Long
GOOGLE 12-year Channel Up says correction isn't over.Google (GOOG) has been trading within a 12-year Channel Up since its IPO and the recent April - May massive rally has made it hit the pattern's Top (Higher Highs trend-line) for the first time since November 2021.
That was the Top that kick-started the 2022 Bear Cycle, which declined by almost -45%, bottoming just below the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line). The latter has historically been the market's long-term Support (hence optimal buy entry) as it contained both the 2025 Tariffs flash crash and the 2020 COVID flash crash.
Technically this Channel Up displays strong similarities among those fractals and the fact that May hit its top and got rejected into a new pull-back that touched the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), further supports this argument.
Those similarities are also reflected on their 1M RSI sequences that give a strong sense of cyclical behavior. What stands out on the 1M RSI is the 41.50 Support, which has delivered the market's two most optimal multi-year buy entries (June 2015 and December 2022). If such a test occurs, it goes without saying that it is an automatic long-term buy.
So with the recent Channel Up Top rejection, the probabilities for an extended technical Bearish Leg becomes stronger. Based on the price and RSI structure, the current fractal resembles ore the 2025 Tariffs crash, the 2020 COVID crash as well as the 2018 U.S. - China Trade War correction. As you can see, those crashes were preceded by smaller corrections (ellipse patterns). We already had that now during the recent February - March (U.S. - Iran war) pull-back.
As a result, we expect Alphabet Inc. to target at least $312.00 (representing a -23.04% decline from the Top, similar to August - December 2018 correction) and if the macro environment at the time favors more selling, then move to an additional test of the 1W MA100 (green trend-line) at $280.00 by the end of the year.
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👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 Short 
Long
GOOGL Daily: The AI Parabola and the "Blue Box" ConfluenceHello traders. Today we are analyzing Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) from both a macroeconomic and technical perspective. Like the broader AI-driven technology sector, GOOGL has experienced a powerful parabolic expansion. However, disciplined execution means waiting for high-probability liquidity zones rather than chasing momentum.
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1. Fundamentals & The Macro Environment
To trade responsibly, we must understand both the bullish catalysts driving price higher and the macro forces capable of triggering a pullback.
• The Bullish Catalyst:
- Google Cloud & AI:
The integration of Gemini AI models across Alphabet’s ecosystem has significantly accelerated enterprise adoption of Google Cloud. Cloud profitability and infrastructure demand continue strengthening.
- Advertising Resilience:
Despite broader macro uncertainty, Search and YouTube advertising revenues remain extremely resilient, reinforcing Alphabet’s position as one of the strongest cash-generating companies globally.
• The Macro Headwind:
As of May 2026, markets remain challenged by persistent inflation and elevated energy prices. With inflation staying sticky, the Federal Reserve continues maintaining a higher-for-longer rate environment. Historically, aggressive technology rallies eventually encounter liquidity pullbacks as institutions reduce exposure and lock in profits during restrictive monetary conditions.
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2. Technical Breakdown: The Confluence Zone
The chart structure currently reflects a highly aggressive parabolic expansion toward the $400 region.
• The Unsustainable Trendline:
The current ascending structure is extremely steep and statistically difficult to sustain long term. Vertical expansions often create weak structural support beneath price, increasing probability of a mean-reversion phase.
• The Golden Blue Box ($330 – $340):
Rather than shorting a fundamentally strong company, the preferred strategy is waiting for retracement into this high-confluence demand region.
This zone stands out because multiple technical factors align simultaneously:
- 0.5 Fibonacci Retracement:
The 50% retracement from the $272 swing low to the $401 high sits near $337.
- Volume Profile POC:
The highest traded-volume region is located directly inside this demand box, making it a strong institutional reference level.
- Old Resistance → New Support:
This region previously acted as resistance and now serves as a major structural support candidate.
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3. The Execution Plan: Trading The Blue Box
Identifying a support zone is only the first step. Execution quality depends entirely on confirmation.
• Rule 1: Patience
Allow the unsustainable trendline to fail naturally and let price retrace into the predefined demand zone.
• Rule 2: Watch for Absorption
Inside the blue box, monitor whether aggressive selling pressure fails to produce meaningful downside continuation. This suggests active institutional buying and seller absorption.
• Rule 3: Candlestick Confirmation
Even without footprint tools, price action alone can reveal absorption. Long downside wicks and strong candle closes from inside the demand zone indicate buyers are rejecting lower prices aggressively.
