BTC Bitcoin: Is the Bullish Breakout Here to Stay?👀👉 Bitcoin (BTC) has been gaining strong momentum, with a confirmed bullish breakout in market structure on the daily and 4-hour charts, reaching new all-time highs. My outlook remains bullish as I monitor a potential retracement into the Fibonacci 61.8% zone for an ideal entry point. In this video, we provide a detailed BTC analysis and explore how to trade Bitcoin effectively, breaking down strategies to capitalize on the current bullish trend. Whether you’re an experienced trader or new to the crypto markets, this guide will refine your trading approach and improve your confidence in navigating Bitcoin's price action. Not financial advice.
Bitcoin (Cryptocurrency)
R2F Weekly Analysis - 8th December 2024 (ICT Concepts)Welcome to another R2F Weekly Market Analysis using ICT Concepts along with my own discoveries. I'm going to go through various assets/markets, and give a real-time view of how I perform my analysis on the weekends. I'll give my take on what has been happening, and what I'm expecting in either the coming days, weeks, or months. Without further ado, let's get into it!
- R2F
What is Bitcoin ‘Pairs Trading’? (Example: ETH/BTC)This is for anybody who wants to sell some Bitcoin but is still bullish crypto. 🚀
It’s also if you’re neutral on crypto but think Bitcoin is overvalued vs other tokens.
It’s also just if you’re just interested to see a way to apply a pairs trading strategy .
In case you’ve been hiding under a rock, Bitcoin just broke over $100k - No more waiting for the HODLRS!!
Naturally after hitting this massive milestone, some traders are going to be thinking about taking profits. And if they’re thinking it, some of them are going to be doing it.
But let’s forget about selling for a moment, are you really buying more BTC when it just hit $100k and it's up ~150% this year?
So even if there is not more active selling interest, there’s probably less buying interest.
I think you’d be mad (or very brave) to bet against Bitcoin. BUT
Are these scenarios possible?
Bitcoin trades sideways for a while after hitting $100k
Alt season kicks in and other cryptos play catchup
If you think yes to at least one of these, my team and me have been looking at a pairs trade
What is pairs trading?
Pairs trading in crypto is a market-neutral trading strategy that involves taking a long position in one cryptocurrency and a short position in another, based on the assumption that their historical price relationship will revert to the mean.
The point is to profit from the relative price movement between the two assets, i.e. not the absolute ups or downs of one asset like Bitcoin.
ETH/BTC
I put this crypto pair this way around - I’m not sure if you’re meant to - it just kind of reminds me of EUR/USD in forex trading.
So as a reminder, ETH/BTC is Ethereum’s token Ether priced in Bitcoin. When Ether outperforms Bitcoin it goes up and when Ether underperforms Bitcoin, it goes down.
So it doesn’t actually matter if Bitcoin goes up, down or sideways, if you’re trading ETH/BTC - what matters is what one does relative to the other.
Well this thing has been going down a lot! Until recently.
Going back to the idea of pairs trading - the thesis here is that the Ethererum/Bitcoin price ratio has dropped to bargain levels and could be about to recover.
I’m not going to lie to you - there are a lot of sore hands out there from trying to catch this falling knife!
But this rebound off the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the 2020-21 rally has caught our attention.
Dropping to the daily chart, can you see how 0.4000 has acted like a magnet to the price both from above and below?
0.4 is our line in the sand for long positions.
Equally, our risk is well defined in this setup. A drop back under the 61.8% Fib level around 0.32 means the idea isn’t working and it's time to get out and let Bitcoin do its thing!
How to trade it
Specific entries and exits depend on your personal risk tolerance, but broadly there are THREE methods here:
1. Crypto-to-Crypto Spot Trading
Trade ETH directly for BTC (or vice versa) on a cryptocurrency exchange. This is straightforward and involves holding the actual assets.
