AMD | Rejected From The Flip Zone, Liquidity Below
By analyzing the #AMD (Advanced Micro Devices) chart on the 4H timeframe, we can see a trend that has changed hands. What was a clean uptrend has now produced a structural shift, price has been rejected from the level that mattered most, and the liquidity beneath is unusually well defined.
4H Timeframe
The 4H spent months in a genuine uptrend. Price printed bullish BOS repeatedly, each break confirming that buyers were taking out the highs above them and holding the ground afterward. That sequence is what built the advance.
It ended with two events in quick succession. Price printed a bearish MSS — the first formal signal that the structure had shifted — and confirmed it shortly after with a bearish BOS . Once both are on the chart, the burden of proof moves onto the buyers rather than the sellers.
The Protected High at $561.97 was left behind by that shift, and it now stands as the level defining the larger structure.
What followed is the part that matters most. Price rallied back up into the Flip zone ($518.49 – $547.99) — the region that had previously supported price and now sits above it as resistance — and it has been rejected from there. Price is currently trading around $485.77 , back beneath the zone that turned it away.
Below price, the map is clean. The first objective is the Weak low at $423.77 . It is described as weak for a reason: it is a low that has not been defended, which makes the stops resting beneath it an obvious pool for the market to reach for. Below that sits the FVG ($359.59 – $402.03) , the internal liquidity and the imbalance left unfilled on the way up.
The Bias
Scenario A — the base case.
The structure suggests continuation lower. The trend has shifted on both counts, the rally into the Flip zone was rejected rather than absorbed, and there is unmitigated liquidity below with nothing structural in between.
The first draw is the Weak low at $423.77 . A low that has not been defended tends to be taken rather than held, and that is where the nearest pool of stops sits.
Beneath it, the FVG at $359.59 – $402.03 is the deeper objective. That imbalance represents internal liquidity that was never filled during the advance, and markets have a persistent habit of returning to rebalance regions like it once the structure turns.
As long as price remains capped beneath the Flip zone at $518.49 – $547.99 , rallies into that region are corrective moves within a shifted structure rather than the beginning of a recovery.
Scenario B — the invalidation.
I will name it plainly. A decisive close back above the Flip zone at $547.99 would mean the zone has been reclaimed rather than respected, and the bearish sequence loses its foundation.
The full structural invalidation sits at the Protected High at $561.97 . A close above that level would repair everything the MSS and BOS broke and hand control back to the buyers entirely.
And the rule that governs both paths: a break is a candle close, not a wick . A flip zone is precisely where the market prints a spike through and reverses, in either direction.
Fundamental Backdrop
This is a case where the fundamentals and the price action appear to contradict each other, and the contradiction is the point.
AMD reported Q2 on results that were, on their own terms, excellent. Revenue came in at $11.54bn, up 50% year-on-year and a company record, ahead of consensus near $11.25bn. Adjusted earnings of $1.66 per share beat the $1.60 expected. The standout was the Data Center segment, where revenue reached $6.7bn and more than doubled, rising 107% year-on-year on demand for EPYC processors and Instinct GPUs. That segment alone now accounts for 58% of total company revenue .
The product and partnership news was equally strong. AMD launched the Instinct MI400 Series , including the MI455X for large-scale AI training and inference and the MI430X for HPC and sovereign AI workloads. It also announced a strategic partnership with Anthropic to deploy up to 2 gigawatts of MI450 Series GPUs in AMD Helios racks, alongside an expanded collaboration with Microsoft to deploy Helios racks at scale on Azure.
And the stock fell after hours anyway.
That is the whole story of this chart. When a company beats on revenue, beats on earnings, doubles its most important segment, launches a competitive product line and lands two major AI partnerships — and the market still sells it — the problem is not the business. It is the expectations already embedded in the price. AMD had run to a level where a strong quarter was the minimum required rather than a positive surprise, and there was very little room left for anything short of perfection.
That is the honest bear case, and it is what the MSS and the Flip zone rejection are pricing: a valuation reset rather than a deterioration in fundamentals.
The counterweight deserves stating just as clearly. A business growing data centre revenue at 107% with a newly launched product family and committed capacity partnerships is not a structurally weakening company. If the correction reaches the deeper liquidity below, the fundamental picture is the reason that region would be defended rather than broken through. The next earnings update is where those two forces meet.
This analysis will be updated as the market evolves.
Best Regards, BigBeluga AMD Stock Analysis: $390, $600 and $770 Levels to WatchAMD's business is still growing quickly, while its long-term stock chart has entered a different phase. Revenue increased 50% year over year in the latest quarter, Data Center revenue more than doubled, and AMD is guiding for roughly 41% year-over-year revenue growth next quarter. The fundamental backdrop remains strong. On the chart, however, AMD has already broken a long-term structure that had guided the stock for years.