• Rule 4: Invalidation
If price slices directly through the blue box with strong bearish momentum and no rejection behavior, the setup becomes invalid and patience remains the safest approach.
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Conclusion
Alphabet remains one of the strongest AI and cloud-driven companies fundamentally, but the current technical structure is heavily extended.
The highest-probability strategy is not chasing momentum, but waiting for price to revisit the major POC/Fibonacci confluence zone and only executing after clear evidence of buyer absorption appears.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading involves substantial risk and requires disciplined risk management. Long 
Short
Short
Short
Short
Can GOOGL Sustain Its Bullish Run Before 320 Resistance Hits?🎯 GOOGL HEIST: Operation Alphabet Escape Plan 💰
Alphabet Inc. (NASDAQ) - Swing Trade | Multi-Layer Entry Strategy
📊 THE SETUP
Sentiment: 🟢 BULLISH | Timeframe: Swing Trade | Risk Level: Medium
🎲 ENTRY STRATEGY: "THIEF LAYERING"
Strategic multi-level buy accumulation using limit orders
Layer-by-Layer Approach:
🔵 Layer 1: $270.00 (Initial entry - 30% position)
🔵 Layer 2: $275.00 (Support zone - 35% position)
🔵 Layer 3: $280.00 (Strength builder - 35% position)
Why This Works? Multiple entries reduce average cost basis and allow maximum capital efficiency. If price rejects higher, you've got fills at lower zones. If it pumps, you're already in! 💡
🛑 STOP LOSS PROTECTION
Hard Stop: 🚨 $265.00 (Below support structure)
This represents a 1.9% risk from Layer 1 entry — disciplined risk management at its finest.
⚠️ Risk Acknowledgment: Your stop loss, your rules. We're traders, not financial advisors. Adjust based on YOUR risk tolerance and account size. This is educational strategy sharing, not personalized financial advice.
🎖️ PROFIT TARGETS & ESCAPE ROUTES
Primary Target: 📈 $310.00
Strong resistance zone forming
Overbought conditions developing
Action: Take 50-60% profits here
Secondary Target: 🏆 $320.00
Police barricade zone (extreme resistance)
High trap probability at this level
Action: Scale out remaining 40-50% OR tighten stops to breakeven
Exit Philosophy: Greed kills traders. Take profits systematically. The best trade is one where you sleep well at night. 😴
⚠️ Profit Note: Your targets, your timing. Scale exits based on market conditions, volume confirmation, and YOUR comfort level.
🔗 RELATED PAIRS TO MONITOR (Correlation Watch)
🔵 NASDAQ:MSFT 📱 — High Correlation (Tech Sector) | If MSFT breaks down, GOOGL faces sector headwinds. Watch for divergence signals here first.
🔵 NASDAQ:QQQ 🔺 — 0.85+ Correlation (Nasdaq-100) | QQQ weakness = potential GOOGL pullback signal. This is your sector health check before entry.
🔵 AMEX:IWM 📊 — Inverse Correlation (Rotation Risk) | Russell 2000 strength = growth money leaving mega-caps. If small-caps pump, tech might cool off.
🔵 NASDAQ:TLT 💳 — Interest Rate Proxy | Rising bonds = tech pressure; falling bonds = tech friendly. Fed policy flows directly through here.
🔵 TVC:VIX 😰 — Volatility Index | VIX spike = risk-off, potential GOOGL liquidation. Above 20 = reduce position exposure.
Key Insight: Watch QQQ and MSFT first. They're your canary in the coal mine. If sector is weak, reconsider your entry conviction. 🚨
💎 STRATEGY SUMMARY
✅ Bullish bias with disciplined multi-entry accumulation
✅ Defined risk with hard stop at $265
✅ Staged profit-taking to lock gains systematically
✅ Correlation awareness prevents surprise sector rotations
🎬 FINAL THOUGHTS
Remember: This is the Thief Strategy™ — a fun, educational framework for swing trading, NOT financial advice. Trade at your own risk. Position sizing, stop losses, and profit targets should reflect YOUR unique situation, risk tolerance, and account size.
The heist only works if you ESCAPE with profits. Don't get caught holding the bag! 💼🚪
✨ If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!
