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SENSEX Intraday Levels for 16th SEP 2025SENSEX Intraday Levels for 16th SEP 2025 # "WEEKLY Levels" mentioned in BOX format. ^^^^^^^ Plot Levels Using 3 Min, 5 Min Time frame in your Chart for Better Analysis ^^^^^^^ L#1: If the candle crossed & stays above the “Buy Gen”, it is treated / considered as Bullish bias. L#2: Possibility / Probability of REVERSAL near RLB#1 & UBTgt L#3: If the candle stays above “Sell Gen” but below “Buy Gen”, it is treated / considered as Sidewise. Aggressive Traders can take Long position near “Sell Gen” either retesting or crossed from Below & vice-versa i.e. can take Short position near “Buy Gen” either retesting or crossed downward from Above. L#4: If the candle crossed & stays below the “Sell Gen”, it is treated / considered a Bearish bias. L#5: Possibility / Probability of REVERSAL near RLS#1 & USTgt HZB (Buy side) & HZS (Sell side) => Hurdle Zone, *** Specialty of “HZB#1, HZB#2 HZS#1 & HZS#2” is Sidewise (behaviour in Nature) Rest Plotted and Mentioned on Chart Color code Used: Green =. Positive bias. Red =. Negative bias. RED in Between Green means Trend Finder / Momentum Change / CYCLE Change and Vice Versa. Notice One thing: HOW LEVELS are Working. Use any Momentum Indicator / Oscillator or as you "USED to" to Take entry. 📢 Disclaimer I am not a SEBI-registered financial adviser. The information, views, and ideas shared here are purely for educational and informational purposes only. They are not intended as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instruments. Trading and investing in the stock market involves risk, and you should do your own research and analysis. You are solely responsible for any decisions made based on this research. "As HARD EARNED MONEY IS YOUR's, So DECISION SHOULD HAVE TO BE YOUR's".
BSE:SENSEX
by DSKF16
EURU/USD Sell to Buy idea: (1.18000 towards 1.16900)This week, EU looks very similar to GU, with potential for a short-term sell before continuing higher. Price is currently sitting near a 3hr supply zone that previously caused a BOS to the downside. If price reacts from here, we could see a bearish retracement down into the 4hr demand zone. From there, I’ll be looking for price to accumulate and continue its bullish trend with a fresh leg to the upside. Confluences for Sell-to-Buy Setup: - Strong bullish trend could retrace back to demand - 3hr supply zone above that caused a BOS to the downside - 4hr demand zone below remains unmitigated - DXY near a demand zone, supporting a potential pullback - Price slowing down, showing signs of reacting to supply P.S. If price consolidates lower and respects the 4hr demand, I’ll be looking for buys to catch the next bullish move.
Short
by Hassan_fx
GBP/NZD Trade Setup📊 GBP/NZD Trade Setup Price has broken out of the descending channel on the 4H timeframe, signaling potential bullish momentum. A retest bounce aligns with demand zone support. 🔹 Entry: 2.2827 🔹 Targets: TP1 → 2.2900 TP2 → 2.3000 TP3 → 2.3100 🔹 Stop Loss: Below 2.2700 ⚖️ Risk-to-Reward: Strong bullish potential if price sustains above 2.2900. 💡 Watching for continuation confirmation on higher closes. #GBP #NZD #Forex #PulseTradesFX #PriceAction #TradingSetup
Long
by PULSETRADESFX
TAO – Bittensor Swing Long IdeaTAO – Bittensor Swing Long Idea 📊 Market Sentiment Market sentiment remains strongly bullish as the FED is expected to deliver a 0.25% rate cut, with speculation building for a possible 0.5% cut in September. Monetary policy shifts are being driven by both inflation trends and weakening labor market data. The latest August and September job reports were soft, signaling that the economy is cooling rapidly. This environment continues to fuel expectations for a major bullish run in the weeks ahead. 📈 Technical Analysis • Price rejected the 12H Demand zone and then broke the Daily Structure. • Price also broke the bearish trendline and closed above, signaling higher targets ahead. • Current retracement is gathering liquidity to expand higher. 📌 Game Plan 1-Price to hit Daily Demand 2-Price to run liquidity at $328 3-Possible retest of the broken trendline 🎯 Setup Trigger Looking for a 4H Break of Structure before entering any long position. 📋 Trade Management Stoploss: Daily close below the Daily Demand zone at $302 Targets: • TP1: $376 • TP2: $404 • TP3: $438 💬 Like, follow, and comment if you find this setup valuable! ⚠️ Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. Always DYOR before making any financial decisions.