2. CFD Trading (Contracts for Difference)
Speculate on ETH/BTC price movements using CFDs without owning the underlying cryptocurrencies. This allows for leverage and the ability to short-sell.
3. Spread Trading
Buy ETH and simultaneously short BTC (or vice versa) with equal dollar value to profit from their relative price movement while minimizing exposure to overall market trends.
But that’s just how we are seeing things?
Do you think this is bananas, or could we be onto something?
Please let us know in the comments
Cheers!
Jasper. Chief Market Analyst, Trading Writers
BTC | BITCOIN ATH | ALTSEASON A comprehensive analysis today on my take regarding Bitcoin , BTC All time High, and for how long we can still expect to see altseason.
When I say altseason, what I am referring to is hard pumps and large increases, scattered across the altcoin market.
In the previous BTC update, I considered an ATH between 99k and 105k. More on that here :
Today's main "concern" is really whether or not the alt-rallies are finished - and I say, not yet .
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BINANCE:BTCUSD CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3 CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D
BTC Shatters $100K - The Rise of Digital Gold ?BTC Shatters $100K - The Rise of Digital Gold
History in the making! Bitcoin has finally conquered the mythical $100K level, breaking through like it was mere psychological resistance. Trading at $103K, this moment calls for a deep dive into where we're headed next.
Technical Setup
Critical resistance ahead at $108K
Similar to previous rejections at $79K
Third attempt principle in play (historically high success rate)
Next major target post-breakout: $192K
Why This Time Is Different
Pre-halving breakout vs. traditional post-halving peaks
Fed Chairman Powell's "Bitcoin is Gold" statement
BlackRock ETF's market impact
Fundamentals 201 phase activated
Important Cycle Changes
Previous cycles: 550-560 days between halving and ATH
Current cycle: Breaking ATH pre-halving
Early cycle characteristics suggest different price dynamics ahead
Key Observations
ETF influence reshaping market structure
Potential altcoin correlation changes in 1-3 years
ETH emerging as "digital NASDAQ"
Institutional players actively participating
What to Watch
$108K resistance reaction
Post-Trump election market dynamics
ETF flow impacts
Pre-halving price action
Strategy Notes
Watch for third attempt breakout confirmation
Monitor volume at resistance levels
Keep eye on institutional flow metrics
Prepare for potential "sell the news" on key events
Remember: Charts never lie, but market cycles evolve. We'll follow up with detailed scenarios once we see the $108K level reaction.
#Bitcoin #BTC #TechnicalAnalysis #Crypto
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
Previous posts:
Part 1
Part 2
Part 3
Part 4
The power of 3rd (or 6th) attempts
Power of 3 (+Inflation)
Pump the Trump:
Fundamentals 101:
Fundamentals 102:
Jerome and Garry buying their own dips:
Satoshi mastermind:
When is the correct time to sell Bitcoin? Hello Traders, welcome back to this market breakdown.
In this video, I explain the time cycle of Bitcoin and what a good time to sell is.
1. Halving Cycle Structure
This chart leverages Bitcoin's logarithmic scale to illustrate its price behavior across halving cycles, providing a clearer perspective on exponential growth and diminishing returns.
Key Takeaways from Bitcoin's Halving Cycles
1. Halving Cycle Structure
Cycle Length: Each cycle spans 1432 days (approximately 4 years), divided into:
Bull Market Phase (1064 days): Gradual accumulation followed by accelerated growth.
Bear Market Phase (365 days): Sharp corrections and consolidation before recovery.
Historically, bull markets account for the majority of price growth, with bear markets serving as cooling-off periods.
2. Historical Price Performance
Cycle 1 (2012 Halving):
Entire Cycle move: 11644%
Pre-Halving having: +390%
Post halving +2947%
96.65% of the entire move was after the Halving.
Cycle 2 (2016 Halving):
Entire Cycle move: 2503%
Pre Halving: +213%
Post halving +703%
91.5% of the entire move was after the Halving
Cycle 3 (2020 Halving): Still going...
