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Bitcoin (Cryptocurrency)

BTC Retrace or Rally? Bitcoin’s Liquidity Hunt & Next Move.Bitcoin BTC Analysis & Trade Idea 🚦 Market Context & Price Action Bitcoin has experienced a sharp rally, pushing into previous weekly and daily highs. This area is a classic liquidity pool, where buy stops from breakout traders and late longs are likely accumulating. The current price action is overextended, suggesting that the market may be primed for a retracement as smart money seeks to capture liquidity before the next directional move. 💧 Liquidity Pools & Wyckoff Concepts According to Wyckoff methodology, this phase resembles a "Buying Climax" (BC) where price surges into resistance, often followed by an "Automatic Reaction" (AR) and a potential "Secondary Test" (ST). The current rally into old highs is likely triggering buy stops, providing institutional players with ample liquidity to offload positions or engineer a shakeout. 🟢 Wyckoff Schematic: Buying Climax (BC) at current highs Anticipated Automatic Reaction (AR) as price retraces Look for a range to develop (potential Accumulation phase) near the 50% Fibonacci retracement 📉 Fibonacci Retracement & Trade Setup You’re eyeing the 50% retracement of the previous price range as a key level. This aligns with both technical and Wyckoff logic, as it’s a common area for price to find support after a liquidity grab. 🟢 Trade Plan: Wait for a retrace to the 50% Fibonacci level Observe for a range or consolidation (signs of absorption/accumulation) Look for a bullish break of market structure (BOS) as confirmation Enter long on confirmation, with stops below the range low 🌐 Fundamentals & Market Sentiment Currently, Bitcoin sentiment is mixed but leaning bullish due to recent ETF inflows, institutional adoption, and macroeconomic uncertainty (e.g., inflation, rate cut expectations). However, funding rates are elevated, and open interest is high, indicating potential for a shakeout as overleveraged longs are vulnerable. 🟢 Key Fundamentals: ETF inflows and institutional interest remain strong Macro uncertainty (Fed policy, inflation) supports long-term bullishness Short-term: Overheated sentiment and high leverage could trigger a corrective move 🧠 Sentiment & Risk Management Social media and crypto news outlets are buzzing with bullish narratives, but this euphoria often precedes a correction. Be patient and disciplined—wait for the retrace and confirmation before entering. 🟢 Risk Management: Only enter after clear accumulation and bullish BOS Use tight stops below the range Consider scaling in if the range develops with clear absorption 📈 Trade Idea Summary Wait for a retrace to the 50% Fibonacci level of the recent rally Look for Wyckoff-style accumulation and a bullish break of structure Enter long on confirmation, targeting new highs or the top of the previous range Manage risk with stops below the accumulation range Not financial advice!
by fxtraderanthony
1
Bitcoin - This Is Just Unbelievable!Bitcoin ( CRYPTO:BTCUSD ) is not dropping at all: Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻 After we have been seeing one of the craziest weekly drops which I have experienced in my entire trading history, all major cryptos and especially Bitcoin are strongly holding their levels. Since bullish strength continues quite often, I do expect new all time highs on Bitcoin soon. Levels to watch: $70.000, $300.000 Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by SwingTraderPhilTV
34
BITCOIN - Short trade Price Action Update - Wave 2 Done...In this video, I break down the smaller-degree waves near the recent highs and explore the possibility that a minor Wave 2 has completed. If that's the case, we could see a reversal from here, provided price stays below 88,876. Wave E has been unusually complex and aggressive, but I believe I now have a clear understanding of where we are in the overall structure. This clarity is key as we look toward the 74,517 target in a Wave (C) of Wave B decline. The critical resistance level remains at 88,876, and a break below 87,997 and 87,513 would offer further confirmation that the reversal is underway.
Short
by AriasWave
BITCOIN - Price Action Update - Have We Seen The End of Wave E..Bitcoin appears to be encountering resistance on several fronts: recent highs, the 200-day moving average, and the extended length now required for Wave (C) to complete the larger Wave B Zig-Zag pattern. A break below the 87,000 level would likely signal the completion of Wave E. Price action remains choppy at the highs due to ongoing uncertainty, but I expect this to resolve soon. The downside target sits at a minimum of 74,517 to complete the broader Wave B Zig-Zag.