Long
by UA_CAPITAL
Explanation of the Basic Trading Strategy Hello, fellow traders! Follow me to get the latest information quickly. Have a great day. ------------------------------------- To understand the charts, the basic trading strategy is the concept used. Let's look at an example. --------------------------------------------------------- The OBV indicator, which follows the Low Line ~ High Line channel, has shown an upward trend as it has broken above EMA 1 and EMA 2. Afterwards, the DOM(60) and HA-High indicators were formed, ultimately returning the price to its original position. Since the HA-Low indicator is forming at 0.001888, we need to examine whether it can find support and rise around this level. In other words, a buy signal is in the 0.001888-0.002045 range, where support is found and the price rises. Since the HA-Low and HA-High indicators have converged, a sharp rise is expected if the sideways movement ends and the price rises above 0.002877-0.003199. - The basic trading strategy is based on the HA-Low and HA-High indicators, indicators developed for trading on Heikin-Ashi charts. The basic trading strategy is to buy in the DOM(-60) to HA-Low range and sell in the HA-High to DOM(60) range. However, if the price rises from the HA-High to DOM(60) range, a step-like upward trend is likely, while if it falls from the DOM(-60) to HA-Low range, a step-like downward trend is likely. Therefore, the basic trading strategy should be a segmented trading approach. Therefore, rather than predicting trends based on the movements of one or two indicators, you should prioritize developing a basic trading strategy. - If the HA-Low indicator touches and rises to meet the HA-High indicator, the wave should be considered closed. Furthermore, if the HA-High indicator touches and falls to meet the HA-Low indicator, the wave should also be considered closed. Remember that the closing of these waves serves as a benchmark for creating new trading strategies. Previous waves should be forgotten and new trading strategies developed. - Thank you for reading to the end. I wish you successful trading. --------------------------------------------------
Education
by readCrypto
Why AI Could Rise Sharply Before Friday's Options ExpirationIn a market where enterprise AI spending is projected to hit $100B+ by 2026, C3.ai's 130+ turnkey apps (from supply chain optimization to ESG tracking) position it as a must-have for Fortune 500 digital transformations. Trading at around $17.27 as of midday September 15, down a staggering 33% over the past month, the stock has been battered by leadership turmoil and disappointing quarterly results. But for options traders eyeing the September 19 expiration, this could be the setup for a sharp rebound. Last month, we loaded up on those $25 strike calls, a tough grind to profitability amid the sell-off, but with fresh tailwinds emerging. From a charting perspective on TradingView, the stock is testing support near its 200-day moving average around $16.50, with volume spiking on the downside but showing signs of capitulation.A bounce from here isn't just wishful thinking—it's backed by historical patterns. In similar drawdowns earlier this year, NYSE:AI rebounded 15-20% within a week on lighter selling pressure. With the broader Nasdaq futures pointing higher amid cooling inflation data, a risk-on rotation could propel NYSE:AI toward $20+ resistance by expiration, putting those $25 calls back in the money. Smart money appears to be accumulating; recent options flow shows unusual call volume at the $20 and $22 strikes, hinting at bets on a quick snapback. New CEO Stephen Ehikian: A Stabilizing Force with Proven PedigreeThe elephant in the room has been the abrupt CEO transition. Founder Thomas Siebel stepped aside for health reasons in late July, triggering a sales slowdown and the withdrawn full-year guidance that spooked investors. Ehikian isn't just a placeholder; he's a serial innovator with deep ties to enterprise software giants. He built RelateIQ (acquired by Salesforce to form Einstein) and Airkit.ai (now core to Salesforce's Agentforce), and most recently served as Acting Administrator of the U.S. General Services Administration under President Trump. His track record in scaling AI integrations could accelerate C3.ai's federal deals, which already made up a chunk of Q1 wins (e.g., expansions with the U.S. Air Force). In his first comments, Ehikian emphasized capturing the "immense market opportunity in Enterprise AI," and whispers from the Street suggest he's fast-tracking partner integrations with Microsoft and AWS—key channels that drove 155% YoY growth in partner-sourced deals last quarter. This leadership reset screams "buy the dip" for contrarians.3. Solid Q1 Fundamentals Amid AI TailwindsDon't let the headlines fool you—C3.ai's fiscal Q1 2026 results (ended July 31) weren't a disaster; they were a pause in an otherwise accelerating growth story. Revenue hit a record $87.2 million, up 21% YoY, with subscription revenue (86% of total) climbing to $60.3 million. The company closed 71 deals—more than double last year's tally—and federal expansions highlight sticky demand for its Agentic AI platform. Options Expiration Gamma Squeeze: The Friday Catalyst With September 19 OPEX looming, NYSE:AI 's options chain is primed for fireworks. Open interest is heavy on out-of-the-money calls around $20-$25, mirroring last month's setup where we rode the $25 strikes through volatility. As delta hedging ramps up, a modest 5-10% pop in the underlying could trigger gamma squeezes, forcing market makers to buy shares and amplifying the move. If NYSE:AI clears $18.50 early this week (a key pivot on the daily chart), momentum could carry it to $22+ by Friday.