Hypothesis: 86% of the entire move was after the Halving.
Entire Cycle move: 1671.43%% based on my maths
Pre Halving: +234% so far
Post halving +92% so far
If the hypothesis is true then 905k is the projected price.
3. Upcoming 2024 Halving Predictions
Projected move: 270K USD peak if historical patterns persist and the Hypothesis holds.
Bear Market (2027–2028):
Based on prior cycles, corrections could range from -70% to -80%, leading to a consolidation
Trade safe
Tarder Leo
$100,000!! Capital could rotate into the Sol system again.Solana space obviously leading this altcoin market and has been for a while now. The Tron breakout of all time highs does undermine SOL somewhat but not really the Solana space. With Solana space breaking out like it did so aggressively at the end of 2023 was the first rotation of BTC gains.
I think its quite possible that Solana space gets first rotation of these new BTC gains.
TRON is the leading large altcoin this cycle!!TRX was especially strong this bear market. It was able to steady itself from falling too far. Similar more to Bitcoin then other alts like Solana. TRX fell around 74% in the bear market like BTC. SOL fell more like 94%.
TRX now 150% above old highs and SOL below old highs.
This is not to take anything away from SOL but comparing TRX to the other strongest alt this cycle. I suspect SOL might end up following TRX in a TRX like breakout from its old 2021 highs.
TRX has been able to capture a key part of the crypto market in being a chain for stablecoin transfers and is trying to expand into more typical defi areas.
Capital will rotate back into Solana and Solana coinsWithout a doubt in my mind Solana was the altcoin that led crypto out of the bear market. In many metrics it has become the best performing chain. Raydium, Jito, Jupiter and others inc Phantom have be key players in this.
Now capital is clearing rotate away from the gains made in Solana to non Solana areas. Perhaps we see further rotation throughout crypto before either rotation to BTC or USD. Should rotation be BTC then I believe Solana could follow closest. Moving into prime position as leading altcoin in rotation this cycle.
Of course should Solana get this position again for next BTC leg up (whenever that is) then the Solana coins like RAY, KMNO, MNDE and others are likely to follow.
Bitcoin tends to falter the day after ThanksgivingThe 124k target remains in play overall, but for now I suspect the shakeout from its 100k milestone has more to offer bears. And while bitcoin prices are showing a nice breakout from a flag pattern on the 1-hour chart, bulls should take note that today (the day after Thanksgiving) tends to be a bearish day on average. And that could make any moves towards 100k tempting for bears to fade into over the near term.
MS
Bitcoin stall continues but will we see another push at 100K?Hi, Trading View community. Thanks for reviewing today's update. We have also examined Bitcoin.
It's been a while since our last broker update, but we could not ignore the amazing gains that crypto has been seeing lately.
Today, we examined Bitcoin's lead-up and break-out and a few scenarios based on off-price hitting different levels. Another factor we have looked at is a new record touch and whether that could lead to heavier selling, as we saw back in the COVID rally.
What do you think? Will we see 100K before Christmas? Or do we need a deeper pullback/correction before we see a rally break into the 100K area?
Good trading from Eightcap
Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Altcoins - What's Next in Crypto (Live) 🤖🚀 Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Altcoins - What's Next in the Crypto Market? 📈🌐
In this update, we dive into the crypto markets, exploring Bitcoin, Ethereum, and key altcoins as the tides shift bullish. Last time, I shared bearish insights—today, let’s unpack the green resurgence.
Bitcoin Update:
Bitcoin is back in an ascending channel, signaling bullish momentum.
Key support: $94,175. Resistance: $97,660. A breach above could take us to the $100,000 mark—my confidence stands at ~65%.
Reminder: If $94K support fails, caution is warranted as retracement could follow.
Ethereum Insights:
Outperforming Bitcoin with strong momentum. Target: $3,649.