#GOOGL #AlphabetInc #SwingTrade #TechAnalysis #TradingStrategy #NASDAQ #TradingIdeas #MultiLayers #RiskManagement #Bullish #ThiefStrategy #TradingCommunity #TradingView #Technical #StockMarket Long 
Alphabet Momentum Surges as Berkshire’s Bet $5 billion stakeAlphabet Inc. (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:GOOG ) closed at $299.65 on Friday and briefly pushed above $302 in after-hours trading, extending its strong 2025 rally. The momentum accelerated after Berkshire Hathaway revealed a new $5 billion stake, making Alphabet one of its largest U.S. holdings. The move reinforces investor conviction in Alphabet’s long-term AI roadmap, especially as capital expenditures surge.
Alphabet’s Q3 earnings on Oct. 29 highlighted the company’s powerful growth engine. Revenue rose 16% year over year to $102.3 billion, while net income increased 33% to $35 billion. EPS jumped 35% to $2.87 as operating efficiency improved across Google Services and Cloud.
Google Cloud delivered another breakthrough quarter, generating 34% growth and $15.2 billion in revenue. The segment continues to benefit from rising AI workloads and enterprise adoption. YouTube and Search also outperformed, driving strong ad-based revenue expansion.
Capital expenditures remain a key theme. Alphabet raised its 2025 CAPEX outlook twice, now guiding for $91–$93 billion, driven by AI chips, new data centers, and expanded compute clusters. Despite heavy investment, free cash flow remains exceptionally strong at $73.6B over the last 12 months.
Berkshire’s Vote of Confidence
Berkshire’s acquisition of 17.9 million GOOG shares signals deep belief in Alphabet’s AI dominance and multi-segment strength. With nearly $100B in cash and consistent double-digit revenue growth, Alphabet remains one of the most financially resilient companies in big tech.
Technical Outlook
NASDAQ:GOOG has been strongly bullish since the April low at $140. The stock also broke through an ascending-trendline resistance in August and continues to climb toward new all-time highs. As long as price stays above this breakout zone, bullish continuation remains likely. Long 
Google Stock Approaches the $300 MarkGoogle’s stock has managed to remain near its all-time highs, and since its last major correction, it has posted a gain of more than 5% over recent trading sessions. However, the company’s recent comments regarding an increase in capital expenditures, projected to reach approximately $91 billion, have started to slow the stock’s upward momentum in the short term. This expansion in investment implies a greater financial commitment and a risk that expected revenue growth may not materialize. For now, buying pressure has entered a consolidation phase, which could lead to indecisive price movements in the coming sessions. Nonetheless, if the overall market bias remains bullish, this could support a gradual move toward the 300-dollar per share level.
Uptrend
Since late June, Google’s stock has maintained consistent upward movements, forming a rising trendline that has guided the price toward the $300 area. Despite the recent neutral phase, there are no significant bearish corrections threatening this trend, which continues to serve as the dominant technical structure in the short term. If buying pressure holds, the trendline could gain strength in the coming sessions. However, the recent lack of directional momentum also leaves room for potential short-term pullbacks.
RSI
The RSI indicator line shows dominant buying momentum, though it remains close to the overbought zone (around 70). Additionally, while the stock’s price has made higher highs, the RSI has formed lower highs, signaling a potential bearish divergence that could indicate an imbalance in market strength. This setup could lead to a short-term correction period in the coming sessions.
TRIX
The TRIX indicator remains above the neutral level of 0, suggesting that the average of exponential moving averages continues to show consistent buying strength. As long as the TRIX keeps rising, it could signal dominant buying pressure in the medium- to long-term trend.
Key Levels to Watch:
290 USD – Major Resistance: This level corresponds to the stock’s all-time highs and represents the most important bullish barrier to monitor. A breakout above this area could trigger a more aggressive short-term uptrend, potentially pushing the stock toward the psychological 300-dollar level, provided buying pressure remains dominant.
276 USD – Immediate Support: This level corresponds to the recent pullback zone and may serve as temporary support against short-term corrections.
257 USD – Key Support: This level coincides with both the uptrend line and the 50-period simple moving average. A break below this zone could endanger the current uptrend structure and give way to a new bearish bias of technical relevance.
