SOLUSDT – Short-Term Bearish BiasHello traders,
In my view, SOLUSDT is likely to lean toward a slightly bearish trend in the coming sessions. The preferred strategy is to sell the rally when price approaches the confluence zone around 196–199. Currently, Solana is testing the descending trendline that has been in place since early October — a level that has previously formed multiple tops and faced strong rejections.
News Overview:
The recent listing of the Solana ETF in Hong Kong is a positive sign for the medium term. However, the broader crypto market remains under pressure due to uncertainty in the United States , as ETF approvals are delayed by the government shutdown and the unclear regulatory stance from the SEC. This has limited short-term speculative capital and created a cautious sentiment across the market.
In addition, rumors claiming that a Solana ETF was approved in the U.S . have been refuted by Reuters and Bloomberg, indicating that the market may have overreacted to unverified information. This kind of overhype often leads to short-term corrections following technical rebounds.
Technical Analysis:
On the 4H timeframe, SOL is clearly moving within a downtrend structure, forming a series of lower highs and lower lows.
The 196–199 zone aligns with the descending trendline, the EMA89, and a key dynamic resistance level.
Price is showing weak reaction in this area, suggesting that buying momentum is fading.
If a rejection candle pattern or SFP (swing failure pattern) appears near 197, it could be a good opportunity to enter short positions.
The near-term target lies around 182–175, a strong support zone where price previously bounced. If 175 breaks, the decline could extend further toward 170–168.