Favorable fundamentals and structure make Ethereum the standout choice, even over Solana, where trends are less promising.
Altcoins in Focus:
Total Alt Market Cap (excluding BTC/ETH): Support at $906B–$900B, with resistance descending near $950B.
Ethereum > Solana: Favoring Ethereum to outperform based on stronger structure and resistance levels.
Specific setups:
UNI: Stellar performance—targeting $14–$17.
ICP: Bullish above $10.88, aiming for $14.
DOGE: Support at $0.38–$0.44, with potential to test $0.69.
XRP, Cardano, Solana: Showing resistance at critical levels; other assets may present better risk-reward.
What’s Next? The crypto market is brimming with opportunities, but step cautiously. Resistance levels across assets require vigilance, and taking profits is always wise. Ethereum remains a key focus for its bullish trajectory, while Bitcoin’s potential climb to $100K could redefine sentiment.
Stay tuned for more updates and analysis!
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
BTC ATH | Bitcoin Dominance | Alt Season Interesting insights can be gather from the Bitcoin dominance chart and the altcoin chart (TOTAL3).
You can see some interesting patterns when you overlap them, and monitor for previous "fractals" or patterns.
Some of the key insights you can gain from this combo:
👉 The BTC peak / ATH, or not
👉 The end of Altseason
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COINBASE:BTCUSD CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3
BITCOIN | MACRO OUTLOOK | Top is IN | ALTCOINS SHINEI've been risking my opinion for the better part of a year, saying that the ATH is stilllll coming. Now, it's time for me to choose my trades again; and I'm choosing to take my profits here.
Here's a replay of an entire year's worth of BTC updates, incase you want to verify😉:
The next thing I'm looking at is the continuation of Altseason , because the TOTAL3 chart peaks AFTER the BTC high. I touched a little bit on this mechanic here; but I think I'll do another update on that in coming days.
After alts top-out, for BTC bounce zones I'll consider the moving averages, Elliot wave corrective theory, and previous resistance zones as new bounce zones. But this is near term, not short term.
Stay tuned!! Cheers to the believers 🥂
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COINBASE:BTCUSD
BTCUSD to $115K EOYUsing the Magic Linear Regression Channel by @mwrightinc, we can create a channel on the weekly chart that shows that BTC has broken out of the channel. Using the Outer Fibonacci band from the indicator, we can see where this channel break could lead to. By using a start time from a 2018 pivot low, we can see a price target of $115K with a prior retracement to the top of the channel at around $92K. With a closer pivot low start time from November of 2022, we can see that the outer fibonacci channel calls for a bounce down from around $102K, with a retracement back to GETTEX:92K at the top of the channel before heading back up.
BITCOIN - Nearing A Short Term Top...Based on this analysis, Bitcoin is expected to peak soon.
The recent all-time high breakout is simply part of an expanded corrective pattern, which is likely to fully retrace.
Another opportunity for significant gains will emerge once this correction is complete. In the bigger picture, the long-term outlook for the crypto market appears promising, even if the broader markets experience a more substantial downturn.
For traders, opportunities will become increasingly clear as a few more corrective waves unfold.
Breaking News:Bitcoin Hits All Time Highs Above $98,000This is a historical event
and so I thought I share it with you
via video.
-
Inside this video, I share with you
how to use the Rocket Booster Strategy
and then combine it with
-
A charting technique
To learn more watch this
video right now.
-
Disclaimer: Please learn risk management and profit-taking strategies.
Because trading is risky you will lose money whether you like it or not
Also, use a simulation trading account before you use your real money.
Do not trade with margin or use high leverage, Do not use leverage
higher than 3x.