Written by Julian Pineda, CFA, CMT – Market Analyst Alphabet’s to Invest $6 Billion in Germany as Stock Eyes $300Alphabet Inc. (NASDAQ: GOOGL) surged to new highs this week as reports surfaced that Google plans to invest approximately €5 billion ($5.8 billion) in Germany to expand its data center and infrastructure footprint. According to sources cited by Reuters, the plan includes the construction of a new data center in Dietzenbach, near Frankfurt, and the expansion of an existing facility in Hanau. Both projects reinforce Google’s growing commitment to Europe’s largest economy and its long-term push toward artificial intelligence and climate-neutral innovation.
The investment marks one of Google’s most significant in Europe, aligning with its broader strategy to enhance data processing power and sustainability. A press conference is scheduled for Tuesday, where German Finance Minister Lars Klingbeil is expected to provide additional details. Analysts view this expansion as a strong signal of confidence in Europe’s digital economy and AI-driven transformation.
On the technical front, Google’s stock has been on a powerful uptrend, recently reaching around $290 after breaking through long-term resistance. The bullish momentum shows little sign of slowing, with traders eyeing the key psychological level of $300 as the next major target.
Volume and trend structure remain supportive, with an ascending trendline acting as a potential area of support in case of a retracement. A bounce from that region could further fuel continuation toward fresh record highs.
With strong fundamentals backed by a major European investment and a bullish technical setup, Google appears poised to extend its rally. Investors will be watching whether this momentum can push GOOGL beyond $300, a move that could signal the next chapter of growth for one of the world’s leading tech giants. Long 
Long 
Is This the Perfect Entry Zone for the Next GOOGL Upside Run?🎯 GOOGL: The "Thief's Heist" Trading Strategy | Layered Entry Playbook 📊
💼 Asset: ALPHABET INC. (GOOGL)
Market: NASDAQ | Style: Swing/Day Trade Hybrid
🎭 The Setup: Bulls Running the Show
Bias: 🟢 BULLISH
Listen up, trading family! 👋 GOOGL is setting up what I call the "Thief's Entry Strategy" - a layered approach that lets you accumulate positions like a professional poker player stacking chips. No FOMO, no chasing - just calculated, methodical entries that would make Ocean's Eleven jealous. 🎰
🚪 Entry Strategy: The "Thief Layering" Method
Instead of going all-in at one price (rookie move 🙅♂️), we're using multiple limit orders to build our position:
📍 Layered Buy Limits:
Layer 1: $240.00
Layer 2: $245.00
Layer 3: $250.00
💡 Pro Tip: You can add more layers or adjust levels based on your risk appetite and account size. This method reduces average cost and minimizes timing risk - basically, you're stealing better prices while everyone else panic-buys at the top! 😎
Alternative: If you prefer simplicity, current market price entry works too - but where's the fun in that? 🤷♂️
🛡️ Risk Management: The "Escape Route"
Stop Loss: $235.00
⚠️ Reality Check: Dear Thief OG's (Original Gangsters of Trading), this is MY stop loss level based on technical structure. YOU need to assess your own risk tolerance, position size, and account management rules. Your money = your rules. Trade at your own risk, always! 🎲
🎯 Target Zone: The "Electric Fence"
Take Profit: $275.00
This level represents a confluence of:
⚡ Strong resistance zone (high voltage wall!)
📈 Potential overbought conditions
Bull trap territory where late buyers get caught
Strategy: Scale out as we approach target. Don't be greedy - banks get robbed, but smart thieves get away clean! 💰
⚠️ Reality Check #2: This is MY target. You might want to take profits earlier, hold for more, or scale out in portions. Your trading plan, your decision. Secure the bag at your own discretion! 💼
🔗 Related Pairs to Watch (Correlation Play)
Keep your eyes on these tech titans - they often move in sympathy:
NASDAQ:MSFT - Microsoft Corp | Big tech correlation, AI play
NASDAQ:AAPL - Apple Inc. | FAANG/tech sector leader
NASDAQ:META - Meta Platforms | Ad revenue correlation with GOOGL
NASDAQ:NVDA - NVIDIA | AI infrastructure play
NASDAQ:QQQ - Nasdaq 100 ETF | Overall tech sector health indicator
Why it matters: If these pairs show weakness, GOOGL might follow. If they're pumping, wind's at our back! 🌊
📊 Key Technical Points
✅ Support holding at current structure
✅ Bullish momentum building on lower timeframes
✅ Risk-reward ratio favorable with layered entries
✅ Volume profile suggesting accumulation phase
🎬 The "Thief Style" Philosophy
This isn't financial advice - it's a trading game plan based on technical analysis and strategic positioning. The "Thief" approach means:
Stealth entries (layering in)
🧠 Smart exits (not overstaying the party)
🎯 Calculated risk (always know your out)
🎪 Having fun while staying professional
📉 Trading involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for everyone. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
✨ If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!