Short
by AriasWave
The Bitcoin Trust Flow Cycles Model: What Comes Next📉 The Bitcoin Trust Flow Cycles Model: What Comes Next Friends, if you’ve seen my last two posts, you already know we’re not talking about your average halving theory anymore. We're entering a new era of Bitcoin cycle analysis — and this model may change the way we look at macro rotation forever. This is an update to The Bitcoin Trust Flow Cycles™ by FXPROFESSOR — a cyclical framework built around one question: When trust flows in and out of traditional assets like Treasury bonds... what does Bitcoin do? In this post, we zoom into the latest data: • TLT is testing key support again • Bitcoin is still rising — but in an inverted period • The next major reversion event may be approaching I'll walk you through what happens when correlation flips , why these cycles compress over time, and how we could be approaching the next Bitcoin surge — not because of supply, but because of macro trust flow . If you’ve been wondering what’s really moving the market... this might be the chart you’ve been missing. One Love, The FXPROFESSOR 💙
NASDAQ:TLT
by FX_Professor
1
BTCUSD - Wave B Needs One More Low - Lets Talk About It...So far, there's been no actual gain or loss from my current idea that we could reach 90K. However, I’d like to propose a new perspective — that we may have been navigating a complex, expanded Wave B Zig-Zag this entire time. With a deeper understanding of AriasWave, I can now make certain assumptions more confidently. I had considered this scenario before but dismissed it due to how far-fetched it seemed. Now, I’m revisiting that idea with a fresh outlook. The key point is: nothing has been gained or lost yet — which means this is your opportunity to reassess and position your trade in the right direction using this analysis. Let’s make it count. Let’s do this! Check out the chart version linked below. Short Entry: 83,000 Target: 74,517
Short
by AriasWave
BTCUSD - Short Term Long Trade - Evidence of 90K Incoming...In this video, not only do I walk you through the small degree long trade (based on the chart linked below), but I also break down the entire pattern, explain the corrective process, and share what I expect to happen next. As long as 83,015 holds, all signs point toward a potential 6%+ move up to 90K. This is a solid opportunity—price tends to move slowly during corrections, and then all at once. Let’s navigate this setup together, so you can take advantage of it with solid risk management and smart leverage.
Long
by AriasWave
BTC Usdt Crypto Short p.Dragon BTC: Strengthening, but Outflows Slow Down Funding remains neutral, institutional activity is moderate 📉 Exchange Reserves: 2.4297M BTC (–0.11%) 💵 USD Reserves: $203.3B (–1.42%) 📥 Inflow: +27.09K BTC (+0.9%) 📤 Outflow: +29.68K BTC (+0.81%) ⚖️ Netflow: –2.58K BTC ➜ Still outflow, but weakening 🔎 Market Outlook: BTC is in an accumulation phase but lacks strong impulsive demand ETH is losing activity but supported by stable volume XRP / TRX / SOL are overheated — potential for pullback / profit-taking BNB showing surging activity and volume — watch for breakout towards $600+
B
by AtIant
Bitcoin - This Is Just Wonderful!Bitcoin ( CRYPTO:BTCUSD ) creates textbook market stucture: Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻 The entire stock market is selling off significantly but Bitcoin and most cryptocurrencies are still holding their strong levels. This is clearly a sign of bullish strength and even if we see a retest of the previous all time high, the overall uptrend remains perfectly valid over the next months. Levels to watch: $70.000 Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by SwingTraderPhilTV
16