AMD's Long-Term Channel
AMD spent most of its advance from the 2015 lows inside a large rising channel. Price tested the lower side of that channel in 2022, although that break was difficult to treat as decisive. The move in 2025 was much clearer, with AMD falling below the lower boundary before recovering sharply.
The stock has since climbed back to new highs, but the old channel no longer provides the same support structure. That changes how I read the current AMD chart. The focus now shifts to the major price areas around the stock and to the structure of the recovery from the 2025 low.
The Weekly AMD Structure
The weekly chart shows the recent sequence in more detail. AMD peaked in 2024, fell into the 2025 low and then recovered strongly enough to move above the previous high. From an Elliott Wave perspective, that recovery can still develop further, although the stock is already trading much higher inside the current structure.
AMD is now approaching an area where the next large move should become easier to read. The current price is around $456, with an important upper area near $600 and a lower boundary near $390. Those two levels define the part of the chart I am watching most closely.
AMD Stock Analysis: $390 to $600
AMD is currently trading inside the $390-$600 area. Price has already reached as high as roughly $585, so the upper boundary has become relevant after the recent rally. A move through $600 would take AMD above the entire current price cluster and extend the recovery from the 2025 low.
The lower side of the same area sits around $390. AMD can move considerably inside this range without changing the larger structure. A sustained move outside either boundary would carry much more information than the smaller fluctuations taking place between them.
$600 — the main upper boundary of the current price cluster.
$390 — the lower boundary that keeps the current structure intact.
$770 — the next higher area from the current Elliott Wave relationships if AMD moves above $600 and holds there.
$190-$260 — the next major lower cluster if AMD falls below $390 and remains below it.
What Happens Above $600
If AMD makes another higher high, moves above $600 and stays above that area, the current wave structure leaves room for another leg higher. The next level I would watch is around $770. That area comes from the larger Elliott Wave relationships visible on the weekly chart.
The behavior after the breakout will matter as much as the initial move above $600. AMD has already shown large swings during the last several years, including sharp reversals after strong advances. Holding above the upper boundary would give the move considerably more weight.
What Happens Below $390
A break below $390 would change the current setup. The chart has relatively little major structure between that level and the next large price cluster around $190-$260. If AMD moves below $390 and remains there, that lower area becomes much more relevant.
This would also mark a significant change from the recovery that began at the 2025 low. Until then, $390 remains the lower boundary of the structure I am following.
AMD Levels to Watch
AMD currently sits between two major levels. The stock has recovered strongly from its 2025 low and reached a new all-time high, while the long-term channel that contained the earlier advance has already been broken. The next useful information should come from price behavior around $600 or $390.
Above $600, the current structure can extend toward the next major area around $770. Below $390, attention shifts toward the $190-$260 cluster. I will update the AMD analysis when price moves through one of these boundaries and shows that it can hold there.
Long
Short
AMD | Post-Earnings Dynamics, AI Cycle MomentumAMD Institutional Roadmap, Post-Earnings Liquidity Dynamics, Structural Absorption, and AI Cycle Momentum
Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) continues to operate as a high-beta proxy for the global AI and data center capital expenditure cycle. The 1-hour chart presented above reveals a textbook post-earnings institutional markup phase, followed by a controlled corrective digestion.
This analysis breaks down macro drivers, liquidity conditions, order flow mechanics, and key invalidation levels shaping AMD’s current structure.
1. Macro Regime & Semiconductor Cycle Context
We are currently operating in an environment where global liquidity conditions remain highly sensitive to macroeconomic data, yet capital allocation aggressively favors AI infrastructure. High-beta tech equities like AMD and NVDA are not just trading on isolated fundamentals, they are primary vehicles for institutional exposure to hyperscaler CapEx (Capital Expenditure).
The AI Demand Cycle, The earnings gap-up marked on the chart (indicated by the 'E' icon) validates that data center revenue and GPU demand are still in an expansionary phase.
Risk Sentiment, Broad market liquidity remains supportive of elevated multiples, provided real yields remain stable. When the Nasdaq 100 (NDX) catches a bid, AMD historically outpaces the index on a beta-adjusted basis.
Educational Note, High-Beta means a stock that amplifies market moves. AMD typically rises more than the S&P 500 on bullish days, but falls harder on bearish days.
2. Market Structure & Liquidity Conditions
The structure on the 1-hour chart is defined by a massive impulsive gap followed by a steady upward expansion inside a green ascending channel. Currently, price is consolidating within a descending parallel channel (red, pink structure).
The Mark-Up Phase, The post-earnings rally to ~$470 was driven by structural short covering and algorithmic trend-following. This left behind significant volume voids below.
The Corrective Phase, The descending channel is a healthy digestion of the impulsive move, not necessarily a reversal. It functions as a localized liquidity sweep mechanism.