🏷️ Tags:
#GOOGL #Alphabet #StockMarket #SwingTrading #DayTrading #TradingStrategy #TechnicalAnalysis #StockAnalysis #NASDAQ #TechStocks #LayeredEntry #RiskManagement #TradingIdeas #PriceAction #SupportAndResistance #ThiefStrategy #FAANG
Trade smart, stay safe, and remember: the market doesn't care about your feelings - only your strategy matters! 🎯💪 Long 
Long
GOOGL Raid Plan: Bulls Set to Hijack the Chart!💎🚨**Operation GOOGL Grab: Robbery in Progress! Swing & Run!**🚨💎
🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Silent Robbers, 🤑💰💸✈️
Get ready for another high-stakes market heist – this time, we’re raiding the vaults of GOOGL (Alphabet Inc.) using the Thief Trading Strategy™. Based on sharp technical intel and subtle fundamental whispers, the setup is clear: the bulls have cracked the code, and it’s time to grab our loot.
🟢 🎯 ENTRY POINT - THE LOOT ZONE
"The vault is wide open!"
Snatch your bullish entry anywhere on the chart, but the pros will place limit buys on recent pullbacks (15m/30m zones), either on swing lows or highs. The pullback is your door in — don’t miss it!
🛑 STOP LOSS - ESCAPE ROUTE
Set the Thief SL at the recent 2H swing low (162.00).
But remember, each robber’s risk appetite is unique — adjust your SL based on your size, cash, and courage.
🎯 TARGET - GETAWAY MONEY
💼 Main Target: 186.50
Or if heat rises early, vanish with your gains before the full score hits. Disappear like a ghost — profit first, questions later!
🧲 FOR SCALPERS – THE QUICK GRAB
Only ride the long wave — shorting is off-limits in this mission.
If your wallet is loaded, dive in. If not, join the swing crew.
Use trailing SL to protect your cash stack 💰.
📈 THE SETUP – WHY THIS RAID WORKS
The GOOGL Market is bursting with bullish energy — a classic Red Zone robbery moment.
Overbought tension, fakeouts, trend shifts — exactly where we love to strike! Consolidation and reversals = opportunity for the brave.
📣 TRADING ALERT - NEWS AHEAD!
🚨 Avoid entries during news releases – they trigger alarms!
Use trailing SL to lock in your stash, especially during high-volatility windows.
🔍 TIPS FROM THE THIEF’S DESK
Stay updated with the latest whispers — from fundamentals to geopolitical noise, COT positioning to sentiment swings. The market changes faster than a thief on the run — so adapt fast!
💖 Show some love: 💥Hit that Boost Button💥
Let’s fuel this robbery plan with more power and precision.
Every day in the market is a new heist — let’s win like thieves, not sheep. 🏆💪🤝❤️🚀
I'll be back soon with another masterplan...
📡 Stay sharp, stay hidden — and always aim for the vault. 🤑🐱👤🎯 Long 
Long 
Alphabet (GOOGL) Shares Drop Over 7% in a Single DayAlphabet (GOOGL) Shares Drop Over 7% in a Single Day
According to the Alphabet (GOOGL) stock chart, yesterday’s main trading session opened around $163.70 but then saw a sharp decline, hitting an intraday low of approximately $148 per share. By the close, bulls managed to recover only a small portion of the losses. As a result, Alphabet (GOOGL) shares fell by more than 7% during the session – marking the worst performance among the S&P 500 constituents (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen).
Why Did GOOGL Shares Fall?
The drop followed remarks by Eddy Cue, Apple’s Senior Vice President of Internet Software and Services, who:
→ noted a decline in search traffic on Safari;
→ revealed plans to expand Safari’s search capabilities using artificial intelligence.
These developments heightened concerns over Google’s dominance in search and its advertising revenue. According to media reports, analysts are warning of rising competition from AI-powered search platforms such as OpenAI, Grok, and Perplexity.
Technical Analysis of Alphabet (GOOGL) Shares
In our 23 April analysis, we identified a descending price channel and emphasised the psychological significance of the $150 level, which had served as a key support in 2024.
