815/1060/1070 IRON CONDOR
22 0 1
IUX, D
RUT/IUX MARCH 31ST 805/815/1060/1070 IRON CONDOR

With the highest implied volatility out of the four indices (S&P, Dow, Nasdaq, and Russell 2000), the Russell 2000, RUT or IUX (symbology will vary by platform, apparently), offers good premium selling as an alternative to playing its ETF counterpart, IWM. Given the value of the underlying and its accompanying options, having more "meat on the bone" allows you ...

NaughtyPines NaughtyPines TSLA, D,
TSLA: TSLA EARNINGS PLAYS
66 0 1
TSLA, D
TSLA EARNINGS PLAYS

TSLA announces earnings tomorrow after market close, so look to put on any volatility contraction play (short strangle/iron condor) before then. You'll naturally want to tweak these strikes if there is any movement during the market day ... . Short Strangle Feb 19th 111/180 short strangle Probability of Profit: 74% Max Profit: $404/contract Buying Power Effect: ...

NaughtyPines NaughtyPines DIS, D,
DIS: DIS EARNINGS PLAYS
55 0 1
DIS, D
DIS EARNINGS PLAYS

DIS announces earnings today after market hours, so look to put on any setup before New York close. Here are the two "classic" setups: Feb 19th 82.5/100 short strangle Probability of Profit %: 74% Max Profit: $127/contract Buying Power Effect: Undefined Feb 19 77.5/82.5/100/105 iron condor Probability of Profit %: 72% Max Profit: $86/contract Buying Power ...

NaughtyPines NaughtyPines DIS, D,
DIS: THIS WEEK'S OPTIONS WORTHY EARNINGS PLAYS -- DIS, BIDU, TSLA
56 0 1
DIS, D
THIS WEEK'S OPTIONS WORTHY EARNINGS PLAYS -- DIS, BIDU, TSLA

Unfortunately, I was fiddling around so much with setups in index ETF's and GLD last week that I didn't get a chance to do a single earnings play ... But it's all good. Naturally, if volatility remains high in SPY, DIA, QQQ, and/or IWM, I'll continue to work those. However, while I'm waiting for some kind of bounce to occur to leg into the short call side of ...

NaughtyPines NaughtyPines GOOG, D,
GOOG: NEXT WEEK'S EARNINGS PLAYS -- GOOG, CMG, GILD, XOM, LINKD
179 0 4
GOOG, D
NEXT WEEK'S EARNINGS PLAYS -- GOOG, CMG, GILD, XOM, LINKD

And earnings season slogs on ... . Next week there are bunch of biggies, but not all of them are worthwhile options setup plays, primarily due to liquidity. GOOG's option liquidity has never been the greatest, and CMG and LNKD have always been horrid, so right off the bat I would pass on those for options plays. GILD -- announces earnings on 2/2 (Tues) after ...

NaughtyPines NaughtyPines NFLX, D,
NFLX: NFLX EARNINGS PLAY
64 0 2
NFLX, D
NFLX EARNINGS PLAY

NFLX announces earnings on Tuesday 1/19 after market, so look to put on any premium selling play shortly before NY close. Here are two possible setups, which may have to be tweaked, depending on price movement in the underlying: Jan 29 80/128 short strangle Probability of Profit %: 77% Max Profit: $246/contract Buying Power Effect: ~$1041 Break Evens: ...

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