ETH - BTC ETF News: What It Means for the Market+ China Rumors 🚨 ETH - BTC ETF News: What It Means for the Market + China Rumors 💥🌐
July just ended with a crypto bombshell 💣 — and the market is barely reacting.
Let’s break it down:
🧠 One part hard news.
🌀 One part geopolitical smoke.
🎯 All parts worth watching if you care about macro market shifts.
🏛️ SEC Approves Real BTC & ETH for ETF Flows (July 29)
Say goodbye to the cash-only ETF model.
The SEC now allows direct in-kind creation/redemption of Bitcoin and Ethereum in ETFs.
That means providers like BlackRock, Fidelity, VanEck can now use actual BTC/ETH, not just synthetic tracking.
✅ Bullish Impact:
💰 Real Spot Demand: ETF inflows = real crypto buying
🔄 Efficient Arbitrage: No middle step via cash = faster flows
🧱 TradFi + Crypto Merge: ETFs now settle with crypto — not just track it
🎯 Better Price Accuracy: Spot ETFs reflect true market value more cleanly
📉 The market reaction? Mild.
But don’t get it twisted — this is a structural reset, not a meme pump.
⚠️ But There’s a Bearish Angle:
🏦 Centralized Custody: Crypto now lives in Coinbase, Fireblocks vaults
⚠️ Network Risks: ETF performance now tied to ETH/BTC uptime
🧑⚖️ Regulatory Overreach: More hooks into validator networks, MEV relays
🌊 Volatility Risk: Panic redemptions = real BTC/ETH sold into open markets
Still, this is good news for Ethereum in particular.
Why? Because ETH isn’t just money — it’s infrastructure.
And now Wall Street is finally using it, not just watching it.
🇨🇳 And Then There’s China… Rumor or Tumor?
Crypto Twitter is swirling with unconfirmed whispers from July 29 that China may be prepping a major Bitcoin statement ahead of the BRICS summit.
But let’s be clear:
🚨 It’s a rumor. Or a tumor. 🧠
And like many tumors in crypto — there’s a 40% chance it brings bad news. 🤕
Still, here’s what’s being floated:
🧠 Speculations Include:
🔓 BTC re-legalization in “special finance zones” (HK-style)
🏦 BTC in national reserves (!)
🤖 CBDC integration or smart contract interoperability
⚒️ Return of official state-backed Bitcoin mining
🧯 But no official sources. Just geopolitics + timing.
China’s FUD/FOMO pattern is Bitcoin tradition — don’t get trapped by hopium.
But if even half of it is true... buckle up.
📈 Ethereum Leads the Charge — But Watch These Alts:
If ETFs go fully crypto-native, some sectors light up 🔥
🔹 1. Ethereum Layer 2s (ARB, OP, BASE)
→ ETF gas pressure = L2 scaling demand
🔹 2. DeFi Protocols (UNI, AAVE, LDO)
→ TradFi liquidity meets on-chain utility
🔹 3. ETH Staking Derivatives (LDO, RPL)
→ Institutions want yield = LSD narrative grows
🔹 4. Oracles (LINK)
→ ETFs need trusted on-chain data = Chainlink shines
🔹 5. BTC on ETH Bridges (ThorChain, tBTC)
→ If BTC flows into ETH-based ETFs, bridges light up
🚫 What I will Avoid:
❌ Memecoins – zero relevance to ETF flows
❌ GameFi – not part of TradFi’s roadmap
❌ Ghost Layer 1s – no users, no narrative, no pump
🧠 My Take:
ETH is building momentum toward $4,092 — the third breakout attempt on your 1-2-3 model.
🔥 The fuse is lit. Target? $6,036
Timing? Unknown. But structure is in place.
Meanwhile, Bitcoin Dominance is rising.
ETH is shining.
Solana — while powerful — continues paying the price for memecoin madness 💀
We’re entering a new phase — where ETFs settle with real crypto , China watches the stage, and macro money is warming up behind the curtain.
So stack smart.
Study the flows.
Don’t let silence fool you — the biggest moves come after the news fades.
One Love,
The FX PROFESSOR 💙
Disclosure: I am happy to be part of the Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Awesome broker, where the trader really comes first! 🌟🤝📈
Bitcoin (Cryptocurrency)
Bitcoin - The cycle is just starting!⚔️Bitcoin ( CRYPTO:BTCUSD ) just created new highs:
🔎Analysis summary:
Bitcoin is currently - especially with the new all time high breakout - just perfectly following previous cycle behavior. Since there is no real resistance above current price, apart from psychological levels, I do expect a substantial rally back to the upper channel resistance trendline.
