SOL Volatility Period: Around August 18
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(SOLUSDT 1M Chart)
If the price stays above the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart, the uptrend is expected to continue.
If it falls below 126.36, you should stop trading and observe the movement.
Since the HA-High indicator is forming at 179.74, the key question is whether it can find support near this level and rise.
The start of a stepwise uptrend is likely to begin with a rise above 237.60, the DOM (60) indicator level.
Therefore, the key point to watch is whether it can find support in the 179.74-237.60 range.
The DOM (60) indicator indicates the end of a high, while the HA-High indicator indicates a decline from a high.
Therefore, the 179.74-237.60 range can be considered a high boundary zone.
When the DOM (60) or HA-High indicator first forms, a decline is likely.
If the decline is followed by a rise near the HA-High or DOM (60) indicator, the likelihood of an upward breakout increases.
Therefore, if support is found around 179.74 this time, it is highly likely to lead to an attempt to rise above 237.60.
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(1W chart)
The key area to watch on the 1W chart is whether the price can break above the 202.45-222.61 level.
If the price breaks above the 202.45-222.61 level and maintains its upward momentum, a stepwise uptrend is likely to begin.
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(1D chart)
The key area to watch on the 1D chart is whether the price can find support around 179.53-183.04 and rise above 205.70.
The 183.04 point is the HA-High indicator level, and the 205.70 point is the DOM (60) level.
If it falls below 183.04, it is expected to meet the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart and re-establish the trend.
Ultimately, the price must remain above the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart to maintain a strong uptrend.
Therefore, looking at the bigger picture, we need to determine whether the 126.36-179.53 range provides support and allows for an upward movement.
SOL's current volatility period is around August 18th (August 17th-19th).
At this time, we should look for a direction in which it deviates from the 183.04-205.70 range.
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Only the concept of price moving averages, which I learned while studying chart analysis, is applied to the M-Signal indicator on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts.
The rest of the explanation cannot be interpreted using existing chart analysis techniques.
This is because the HA-Low and HA-High indicators were developed for trading on Heikin-Ashi charts, while the DOM(60) and DOM(-60) indicators are a comprehensive evaluation of the DMI, OBV, and MOMENTUM indicators.
Therefore, to interpret my charts, you must apply the concepts of support and resistance points.
It's not that my chart explanations lack logic; they simply seem illogical because they can't be interpreted using existing interpretation methods.
Chart analysis should be as simple and concise as possible.
If you spend too much time analyzing charts or trying to apply complex theories, you will lack time to develop a trading strategy, increasing the likelihood of your trades going in the wrong direction.
To interpret my chart, all you need is a basic understanding of price moving averages and support and resistance.
Support and resistance points are determined by the horizontal lines of the DOM(60), HA-High, HA-Low, and DOM(-60) indicators.
The DOM(60) and HA-High indicators mark highs, while the HA-Low and DOM(-60) indicators mark lows.
Therefore, a basic trading strategy can be used: buy when the price rises from the DOM(-60) to HA-Low range, and sell when it reaches the HA-High to DOM(60) range.
However, if the price rises above the HA-High to DOM(60) range, a stepwise uptrend is likely, while if the price falls below the DOM(-60) to HA-Low range, a stepwise downtrend is likely.
Therefore, a segmented trading strategy should be adopted.
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The basic chart for chart analysis is the 1D chart.
Therefore, it's best to trade in line with the trend of the 1D chart.
Therefore, the position that matches the trend of the 1D chart becomes the main position.
So, since the current trend of SOL's 1D chart is up, the LONG position becomes the main position.
To trade based on the trend of the 1D chart when trading futures, you need to set low leverage.
Therefore, when trading based on the timeframe chart you're viewing, increase your investment proportion when trading in line with the trend of the 1D chart. Conversely, when trading in the opposite direction, reduce your investment proportion and execute short, quick trades.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I wish you successful trading.
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- This is an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I will explain in more detail when the bear market begins.
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Breadth Indicators
Check if the price can hold above 2.9092
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(XRPUSDT 1D Chart)
If the price falls below the 1.5-1.9669 range, a major downtrend is likely to begin.
To maintain the uptrend, the price must hold above the 2.5102-2.6013 range.
If the price falls below the M-Signal on the 1D chart, it is highly likely to meet the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart.
In that sense, we should check for support around the previous all-time high (ATH) area of 2.9092.
The next period of volatility is around August 28th.
However, since BTC's volatility period is around August 24th, you should closely monitor its movements from around that time.
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(1M Chart)
While it's virtually impossible to predict the price as it's currently hitting a new all-time high (ATH), the area marked by a circle could potentially become a resistance zone.
