Bitcoin (Cryptocurrency)
The market is shaking. But what is Bitcoin doing?Despite today's market turmoil, the crypto world remains somewhat calm with some minor drops across the major cryptocurrencies. At the time of analysis, CRYPTO:BTCUSD is moving slightly lower, but as if it is a regular day for it.
Let's dig in!
MARKETSCOM:BITCOIN
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BITCOIN - Long Trade Price Action Update...In this video, I break down the latest price action while incorporating some AriasWave analysis along the way.
There's nothing unusual happening—just psychological reactions testing your patience.
Welcome to the world of trading lol, where you can be riding high one moment and facing losses the next, shifting between excitement and frustration.
Today, I dive into the psychology of trading—what drives a trader’s mindset, the balance between logic and mental discipline, and how mastering both can help grow your bank account. Everything begins in the mind, whether it’s knowledge or habit.
I remain bullish, and while the external picture hasn’t changed much, what about your internal one?
BITCOIN - Long Trade Update - Third-of-a-Third Wave Incoming...In this video, I share an update on the developments I've observed since yesterday as we prepare for a move higher in a third-of-a-third wave.
As price movements become smaller and sharper at lower degrees, identifying the correct count becomes more challenging.
That’s why I always consider bearish alternatives and play devil’s advocate. However, at the moment, I don’t see any conflicting signals, so it’s just a matter of waiting for the next upward thrust to begin from here.
Bearish Trend Meets Bullish Momentum: Is BTC Ready for a Rebound📉 Bitcoin is currently in a strong bearish trend on higher timeframes, but 📈 the 1-hour timeframe shows a break of structure and bullish momentum. This suggests a potential short-term pullback into the previous range, aligning with the 50% Fibonacci retracement level. 🔄 Additionally, there’s a bearish imbalance above that could be rebalanced. While this presents a possible buy opportunity, ⚠️ it’s a high-risk setup due to the overall bearish trend. Always trade with caution! 🚨
Disclaimer
⚠️ This is not financial advice. Trading involves significant risk, and you should only trade with funds you can afford to lose. Always do your own research and consult a professional if needed. 💡
BITCOIN - Long Trade Idea Update - We Could See One More Low...In this video, I discuss why Bitcoin may still make another low before the Wave 2 correction is fully complete.
Upon closer examination of Wave iv in the previous Wave 5 correction, it appears the level where Wave iv ended was slightly miscalculated.
Technically, Bitcoin should have dipped below the perceived low, but either its strength has prevented this, or the ongoing correction is nearing completion.
The key level to watch is $82,445—if Bitcoin breaks above this, we should continue higher.
However, it’s more likely that we first dip below $81,274 before experiencing a strong upward move.
Pay close attention when Bitcoin makes another low, as the reversal could be sharp, potentially piercing through $82,445, which would confirm the trend shift.
If we make a new low then I would suggest price would turn back up after tagging $81,071.
BITCOIN - Wave 3 of Wave C In Progress - Wave 2 Breakdown...In this video, I break down why I posted the earlier chart (linked below).
After studying this pattern for hours, I finally decoded the Wave 2 correction for Wave C—just in time to take a long trade at support.
A solid protective stop is around $81,274, while a break above $82,759 offers partial confirmation.
The key confirmation level, however, is $88,788. Since that’s still quite far, AriasWave allows for early entries if the analysis proves accurate. Given the large 1-2 formation, I anticipate price moving close to all-time highs, but I’ll keep you updated along the way.
BITCOIN - Key Levels To Watch If You Expect A Bounce...Due to the lack of sustained downward momentum overnight and the overall weak move, I have relabeled the decline from $88,839 as a sharp correction, potentially marking the end of Wave 2 in a Wave E corrective bounce.
Wave 1 appears to be a Type-2 Weak 5-Wave move that began at $79,962.
To confirm this bounce, we need a break above $84,630, with a protective stop set at the last low, currently $81,635, aligning with the 0.786 retracement level.
BITCOIN - Small Long Trade Within Wave iii Zig-Zag...In this video, I break down a straightforward long trade based on an internal corrective zig-zag pattern.
This setup demonstrates how to capitalize on short-term trades with a solid risk-reward ratio, securing profits before looking for a re-entry opportunity.
The trade aligns with the anticipation of Bitcoin approaching its recent highs, potentially forming a double top. Currently, the trade has a protective stop at $83,169 and a target of $89,176.
Bitcoin - Please Just Listen To The Charts!Bitcoin ( CRYPTO:BTCUSD ) remains in a bullish market:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Despite literally everybody freaking out about cryptos lately, big brother Bitcoin is still creating bullish market structure. During every past cycle we witnessed a correction of at least -20% before we then saw a parabolic rally. So far, Bitcoin is just doing its normal "volatility thing".
Levels to watch: 70.000, $300.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
BITCOIN - The Bearish Scenario - Sign's of a Possible Top...In this video, I explore the possibility that Bitcoin may have already hit a temporary peak.
