Get started

Beyond Technical Analysis

BTCUSD slipped further. Can prices sustain above 100,000?Bitcoin remains under pressure as ETF outflows exceeded bln 1.3 bln USD over the past five days, reflecting weakening institutional demand. The Fear & Greed Index slipped into extreme fear territory, hinting at a potential bottom, though sentiment remains fragile. Despite occasional rebounds, deteriorating risk appetite and lower liquidity suggest selling pressure could persist, keeping near-term bitcoin prices vulnerable. From a technical perspective, BTCUSD broke below the ascending channel and is currently testing the psychological support at 100,000. If BTCUSD breaks below this level, the price may extend its decline toward the following support at 88,000. The price is holding below the Ichimoku Cloud, reinforcing its bearish pressure. Conversely, if BTCUSD closes above the 105000 resistance, the price may approach the following resistance at 112,000. By Li Xing Gan, Financial Markets Strategist Consultant to Exness
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by lixing_gan
BTCUSDT - cycle evaluation Cycle Evaluation Report Bitcoin / USDT — Binance Date of Evaluation: November 5, 2025 Analyst: MonkeyandtheRopes Framework: The Return Project — Lens Equilibrium Space ------------------------------------------------------------ 1. Long-Term Sell Cycle - White Lines (Status Report Only) ------------------------------------------------------------ Direction: Sell Origin: April 4, 2025 Target Price (TP): 75,994 USDT Current Price: 101,914 USDT Term: Long (720 days) Market Weight: Heavy (2) Capital Allocation: NO ALLOCATION FOR POSITIVE BUBBLES Cycle Age: Immature (C = 1.5) Depth (Bubble Ratio): +34.2% Projection Code: (34.2–Long–Immature–Heavy) The market currently operates within a Positive Bubble zone (Sell Cycle), representing a divergent phase where Φ_time > Φ_cap. Equilibrium quality (q) is high, and the system remains in temporal expansion. Entry during Sell Cycles (Positive Bubbles) is strictly prohibited under the Return Project framework. This cycle is evaluated only for structural and situational awareness. Expected rotation of Φ_time toward Φ_cap is anticipated in the second half of 2026, after which convergence toward the Target Price (75,994 USDT) is expected. Eval CPR: 1.72% (below 36% Base CPR) → Informational only; no trade action. ------------------------------------------------------------ 2. Mid-Term Buy Cycle - Black Lines (Primary Cycle of Interest) ------------------------------------------------------------ Direction: Buy Origin: October 6, 2025 Target Price (TP): 125,986 USDT Current Price: 101,914 USDT Term: Mid (360 days) Market Weight: Heavy (2) Capital Allocation: 40% Cycle Age: Immature (C = 1.5) Depth (Bubble Ratio): −19.1% Projection Code: (−19.1–Mid–Immature–Heavy) The price currently sits inside an early Negative Bubble (Buy Cycle), signaling the beginning of structural convergence (Φ_cap > Φ_time). However, the current depth (−19.1%) is shallower than the required entry threshold for Mid–Heavy cycles (−30.74%) defined in the Capital Model. Φ_time is gradually rotating inward, initiating the Seed Leg phase, but capital entry remains inactive until full structural depth is reached. Eval CPR: 15.4% (below 36% Base CPR) → Early-stage, pre-entry phase. ------------------------------------------------------------ Summary Table ------------------------------------------------------------ Parameter | Long-Term Sell Cycle (Status) | Mid-Term Buy Cycle (Active Focus) -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Direction | Sell (Positive Bubble) | Buy (Negative Bubble) Origin Date | 4 Apr 2025 | 6 Oct 2025 Target Price | 75,994 | 125,986 Term | Long (720d) | Mid (360d) Market Weight | Heavy | Heavy Cycle Age | Immature | Immature Depth (Bubble Ratio) | +34.2% | −19.1% Eval CPR | 1.72% | 15.4% Structural Phase | Divergent (Φ_time > Φ_cap) | Convergent (Φ_cap > Φ_time) Status | Informational Only | Awaiting Deeper Entry (−30%) ------------------------------------------------------------ Final Advisory to Investor ------------------------------------------------------------ According to the deterministic logic of The Return Project: • No entries are permitted within Positive Bubbles (Sell Cycles). These are divergent zones observed only for structural awareness. • The only valid potential entry lies within the Mid-Term Buy Cycle. • Entry will become structurally justified once price reaches the defined depth threshold (~−30%) and Eval CPR ≥ 36%. Conclusion: No trade action should be taken at this stage. We must wait patiently until the market reaches the structural depth required in the Buy Cycle before initiating any position. ------------------------------------------------------------ Symbolic Representation of Cycles ------------------------------------------------------------ Cycle Type | Visual Color ------------------------------------------------------------ Sell Cycle | White ⚪ Buy Cycle | Black ⚫ ------------------------------------------------------------ End of Report — The Return Project / Lens Equilibrium Space (2025) ------------------------------------------------------------