The key is whether the price can maintain its upward momentum above the Fibonacci range of 0.618 (3.2085) on the right and 3.618 (3.2983) on the left.
The Fibonacci range on the left was drawn during the first wave.
-
Thank you for reading.
I wish you successful trading.
--------------------------------------------------
- This is an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I will explain in more detail when the bear market begins.
------------------------------------------------------
Important Area: 0.30771-0.33084
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(TRXUSDT 1D Chart)
TRX is one of those coins (tokens) that has a lot of users, yet feels neglected.
For TRX to maintain its uptrend, the price must remain above the 0.30771-0.33084 range.
The circled areas represent important support and resistance zones.
When the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart rises near the 0.30771-0.33084 range, a price decline below that level is highly likely to trigger a downtrend.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I wish you successful trading.
--------------------------------------------------
- This is an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I will explain in more detail when the bear market begins.
------------------------------------------------------
Next Volatility Period: Around August 24th
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(BTCUSDT 1D Chart)
After this volatility period, the price has re-entered the 115854.56-119177.56 range.
Accordingly, the key question is whether the price can rise after finding support in the 115854.56-119177.56 range.
The next volatility period is around August 24th (August 23rd-25th).
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To determine the volatility period, support and resistance points and trend lines must be drawn on each timeframe chart.
Support and resistance points are drawn using the DOM(60), HA-High, HA-Low, and DOM(-60) indicators included in the HA-MS indicator.
Trend lines are drawn by connecting the points where the K value of the StochRSI indicator forms peaks in overbought or oversold zones.
Therefore, the trend line is drawn by connecting the peaks formed in overbought zones with a high trend line and the peaks formed in oversold zones with a low trend line.
If these two trend lines form a channel, the trend is likely to continue. If the trend lines intersect, a new trend is likely to be created.
(1M Chart)
The trend lines on the 1M chart are not specifically distinguished between high and low trend lines, but are instead displayed in a single color.
This is because we determined that distinguishing between them is unnecessary, as they represent long-term trends.
When creating trend lines, you must use peaks created in overbought or oversold areas.
The 1M chart displays a dotted trend line, which connects points in overbought or oversold areas that do not have peaks.
These trend lines are not used to determine periods of volatility.
(1W Chart)
Draw support and resistance points and trend lines on the 1W chart, just like on the 1M chart.
When possible, draw trend lines only from recently created peaks and delete previously drawn trend lines.
(1D Chart)
Draw support and resistance points and trend lines on the 1D chart, just like on the 1M and 1W charts.
The points where these support and resistance points and trend lines intersect or intersect are used to identify periods of volatility.
When possible, areas where multiple support and resistance points and trend lines intersect or intersect are considered periods of high volatility.
Also, since trend lines on 1M > 1W > 1D charts differ in accuracy, it's best to select points where they intersect more frequently when utilizing trend lines drawn on 1D charts.
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Indicators or other analysis techniques created by others require long-term observation to understand and utilize.
Therefore, rather than defining them as right or wrong, consider them as possible and consistently check real-time data to make them your own.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I wish you successful trading.
--------------------------------------------------
- This is an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I will explain in more detail when the bear market begins.
------------------------------------------------------
ETH's next volatility period: around August 28th
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(ETHUSDT 1D chart)
This volatility period for ETH is expected to last until August 15th.
Therefore, caution is advised when trading.
The key question is whether the price can rise above the previous all-time high (ATH) of 4868.0.
Currently, the key support and resistance levels are 3900.73-4107.80.
Therefore, even if there is a further decline, if the price remains within the 3900.73-4107.80 range or higher, the upward trend is expected to continue.
Currently, the HA-High indicator is formed at 3708.87, so it's important to check whether a new HA-High indicator is formed if a further decline occurs.
The formation of the HA-High indicator indicates a decline from the high, so determining whether support is found near that level is crucial.
While ETH's volatility period is around August 28th, BTC's volatility period is around August 24th. Therefore, it's important to monitor how the price moves during this period.
-
Thank you for reading.
We wish you successful trading.
--------------------------------------------------
- Here's an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I'll explain more in detail when the bear market begins.
------------------------------------------------------
The key is whether it can rise above 5.886.
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I don't necessarily recommend coins (tokens) that exhibit this behavior.
However, if you have spare funds or have or can generate significant profits from other coins (tokens), I think it's worth looking into these coins (tokens) when they're ready to trade.
The key is to maintain the price above the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart.
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(CVXUSDT 1M Chart)
CVX is showing signs of rising above the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart.
If the price remains above the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart, the upward trend is likely to continue.