NYSE:AILong
by TopgOptions
Ethereum Bets on Privacy in Its New RoadmapIon Jauregui – Analyst at ActivTrades Ethereum has taken an important step in its evolution: privacy. The Ethereum Foundation has relaunched its team under the name Privacy Stewards of Ethereum (PSE) and presented a roadmap aimed at incorporating confidentiality tools into the ecosystem. Sam Richards, one of the project’s key figures, summed it up bluntly: “without privacy, Ethereum (ETH) is not freedom, it is global surveillance.” A statement that underscores the importance of this initiative. The strategy is structured around three pillars: Private writes: ensuring private operations cost the same as public ones. Private reads: enabling reads without leaving a trace on the network. Private proving: delivering faster and more affordable ZK proofs. Among the notable developments is PlasmaFold, a Layer 2 solution focused on private transfers, with a prototype expected this November at Devconnect in Argentina. In addition, the team is preparing a report on private voting in 2025 and is working on confidential DeFi applications targeted at institutional clients. Technical Analysis of ETHUSD The ETHUSD pair has entered a consolidation phase after recent bullish moves. It is currently trading near recent highs at $4,530.60, moving within a lateral channel defined by key support at $4,447.96 and resistance at the $4,954.17 highs, a level previously tested in 2021. The current price holds above the 50-day moving average, with the first support level aligned with the 100-day moving average. A third support can be found at the 200-day moving average near $3,506.70. The current Point of Control (POC) sits far below, at the origin of the previous bullish impulse around $1,600. The RSI is at 55.39, placing it in neutral territory following a series of bearish moves in mid-August. Meanwhile, the MACD remains in a lateral structure, with its histogram slightly positive—supporting the idea of price concentration. According to the ActivTrades Crypto Fear & Greed Index, sentiment stands at 61.65 (greed), reflecting lingering optimism in the market and sustained altcoin dominance. A breakout above the immediate resistance could lead to new highs toward $5,100. However, failure to hold this breakout may result in a loss of the 50-day moving average support, a retest of lower supports, and potentially a decline toward the $2,800 area. In conclusion, as long as ETHUSD holds above current support, the technical bias remains positive. Yet, breaking above the recent highs will be crucial to confirm a new bullish leg. With this approach, Ethereum strengthens its position not only as a smart contracts network but also as an ecosystem seeking to balance transparency and privacy—two key elements for mass adoption. ******************************************************************************************* The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication. All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance and forecasting are not a synonym of a reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acting on the information provided does so at their own risk. Political risk is unpredictable. Central bank actions can vary. Platform tools do not guarantee success.
