YPF SOCIEDAD ANONIMA SPONS ADR-EACH CNV INTO 1 CLASS'D'ARS10

NYSE

YPF

Price reached the MA200 and downside trendline and couldn't get through them. Fibonacci .618 of the previous movement is already in. Moreover, Argentina uses this company as a way to hold inflation. So, profits are limited. Clear sell for me.

90 % PROBABILITY TO REACH THE GREEN ZONE. DOWN MOVEMENT MIGHT END TOMORROW. ENJOY.

A punto de alcanzar punto ideal de ir long

A punto de ir long

Rofex20 a días de dar compra

Terminó la onda B llegando al 50% de onda A. En el gráfico horario se ve una fuerte divergencia confirmando el posible punto de inflexión.

En un valor clave para el corto se encuentra el activo en cuestión apoyándose sobre dos tendenciales bajistas superadas en la última semana de Enero, una vigente desde los máximos de Enero 2018.. Puede ser una buena oportunidad para pagar con stop base cierre 14.25 (más allá del valor ir siguiendo como se mueve la línea ya que es dinámica) y objetivos en 15.30 y...

No me gusta por ahora

New highs in 6 months. RSI seems overbought, but the price ended above the MA200. I would sell calls.

I'm not a fan of its fundamentals, but the setting seems appealing. It is now above the previous downtrend line and the MA50. The MACD, however, starts to show a relative weakness.

The thesis in one line is: YPF's costs are in pesos, but its revenues are in dollars. The Argentinian peso has been crushed past few months. Argentinian assets are unpopular; for example, YPF is down 30% in 4 months. If sentiment towards Argentina improves, the stock goes up, but if it doesn't, while the peso is down YPF generates windfall profits.

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Aun la tendencia esta intacta

Dollar measured MERVAL, alongside official USDARS and CCL Dollar - UnTalRaul

Start position around 20.90, wait a max of 3 months (till march).

H&S short

Long

objetivos primario zona de 28 dls - secundarios 30 dls