My perspective comes from initially building a bullish case—only to uncover subtle flaws that I chose to set aside.
But as I meticulously documented my observations, those cracks in the bullish argument became impossible to ignore. When I switched to a bearish wave count, some thing began to align, shedding light on areas of the chart that previously seemed uncertain.
These market waves are intricate, requiring patience and a fresh perspective to decipher where we truly stand in the broader pattern.
Only after stepping back and allowing time for meaningful price action does the picture start to come into focus.
I also touch on Ethereum's pattern and the Dow Jones.
Is BTC Bitcoin Overextended? My Bias Is Bullish With Conditions!This 30-minute chart 🌟 shows Bitcoin consolidating within a descending channel after a recent bullish breakout 🚀, with a potential bullish structure forming. The price is currently testing the upper boundary of the channel near $87,500 🛡️. If the price breaks below the channel and retests the equilibrium support, it could present a strong buy opportunity 💰 . Considering the broader analysis 🌍, a break above $87,926 with strong volume 🔥 would confirm bullish momentum toward $90,000 🎯 . Not financial advice. ✨
BITCOIN - Key Buying Area 74K - 76K Range At Wave iv Low...In this video, I break down a potential scenario that could initiate a major surge in Wave v of Wave 5.
If this is the final move, it should be strong—possibly even sharper than Wave iii.
I outline the key buying zone, which represents the lowest point price may reach before reversing into a powerful impulsive move.
My plan is to go long within the $74K–$76K range, adding to the position as momentum builds.
Ideally, I’m targeting $120K, as it aligns with the length of Wave iii.
Based on my analysis, the low for Wave iv is likely around March 31st, with $73,880 acting as key support. Stay tuned for more updates!
Bitcoin at a Critical Juncture – Breakout or Breakdown? 📉 BTC is at a key decision point! After pulling back from recent highs, it's now consolidating within a range, sitting right in the middle of the previous price swing. I'm keeping a close eye on this zone—if price breaks out, a high-probability trade opportunity could emerge.
🎯 In this video, we dive deep into price action and market structure, breaking down a potential trade setup—if the market aligns with our strategy.
🚨 Trade smart, manage risk—this isn’t financial advice! 🚀🔥
BITCOIN - Wave Count Update For Long Trade Idea...A slight shift in the overall interpretation of this structure.
We're still watching for a break above 93K for confirmation, but for those who trade with leverage, this analysis could provide an edge.
If it plays out as expected, we may see a fairly tight stop.
A decisive move higher is needed soon to confidently validate this setup.
BTC Breaks Structure - Key Levels to Watch PLUS Trade Idea!Bitcoin has broken structure to the upside on the daily timeframe, confirming a bullish trend 📈. I’m considering a buy opportunity, but only if the key conditions discussed in the video align.
Right now, BTC is in a strong uptrend, with a well-defined higher highs and higher lows structure on the 4-hour timeframe 🔍. In this video, we break down the trend, price action, market structure, and other essential aspects of technical analysis to navigate this setup effectively.
⚠️ Not financial advice.
BITCOIN - Long Trade Idea - Possible Move Higher Incoming...This video follows up on the chart I posted last night, where I suggested that Bitcoin could break past its all-time highs and potentially double in value from its current levels.
This analysis is based on the AriasWave methodology, which offers a clearer perspective compared to the often-confusing Elliott Wave approach.
Check out the related idea below for the original chart, and in this video, I update that analysis with key levels to watch and potential risks to consider.
Bitcoin Reversal or Dead Cat Bounce? Here's My Trading Plan! Analyzing BTC on the higher timeframe, we observe a clear structural shift in the prevailing trend 📊. Dropping down to the 4-hour chart, there is a decisive bullish break 📈, leaving behind an imbalance following the initial move—an area that could serve as a retracement target 🎯. Notably, this imbalance aligns with a Fibonacci retracement into equilibrium 📐, adding confluence to the setup.
I am considering a long position 💰, but only if the key conditions outlined in the video materialize ✅. If those conditions fail to align, I will discard this trade idea ❌.
⚠️ Not financial advice.
AriasWave Market Update - You Might Want To Watch This... Part 1In this video, I'm finally breaking my silence. I can’t hold back my bearish outlook any longer, so I’m launching a series of videos to break down exactly why I see trouble ahead and what it could mean.
While I won’t cover everything in this first video, I’m kicking off the conversation now that the floodgates are open—thanks, in part, to the circus in Washington, D.C. (or so you think). From crypto and stocks to bond yields and beyond, I’ll cover it all.
Stay tuned so you’re not left chasing false hope in a dead-cat bounce.
Bitcoin - The Uptrend Remains 100% Valid!Bitcoin ( CRYPTO:BTCUSD ) can create a textbook break and retest:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Over the past couple of weeks we have only been seeing a consolidation on all cryptocurrencies, governed by the slow movement on Bitcoin. With today's drop Bitcoin is now approaching the previous all time highs, which are now acting as a major support, pushing price much higher.
Levels to watch: $70.000, $300.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)