ACTIVTRADES:ETHUSDLong
by ActivTrades
Money on the table ahead of the FedEUR/USD is once again in the spotlight as the Federal Reserve prepares to meet this week. The backdrop is a perceived convergence between Fed and ECB rate paths, narrowing a differential that had long favored the dollar. The euro has regained lost ground after the summer, trading around strategic levels supported by a more balanced macro environment and relative eurozone resilience. A combined reading of fundamentals, technicals, sentiment, and options flows helps refine potential scenarios for the weeks ahead. Fundamental Analysis Two main narratives drive EUR/USD. On the U.S. side, inflation has remained stickier than expected. The August CPI rose +0.4% m/m, pushing headline inflation to 2.9% and the core to 3.1%. This persistence reflects tariff- and food-driven pressures, leaving the Fed juggling inflation control with signs of weakening in the labor market. Job creation has slowed, and unemployment claims have edged higher, complicating the policy mix. Markets expect a 25bp rate cut in September, which would mark the start of a cautious easing cycle. Beyond that, uncertainty dominates: some see another move before year-end, others expect a pause as the Fed reassesses inflation and growth dynamics. In Europe, the ECB has held its deposit rate steady at 2%, underscoring that disinflation is in progress while acknowledging inflation will remain slightly above target in 2025 (2.1% forecast). President Christine Lagarde described the economy as “in a good place,” lowering the likelihood of aggressive cuts. As a result, the policy spread between the Fed and ECB is shrinking, undermining the dollar’s yield advantage and lending structural support to the euro. Technical Analysis The December 2025 Euro FX futures contract (6EZ5) is currently challenging resistance at the upper boundary of a tight 1.1650–1.1850 range. The volume profile highlights a dense cluster between 1.1775 and 1.1800, forming key short-term support. As long as this zone holds, the technical bias leans higher. A clean break above 1.1850 would likely accelerate momentum toward the psychological 1.20–1.2050 zone, already cited by technical analysts as the next upside target. On the downside, 1.1670 is the pivot for validation. A sustained move below would undermine the bullish scenario and risk a return toward sub-1.1600 levels. For now, however, support continues to attract buyers, keeping the uptrend intact. Sentiment Analysis Broker positioning data shows retail traders remain heavily short EUR/USD, a contrarian indicator favoring further gains. Importantly, the rally is not built on a fragile short squeeze but on steady accumulation, which makes it more sustainable. Commitments of Traders (COT) reports reinforce this: asset managers remain long euro, dealers are short for hedging, and leveraged funds sit closer to neutral. Institutional flows, in other words, lean supportive. Low implied volatility further highlights the lack of market conviction in a sharp downside break. Investors appear more concerned with missing an upside move than with protecting against euro weakness, which strengthens the bullish tilt. Options Activity In the OTC market, risk reversals are slightly skewed in favor of euro calls, suggesting more demand for upside protection. This fits neatly with both fundamentals and positioning. At the CME, open interest paints a similar picture: A Put/Call ratio tilted toward calls Heavy concentrations at 1.1800 and 1.1850 strikes, creating upward magnetism Limited put interest between 1.1650–1.1700, only relevant if spot weakens sharply Low implied volatility, signaling no expectation of outsized moves before the Fed meeting Altogether, this suggests that 1.1850 is the immediate gravitational level, with room for extension toward 1.20 if momentum persists. Trade Idea: Long 6EZ5 Directional setup: Entry: Buy on dips toward 1.1775 Invalidation: Close below 1.1670 Take Profit: 1.1975–1.2000 (psychological milestone and measured target) This strategy combines institutional support visible in COT reports, option flows skewed toward the upside, strong technical zones, and narrowing Fed–ECB spreads that erode the dollar’s advantage. Final Thoughts The Fed’s September decision is more than a routine policy update. It could mark a turning point for global FX dynamics. U.S. inflation remains uncomfortably sticky, but weakening jobs data points toward gradual easing. In contrast, the ECB is signaling stability and relative confidence. This policy convergence narrows the rate gap, historically a pillar of dollar strength, and bolsters the medium-term case for euro appreciation. Technically, the market is consolidating above robust support levels, while sentiment indicators and option positioning both lean bullish. The December 2025 contract captures this balance: a market with strong foundations, low volatility expectations, and option flows pointing toward a breakout higher. The key tactical question is whether the Fed provides enough dovish tone to unlock the upside. If EUR/USD breaks decisively above 1.1850, momentum toward 1.20 could unfold quickly. In the short term, caution is warranted heading into the FOMC, but unless an external shock emerges, the combined weight of fundamentals, technicals, and sentiment continues to argue for a stronger euro in the weeks ahead. --- When charting futures, the data provided could be delayed. Traders working with the ticker symbols discussed in this idea may prefer to use CME Group real-time data plan on TradingView: tradingview.com/cme/ . This consideration is particularly important for shorter-term traders, whereas it may be less critical for those focused on longer-term trading strategies. General Disclaimer: The trade ideas presented herein are solely for illustrative purposes forming a part of a case study intended to demonstrate key principles in risk management within the context of the specific market scenarios discussed. These ideas are not to be interpreted as investment recommendations or financial advice. They do not endorse or promote any specific trading strategies, financial products, or services. The information provided is based on data believed to be reliable; however, its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Trading in financial markets involves risks, including the potential loss of principal. Each individual should conduct their own research and consult with professional financial advisors before making any investment decisions. The author or publisher of this content bears no responsibility for any actions taken based on the information provided or for any resultant financial or other losses.