Bitcoin at the Brink - $100K Incoming, But Watch Out!🚀💎 Bitcoin at the Brink - $100K Incoming, But Watch Out! 🌟🌐
Bitcoin is dominating the market like never before, and we’re now at $97,800, edging closer to the $100K psychological milestone! Let’s break down the key levels, opportunities, and risks in true FX Professor style. Strap in—it’s Bitcoin time! 🥳
💥 The Big Picture: Key Support & Resistance Levels
Bitcoin is a market mover, and here’s where we stand:
Immediate Support:
$96,000: A critical short-term level to stay above.
$88,000: The ultimate fallback—if $96K breaks, watch for FWB:88K as the main technical support.
Resistance Levels to Beat:
$100,000: The key psychological level that everyone, including your non-crypto friends, will be talking about! This is also a profit-taking zone for many whales and retail traders alike.
$108,000: This major resistance is what will decide the next phase of the rally. Breaking it could open the doors to $138,000.
✨ Why $100K is Both Good & Dangerous:
Let’s be real—$100K is exciting, but it’s also a tricky spot. Here’s why:
Good News: Breaking $100K could spark massive FOMO (Fear of Missing Out), drawing in new money and retail investors who’ve been sitting on the sidelines. 🚀 Headlines like "Bitcoin Breaks $100K" will dominate everywhere.
Bad News: A failure to sustain above $100K could lead to whale profit-taking and a significant correction back to $96K—or even as low as $88K. Whales dumping at such levels can be a nasty surprise for those overleveraged in the market. ⚠️
📈 BTC Dominance & Market Context:
Bitcoin dominance is above 60%, meaning BTC is still leading the pack and pulling the market along. Total altcoin market cap is sitting at $837 billion, while Ethereum (the king of alts) is lagging at $3,295. The current Bitcoin dominance is a signal that altcoins need BTC to cool down before they can shine.
💡 The Path Forward:
Stay Long Above $96K: This is the current line in the sand for Bitcoin bulls.
Prepare for $100K Headlines: Expect a flurry of media attention, retail FOMO, and whale profit-taking around this milestone.
Watch for a Breakout Above $108K: If Bitcoin clears this level, we’re looking at $138,000 as the next destination. 🌟
Bitcoin’s path to $100K is inevitable—but how the market reacts to this psychological barrier will shape the next moves. Whether it’s a rejection or a breakout, it’s time to stay sharp and adapt.
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
BTCUSD at 100k. And then what?Sharing an idea about Bitcoin and its potential further path.
Let me know if you agree or not.
CRYPTO:BTCUSD EASYMARKETS:BTCUSD
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BITCOIN - Get Ready To Go Long... Just Not Yet...Here’s a quick video to highlight an upcoming opportunity to go long on Bitcoin and potentially secure impressive profits.
I’m noticing the early stages of a strong upward move, but don’t worry—you haven’t missed out.
Instead of succumbing to FOMO, view this as a signal to approach the market strategically.
Look for clear opportunities and plan your trades wisely.
This isn’t Elliott Wave analysis—this is AriasWave analysis, a more advanced method that can give you a real edge in your trading.
If you want to enhance your market knowledge and trading skills, stick around. I’ll show you how to execute trades effectively, staying disciplined and avoiding emotional decisions by making every trade fully systematic.
This is not financial advice.
WARNING -------We Are HereMartyBoots here , I have been trading for 17 years and sharing my thoughts on Bitcoin.
Bitcoin is looking beautiful , its a great chart with lots of buying pressure
Very similar to Gold back in the 70s
Do not miss out on the next dip as it may be your last chance = this is a great opportunity
Watch the video for more details
BTC | SHORT TERM | ATH OutlookBitcoin is in the process of making new ATH's and this process is called "price discovery mode".
This basically means that we have no indication of possible resistance or support zones. However, there is one method I like to use for price discovery mode - Fibonacci.
This could hold some key information as to where the price of BTC may possible see some rejection, and where it could bounce from.
If you're keen to see the journey, I made an update on my ENTIRE BTC prediction-roadmap. Find it here:
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BINANCE:BTCUSDT