Key Institutional Zones,
Momentum Following Zone (~$430), First major interaction area after the gap, where missed institutional buyers may re-enter.
Possible Support with POC (~$412), Point of Control represents the highest traded volume zone during initial consolidation.
Possible Support with VAL (~$405), Value Area Low marks the lower boundary of accepted institutional pricing before breakout.
Educational Note, POC is the price where most trading occurred, acting like a gravity center. VAL defines the lower edge of the main volume acceptance range.
3. Order Flow & Footprint Behavior
Although we do not see raw footprint data, price behavior inside the descending channel provides strong order flow clues.
Effort vs Result, Price is drifting lower in a choppy manner rather than collapsing. This indicates passive buyer absorption. Sellers are aggressive, but limit buyers are absorbing supply, preventing expansion lower.
Failed Auctions, Wicks at both channel extremes suggest stop hunts. Institutions often push price to trigger retail stops before reversing direction.
Educational Note, Passive Absorption is when large limit buy orders absorb aggressive sell pressure, preventing price from falling despite heavy selling.
4. Correlated Assets & Intermarket Logic
AMD does not trade in isolation.
NVDA Relative Strength, If NVDA breaks its own support while AMD tests its trendline, downside probability increases.
SOXX / Nasdaq 100, Continued inflows into semiconductor index ETFs provide macro tailwind for AMD breakout scenarios.
5. Institutional Interpretation
Current price (~$446.74) sits at a decision zone.
Bullish Thesis, The green trendline is being defended. If institutions support it, we expect a breakout above the red channel, trapping shorts and targeting $470 highs.
Deeper Value Thesis, If the trendline breaks, institutions may treat it as a liquidity sweep. Primary reload zones remain $430 and $412, where aggressive buying could re-emerge.
6. Key Invalidation Levels
Trend Invalidation, A sustained close and acceptance below VAL (~$405) breaks the bullish structure. This would imply post-earnings distribution rather than accumulation, opening downside toward $350–$360 gap fill region.
Continuation Confirmation, A 1H close above the red descending channel with expanding volume confirms continuation of the primary bullish trend.
7. Upcoming Macro Catalysts
Key drivers include inflation prints (CPI, PPI), which directly influence discount rates and tech valuations.
Additionally, hyperscaler CapEx updates from MSFT, GOOGL, META will directly impact AMD demand expectations.
Conclusion
AMD is positioned at a critical nexus between momentum and value. The post-earnings structure reflects controlled absorption rather than panic distribution. While the green trendline provides short-term support, true institutional demand zones remain lower at $430 and $412. Traders should wait for confirmation via volume expansion and order flow alignment before committing to directional bias. Long 
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AMD Under Watch ⇌ Sellers Strengthening at Major Supply Zones🔥📉 AMD “ADVANCED MICRO DEVICES INC.” – Bearish Profit Playbook | Thief Layers Deployed 🚨
Hey traders! 😎🔍
Here’s my bearish swing/day-trade playbook on AMD, crafted with a fun + professional thief-style twist while staying within TradingView rules. Let’s break it down 👇💼
📉 Plan: Bearish Outlook Active
Price action remains heavy, momentum cooling off, and sellers showing presence near key zones.
Thief Squad preparing for controlled entries 😎🧤.
🎯 Entry Plan (Thief Layering Strategy)
This setup uses a layered limit-style approach — also known as multiple staggered entries to smooth positions.
📌 Proposed Sell-Limit Layers:
230
220
210
(You can extend layers based on your own system — thief flexibility ALWAYS 😎)
⚠️ Note: These are example layers for illustration, not fixed instructions. Adjust based on your own risk model.
🛑 Stop-Loss (Thief Safety Net)
SL Zone: 240
Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG’s) 💼🕶️
This SL is simply my reference point — NOT a rule.
You decide your own SL based on your risk appetite, not mine.
Make money? Then take money… at your OWN risk 💰😄.
🎯 Target Zone
Price has a strong support cluster aligning with:
Moving Averaging acting as dynamic support
Oversold zone building
Trap mechanics likely
So the quick escape target is:
👉 TP: 180
Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG’s) 💼😄
My TP is not mandatory — adjust yours as you wish.
Take your profits and leave before the “police” catches our position 🚓💨😆.
🔗 Related Pairs to Watch (Correlation Insights)
These assets often move with similar sentiment due to tech-sector correlation, semiconductor supply chain, and risk-on/off flows:
💻 NVDA (NVIDIA)
Strong semiconductor leader — AMD often shadows NVDA’s volatility and sector direction.
📱 QQQ (NASDAQ 100 ETF)
AMD is inside the NASDAQ index. When QQQ sells off, AMD typically follows the broader tech flow.
🌐 SMH (Semiconductor ETF)
Tracks the entire chip sector. Helps understand overall industry strength or weakness.