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(1W Chart)
After a prolonged period of sideways movement, the HA-Low and HA-High indicators on the 1W chart have converged, and the price has risen above the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart.
Therefore, the 2.862-3.412 range is considered a support area.
If it falls below the 2.862-3.412 range, you should stop trading and wait and see how things go.
The DOM (60) indicator is forming at 5.886, so a break above this level is highly likely to initiate a stepwise uptrend.
Therefore, the key question is whether it can find support near 4.116 and rise above 5.886.
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(1D chart)
The key question is whether it can find support in the 4.418-4.902 range and rise.
You should observe the transition from the M-Signal on the 1D chart > the M-Signal on the 1W chart > the M-Signal on the 1M chart.
If the M-Signal indicators are aligned correctly, a full-scale uptrend is likely to begin.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I wish you successful trading.
--------------------------------------------------
- Here's an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I'll explain more in detail when the bear market begins.
------------------------------------------------------
ETH ETF Inflows Surge to $1B; BitMine Eyes $20B ETH AccumulationInvestor confidence in Ethereum is reaching new heights. Spot Ethereum ETFs have recorded a record-breaking inflow of over $1 billion in a single day, marking a significant milestone in institutional adoption of ETH. Among them, one major ETF stood out with an extraordinary $640 million in new capital, signaling renewed conviction in Ethereum’s growth trajectory.
This ETF momentum comes amid broader market sensitivity to macroeconomic developments. Recent U.S. inflation data suggests cooling price pressures, increasing expectations of a September Federal Reserve rate cut — a bullish signal for risk assets like cryptocurrencies.
Behind the headlines, BitMine Immersion Technologies, led by Tom Lee, is ramping up its ETH accumulation strategy. A recent corporate filing shows the company intends to raise up to $20 billion via new stock offerings, aiming to purchase additional ETH and secure a sizable institutional treasury position. Their existing holdings already approach a staggering $5 billion in ETH.
These developments underscore a broader shift: ETH is fast becoming a strategic reserve asset for companies and funds, not merely a speculative holding. The convergence of ETF inflows, on-chain demand, and bullish macro signals points to a sustained rally.
Market impact: While Bitcoin has shown slight retracement amid uncertainty over monetary policy, Ethereum’s strength may indicate a deeper divergence — potentially shifting investor preference toward smart contract platforms with strong real-world use cases.
For investors seeking next-level yield and sustainability, Ethereum continues to emerge as a compelling play. The alignment of institutional flows, strategic corporate treasury decisions, and favorable monetary policy suggests this rally could be more than a technical breakout — it may mark a structural re-evaluation of Ethereum’s role in modern finance.
Support and Resistance Areas: 114454.57-115854.56
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(BTCUSDT 1D Chart)
The K indicator on the StochRSI indicator appears to have entered the overbought zone, leading to a change in slope.
Therefore, the upward trend appears likely to be constrained.
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We need to confirm whether the price falls within the range indicated by the index finger.
The key question is whether there is support around 114454.57-115854.56.
If it declines, it is likely to continue until it meets the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart.
At this point, we need to check for support around 108353.0.
This period of volatility is expected to occur around August 13th (August 12th-14th).
The start of a stepwise uptrend is likely to occur only after it rises above 119177.56.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
We wish you successful trading.
--------------------------------------------------
- This is an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I will explain in more detail when the bear market begins.
------------------------------------------------------
Next Volatility Period: Around August 21
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#TSLA
We need to see if it is rising along the rising channel.
The key is whether it can rise with support near 311.48 to break out of the downtrend line.
The key is whether it can rise along the short-term uptrend line and break through the short-term downtrend line after passing through this volatility period around July 25.
Therefore, we need to see whether it can rise above the 347.21-382.40 range with support near 311.48.
The next volatility period is expected to be around August 21.
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The important thing is to maintain the price above the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart.
If not, there is a possibility of a long-term downtrend.
Therefore, if it shows support in the 268.07-311.48 range, it is a time to buy.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
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The key is whether the price can hold above 3900.73-4107.80
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(ETHUSDT 1D chart)
This period of volatility is expected to last from around August 6th to 14th (maximum from August 5th to 15th).
The key question is whether the price can find support and rise above the 3900.73-4107.80 range after this period of volatility.
The next period of volatility is expected to occur around August 28th, so we need to see if the price can hold until then.
If the price declines, we need to check for support around the HA-High ~ DOM (60) range of 3708.87-3762.33.
If not, there's a chance it could fall below 3265.0-3321.30.
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(1M Chart)
The TC (Trend Check) indicator has risen above 0, suggesting a high possibility of further upside.