CME:6EZ2025Long
by satelysfx
GameStop's $24.93 Price Eyes Breakout Amid Retail Sentiment SpikCurrent Price: $24.93 Direction: LONG Targets: - T1 = $28.50 - T2 = $32.00 Stop Levels: - S1 = $23.40 - S2 = $21.80 **Wisdom of Professional Traders:** This analysis synthesizes insights from thousands of professional traders and market experts, leveraging unique knowledge and trend indicators to identify promising opportunities with GameStop. By evaluating data patterns and behavioral trends, this collective wisdom highlights how retail trader sentiment and technical price setups converge to define actionable price movements in the stock. **Key Insights:** GameStop has recently emerged as a popular trading symbol among active retail investors, stemming from historical momentum in 2021 and its continued cult-like following within online trading forums. The stock's volatile nature creates an opportunity for traders looking to capitalize on short-term price movements driven by rapid sentiment shifts. From a technical perspective, GameStop's recent price consolidation near the $24.50-$25.00 range forms a notable support level critical to maintaining bullish momentum. If this level holds, upward price potential targets the mid-$28 range, reflective of strengthening retail interest paired with increased upside volume. Additionally, RSI levels hovering near oversold territory signal room for a rebound to higher price intervals aligning with broader indicators. **Recent Performance:** After stabilizing from previous declines earlier this year, GameStop has demonstrated volatility largely centered between a $22-$26 range over the past weeks. Failure to breach critical downside support in recent trading sessions has heightened market demand, positioning the stock for increased speculative trading as volumes pick up above its average level. **Expert Analysis:** Analysts tracking GameStop note improvements in trading activity, suggesting accumulation by retail traders confident in the company's near-term outlook. GameStop’s unique retail-driven dynamics limit reliance on traditional valuation metrics, with technical factors—such as MACD crossover signals and volume surge—taking primacy in defining actionable setups. Several professionals point to elevated short interest levels as a catalyst for potential upside moves amid retail buying pressure. This unique interplay creates a high-risk/high-reward scenario emphasizing vigilance around critical stop-loss levels. **News Impact:** Recent announcements around leadership shifts continue to generate mixed sentiment from long-term investors, but the focus remains on the stock’s price action and trading momentum rather than on fundamental shifts. In addition, broader market steadiness among consumer retail equities boosts the outlook for similar stocks, adding to the case for near-term bullish price movement in GameStop. **Trading Recommendation:** Given market sentiment, technical indicators, and active retail participation, traders should consider a long position on GameStop with defined stop-loss levels to mitigate downside risk. If the consolidation holds above $24, breakout potential toward $28.50 and $32.00 remains plausible. Keeping risk management of stops at $23.40 and $21.80 solidifies a structured position on this speculative trade opportunity. Do you want to save hours every week?