Since then, bulls showed confidence by pushing the price above the red channel. In addition, the chart has begun to outline a potential ascending trend channel (marked in blue).
However, yesterday’s statement from competitors shifts the outlook. The current GOOGL stock price is positioned at the lower boundary of the blue channel – which could act as support, reinforced by the psychological $150 level.
On the other hand, a bearish breakout below this area may revive the downtrend that began in February, potentially paving the way for a test of this year’s lows.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice. Alphabet Shares Surge 6% In Premarket Amid Earnings BeatShares of Alphabet Inc. (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:GOOG ) spike 6% in Friday's premarket session amidst earnings beat.
Google parent Alphabet (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:GOOG ) reported first-quarter revenue and profit that exceeded analysts’ expectations, sending shares higher in extended trading Thursday.
The tech giants reported revenue of $90.23 billion, up 12% year-over-year and above the analyst consensus from Visible Alpha.1 Net income of $34.54 billion, or $2.81 per share, compared to $23.66 billion, or $1.89 per share, a year earlier, also topping Wall Street’s estimates. Google Cloud revenue rose 28% to $12.3 billion, while Search & Other segment revenue grew 10% to $50.7 billion.
Alphabet also raised its quarterly dividend by 5% to 21 cents, and announced an additional $70 billion in stock buybacks. Alphabet's Class A shares rose close to 5% in after-hours trading. The stock was down about 16% for 2025 through Thursday’s close.
Alphabet Reiterates Spending Plans as AI Features Expand Reach and Engagement
CEO Sundar Pichai said Search growth was driven by "engagement we’re seeing with features like AI Overviews, which now has 1.5 billion users per month" after launching in May 2024.2
“We do see a tremendous opportunity ahead of us across the organization,” CFO Anat Ashkenazi said, adding that Alphabet ended the quarter with more Cloud demand than it had capacity.
Technical Outlook
As of the time of writing, shares of NASDAQ:GOOG are up 5% in Friday's premarket trading, bouncing off from the critical support zone of $146. NASDAQ:GOOG 's next top is the $200 resistant a move that will deliver a stunning 29% in gains. All present metrics are pointing to a bullish campaign, the asset is already trading below key moving averages giving NASDAQ:GOOG room to capitalize on this technical to make a comeback. Long 
Alphabet (GOOGL) Shares Hover Near Psychological LevelAlphabet (GOOGL) Shares Hover Near Psychological Level Ahead of Earnings Report
On 31 March, we noted that bearish sentiment could push Alphabet’s (GOOGL) share price towards the psychological level of $150. As the current price chart suggests, GOOGL is now trading close to that very level.
Moreover, the price is approximately equidistant from the recent highs and lows (marked A and B), which may be interpreted as a sign of balanced supply and demand — and a wait-and-see stance from market participants ahead of Alphabet’s Q1 earnings release (scheduled for tomorrow, 24 April).
Awaiting the GOOGL Earnings Report
With the Nasdaq 100 index (US Tech 100 mini on FXOpen) having fallen by around 13.5% since the beginning of the year, investors are approaching tech earnings with caution. According to Barron’s, three key themes are expected to dominate the narrative:
→ management forecasts amid continued uncertainty around the White House’s tariff policy;
→ plans for major capital investment in AI-related infrastructure;
→ signs of softening consumer demand.
Given the current climate of uncertainty, Alphabet’s earnings report could prove particularly influential — serving as a benchmark for shaping market expectations ahead of other major tech company reports.
Technical Analysis of Alphabet (GOOGL)
The $150 level has served as key support throughout 2024, and over the coming days it may act as a springboard for a new price movement, potentially driven by the earnings results.
From a bearish perspective, the market remains in a downward trend (indicated in red) following a breakout below the lower boundary of a previously active rising channel (marked in purple) that had held since last autumn. However, if Alphabet’s management maintains an upbeat outlook for 2025, this could give the bulls the confidence to challenge the upper limit of the red channel.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice. Alphabet (Google) Stock Approaches Critical SupportIn recent sessions, Google's stock has recorded a decline of over 8% in just a couple of trading days, as market confidence weakens following the company's latest earnings report (February 4). Google Cloud services revenue grew by 30% , falling short of the expected 35% , signaling that competition in the cloud sector is becoming increasingly aggressive for Alphabet. This has dampened growth prospects for the company, leading to sustained selling pressure on the stock.