Therefore, the key point to watch is whether it can rise above the 4630.26-4868.0 range.
For an uptrend to continue,
- The StochRSI indicator must remain upward with K > D.
(If possible, it's best to avoid K entering the overbought zone.)
- The On-Board Volume (OBV) indicator of the Low Line ~ High Line channel must remain upward.
(If possible, it's best to maintain OBV > OBVEMA.)
- The TC (Trend Check) indicator must remain upward.
(If possible, it should remain above 0.)
If the above conditions are met, the uptrend is likely to continue.
To sustain an uptrend by breaking above key support and resistance levels,
- The StochRSI indicator must remain below the overbought zone and remain above D.
- The On-Board Volume (OBV) indicator of the Low Line ~ High Line channel must rise above the High Line and remain upward.
- The TC (Trend Check) indicator must remain upward. (If possible, it should remain above the 0 point.)
When the above conditions are met, there is a high probability that the price will rise after breaking above important support and resistance levels.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I wish you successful trading.
--------------------------------------------------
- Here's an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I will explain more in detail when the bear market begins.
------------------------------------------------------
Examples of Conditions for Starting a Trade
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This time, I'm going to talk about when to start and when to close a trade.
Trading has no beginning or end.
In other words, you can start a trade at any time and close it at any time.
The only question is whether you can profit from the time you start the trade and when you close it.
Therefore, it's best to be clear about why you need to start trading.
In other words, you need to be able to explain why you need to start trading now.
If you can't, it's best not to start trading.
You should also be able to explain why you're closing the trade now or selling in installments.
If you can't, it's likely that you don't have a well-established trading strategy.
A trading strategy should be developed from a broad perspective.
After that, you should develop a detailed response strategy that stabilizes your psychological state according to price volatility and guides your trading accordingly.
Therefore, a basic trading strategy is essential.
This basic trading strategy may vary depending on your investment style, so it's important to establish a basic trading strategy that suits you.
My basic trading strategy is to buy in the DOM(-60) ~ HA-Low range and sell in the HA-High ~ DOM(60) range.
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To initiate a trade, you can determine whether support is available at important support and resistance levels or areas.
The optimal range for this is when support is found and the price rises in the DOM (-60) ~ HA-Low range.
This corresponds to the conditions for trading on the Heikin-Ashi chart.
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Next, the M-Signal indicators on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts converge and break upward, sustaining the price.
In other words, the price rises when support is found around the current price range of 0.000010612-0.00011445.
This represents an important turning point from a trend perspective.
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If you bought in the above range, the sell range would be 0.00013521-0.00014824.
This sell zone corresponds to the high point, HA-High ~ DOM(60).
This means that a stepwise uptrend, or a full-blown uptrend, is likely to begin only when the price rises above the HA-High ~ DOM(60) range.
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If you start trading at other support and resistance points or zones, it can be difficult to respond to price volatility.
Therefore, it's best to check for support and initiate trading within the DOM(-60) ~ HA-Low and HA-High ~ DOM(60) zones, if possible.
From a trend perspective, if the M-Signal indicators on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts converge, and the price breaks upward and sustains, as is currently the case, trading is possible if support is found at the support and resistance levels near those points.
While this trading method cannot guarantee profit, it is worth developing a trading strategy and attempting it.
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Thank you for reading to the end. I wish you successful trading.
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August is a key turning point
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(ABNB 1M chart)
ABNB is at a key turning point.
The key question is whether it can find support near 126.34 and rise.
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(1D chart)
The key is whether the price can rise after finding support in the 126.34-133.72 range.
If it falls below 133.72,
1st: 112.91-118.67
2nd: 97.35-106.30
We need to check for support near the 1st and 2nd levels above.
We'll have to wait and see whether this decline is temporary.
This is because the Low Line ~ High Line channel's On-By-Volume (OBV) indicator shows convergence between the Low Line and High Line.
The next period of volatility is expected to begin around August 20th.
-
Thank you for reading.
I wish you successful trading.
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The key is whether it can rise above 590.0
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(BCHUSDT 1M Chart)
If the price holds above 473.4, it is expected to attempt to rise above 678.7.
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(1D chart)
The key is whether the price can find support in the 541.9-572.6 range and rise above 590.0.
If it falls below 541.9, we need to check for support near 473.4.
The upward trend is expected to continue only if it breaks above the intermediate-term trend line.
-
Thank you for reading.
I wish you successful trading.
--------------------------------------------------
- This is an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I will explain in more detail when the bear market begins.
------------------------------------------------------
Next Volatility Period: Around August 13th (August 12th-14th)
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(USDT 12M Chart)
A lot of money has been flowing into the coin market through USDT.
