riskreversals

forker forker PRO XLE, D, Long ,
XLE: XLE about to prepare for a spurt to the north?
73 0 13
XLE, D Long
XLE about to prepare for a spurt to the north?

See how price reacts at the centerline/slding/AR-Lines ? The SWAP in Nov. 16 marked the range and of course it has to come back to breath out. Lastly the weak hands got scared out by a very hard and final drop (red bar). Now I can imagine that time is right to collect some premium on the downside. Even a RiskReversal my be a good trade. P!

forker forker PRO IBB, D, Long ,
IBB: IBB attacking the U-MLH
72 1 10
IBB, D Long
IBB attacking the U-MLH

IBB found support at the centerline. Next station - U-MLH. With this could be a nice RIskReversal-Trade. P!

forker forker PRO UPS, 480, Long ,
UPS: UPS - RiskReversal After Stop Pain
51 2 9
UPS, 480 Long
UPS - RiskReversal After Stop Pain

Lot's of stops where hit probably behind the bigger structure. It's the Sine Wave center, that is usually broken, bevor price returns in the opposite direction. So, this is my chance and I'm on with my RiskReversal for a credit. P!

Eli Eli FDC, D, Long ,
FDC: 15k contract bullish risk reversal bets on FDC breakout
18 0 5
FDC, D Long
15k contract bullish risk reversal bets on FDC breakout

15,000 of the February 17th $15 strike calls appear bought today for .90 while 15,000 of the February 17th 15 strike puts appear sold for .55. This synthetic long positions equates to the trader holding 1,500,000 shares at a breakeven price of $15.35. FDC daily chart looks primed to breakout with $17 easily in reach by expiry of this trade.

forker forker PRO NKE, D, Long ,
NKE: NKE - RiskReversal On
178 5 10
NKE, D Long
NKE - RiskReversal On

NKE plays on major support level. Price Action and Fork confirmed so I set up my RiskReversal. Earnings ahead...I can take it. Worst case would be to own the stock if all goes bad and I get assigned. I then would just sell covered Calls/Puts to bring down the cost basis (entry point of stock). The WWTGT would be a WolfeWave target, which is exactly the ...

forker forker PRO BABA, D, Short ,
BABA: BABA - Too obvious TL
134 1 10
BABA, D Short
BABA - Too obvious TL

This up sloping TL is too obvious...they'l break it (...uuuhhh finding myself guessing ;-) ) Setting up a covered RiskReversal - very low risk. P!

forker forker PRO GLD, D, Long ,
GLD: GLD - The lower extreme is reached...turn ahead.
148 0 11
GLD, D Long
GLD - The lower extreme is reached...turn ahead.

The lower extreme is met. Now we have a high potential to turn and go north. Sold 2 puts and bought 1 call with 109 DTE.

QuantumLogicTrading QuantumLogicTrading USDJPY, D,
USDJPY: BOJ: JPY V USD, EUR, GBP - WHAT THE OPTION MARKET IS TELLING US
468 6 11
USDJPY, D
BOJ: JPY V USD, EUR, GBP - WHAT THE OPTION MARKET IS TELLING US

50 Delta ATM Volatilities: USDJPY - - $Yen has an ATM implied volatility curve of 55.95%mrkt 24.08%1wk 18.31%2wk 14.12%1m - Obviously we are aggressively steeper in the front end, with BOJ tomorrow and JPY MOF Fiscal Package details coming next week providing heightened vol for the 1day and 1wk vols - naturally we then see the curve tail off as the event vol ...

QuantumLogicTrading QuantumLogicTrading NZDUSD, D, Short ,
NZDUSD: NZDUSD: TECHNICAL ANALYSIS - 0.70 RES, MA, STDEV, IV=HV & RR
143 0 13
NZDUSD, D Short
NZDUSD: TECHNICAL ANALYSIS - 0.70 RES, MA, STDEV, IV=HV & RR

NZD$ Technical analysis - Remain bearish below 0.70 - 0.69tp1 0.68tp2 on a rate cut (Aug 10th): Key level close: 1. On the daily and weekly we closed at the strongest pivot point of recent times at 0.70 - this is very bearish as historically this is the strongest level (lower than post brexit). MA: 1. We trade below the 4wk and 3m MA - this is a bearish ...

QuantumLogicTrading QuantumLogicTrading USDJPY, D, Long ,
USDJPY: USDJPY: TECHNICAL ANALYSIS - MA, KEY SUPPORT, STANDEV, IV>HV, RR
183 0 11
USDJPY, D Long
USDJPY: TECHNICAL ANALYSIS - MA, KEY SUPPORT, STANDEV, IV>HV, RR

Yen$ Technical analysis - Bullish but fundamentally driven this week: Key level close: 1. On the daily and weekly we closed above the 2nd strongest pivot point of recent times at 1.055 - this is very supportive as historically this is the strongest level (next to 100/101). MA: 1. We trade above the 4wk ma and the 3m MA is acting as strong support (black line) ...

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