📝Levels to watch:
$300.000
🙏🏻#LONGTERMVISION
Philip - Swing Trader
BITCOIN PREDICTION - MASSIVE CANDLE INCOMING!!! (WARNING) Watch this Bitcoin Prediction video now, you will love it!
Yello, Paradisers! Big warning sign: #Bitcoin is about to liquidate more traders soon if we get these confirmations that I'm sharing with you in this video. Loads of people will get wrecked again. Be careful not to get trapped into fakeouts.
In this video, I'm describing exactly what I'm seeing on Bitcoin, what patterns I'm waiting to form, and what confirmations I want to see before being able to say with 100% accuracy guaranteed that MARKETSCOM:BITCOIN is moving in that direction.
I'm sharing with you all the important targets and also how professional trading works: how risk-reward proper ratio trading works, and how high-probability trading depends a lot on how you choose to create your trades.
Watch this Bitcoin prediction to understand what I'm seeing right now on the chart and how I'm acting and making my decisions.
BITCOIN PREDICTION: HUGE BREAKOUT SOON!! (watch this level) Yello Paradisers! I'm sharing with you multi-timeframe analysis on Bitcoin, levels to watch out for, confirmations we are waiting for, and everything needed for successful professional trading that is being profitable in the long run.
I'm sharing with you zig-zag from the Elliot Wave pattern formation. I'm also sharing a possible impulse we are going through, a head and shoulders pattern and its target, and the next major resistance and support levels.
I'm sharing with you a contracting triangle setup and how to trade it, along with an ending diagonal setup and how to trade it. Watch out for confirmations and how the price is developing based on what I have been talking about in this video, then trade it as a professional trader should.
Make sure that you have a great risk management, trading strategy, and tactic for entering the trades. I have explained some tactics that I'm watching for in this video, but make sure that all these tactics are well within your larger trading strategy and that you're approaching the market professionally. Don't try to get rich quick.
Make sure that you are focusing on long-term profitability and survival. This is the only way you can make it in crypto trading!
Understanding Wedge Patterns - A Real Bitcoin Case Study🎓📊 Understanding Wedge Patterns - A Real Bitcoin Case Study 🧠📈
Hi everyone, FXPROFESSOR here 👨🏫
From this moment forward, I will no longer be posting targets or trade setups here on TradingView. Instead, I’ll be focusing 100% on education only for here in Tradinfview.
Why? Because over time I’ve learned that even when traders receive the right charts, most still struggle to trade them effectively. So, from now on, FX Professor Crypto content here will be strictly educational — designed to teach you how to read and react to the markets like a professional. Unfortunately I cannot be posting on Tradingview frequent updates like I do all day. Education is always better for you guys. And i am very happy to share here with you what matters the most.
🧩 In today’s post, we dive into one of the most misunderstood formations: the wedge pattern.
Most resources show wedges breaking cleanly up or down — but real price action is messier.
🎥 I recorded a video a few days ago showing exactly how BTC respected a wedge formation.
⚠️ Note: Unfortunately, TradingView doesn’t play the audio of that clip — apologies that you can’t hear the live commentary — but the visuals are clear enough to follow the logic. (there is no advertising of any kind on the video so i hope i don't get banned again - i did make a mistake the last time and will avoid it-the community here is awesome and needs to stay clean and within the rules of TV).
Here’s what happened:
🔸 A clean wedge formed over several days
🔸 We anticipated a fake move to the downside, grabbing liquidity
🔸 BTC rebounded off support around a level marked in advance
🔸 Then price re-entered the wedge, flipping support into resistance
The lesson?
📉 Often price will exit the wedge in the wrong direction first — trapping retail traders — before making the real move. This is a classic liquidity trap strategy, exercised by the 'market'.
💡 Remember:
Wedges often compress price until it "runs out of space"
The initial breakout is often a trap
The true move tends to come after liquidity is taken
The timing of the 'exit' has a lot to do with the direction. In the future we will cover more examples so pay attention.
I stayed long throughout this move because the overall market context remained bullish — and patience paid off.
Let this be a reminder: it’s not about guessing the direction — it’s about understanding the mechanics.
More educational breakdowns to come — keep learning, keep growing.