A decline in USDT indicates capital outflow from the coin market.
(USDT.D 12M chart)
As USDT continues to rise, its dominance naturally rises.
However, if USDT is used to purchase coins (tokens) in the coin market, its dominance will decline.
USDT dominance peaked in 2022 and is showing a downward trend.
This indicates that a significant amount of capital flowing into the coin market was used to purchase coins (tokens).
USDT dominance is expected to fall to around 2.84 this year before beginning an upward trend, marking the end of its three-year bull market.
I believe this trend will inject new vitality into the coin market.
For the coin market to maintain an upward trend, USDT dominance must remain below 4.91 or show a downward trend.
If this fails and the price rises above 4.91, the coin market is likely already in a downward trend.
A decline occurred on May 8, 2025, creating a reverse trend.
To maintain this reverse trend, we need to see if it can fall below 4.24.
If USDT dominance declines, the coin market is likely to show an upward trend.
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(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
As the new week begins, the HA-High indicator on the 1W chart is showing signs of forming a new level at 114454.57.
Accordingly, the key question is whether the price can rise after finding support in the 114454.57-115854.56 range.
The formation of the HA-High indicator means that the price has fallen from its high.
This also means that further declines are highly likely.
Therefore, if possible, the price should rise above the 114454.57-115854.56 range and maintain its upward momentum.
This period of volatility is expected to last until August 6th.
Therefore, the key question is whether the price can rise above the 114454.57-115854.56 range after the volatility period.
If not, we assume the price will decline until it meets the HA-Low indicator and consider countermeasures accordingly.
This is because the HA-Low and HA-High indicators are paired.
As the price declines, indicators such as the HA-Low or DOM(-60) may appear.
Therefore, if the price declines, you should monitor for the emergence of indicators such as the HA-Low or DOM(-60).
The basic trading strategy is to buy between the DOM(-60) and HA-Low ranges and sell between the HA-High and DOM(60) ranges.
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If the price falls below the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart, it is highly likely that the trend will be re-established upon meeting the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart.
Therefore, if the price fails to rise to the 114454.57-115854.56 range, it is highly likely that the price will eventually meet the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart.
At this time, a key support and resistance level is expected to be around 108353.0.
When new support and resistance levels are formed, they must remain horizontal for at least three candlesticks to function as support and resistance.
In other words, the HA-High indicator on the 1W chart is showing signs of forming, but it hasn't yet.
Therefore, if the current price holds this week, it will form next week.
Therefore, for the HA-High indicator to function properly as support and resistance, it must remain horizontal for three candlesticks, or three weeks.
This rule must be acquired through significant time and observation.
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If you sold partially in the 115854.56-119177.56 range according to your basic trading strategy, you will find it easier to observe the current movement. If not, you will likely become anxious.
The key to trading is maintaining a stable psychological state.
If you begin to feel anxious, you should consider how to stabilize your psychological state.
Otherwise, you'll end up making the wrong trades.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I wish you successful trading.
--------------------------------------------------
- Here's an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I'll explain more in detail when the bear market begins.
------------------------------------------------------
Check if it can rise to around 0.5452
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(AUSDT 1D chart)
It hasn't been long since EOS changed to A.
Nevertheless, the formation of the HA-Low and HA-High indicators suggests that a wave has begun to form.
However, since the DOM (-60) indicator hasn't yet formed, if it fails to find support from the HA-Low indicator, further declines could occur, so we need to consider countermeasures.
With the HA-Low and HA-High indicators in place, we can now trade in line with our basic trading strategy.
In other words, this refers to a trade where you buy in the DOM(-60) ~ HA-Low range and sell in the HA-High ~ DOM(60) range.
This ultimately refers to a trading strategy within a box range.
Trend trading strategies proceed by either rising in the HA-High ~ DOM(60) range or falling in the DOM(-60) ~ HA-Low range.
In other words, a rise in the HA-High ~ DOM(60) range is likely to lead to a stepwise uptrend, while a decline in the DOM(-60) ~ HA-Low range is likely to lead to a stepwise downtrend.
In this sense, key support and resistance levels are the 0.5013 point and the 0.5847-0.6238 range.
Currently, the price is rising above 0.5013, so if support is found around 0.5013, it would be a good time to buy.
The first sell zone is around 0.5452, where a volume profile zone has formed.
If the price rises above this level and maintains, it is expected to continue upward, likely reaching the 0.5847-0.6238 range.
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The low trendline has not yet been formed.
The low of the candlestick indicated by the finger is the first selection point for drawing the low trendline.
Since a high trendline has been formed, we should also examine whether the price can rise along the high trendline.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I wish you successful trading.
