USOIL working the 1/3-1/2 square both price and time wise from the recent high. You can see the dashed horizontal support and resistance lines based on the aforementioned square range of 1/3 to 1/2. If bulls manage to turn this around, the first thing they will have to do is break beyond the descending 45 degree line of that highlighted 1/3-1/2 square.
The oil market was still unable to overcome resistance and during late hours gave back more than half of OPEC cut announcement gains. Next week is likely to be very active, as there is a lot of additional interest, the moves are expected to be quite violent. There is no clear signal of a breakout either way, following the market inertia by looking for limit buy...
This chart is an attempt to show possible support and resistance lines that have been coiling the market lately. Bears did achieve a slightly lower low but were unable to follow through, an event that shows a change in market structure . If bulls can close higher timeframes above the 15 degrees resistance line, a stop buy setup approach seems reasonable....
It seems yet another push lower towards the 5875-5950 area is likely at this point. The 45 degree line from the marked blue square is anticipated to attract demand at that point. Until then, shorting into strength seems to be the way to go. Limit sell orders around 6085, the 15 degree angle coming from the recent low, tight stops and 1R-2R targets seem reasonable for now.