One Love,
The FX PROFESSOR 💙
Disclosure: I am happy to be part of the Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Awesome broker, where the trader really comes first! 🌟🤝📈
Bitcoin’s Epic Run from 80K to 120K: What’s Next for BTC?Yo traders, it’s Skeptic from Skeptic Lab! 🩵 Diving into Bitcoin’s wild ride from 80K to 120K—breaking down the key supports, resistances, and what’s next for BTC.
From the $76k bounce to smashing $110K, we’re eyeing the $120K PRZ. Will it correct or keep soaring? Check the video for the full scoop! Drop your thoughts or coin requests in the comments, boost if it vibes & Let’s grow together!
BITCOIN IS CREATING A SECRET PATTERN! (Huge move incoming?!)Yello paradisers! I'm describing to you what's going on with Bitcoin right now. We are creating a secret pattern that is forming, and once its neckline is reclaimed, we are going to have a huge movement.
In this video, I'm sharing with you the most important support and resistances on multiple time frames. We are describing Elliott wave theory wave count, and taking a look at candlestick patterns. We are talking about confirmations necessary for bullish and bearish cases. I'm explaining to you what the professional trading signals need for long-term profitability.
Some of the points are great risk-reward ratios. I'm talking about that in the video. One of them is taking only the highest probability trade setups, and having the patience and discipline to wait for them.
I'm talking about proper strategy which is needed, and systemology in your overall trading and how important it is. Here on TradingView, I'm describing to you the overall bias I have on Bitcoin right now.
Don't be a gambler. Don't try to get rich quick. Make sure that your trading is professionally based on proper strategies and trade tactics.
Bitcoin, SPX, Ethereum, Tesla: Whats Next? BTC appears to be showing distribution signs.
I do believe BTC local top is in, but alt coins like Ethereum can still push a bit higher.
Ethereum short around 3900-4000 looks promising
Tesla fell sharply on the back of cash flow burn and expenditures.
Investors are also fearful of sales decline and loss of EV credits.
SPX hit major long term resistance today. Coupling this with a depressed Vix we are likely setting up for a pullback in the market.
Small caps saw distribution today on the back of rising yields. A failed breakout observed on IWM chart.
Ethereum is Trending HigherSince April trough, Ethereum has risen by 179%, delivering a higher rate of return than Bitcoin at 66%. But most of our attention is on Bitcoin, breaking above the 120,000 level.
Why is Ethereum quietly gaining ground —and what does the future hold for Ethereum?
Mirco Bitcoin Futures and Options
Ticker: MET
Minimum fluctuation:
$0.50 per ether = $0.05 per contract
Disclaimer:
• What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker.
• Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises.
CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
Altcoin Season Has Started. And A Quick Look At The Stock MarketHey Traders,
Time for me to catch you up on the latest price action in both the stock market and crypto as well as touch upon a few changes on my platform and subscription services and what I plan for the future.
Timestamps:
00:00 | Housekeeping - site changes, etc
04:35 | BTC Dominance
06:45 | DXY Dollar Chart
10:00 | SPY
14:25 | BTC Bitcoin Chart
15:45 | Bitcoin Liquidity Heatmap
17:30 | Solana
19:05 | Ethereum
20:20 | Crypto & Stock Trackers
24:25 | My Indicator
26:10 | Where I Went Wrong & How I Plan To Course Correct
✌️ Stew
Revsiting $150k - $200k Bitcoin (AND Next Bear Market Bottom)In this video I revisit my 2-year old study showing the potential path for Bitcoin to $150k to $200k and not only how we might get there, but the 11 reasons WHY we can this cycle.
This is the same Fibonacci series that predicted the 2021 cycle high at the 3.618 (Log chart) and used the same way this cycle, with some interesting 2025 forecasts of:
1.618 - $100k
2.618 - $150k
3.618 - $200k
There are quite a few confluences that we get to $150k like the measured moves from both the recent mini bull flag, but also the larger one from earlier this year.
** Also I touch on revisiting my study from 2 years ago where I may have discovered the retracemebnt multiple that correctlty predicted and held the 2022 lowes around $16k. **
It's a VERY interesting number you all will recognize (buy may not agree with).
Let me know what you think.
Bitcoin - Trust the higher timeframe!⚔️Bitcoin ( CRYPTO:BTCUSD ) is still 100% bullish:
🔎Analysis summary:
For the past couple of months we have been seeing an overall consolidation on Bitcoin. But looking at the higher timeframe, Bitcoin remains in an underlying strong bullrun. Consolidations are always expected and no reason to freak out since everything is still bullish.