--------------------------------------------------
- This is an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I will explain in more detail when the bear market begins.
------------------------------------------------------
Important Trend Determination Area: 3708.87-3762.33
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(ETHUSDT 1D Chart)
The price began to rise after breaking above the important 2419.83-2706.15 area.
This can be interpreted as the beginning of a step-up trend, with an upward breakout of the HA-High ~ DOM(60) range.
The HA-High ~ DOM(60) range corresponds to the 2581.59-2681.60 range.
This suggests that the price is currently testing whether a second step-up trend will continue or whether it will simply end as the first step-up trend.
The HA-High ~ DOM(60) range is currently 3708.87-3762.33.
Therefore, if the price rises above 3708.87-3762.33 and maintains this level through the upcoming volatility period, a second step-up trend is expected.
The conditions for this are as follows:
- The K value of the StochRSI indicator must rise from the oversold zone and show an upward trend with K > D. - The OBV indicator must rise above the High Line and maintain an upward trend.
- The TC (Trend Check) indicator must continue its upward trend. (If possible, it's best to stay above 0.)
The next volatility period for ETH is expected to last from around August 6th to 10th.
However, it's worth keeping an eye on the movements during the BTC volatility period.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I wish you successful trading.
--------------------------------------------------
- This is an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I will explain in more detail when the bear market begins.
------------------------------------------------------
The key is whether it can rise above 115854.56
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(BTCUSDT 1W chart)
The key is whether it can rise above the newly created DOM (60) indicator point of 119086.64.
If this fails and the price declines, we need to check for support near the previous all-time high (ATH) of 108,353.0.
Since the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart is rising near 108,353.0, this area is expected to serve as important support and resistance.
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(1D chart)
This period of volatility is expected to continue until August 6th.
Therefore, the key question is whether the price can rise above 115,854.56 and maintain its upward momentum.
If not, further declines are likely.
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To rise above 115,856.56,
- The StochRSI indicator must rise within the oversold zone and remain above K > D.
- The On-Bottom Volume indicator must continue its upward trend with OBV > OBVEMA. - The TC (Trend Check) indicator should maintain an upward trend. (If possible, it's best to rise above the 0 point.)
If the above conditions are met and the price rises above 115854.56, it is expected to attempt to rise above 119177.56.
This period of volatility is a significant period of volatility.
Therefore, if the price falls below the HA-High ~ DOM(60) range and encounters resistance during this period, you should prepare for further declines.
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The basic trading strategy is to buy in the DOM(-60) ~ HA-Low range and sell in the HA-High ~ DOM(60) range.
However, if the price rises in the HA-High ~ DOM(60) range, a stepwise upward trend is likely, while a decline in the DOM(-60) ~ HA-Low range is likely to result in a stepwise downward trend.
Therefore, a split trading strategy is recommended as the basic trading strategy.
When executing a trade, appropriate profit taking secures the liquidity of your investment, giving you the opportunity to seize new opportunities.
To achieve this, you should consider your intended investment horizon before initiating the trade and divide the trade accordingly.
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The HA-Low indicator on the 1D chart is currently at 89294.25.
Therefore, I believe the market believes it's in a position to take profit.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I wish you successful trading.
--------------------------------------------------
- This is an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I will explain in more detail when the bear market begins.
------------------------------------------------------
The key point to watch is whether it can rise to 3900.73-4107.80
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(ETHUSDT 1D Chart)
The upward trend continues, with the M-Signal on the 1D chart > M-Signal on the 1W chart > M-Signal on the 1M chart.
Therefore, if the price holds above 3265.0-3321.30, a medium- to long-term uptrend is likely.
Currently, the HA-High ~ DOM(60) range is formed across the 3265.0-3762.33 range on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts.
Therefore, the key question is whether support is found within the 3265.0-3762.33 range.
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While the price is trending upward along the short-term trendline, if it falls below the short-term trendline and encounters resistance by falling below the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart, a decline to the 3265.0-3321.30 range is likely.
ETH's volatility period is expected to last from August 6th to 10th.
The key point to watch is whether it can rise above the 3900.73-4107.80 range after this volatility period.
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Since the StochRSI indicator has entered an oversold zone, the downside is likely to be limited.
Since the OBV indicator of the Low Line ~ High Line channel remains OBV > OBVEMA, a significant decline is unlikely.
However, since the TC (Trend Check) indicator is below zero, selling pressure is dominant.
Therefore, a decline below 3708.87 could lead to further declines. However, as previously mentioned, the decline is likely to be limited, so a significant decline is not expected.
Once the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart is encountered, the trend is expected to re-establish itself.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I wish you successful trading.
