NFLX: 40% Discount + RSI Divergence = Massive Reversal SetupNFLX Weekly Reversal: Path to $123 📈
Netflix (NFLX): Bottom Is In!
NFLX: 200 SMA Bounce & Fundamental Discount.
📌 Market Context & Technical Breakdown
After a prolonged corrective phase, Netflix (NFLX) is showing strong technical and fundamental signs that its long-term bearish trend is near completion. The price action on the weekly chart is aligning with multiple confluence factors pointing toward a major bullish setup:
1. Rebound from 200 SMA & Wedge Bottom
Key Moving Average Support: The price recently tested and respected the 200-Period Simple Moving Average (200 SMA) on the weekly chart , which serves as a long-term macro trend floor.
Falling Wedge Pattern: NFLX has been contracting inside a multi-month descending wedge. The stock recently bounced cleanly off the bottom trendline of this structure, confirming robust demand at these structural lows.
2. Bullish RSI Momentum Divergence
Momentum Shift: While price printed lower lows into the bottom of the wedge, the RSI (14) registered distinct higher lows on the weekly chart.
Exhaustion Signal: This classic bullish divergence signals that seller exhaustion has set in, paving the way for buyers to initiate a new macro uptrend.
📊 Fundamental Valuation: Deep Discount
In addition to the technical reversal pattern, NFLX offers an attractive valuation metric for long-term investors:
P/E Ratio Compression: NFLX currently trades at a P/E of 23.32, which is historically very low compared to its long-term historical average P/E of 59.93.
Intrinsic Value Estimate: Based on an intrinsic value calculation of $120.00, NFLX is currently trading at roughly a 40% discount to its fair value.
🎯 Price Scenarios & Action Plan:
🟩 Scenario 1: Primary Path (High Probability)
Execution: Breakout and continuation through upper wedge resistance.
Targets:
Target 1: $90.00 (First major resistance / structural level)
Target 2: $103.00 (Key psychological & intermediate target)
Target 3: $123.00 (Major resistance coinciding with intrinsic value area)
🟦 Scenario 2: Deep Retest / Aggressive Buy Zone (Low Probability)
Trigger: A secondary market-wide pullback pushing NFLX down toward the $60.00 support level (bottom of the wedge).
Execution: Aggressive Buy Zone.
Next Targets: Upon holding $60.00 support, price is projected to resume the macro bullish path toward $90.00, $103.00, and $123.00.
Rationale: While the probability of retesting $60 is low given current momentum signals, any dip to this zone presents a prime, high-R/R accumulation opportunity for long-term investors.
🛡️ Risk Management Strategy
Approach: Long-Term Buy & Hold
Stop Loss: None Set
Rationale: Given the long-term investment horizon, deep fundamental undervaluation (~40% discount), and strong macro support at the 200 SMA, short-term market noise and volatility will be absorbed without setting a strict technical stop loss.
💡 Key Takeaway for Investors
The confluence of the 200 SMA support, wedge pattern bounce, weekly bullish RSI divergence, and a ~40% fundamental discount relative to intrinsic value indicates that the macro downtrend is nearly over. Investors should monitor the upper wedge breakout for continuation toward $90, $103, and $123. 
Long
Silver 4H Long: FVG Retest + VWAP Reclaim SetupHello guys,
Silver is sitting in an interesting decision zone.
After printing a double bottom around 55.65, price started to regain momentum to the upside. That low is important because sellers had multiple chances to continue lower, but price stopped accepting below that zone.
Now we are seeing a cleaner structure.
Price bounced from the lows, then came back to retest the previous FVG zone formed during the reversal leg. For me, that retest is important. I don’t want to chase the first bounce. I want to see if the market can come back into the imbalance, hold it, and start building continuation from there.
There is also extra context from market profile.
We have a 1D NPOC nearby and single prints from the TPO chart, which makes this area a real decision zone instead of a random support level.
The key confirmation now is the VWAP cluster.
Price still needs to break and hold above the WTD VWAP and MTD VWAP, which are sitting close together. When multiple VWAPs cluster in the same area, that zone often becomes a major decision level. A reclaim above that cluster would show buyers gaining control and strengthen the long setup.