📝Levels to watch:
$100.000
🙏🏻#LONGTERMVISION
Philip - Swing Trader
Will cryptos lose their appeal, as more regulation comes in?In this new world, where governments and financial institutions are getting more and more interested in cryptos, will those start losing their appeal?
Let's take a look at CRYPTO:BTCUSD
MARKETSCOM:BITCOIN
CRYPTO:ETHUSD
MARKETSCOM:RIPPLE
Let us know what you think in the comments below.
Thank you.
75.2% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK. Cryptocurrency CFDs and spread bets are restricted in the UK for all retail clients.
BITCOIN FINAL WARNING BEFORE HUGE MOVE!!! (urgent) Yello Paradisers! I am Sharing with you my idea about #Bitcoin of what's going on with Bitcoin right now: be very careful because the Fear and Greed Index, a special one, is at "Greed". We are seeing funding rates, the accumulated funding rates, as extremely positive. We are seeing bearish patterns forming.
In this video, I'm describing the confirmations we are waiting for that will confirm that Bitcoin is about to make a huge movement. Make sure that you are trading with professional trading strategies and that you are waiting for confirmations before any trade execution. Also, make sure that you have tight risk management because only the best, most professional traders will win long-term in this game.
Don't be a gambler. Don't try to get rich quick. Make sure that your trading is professionally based on proper strategies and trade tactics.
Bitcoin and Upcoming TrendBitcoin’s trend has been growing from strength to strength — and it’s likely to stay that way. Why?
This trend isn’t driven purely by speculation; it’s supported by strong fundamental reasons.
One of the most widely debated topics in finance today is the comparison between Bitcoin and gold. While both are viewed as stores of value, their long-term roles may diverge significantly.
Yet, they’ve been moving in near-perfect synchronization, with potential resistance ahead, but their trend still remain intact — and here’s why.
Mirco Bitcoin Futures and Options
Ticker: MBT
Minimum fluctuation:
$5.00 per bitcoin = $0.50 per contract
Disclaimer:
• What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker.
• Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises.
CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
Bitcoin -> The bullrun is not over!📣Bitcoin ( CRYPTO:BTCUSD ) is still totally bullish:
🔎Analysis summary:
A couple of months ago Bitcoin broke above the previous all time high. This was basically just the expected creation of new highs, perfectly following the underlying cycles. With respect to the long term rising channel formation, this bullrun on Bitcoin is just starting.
📝Levels to watch:
$100.000
🙏🏻#LONGTERMVISION
Philip - Swing Trader
Ethereum Breakout and Liquidations – A Lesson in Bear Traps and 📚💥 Ethereum Breakout and Liquidations – A Lesson in Bear Traps and Risk Management 🧠📈
Today, July 16th, Ethereum gave us a real-time masterclass in market psychology and risk management.
Let’s start with the facts:
📊 Liquidation Data
🔻 $36.34M in long liquidations
🔺 $86.02M in short liquidations
💣 Total ETH liquidations: $122.36M (data mentioned on video might differ, i made a small mistake)
🌐 Across crypto: $351M liquidated (more shorts than longs)
This imbalance tells us one thing: a bear trap played out, and it played out hard.
🧠 Educational Takeaways
1. Bear Traps Are Real — and Expensive
A bear trap occurs when the market appears bearish, drawing in short sellers — only to violently reverse upward. Today’s Ethereum move was a textbook example. If you’ve been following my analysis, we discussed the regression lines, divergences, and structure that all warned against going short at support.
2. Open Interest and Sentiment Signals
Open interest has been declining — which means fewer speculative positions. That often creates space for a real, organic move, not one fueled by overleveraged noise.
3. Spot vs. Leverage – Risk Control First
Leverage isn’t the enemy — unmanaged leverage is. I personally use a dedicated high-risk account to trade fast setups. This keeps my core capital untouched and my psychology stable.
✅ Risk is defined before the trade.
✅ Entries are structured like bullets — small, multiple attempts.
4. The Mental Game is the Real Game
Trading isn’t just technical. It’s deeply psychological. Whether you’re trading Ethereum, Bitcoin, or altcoins like AVAX and XRP, emotions must be managed before capital is deployed.