--------------------------------------------------
- This is an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I will explain in more detail when the bear market begins.
------------------------------------------------------
AMOC - Beware of the bear trap - only for shareholders EGX:AMOC timeframe: 1 hour
Prices continue to rise, forming a higher top than the previous one,
but MACD shows a negative divergence.
RSI indicates bearish dominance despite the price increase.
High volume with a gap, unsupported by other indicators, suggests possible distribution.
Stop loss (profit-saving) at 7.62.
This is not financial advice, just our analysis based on chart data. Consult your account manager before investing.
Thanks and good luck!
Important Volatility Period: August 2nd - 5th
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-------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT 1M Chart)
Let's take a moment to check the trend before the new month begins.
There have been two major declines so far, and a third major decline is expected next year.
For the reason, please refer to the "3-Year Bull Market, 1-Year Bear Market Pattern" section below.
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My target point for 2025 is around the Fibonacci ratio of 2.618 (133889.92).
However, if the price surges further, it could touch the Fibonacci range of 3 (151018.77) to 3.14 (157296.36).
If it rises above 133K, it's expected that prices will never fall below 43823.59 again.
Since the HA-Low indicator hasn't yet been created on the 1M chart, we need to monitor whether it appears when a downtrend begins.
Based on the current trend, the HA-Low indicator is expected to form around 73499.86.
More details will likely be available once the movement begins.
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The basic trading strategy involves buying in the DOM(-60) ~ HA-Low range and selling in the HA-High ~ DOM(60) range.
However, if the price rises above the HA-High ~ DOM(60) range, a step-up trend is likely, while if the price falls below the DOM(-60) ~ HA-Low range, a step-down trend is likely.
Therefore, the basic trading strategy should be a segmented trading approach.
The further away from the HA-High indicator, the more likely it is that the DOM(60) indicator will act as a strong resistance when it forms.
Therefore, if the current price and the HA-High indicator are trading far apart, and the DOM(60) indicator forms, it is expected to face significant resistance.
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Looking at the current trend formation, the high trend line is drawn correctly, but the low trend line is not.
This is because the StochRSI indicator failed to enter the oversold zone.
Therefore, the low trend line is marked with a dotted line, not a solid line.
Therefore, what we should pay attention to is the high trend line.
We need to see if the uptrend can continue along the high trend line.
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(1D chart)
If we use the trend lines drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts to predict periods of volatility, the periods around August 5th and August 13th are significant periods of volatility.
By breaking this down further, the volatility periods are around July 31st, August 2nd-5th, and August 13th.
Therefore, trading strategies should be developed based on the assumption that the volatility period extends from July 30th to August 14th.
The current price is moving sideways in the 115,854.56-119,177.56 range.
This range, the HA-High ~ DOM (60), is a crucial area to consider for support.
This will determine whether the price will continue its upward trend by rising above 119,177.56, or whether it will turn downward by falling below 115,854.56.
If the price falls below 115854.56, it is expected to meet the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart and reestablish the trend.
The HA-High indicator on the 1W chart is forming at 99705.62, and the DOM (60) indicator on the 1W chart is forming at 119086.64.
Therefore, when the price declines, it is important to check where the HA-High indicator on the 1W chart forms and determine whether there is support near that point.
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The On-Board Value (OBV) indicator within the Low Line ~ High Line channel is showing a downward trend.
If the OBV falls below the Low Line, the price is expected to plummet.
Therefore, it is necessary to closely monitor the movements of the OBV indicator.
The Trend Check indicator is a comprehensive evaluation of the StochRSI, PVT-MACD Oscillator, and On-Board Value (OBV) indicator.
The TC (Trend Check) indicator interprets a rise from the 0 point as a buying trend, while a decline indicates a selling trend.
In other words, a rise from the 0 point is likely to indicate an uptrend, while a decline is likely to indicate a downtrend.
Currently, the TC (Trend Check) indicator is below the 0 point, suggesting a high probability of a downtrend.
However, if the TC (Trend Check) indicator touches a high or low, the trend may reverse.
In other words, touching a high increases the likelihood of a reversal from an uptrend to a downtrend, while touching a low increases the likelihood of a reversal from a downtrend to an uptrend.
When such movements occur, it's important to consider the support and resistance levels formed around the price level to determine a response.
In other words, consider the support and resistance levels formed at the current price level.
As a significant period of volatility approaches, prepare to transition from box trading to trend trading.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I wish you successful trading.
--------------------------------------------------
- Here's an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I'll explain more in detail when the bear market begins.