NYSE:GMELong
by CrowdWisdomTrading
Buying power waits, price continues to increase⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION: Gold (XAU/USD) edged higher toward $3,640 in early Asian trading on Monday, supported by a softening US labor market that bolsters expectations of the Fed’s first rate cut this year. Markets widely anticipate a 25 bps cut at Wednesday’s September meeting, with a slim chance of a deeper 50 bps move as job growth cools. Looking ahead, investors expect rate reductions to extend into 2026, lowering the opportunity cost of holding bullion and underpinning demand for the non-yielding metal. ⭐️Personal comments NOVA: Gold prices anxiously await FED interest rate results, bulls prepare to continue creating new ATH this week ⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE: 🔥SELL GOLD zone: 3674- 3676 SL 3681 TP1: $3666 TP2: $3650 TP3: $3640 🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3612-$3614 SL $3607 TP1: $3620 TP2: $3630 TP3: $3640 ⭐️Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order. ⭐️NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Nova-Scalper
3
S&P500 | H1 Head and Shoulders | GTradingMethod👋 Hello again fellow Traders, I already have a short open from 6 633.7, but I’d love to see a Head & Shoulders pattern develop so I can scale into more shorts. So far, the build-up looks promising — volume has picked up significantly on this drop, which is a bearish signal. That said, I’m still waiting on confirmation before committing further. 📊 Trade Plan: Risk/Reward: 3.1 Entry: 6 614.3 Stop Loss: 6 625.4 Take Profit 1 (50%): 6 586.9 Take Profit 2 (50%): 6 570.2 🔎 What I Need to See First: A 30m candle to reach and close in range Lower volume on the candle that closes in range vs. the left shoulder More candles forming the right shoulder 💡 GTradingMethod Tip: Patience is key. The best trades usually come when all conditions align — not just some of them. 🙏 Thanks for checking out my post! Make sure to follow me for updates, and keen to hear what your prediction is. 📌 Please note: This is not financial advice. This content is to track my trading journey and for educational purposes only.
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by GTradingMethod
3
Intel (INTC) silent accumulation pattern and projection of priceThe last time INTC broke out of its sideways range, it re-tested support three times. After that, price surged upward, pulled back to the Centerline (an 80% probability move), and then began accumulating again within a sideways coil — or “Battery,” as I like to call it (see the TSLA example). This setup looks similar now. In fact, we even have a stronger filter: Price must first break out of the downsloping red Fork. Once that happens, we can expect a re-test of the upper median line (U-MLH). That’s the point where I decide whether or not to take a position. My target is the Centerline of the grey “What If Fork.” I want to emphasize that the inventor of the Forks highlighted this idea in his original course: always project and think, “What if…?” That’s exactly what I do — and maybe it will help you as well. Let’s see if Intel’s “Battery” gives us a solid trade. §8-)
NASDAQ:INTCLong
by Tr8dingN3rd
Dovish Spells or Hawkish Surprises? FOMC Prep for ES, NQ, GCLet’s start with the biggest event this week. Unless, of course, some unexpected headline swoops in and steals the spotlight — because markets love a good plot twist. Emotions are running high, and volatility is flying around like confetti at a surprise party nobody asked for. But don’t worry, Chair Powell might just play the role of the calm voice in the chaos. Markets are pricing in a 25 bps rate cut by the Fed this week. Interestingly, the future path of rate cut expectations has been in the doldrums. Is it a bird or a plane? No, it’s Superman. Likewise here, is it 1 cut or 2 cuts? No, it’s 3 cuts priced at this moment until the end of 2025. Excuse the humor, but what fun is it if you cannot entertain yourself while analyzing the complexities of markets day in and day out. Execution is boring; risk management is much like dementors sucking out life force when risk is not respected. And analyzing and preparation is where the creativity and fun is. And as Kurt Angle would say, it is “ True ”. Index futures including ES futures and NQ futures have all climbed steadily higher since September 2 low. Markets are turning higher in anticipation of a new bull run. Gold futures are rallying, currently trading above $3700. Since the Jackson Hole dovish pivot, gold has not looked back and has rocketed higher above major resistance. Our focus is on the Fed meeting. All eyes will be on the forward guidance; risks to inflation, risks for the labor market and FED’s SEP (Summary of Economic Projections). This also includes GDP forecasts and the most anticipated Dot Plot. Which of the two mandates will the Fed prioritize, labor market weakness or sticky inflation? The interesting thing to note is that despite sticky inflation, markets are anticipating 3 cuts of 25 bps for each of the meetings this year. Thus far, as we have previously mentioned, the Fed will likely be moving away from their 2% inflation target to an average inflation target in the range of 2% to 3%. This also implies that real rates i.e., nominal less inflation are going to fall sharply lower. Given this, we anticipate gold to continue higher as the US Dollar's purchasing power erodes away, with mounting debt, higher inflation and falling real yields. The real question we should be asking is: What if the meeting outcome is hawkish with the Fed delivering just 1 cut in the September meeting and staying on hold for the remainder of the year? What other risks are there that could pull stocks and indexes lower? And bonds higher? Tariffs