⚡ TSLA (Tesla)
Not directly connected, but both ride similar high-beta risk cycles. Weak tech sentiment can drag TSLA and AMD simultaneously.
Watching these helps confirm momentum, risk appetite, and sector-wide signals 📊🔍.
🧠 Additional Notes
This setup is for educational, fun, strategy-style illustration purposes.
NOT forcing a fixed entry, SL, or TP on anyone.
Trade smart. Manage risk. Thief style = creativity + discipline ✨😎
✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!” Short 
Breaking; Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (AMD) Is Up 7%The price of Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (AMD) spike 7% in early market trading on Thursday as the stock broke from a bullish flag pattern.
In another news that served as a catalyst, AMD, Cisco and HUMAIN to invest in a joint venture and serve as its exclusive technology partners, deepening their multi-year strategic collaboration announced in May during U.S. President Donald J. Trump's visit to the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.
The joint venture plans to deploy up to 1 GW of AI infrastructure by 2030, with the shared ambition to expand capacity to multiple gigawatts, as a key pillar of HUMAIN's overall ambitions.
With the RSI at 44, the stock is more than able to break through highs and claim the $300 resistance.
Financial Performance
In 2024, Advanced Micro Devices's revenue was $25.79 billion, an increase of 13.69% compared to the previous year's $22.68 billion. Earnings were $1.64 billion, an increase of 92.15%.
About AMD
Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. operates as a semiconductor company worldwide. It operates in three segments: Data Center, Client and Gaming, and Embedded. The company offers artificial intelligence (AI) accelerators, x86 microprocessors, and graphics processing units (GPUs) as standalone devices or as incorporated into accelerated processing units, chipsets, and data center and professional GPUs; and embedded processors and semi-custom system-on-chip (SoC) products. Long 
Short
Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (AMD) Gearing For A BreakoutThe share price of Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:AMD ) is setting sail for a 50% breakout albeit market condition is overbought.
Sitting with an RSI of 73, Advance Micro Devices (AMD) shows continuous bullish momentum with the daily price chart indicating a golden cross pattern- this is an interception between the 50day-MA and the 200-day MA indicating bullish momentum building.
In another news, - Advance Micro Devices (NASDAQ: AMD) today announced the completion of the agreement to divest the ZT Systems U.S.-headquartered data center infrastructure manufacturing business to Sanmina (NASDAQ: SANM).
About AMD
Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. operates as a semiconductor company worldwide. It operates in three segments: Data Center, Client and Gaming, and Embedded. The company offers artificial intelligence (AI) accelerators, x86 microprocessors, and graphics processing units (GPUs) as standalone devices or as incorporated into accelerated processing units, chipsets, and data center and professional GPUs; and embedded processors and semi-custom system-on-chip (SoC) products, microprocessor and SoC development services and technology. Long 
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Long 
AMD $160C – Tactical Bounce Trade You Don’t Want to Miss
# ⚡ AMD Weekly Mean-Reversion Setup (Sept 7, 2025)
### 🔍 Market Snapshot
* **Price:** \~\$151.14
* **Technicals:** Daily RSI 28.4 → Deeply oversold 📉 | Weekly RSI 54.1, falling
* **Options Flow:** Strongly bullish (C/P = 2.13) ⚡
* **Volatility:** Low (VIX \~15), gamma low → cheap premium
* **Timeframe:** 5-day weekly expiry
---
### 🎯 Trade Idea: Tactical Bounce Play
* **Instrument:** AMD
* **Direction:** CALL (Mean-reversion)
* **Strike:** \$160
* **Expiry:** 2025-09-12
* **Entry:** \$0.77 (mid/ask)
* **Profit Target:** \$1.54 (+100%)
* **Stop Loss:** \$0.31 (-40%)
* **Size:** 1 contract (small % account, scale per risk rules)
* **Confidence:** 65%
---
### ⚠️ Key Risks
* Prior week -10% drop & heavy distribution → counter-trend risk
* Full payoff requires \~\$9 move in 5 days → moderate probability
* Concentrated \$150 puts can act as support or accelerate downside
* Weekly theta decay → exit by Thursday, avoid Friday gamma ⚡
* News/macro shock risk → use small sizing
---
### 🔑 Trade Rationale
1. Daily RSI extreme → plausible 3–5 day bounce
2. High call flow @ \$160 → short gamma/short-term buying interest
3. Low VIX → cheap premium relative to potential move
---
### ⚙️ Execution Notes
* Enter at open, limit \$0.77
* Stop at \$0.31, take partial profit at +50% (\$1.16), full at +100% (\$1.54)
* Cut if price drops below \$148–\$149 on heavy volume
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📊 **Summary:** Tactical, defined-risk mean-reversion play. Not a trend reversal — small allocation, event-driven weekly call.
\#AMD #OptionsTrading #WeeklySetups #TradingView #MeanReversion Long 
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