New era: 'The Bitcoin Trust Flow Cycles'🏆 The Bitcoin Trust Flow Cycles™ by FXPROFESSOR Friends, today I’m sharing what may be the most important Bitcoin framework of 2025. Forget the broken halving expectations. Forget the chaos of macro headlines. What if the real signal has been here all along? What if Bitcoin’s true rhythm follows the capital rotation between itself and the U.S. Treasury market? 📊 Introducing: The Bitcoin Trust Flow Cycles™ This is not a model of where Bitcoin could go (like Stock-to-Flow)… This is a model of when and why it moves — based on the trust rotation between U.S. Treasury Bonds (TLT) and Bitcoin. What I’ve found is a repeating structure — not based on supply or halvings, but on macro trust dynamics . 🔁 The Two Core Phases: • Correlated Periods 🟦 (Blue zones): BTC and TLT move together — both rising or falling • Inverted Periods 🟩 (Green zones): BTC and TLT move in opposite directions These aren't random — they're structural rotations that occur at key technical levels in the bond market. 🧠 The Cycle Timeline: Jan 2019 – Feb 2020 → Correlated (pre-COVID calm) Feb 2020 – Sep 2021 → Inverted (Fed QE, Bitcoin moon) Sep 2021 – Nov 2022 → Correlated (everything dumps) Nov 2022 – Oct 2023 → Inverted (TLT collapse, BTC recovers) Nov 2023 – Aug 2024 → Correlated (sideways digestion) Aug 2024 – Now (Apr 2025) → Inverted again — and compressing fast We're now in Period 6 — an Inverted Period — but all signs point to an upcoming Reversion. 📉 What Happens at Each Flip? These transitions tend to occur when: • TLT hits major channel support or resistance • Macro fear or liquidity shocks drive trust shifts • Smart money starts reallocating across asset classes Right now, TLT is at channel support — a zone that has previously triggered reversions into correlated periods. 📌 What Comes Next: According to the Bitcoin Trust Flow Cycles™ : → We are statistically due for a reversion** back into correlation → If TLT bounces from 76–71 zone… BTC may follow — not fight → The target remains: BTC breaking above 115 resistance This flip — from inverse to correlated — has historically marked breakout windows for Bitcoin. 🔮 This Is Bigger Than a Halving Plan B’s Stock-to-Flow gave us valuable insight into long-term valuation. But it doesn’t explain timing. This model isn’t about supply mechanics. It’s about macro trust mechanics . When institutional confidence leaves Treasuries… And enters Bitcoin… That’s the rotation we track. That’s what moves the chart now. 🎯 Watchlist: • TLT support: 76 → 71 zone = reversal signal • BTC breakout trigger: 115 resistance • Cycle shift: Reversion = Bitcoin joining TLT upside If this plays out, it could mark the most important trust cycle breakout we’ve seen since the COVID inversion. Bitcoin doesn’t need permission anymore. It just needs a macro trigger. And this model helps us spot it. One Love, The FXPROFESSOR 💙 📌 Missed the full credit market breakdown? Check my recent posts on BKLN, HYG, LQD, and TLT to understand the full Trust Flow rotation.
NASDAQ:TLTLong
by FX_Professor
2
Market Update - This Stock Market Analysis Aligns With Bitcoin..What if I told you that the stock market’s pattern could actually reveal what’s coming next for Bitcoin—would you stick around and watch the entire video? That’s exactly what I’m diving into here. I didn’t force this analysis to fit; somehow, over the past week, it just lined up this way. In this video, I break down exactly why the next market move could be more severe than anything we’ve seen in our lifetime—yet it’s not the end of the world. In fact, if approached correctly, this could be the opportunity of a lifetime. The rebound that follows could be massive. I’ve always had a gut feeling about this, but now the patterns are speaking loud and clear. This is the reason I created AriasWave—and this is exactly where we are right now. This also aligns with my latest Euro analysis linked below in related ideas.