at this point seem like an old talk unless something reinvigorates and puts them on the front and center of market worries. Based on these thoughts, here are our scenarios: Base Case: 25 bps cuts and dovish guidance but iterates meeting by meeting approach. ES & NQ: Data dependent Fed, that is likely behind the curve and markets may translate this as Fed too slow to react to emerging risks, risks of recession goes higher. In this case, although stocks may push higher with rates coming down initially, in our view, much of this is priced in and this may be ‘sell the fact moment’. Portfolio adjustment: Sell index futures, Buy Gold and Bonds. Ultra-Dovish: Fed’s dot plot confirms 2 additional rate cuts of 25 bps for Oct and Dec meeting and further 4 cuts till end of 2026 to bring terminal rate lower to 250-275. USD weakens further, real rates sink, reinforcing gold bid. Portfolio adjustment: Buy everything. Buy the dip. Hawkish Surprise Only 25 bps in September, then pause ES & NQ: • Sharp pullback as equities reprice for tighter liquidity. • ES could retrace recent gains, downside risk toward 4,900–5,000 zone. • NQ likely hit harder due to tech sensitivity to discount rate. GC: • Short-term correction as USD firms and yields spike. • However, downside may be limited if market shifts focus back to debt & long-term inflation risks. Risk-Off External Shock- Geopolitical event, tariffs ES & NQ: • Drop as risk sentiment sours; defensives outperform growth. • Bonds rally, yields fall, curve steepens if Fed cut expectations accelerate. GC: • Strong safe-haven bid, spikes higher regardless of Fed stance. Comment with your thoughts and let us know how you see the markets shaping up this week
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by EdgeClear
9/16: Watch Support at 3668–3652, Resistance at 3700✍️Good morning, everyone! Key Support: 3668–3656 Key Resistance: 3700 Yesterday, gold repeatedly tested the 3643–3648 resistance area. During the pullback, the trend support held, and after consolidating, the price broke through resistance strongly. The overall move was in line with expectations (if it can stay above 3643–3658, it may test around 3668 with a chance of setting new highs). After yesterday’s breakout, the price is now consolidating at high levels. Whether the bullish trend can be maintained depends mainly on support in the 3668–3656 (3648–3643) area. As long as this support holds, bulls may remain in control until tomorrow’s interest rate decision, with the possibility of testing the psychological level of 3700. During the consolidation, trading can be focused around the 3682–3662 area. If the price breaks out, selling opportunities may appear near 3692–3702, while buying opportunities can be considered around 3648–3636.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by China_MsWang
GOLD - XAUUSD - IDEAS FOR THE DAYTeam, please carefully looking at the GOLD pattern, it was consolidation range between 3620-3650 before breaking the channel. this is 5 minutes channel but if you carefully look at 4 hour channel - the range created during 10 APRIL to 25 AUG before break out. Short term GOLD should pull back toward 3667-65 - if you are short, stop loss at 3685-90 target short term zone at 3667-65 Medium term if you could hold longer within a week, we should expect the pull back toward the 3500-3400 zone - please review 4 hours chart. LETS GO
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDShort
by ActiveTraderRoom
AMZN 1H + GEX Game Plan for Tue, Sep 16AMZN Compressing Under 239 Gamma Wall — Breakout or Reversal? 🚀 Market Structure (1-Hour View) * Current action: Amazon is consolidating inside a mild rising channel after rebounding from ~225 support. * Trend context: Price is holding above short-term trendline support near 228–229, but momentum is flattening after an early push. * Momentum: MACD rolling over with shrinking histogram; Stoch RSI near the lower zone — suggesting a pause or small dip before the next move. Key Levels to Watch * Resistance: 233.7–234.0 (intraday lid), 239.0 (big gamma wall / call resistance), and 244.0 (stretch target). * Support: 228.1–226.3, with stronger demand around 225.0 (major gamma pivot). GEX Read (Sep 16) * Highest positive NETGEX / Gamma resistance: 239.0 * 2nd Call Wall: 244.0, 3rd near 250–255. * Put walls / magnets: 225.0 (big HVL and gamma support), then 215.0–210.0. * Options sentiment: Calls ~24%, IVR ~8.9, IVx ~31 → moderate implied volatility, option premiums relatively low. Implication: * Dealers may aim to pin AMZN between 225 and 239 unless a fresh catalyst breaks the range. * Break above 234 with strong volume sets up a squeeze toward 239 and potentially 244. * Lose 226 and price can drift toward 225 and possibly 215. Trade Scenarios 1) Bullish Breakout * Trigger: Hourly close >234 with clear momentum uptick. * Entry: 234–235 on retest. * Targets: 239 → 244. * Stop: Below 231.5. Options: 235/239 call debit spread for this week. 2) Range Fade * Trigger: Failure to hold above 233.5 with a rejection wick. * Entry: 233 short. * Targets: 228 → 226. * Stop: Above 235. Options: 233P or 233/226 put spread for a quick fade. 3) Breakdown * Trigger: 1H close <226 with failed retest. * Entry: 225.5 short. * Targets: 222 → 215. * Stop: Above 228. Options: 225/215 put spread if momentum accelerates. Scalping & Swing Notes * Early session watch 231–233: acceptance above leans long; repeated rejection favors short scalps back to 228. * EMA/VWAP retests that hold above 229–230 offer low-risk long entries. Risk & Management * Low IV makes debit call spreads efficient. * Use tight stops if fading near 234–239, as a break above 239 can trigger fast gamma-driven upside. This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always manage risk and trade your own plan.