Uptrend at Risk
Google has maintained a solid uptrend since September 2024, with bullish momentum pushing the stock above the $200 per share level. However, the recent short-term bearish bias has cast doubts on the stock’s strength, as the price now approaches the trendline support level, where sellers must prove whether this movement is just a correction or a sign of a stronger bearish shift in the short term.
MACD Indicator
Currently, both the signal line and the MACD line have adopted a downward slope, while the histogram remains oscillating near the neutral 0 level. This indicates that the previous bullish dominance has faded, and if the histogram continues moving further away from the neutral zone, it could reinforce a stronger selling bias in the coming sessions.
Key Levels:
$200: The most important resistance level, aligning with previous highs in Google’s stock. A rebound to this level could revive the long-term uptrend.
$187: A critical new support zone, aligning with previous lows and the uptrend line support. Sustained movements below this level could reinforce the current bearish bias and threaten the long-term uptrend.
$173: A major support level, corresponding to previous neutral price zones. A breakdown to this level could signal the beginning of a much more extended downtrend.
By Julian Pineda, CFA - Market Analyst Breaking: Alphabet ($GOOG) Shares Drop 7% in PremarketAlphabet Inc. (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:GOOG ) witnessed a significant 7% drop in premarket trading on Wednesday, driven by investor concerns over slowing cloud growth and the tech giant’s hefty $75 billion investment into artificial intelligence (AI) infrastructure. This figure far exceeded Wall Street’s projected $58 billion, raising doubts about the necessity and efficiency of such high spending.
AI Investment and Competitive Pressure
Alphabet has been aggressively investing in AI research and its integration across Google Search, Cloud services, and other platforms. However, the emergence of China’s low-cost DeepSeek AI model—which reportedly rivals leading U.S. AI models—has triggered discussions about whether Big Tech companies need to allocate billions toward AI advancements.
Cloud Growth Concerns
Alphabet's cloud division reported a 30% revenue increase to $11.96 billion in Q4, but this marked a slowdown compared to the 35% growth in Q3. In contrast, Microsoft Azure saw a 31% increase, while Amazon Web Services (AMZN) is projected to post only a 19% rise. Despite the slowdown, analysts believe the surging demand for AI-powered cloud computing will keep the long-term outlook positive for Alphabet’s cloud business.
Advertising Challenges
Beyond AI and cloud investments, Alphabet is grappling with fierce competition in the digital advertising space. With marketers increasingly shifting to social media-driven ad platforms like Meta’s Facebook and Instagram, and ByteDance’s TikTok, Google’s traditional ad model faces mounting pressure.
Technical Analysis
At the time of writing, NASDAQ:GOOG shares are down 6.75%, signaling a potential bearish continuation pattern. The stock appears poised to form a gap-down pattern, a bearish technical indicator that may lead to further downside pressure.
- Support Levels:* The first minor support lies at $197, aligning with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level. A breakdown below this level could result in gap-filling towards $185-$190.
- Major Structural Support: The BOS (Break of Structure) level is set at $155. A dip to this level could trigger further bearish sentiment and result in deeper losses.
- Moving Averages: Despite the premarket decline, NASDAQ:GOOG remains above key moving averages, suggesting that the broader trend remains bullish unless further downside momentum builds.
- RSI Positioning: Prior to this drop, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) was at 64, indicating that the stock was not overbought. This means the decline is not necessarily a reaction to overvaluation but rather a response to external market forces and investor sentiment.
Market Sentiment and Analyst Outlook
While some brokerage firms have cut their price targets on Alphabet, the median price target now stands at $220—still above its current premarket trading price of $191.20. Alphabet’s stock had gained 9% in 2024 before this drop, outperforming Amazon’s 10.3% gain and Microsoft’s -2.2% decline.
Conclusion
Despite the current dip, Alphabet’s long-term prospects in AI and cloud computing remain strong. The significant AI investment could prove to be a long-term advantage if it strengthens Alphabet’s competitive positioning. However, traders should closely monitor key support levels ($197 and $155) and whether the stock can hold above key moving averages.
For long-term investors, the recent drop could present a buying opportunity, but in the short term, further downside volatility is possible as market sentiment adjusts to Alphabet’s spending strategy. The coming days will be crucial in determining whether NASDAQ:GOOG can recover swiftly or continue its downward trajectory.