by AriasWave
The Charts Wall Street Watches – And Why Crypto Should Too📉 Crisis or Rotation? Understanding Bonds Before the Bitcoin Reveal 🔍 Hi everyone 👋 Before we dive into the next major Bitcoin post (the 'Bitcoin Reveal' is coming up, yes!), let's take a moment to unpack something critical most crypto traders overlook — the world of bonds . Why does this matter? Because the bond market often signals risk... before crypto even reacts. We're going to walk through 4 charts I've posted recently — not the usual BTC or altcoin setups, but key pieces of the credit puzzle . So here’s a simple breakdown: 1️⃣ BKLN – Leveraged Loans = Floating Risk 🟠 These are loans to risky companies with floating interest rates. When rates go up and liquidity is flowing, these do well. But when the economy weakens? They’re often the first to fall. 📌 Key level: $20.31 This level held in COVID (2020), the 2022 bank scare... and now again in 2025. ⚠️ Watch for a breakdown here = real credit stress. Right now? Concerned, but no panic. 2️⃣ HYG – Junk Bonds = Risk Appetite Tracker 🔴 Junk bonds are fixed-rate debt from companies with poor credit. They pay high interest — if they survive. When HYG bounces, it means investors still want risk. 📌 Fear line: 75.72 Held in 2008, 2020 (COVID), and again now. Price rebounded — suggesting risk appetite is trying to return . 3️⃣ LQD – Investment Grade = Quality Credit 💼 LQD holds bonds from blue-chip companies like Apple, Microsoft, Johnson & Johnson. These are lower-risk and seen as safer during stress. 📊 Chart still shows an ascending structure since 2003, with recent pressure on support. 📌 Support: 103.81 Holding well. Rebound looks solid. Unless we break 100, this says: "No panic here." 4️⃣ TLT – U.S. Treasuries = Trust in the Government 🇺🇸 This is the BIG one. TLT = Long-term U.S. bonds (20+ yrs) = safe haven assets . But since 2022, that trust has been visibly broken . A key trendline going back to 2004 was lost — and is now resistance. 📉 Price is in a clear descending channel . 📌 My expectation: One final flush to $76 or even $71–68 …before a potential macro reversal toward $112–115 🔍 The Big Picture – What Are Bonds Telling Us? | Chart | Risk Level | Signal | |--------|------------|--------| | BKLN | High | Credit stress rising, but support holding | | HYG | High | Risk appetite bouncing at a key level | | LQD | Medium | Rotation into quality, no panic | | TLT | Low | Trust in Treasuries fading, support being tested | If BKLN breaks $20... If HYG fails to hold 75.72... If LQD dips under 100... If TLT falls to all-time lows... That’s your crisis signal . Until then — the system is still rotating, not collapsing. So, Should We Panic? 🧠 Not yet. But we’re watching closely. Next: We add Bitcoin to the chart. Because if the traditional system starts breaking... 🟧 Bitcoin is the alternative. One Love, The FXPROFESSOR 💙 📌 Next Post: BTC vs Treasuries – The Inversion Nobody Saw Coming Because if the system is shaking… Bitcoin is Plan B. Stay ready.
AMEX:BKLNEducation
by FX_Professor
14
Where Can Bitcoin Go? $59K or $115K Test Incoming?Part 1: Same chart. Same structure. New tension. This is Part 7 of my ongoing series “Where Can Bitcoin Go?” — and this chart has been with us since the Dec 2020 breakout . Every level continues to hold weight, and now we’re back in a decision zone. 🧭 What’s In Play Right Now? We just came off the second rejection from massive structural resistance — no surprise. Now we hover just above support with two clear paths: 🟢 70% chance: BTC holds → heads to 115K (3rd test breakout) 🔴 30% chance: We dip to 59K — the historical support turned S/R zone 📌 Key support right now: 79,412 74,394 59,170 (Major ascending structural support) 📌 Resistance zones: 88–89K 111–115K (untouched 3rd test) 🧠 Keep Perspective You can blame the move on Trump, tariffs, CPI, or altcoin noise… But I say this every time: Stick to the levels. Ignore the noise. This same chart gave us: ✅ The 2020 breakout ✅ The 2021 blow-off tops ✅ The delayed breakout in Feb 2024 ✅ Long re-entry at support It’s all here — and it’s still working. 🕒 So... When? If breakout comes: June–July is my watch window. If not: Don’t panic — 60K is a valid support and part of the playbook . My stance? Still long. Always long BTC. Short altcoins if you must. But Bitcoin is still the king of this game — and structure still favors upside. The third test might just be the breakout. Or it might be the trap. Either way — the structure is the strategy. One Love, The FXPROFESSOR 💙
Long
by FX_Professor
2