------------------------------------------------------
Check if the second step-up trend can be maintained
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If you "Follow" us, you'll always get the latest information quickly.
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(TRXUSDT 1M Chart)
We need to see if the price can sustain itself by rising above the left Fibonacci level 3.618 (0.3607) and the right Fibonacci level 1 (0.3742).
When the next monthly candlestick is formed, we need to check the movements of the supporting indicators.
-
(1W Chart)
The DOM (60) indicator on the 1W chart is showing signs of forming a new trend.
Accordingly, we need to examine whether a rise above the left Fibonacci level of 3.618 (0.3607) will trigger a new wave.
The left Fibonacci level was created during the first rising wave.
Therefore, if the price rises above the left Fibonacci level of 3.618 (0.3607), a new wave is expected to form.
Since the HA-High indicator on the 1W chart is formed at 0.2683, if the price declines, support near 0.2683 will be crucial.
-
(1D chart)
If the price maintains above the 0.3079-0.3261 range, further upside is expected.
For the price to rise above the left Fibonacci ratio of 3.618 (0.3607) and the right Fibonacci ratio of 1 (0.3742), the OBV indicator of the Low Line ~ High Line channel must rise above the High Line and remain above it.
However, since the StochRSI indicator has entered an overbought zone, the upward movement may be limited.
Therefore, we need to consider how to reset the indicator.
-
The price is continuing a stepwise upward trend, rising above the HA-HIgh indicator.
It is currently in its second stepwise upward movement.
Therefore, the key is whether the price can sustain above the HA-High indicator.
Whether a third stepwise upward movement occurs will depend on whether the price can sustain itself around or above the 0.3079-0.3261 level.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I wish you successful trading.
--------------------------------------------------
- Here's an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I'll explain more in detail when the bear market begins.
------------------------------------------------------
XRP Eyes $4? Analyst Says ‘Most Profitable Phase’ May Have BegunAs the broader crypto market shows signs of recovery, XRP is once again capturing investor attention—this time with bold forecasts of a surge toward $4.00, driven by technical momentum, market sentiment, and expanding real-world utility.
According to crypto analyst Darren Chu, CFA, founder of Tradable Patterns, XRP may be entering its “most profitable phase” since its 2021 rally. The token has posted a 20% gain over the last three weeks, breaking key resistance levels and displaying stronger correlation with broader altcoin inflows.
“XRP has the ideal confluence of legal clarity, technical breakout, and network traction,” Chu explained in a recent research note. “The conditions now resemble the early stages of major cyclical surges we’ve seen in past bull runs.”
Legal and Regulatory Tailwinds
Since Ripple Labs’ partial legal victory against the U.S. SEC in 2023—where a federal judge ruled that XRP is not a security when traded on exchanges—the asset has regained credibility among institutional players. Multiple crypto funds and ETFs have added exposure, and on-chain wallet growth has accelerated.
This legal clarity has paved the way for Ripple to resume aggressive expansion of its payment corridors, especially in Latin America and Asia-Pacific.
Real-World Utility as a Demand Catalyst
Unlike many Layer 1 tokens with purely speculative value, XRP benefits from real-world utility as a bridge asset for global payments. RippleNet, the enterprise-grade payment network built on XRP, now boasts over 300 financial institutions using or piloting XRP-based settlement infrastructure.
In July, Ripple announced its latest partnership with Banco Bradesco, one of Brazil’s largest banks, to streamline USD/BRL remittances—a deal expected to drive significant volume on-chain.
Analysts note that real-world utility may now be priced into XRP’s valuation at a discount, creating room for catch-up as adoption increases.
Technical Analysis Points Toward Breakout
From a technical standpoint, XRP has breached its multi-month descending channel, with daily trading volume rising 35% over the past two weeks. Analysts are watching the $0.92–$1.00 range as a short-term hurdle. If broken, momentum could accelerate quickly toward $1.50, and potentially as high as $3.80–$4.20, according to Fibonacci-based projections.
“The breakout setup is textbook,” says Chu. “We’re seeing volume confirmation, RSI divergence, and a broader macro narrative—all aligning.”
Risk and Reward: A Balanced View
Of course, XRP is not without risks. Pending SEC appeals, macro volatility, and delays in Ripple’s expansion plans could temper the pace of gains. Still, many investors are betting that the risk-reward profile is increasingly asymmetric in XRP’s favor.
In the eyes of analysts and asset managers alike, XRP is now more than a litigation story—it’s a comeback story.
For those seeking exposure to a large-cap crypto with strong fundamentals, legal clarity, and real-world traction, the message from the market is clear: XRP’s most profitable phase may have just begun.






