NASDAQ:AMZN
by BullBearInsights
AAOI (Applied Optoelectronics Inc.) Daily Analysis – Sept 15, 20🔬 AAOI (Applied Optoelectronics Inc.) Daily Analysis – Sept 15, 2025 AAOI is pressing against a key descending trendline while retesting the supply zone around $29–31. A breakout here could set up a significant move higher. 🔑 Key Levels: Current price: $29.56 Resistance zones: $31.58 → $39.86 → $45.13 Major upside extension: $53.51 → $66.96 if bullish momentum sustains. Support zones: $24.77 → $22.50 → $20.61 (key invalidation levels). 📊 Structure: Price has climbed steadily from the $15–20 base, reclaiming equilibrium. Volume spike confirms increased participation into resistance. Break of $31.58 trendline = potential acceleration toward $40+. 📈 Bias: Bullish if breakout confirmed. Watching $31.58 as the trigger level.
NASDAQ:AAOILong
by Wavervanir_International_LLC
GBP/CAD Roadmap: Kijun Pullback + Heikin Ashi Signal📈 GBP/CAD – “Wealth Strategy Map” (Swing/Day Trade) 🏦 Asset: GBP/CAD – Pound vs. Canadian Dollar 📊 Trading Plan The bullish trend is confirmed ✅ through a Heikin Ashi doji reversal combined with a Kijun-sen pullback on the Ichimoku system and a double bottom retest structure. I’ll be using a layered entry method (stacking limit orders at key price levels) to build into the position. This creates flexibility and smoother exposure to volatility. 🎯 Entry Strategy (Layering Method) Multiple buy limit orders placed in layers: 1️⃣ 1.86250 2️⃣ 1.86500 3️⃣ 1.86750 4️⃣ 1.87000 5️⃣ 1.87250 (More layers can be added depending on personal preference & market conditions) This style allows gradual exposure rather than a single risky entry. 🛡️ Stop Loss Initial protective stop suggested near 1.85500, just below key breakout structure. ⚠️ Important: Always adjust your SL according to your own risk tolerance & strategy. This is not a fixed recommendation — manage risk responsibly. 🎯 Take Profit Target Projected upside potential towards 1.90500, which aligns with strong resistance, overbought levels, and potential liquidity traps. ⚠️ Exit strategy matters! Lock profits before exhaustion to “escape the trap.” 📝 Notes for Traders This setup is based on trend confirmation + layered entries to maximize flexibility. Both stop loss and take profit levels should be adjusted to your personal risk management style. Remember: Markets reward discipline, not stubbornness. 🔗 Related Pairs to Watch FX:GBPUSD – Correlation with GBP strength trends. OANDA:USDCAD – Tracks CAD moves against USD, often a mirror for CAD sentiment. OANDA:EURCAD – Good cross-check for CAD-driven volatility. OANDA:GBPAUD – Another GBP cross, sometimes moves in tandem with GBP/CAD. Watching these can give extra confirmation on whether momentum is GBP-driven or CAD-driven. ✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!” #GBPCAD #Forex #TradingStrategy #SwingTrade #DayTrade #LayeringStrategy #Ichimoku #HeikinAshi #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingView
Long
by The-Thief