by MonkeyandTheRopes
Selling pressure below 4000, signs of a breakout⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION: Gold (XAU/USD) rises above $3,950 during Wednesday’s Asian session as persistent US government shutdown concerns and geopolitical tensions fuel safe-haven demand. The stalemate between Democrats and Republicans has stretched into a new month, putting the US on track for its longest-ever shutdown. However, gains may be capped as traders take profits amid a stronger US Dollar (USD) and waning expectations for additional Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cuts this year. A firmer dollar typically makes gold costlier for overseas buyers, limiting its appeal. ⭐️Personal comments NOVA: Gold price under selling pressure below 4000, downtrend after breaking trendline ⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE: 🔥SELL GOLD zone: 4040 - 4042 SL 4047 TP1: $4030 TP2: $4015 TP3: $4000 🔥BUY GOLD zone: 3888 - 3886 SL 3881 TP1: $3900 TP2: $3915 TP3: $3930 ⭐️Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable sell order. ⭐️NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Nova-Scalper
2
$ Up - Emerging Markets Down?As you can see, there is a huge relationship between the DXY and EMM that most people do not understand. I won't go into the macroeconomics of it all since most are just traders. All you need to know is that they work in opposite directions. Strong $ bad for merging markets and vice versa. As you can see, the $ has popped off of support while EMM is still in a very tight, tight channel that usually collapses out of this structure. Needless to say EEM price does not like to be above $50. Simultaneously, EMM is hitting a key area at 17-year highs. This presents us with a wonderful risk-reward trade for a short with a well-defined stop-out. This opportunity has only presented itself just 2 times before in 17 years! Given the global sell-off going on at the moment, there is a very high probability this short pays off. Remember, fear causes money to run to the $, so the bounce we see in the current environment is pretty solid. Conversely, should it fail and EEM pops while the $ breaks down from support, then you have an excellent long setup You could ride for a while. Remember, I am a macro investor. I don't do 2% moves and get scared out or take profits. My definition of success are big moves over time. Click boost, like, and subscribe! Let's get to 5,000 followers! ))
AMEX:EEMShort
by RealMacro
GOLD MARKET UPDATE (XAU/USD – $3980)1. Market Overview Gold is hovering around $3983, moving sideways within the $3978–$3988 range. The market remains cautious ahead of U.S. economic data, with price compression suggesting a potential breakout soon. 2. Technical Analysis • Resistance: $3988 – $3995 • Support: $3978 – $3970 • EMA 50 (H1): around $3985, neutral zone. • RSI (H1): near 45, showing no strong momentum. • Pattern: tight range, potential for breakout in the next few candles. 3. Outlook Gold is in short-term consolidation, waiting for market catalysts. A two-way trading approach is optimal: sell at resistance, buy at support. 4. Trading Strategy 🔻 SELL XAU/USD Entry: $3988 – $3993 🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips 🛑 SL: $3997 ________________________________________ 🔺 BUY XAU/USD Entry: $3970 – $3975 🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips 🛑 SL: $3965
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Mian-FXSignals
BTCUSDTKey Guidelines to Remember: Our starting capital is $1,000. For the first signal, the maximum permitted loss is $1. For the second signal, the maximum permitted loss is $2, and so on, following this incremental pattern. The initial risk-to-reward ratio is 1:3. If a stop-loss is triggered, the risk-to-reward ratio for the next signal increases by 1 unit (e.g., from 1:3 → 1:4). Example Implementation: Signal 1: Risk $1 → Reward $3 (1:3) If stopped: Signal 2: Risk $2 → Reward $8 (1:4) If stopped again: Signal 3: Risk $3 → Reward $15 (1:5) Stay disciplined and adhere to the capital allocation rules.
by NabiChart
BTCUSDTKey Guidelines to Remember: Our starting capital is $1,000. For the first signal, the maximum permitted loss is $1. For the second signal, the maximum permitted loss is $2, and so on, following this incremental pattern. The initial risk-to-reward ratio is 1:3. If a stop-loss is triggered, the risk-to-reward ratio for the next signal increases by 1 unit (e.g., from 1:3 → 1:4). Example Implementation: Signal 1: Risk $1 → Reward $3 (1:3) If stopped: Signal 2: Risk $2 → Reward $8 (1:4) If stopped again: Signal 3: Risk $3 → Reward $15 (1:5) Stay disciplined and adhere to the capital allocation rules.
