On the XAUUSD chart, a clear SMC setup is seen. After the liquidity grab, the price has reacted to the weekly daily-refined supply zone with a Head and Shoulders formation (4H). To complete this formation, the price might bounce off the 4-hour flip zone. Drops, breaking through the support and making the next break of structure, can stop at the nearest demand zone...
I think that in mid-November we may be dealing with a stock market crash. Let's take a look at the volatility index of the S&P 500 stock index. The analogy of 2008 has been fulfilling almost perfectly so far. If it continues, the price should completely fill the gap and rebound from the green zone. If we break the red zone, I would expect a rebound from the newly...
I have been considering the 2008 analogy for some time. I tried to find an important price resistance and I found it. In 2008, the worst drops started at 1313 and it was a fibo retracement of about 47,5%. Today, a similarly important level, in my opinion, is the retracement of 3939, which is also about 47,5% fibo. Of course, I don't expect a perfect rebound of the...
Let's see what the 2008 analogy says about the next thing. Currently, we can observe a similarity in many charts, e.g., the S&P 500 index, VIX, gold, and USOIL / UKOIL, to what was happening in 2008. Copper is no exception, and the analogy indicates copper's price decline. If the price follows it perfectly, the declines may end in the second zone. But I do not...
The actual USOIL weekly chart is confusingly similar to the 2008 daily chart. By analogy, the oil price should go south even to twenty-something dollars. The current economic situation confirms it, as the leading economic indicator (LEI) announces a recession in the near future. Also, moving average analysis confirms it. I matched the closest smoothing moving...
Now we have a period of high inflation that, in my opinion, will continue for some time. Even if it falls (as the M2 money stock decline points out), we may have a second reversal wave of inflation during the revival after the current bear market. For this reason, a lot of people are waiting for a pivot, which, according to them, will mark the low. This statement...
As with Tesla stocks, such increases were unsustainable. In my opinion, Nvidia is a very qualitative company, so after potential drops under the Cisco analogy ( CSCO ) from the dotcom bubble, it may be worth buying. Cisco ( CSCO ) during the dotcom bubble grew by 1500% from March 1997 to March 2000 (35 monthly bars) and then decreased by 90.10% (in 31 monthly...
On the 4-month chart, we see a sequence that may take place again.
We wait for the Doji Candle after which we look for a level preferably from a double bottom.
The range in this case is over 100% and we will call it a dead cat bounce