5. Like-Minded Community = Sharper Edge
My best trades and insights often come from conversations with trusted, sharp minds in this space. Surrounding yourself with serious traders can be the difference between evolving — and evaporating. To my brother Vlatko (met on Tradingview, been hanging around online ever since, met in person once, now a true friend that we frequently disagree but always agree to respect and empower each other = The power of our community here on TV!)
Final Word:
When markets move fast, lessons appear even faster.
Study the traps. Respect the levels. Structure your risk.
And above all: trade with a plan that allows joy.
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
Disclosure: I am happy to be part of the Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Awesome broker, where the trader really comes first! 🌟🤝📈
Crypto Market Update – July 14th🔷Market Update – July 14th: Another Winning Move 🧠🔥
Another week, another breakout – and we’ve been tracking it every step of the way.
💸 Entries? Perfect.
✅ Targets? Hit.
🧠 Psychology? Nailed.
Today, we reached 122,795 , hitting a key target with precision. From there, we took partial profits — and are now watching the next leg toward 127K+ .
We’ve had 4 amazing entries lately, all executed with structure, risk control, and vision.
Today’s move? Just the latest in a series of well-calculated trades.
📉 Support now rests at 120,500 , with deeper support still valid around 114,921 .
This isn’t just a lucky guess — it’s the outcome of following levels, structure, and behavior.
But if you want to go deeper into what’s really happening beneath the surface ...
📊💸 Read the NEW Deep Dive Part III:
The Next BIG Whale Play Unfolds →
Inside it:
🐳 How the bear trap is being set
🧠 Why this is a disbelief rally
⚠️ Why shorting now = adding fuel to the fire
💥 And why this may be the first leg of a much bigger run...
Stay sharp. Stay structured. Stay ahead.
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
Disclosure: I am happy to be part of the Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Awesome broker, where the trader really comes first! 🌟🤝📈
📊💸 And don’t miss Deep Dive Part III – The Next BIG Whale Play Unfolds:
₿itcoin: Pushing Higher—But Watch for a Reversal AheadAfter taking a brief pause over the weekend, Bitcoin resumed its upward momentum early this morning, trading within the blue Target Zone between $117,553 and $130,891. This marks the first time the cryptocurrency giant has traded above the key $120,000 level. Within this zone, and in line with our primary scenario, we continue to anticipate the peak of the corrective wave B rally, followed by a trend reversal to the downside. We expect a significant wave C decline, targeting the lower blue zone between $62,395 and $51,323. As such, prices in the upper blue Target Zone may present an opportunity to take (partial) profits on existing long positions and, where appropriate, to initiate potential short positions as a hedge. These shorts could be protected with a stop 1% above the upper boundary of the zone, given there remains a 35% probability that Bitcoin could break directly above the $130,891 resistance and set a new high as blue wave alt.(i).
📈 Over 190 precise analyses, clear entry points, and defined Target Zones - that's what we do.
Why This Breakout Feels Like $29K and $48K – Big Moves Ahead?🤔📊 Why This Breakout Feels Like $29K and $48K – Big Moves Ahead? 🚀📈
Hey everyone! It’s Saturday, July 12th , and while the markets take a breather, it’s the perfect moment to zoom out and assess the bigger picture . Are we in for another retail weekend surge?
Let’s break it down 🔍👇
After closely analyzing the charts, one thing becomes clear — this breakout is structurally similar to the previous key breakouts at $29K and $48K. In both historical cases, price surged significantly without immediately retesting the breakout level.
➡️ Back in 2020, price exploded +144% above the yellow level before ever coming back to test it.
➡️ At $48K, a similar move of +49% occurred before signs of exhaustion and a retest emerged.
Fast forward to today: We've just broken above a massive ascending support zone — $114,921–$115K — and the market shows no intention of pulling back yet. This tells us something powerful: Momentum is in control.
💡 According to my technical roadmap, we may not see a retest of $115K anytime soon. Instead, the next target zone lies around $182K–$189K, depending on velocity and sentiment. With halving-to-ATH cycles historically lasting ~550 days, we’re well within that bullish window.
Remember the channel support/last entry right after the Iran-Israel ceasefire on June 23rd? That’s been a defining entry and it’s still playing out beautifully. So we wish for geopolitical stability and peace.
So, while it’s easy to feel left out — don’t short, don’t sulk. This may be our moment to ride the wave long. 🎯📉📈
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
Disclosure: I am happy to be part of the Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Awesome broker, where the trader really comes first! 🌟🤝📈