by NabiChart
Liquidity and Efficiency — It is HOW the market movesI made a video not long ago about lower prices on the crypto market, specifically Bitcoin, which usually determines how the entire crypto market moves for the most part. Lo and behold, we are moving lower. A fortune teller? Nope, I just see things in terms of how the market moves. How does the market move you ask? I've said it many times before... Liquidity and Efficiency. That is all there is to it. I give a general example in the video, but feel free to check out my other educational videos where I've gone more in depth and offer more examples of how this occurs. Happy trading! - R2F Trading
Education
by Road_2_Funded
UPST Remains Bullish! $145 Next!At the beginning of the trend reversal, UPST created a flagpole surge of ~53 points (400%) from capitulation lows. This was followed by a classic bull flag consolidation, which, upon breakout, carried price another 53 points higher before stopping precisely at the $90 resistance zone. This symmetry validated the flagpole measurement and marked the first major leg of recovery. Currently, the chart is forming a textbook inverse head and shoulders reversal pattern: Left Shoulder near the $50 zone Head at the $35 capitulation low Right Shoulder again defended in the $50s Neckline at $87–90 resistance The measured move of this structure projects a 55-point breakout, targeting $145. This aligns perfectly with the geometry of the earlier flagpole, adding confluence and strengthening the reliability of the setup. The most probable path forward: Breakout through $90 neckline with volume confirmation Impulse toward $145, fulfilling the inverse H&S projection Consolidation phase, where price digests gains and retests demand Continuation leg ultimately targeting the full 172% extension, bringing price into the $240 heavy resistance zone This structure represents a high-probability trend continuation and reversal sequence: first confirmed by the flagpole symmetry, now reinforced by the inverse head and shoulders base. The thesis remains intact as long as price holds above the $35 head low, with the $50 zone acting as critical near-term support.
NASDAQ:UPSTLong
by HernandezCapital
1
Altseason? Not yet — but the real move is coming... soon.As shown in the chart, the weekly MACD reset isn’t complete yet. A similar setup happened in September 2024 — we got a fake pump that fooled many, while the real breakout started in December 2024. 🔍 Why does this happen? Impatient whales — often close to the “crypto president” — start buying early. Using influencers and media hype, they push the "New ATH" narrative and lure in retail. But this early FOMO creates a massive bearish divergence — the RSI hasn’t reset yet, and the market isn't ready. 📉 The result? A painful 6-month correction that punishes impatience. The market always reverts to math — and math doesn’t lie. You can’t fake momentum forever — no matter how much money you throw at it. 💡 My forecast remains unchanged: Once the MACD weekly crossover happens, the real pump begins — no ETF, no Saylor needed. The market moves on its own, as it always has. 📊 Check the chart. Read the signals. Trust the data. #Bitcoin #BTC #CryptoTrading #CryptoWhales #MACD #TechnicalAnalysis #BearishDivergence #Altseason #DYOR
CRYPTOCAP:OTHERSLong
by CryptoNikkoid
2
MNHLDG (BULL) LATE STAGE CYCLE This is a continuation from my previous entry -Kindly refer to the link attached Entry based on assumption, that probably, trading range would unfolding from here on. Bar @ 22nd & 23rd October would be considered as SpringBoard -Hence, with Trigger Bar yesterday (24th October), position initiated with tight risk It is either im getting stop from here onward, bcoz of Distribution or Possiblity of formation Trading Range #1 (Spring ) ***Purple Color Line **Red Color line indicate Schematic #2 Trading Range This is one of the leaders that i bought recently, since KLCI has been worsening past few weeks. Usually , whenever a Leader Stock , has been undergoing 4th/5th Stepping Stone (aka Trading Range, or 'Base' for the Non-Wyckoffian) , it is a sign that probably the stock has reaching its late stage. Some Stock Investors, would like to hold n enjoy the ride along the BuLL Run for The Leaders. But i learnt that, with some 15-20% profit, compounding, will give me a much better return. I simply cannot stomach for loss >6%. And i want to have good sleep. Investing is a marathon, and it is demanding a lot from you, mentally. Stress management is very important to stay long in this business.
MYX:MNHLDGLong
by drsyariz
EURUSD 4H Analysis: Inverse SMT Divergence Signals Potential Low💶 EURUSD 4H Analysis: Inverse SMT Divergence Signals Potential Low 🕵️‍♂️ The EUR/USD 4-hour chart shows a strong bearish trend, but the recent price action suggests an immediate turning point driven by institutional flow. Current Price: Interacting around 1.14843. Structure: Price has made a Lower Low (LL), sweeping the liquidity below the previous short-term low (CRTL near 1.14772). This move has also entered a key Imbalance/Fair Value Gap (FVG) zone. Target High (CRTH): The internal liquidity high is marked at 1.15099. This is our primary target for the retracement. SMT Divergence Alert (EURUSD vs. DXY) We are looking for a Bullish Smart Money Technique (SMT) Divergence confirming the low sweep: EURUSD: Made a new Lower Low (LL) (liquidity sweep). DXY (US Dollar Index): Should have failed to make a Higher High (HH), or perhaps even made a Lower High (LH). This inverse SMT divergence suggests the U.S. Dollar's strength is temporarily exhausted, and the latest drop in EURUSD was a liquidity grab before the institutional move up. Trade Confirmation & Scenario: Bullish Reversal: Look for a Market Structure Shift (MSS) on a lower timeframe (e.g., 1H/15M) following the SMT. A sustained break back above the swing high of the current consolidation would confirm the reversal, targeting the CRTH at 1.15099. Bearish Continuation: If DXY manages to make a clean Higher High (negating the SMT) and EURUSD breaks clean below the 1.14772 CRTL, the long-term bearish trend is confirmed to continue to lower targets. Greetings, MrYounity
Long
by MrYounity