The trade idea:
Entry: 60.32
Stop: 58.43
Target: 68.25
RR: 4.2R
Target around 68.25 is the bigger confluence zone, where we have the Daily 50 EMA, Daily 200 EMA, and delta profile imbalances.
The setup is simple:
Double bottom at 55.65
Momentum shift to the upside
Retest of previous FVG
1D NPOC + TPO single prints nearby
WTD + MTD VWAP cluster as confirmation
Targeting the 68.25 confluence zone
Invalidation is below the FVG at 58.43.
All the best, 
Long
Has Wall Street Forgotten About Nike?Hello guys,
Nike has been one of the weakest large-cap stocks over the past few years, losing more than 60% from its highs and trading near levels last seen over a decade ago. While the long-term trend remains bearish, I think the stock is approaching an interesting area from a risk/reward perspective.
NKE is currently trading around major daily Fair Value Gap created back in October 2014 around the $40.40 zone. This area has already attracted buyers and could become a potential bottoming zone for a larger bounce into the end of 2026.
What caught my attention is the recent improvement in momentum. RSI is starting to curve higher, the blue momentum wave has crossed back above the zero line, and money flow is beginning to turn up from depressed levels. Meanwhile, Week-to-Date, Month-to-Date and Quarter VWAP are clustered around current price, while the Daily 50 EMA continues to act as the main resistance level.
If this ends up being the 2026 bottom, my next major target would be the daily Fair Value Gap from February 2026 around $63.71, representing roughly 46% upside from current levels.
For now, I remain cautiously bullish while price continues to hold this support zone. 
Long
BTC: Is 62.3K the Local Bottom?
BTC recently swept the 62.4K–62.25K support zone and found buyers exactly where I was expecting a reaction. Since then, price has bounced and is now retesting a 4H Fair Value Gap, which makes this area interesting from a risk/reward perspective.
What stands out to me is that while price made a higher low, momentum waves printed a hidden bullish divergence. At the same time, money flow is starting to curve back up from depressed levels, suggesting that bearish momentum may be losing strength.
If this setup continues to develop, I think this could be a solid long opportunity with a relatively well-defined invalidation below the recent lows. Above current price, there is still a large pool of liquidity resting around the recent highs. We also have a Naked POC near 67.5K and single prints around 68.4K, which could both act as upside magnets if price starts accepting back above the current range.
For now, I see the 62.25K–62.4K zone as an important area to hold. As long as buyers remain in control, a move back toward the highs, into the 67.5K Naked POC, and potentially toward the 68.4K single prints looks like a reasonable scenario.
As long as 62.3K holds, I remain bullish... 
Long
Short 
Long
XAUUSD Buyers Step In — Market Aiming for $4,140 RetestHello traders! Let’s take a look at XAUUSD (Gold). XAUUSD maintains a bullish structure after bouncing from the key $4,050–$4,060 support zone, where price also retested the ascending trendline. After breaking out of the descending channel, Gold formed a new accumulation zone and moved higher, approaching the strong $4,140 resistance level. The price is now trading between the ascending support and the local supply zone near $4,140, forming a tightening structure. A breakout above this level could open the way for further upside, while a rejection may trigger a correction back toward $4,060. As long as XAUUSD holds above $4,060 and the ascending trendline, a renewed move toward $4,140 remains likely, with potential for a breakout. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀 
Long
Long
Long
Long
Long
Long
SPX: MTF Cluster Support at 5,810 with EMA Confirmation StrategyCurrent Technical Setup
The SP:SPX is testing a significant cluster support level at 5,810, identified by FibExtender Pro with multiple timeframe confluence. The price has shown a clear reaction at this level, making it a potential launching point for a bullish move.
Entry Conditions
Primary Triggers Required:
8 EMA crossing above 34 EMA on 30-minute chart (currently bearish)
Price breaking above last swing high at 5,850
Price holding above cluster support at 5,810
Price Targets
First target: 6,000 (psychological level and major cluster resistance - 4 levels)
Second target: 6,170 (cluster resistance - 3 levels)
Risk Management
Stop Loss Parameters:
Place stops below 5,810 cluster support
Exit if price fails to hold above EMAs after entry
Cancel setup if entry triggers aren't activated
Timeframe Analysis
30-Minute Chart:
Currently bearish configuration
8 EMA below 34 EMA
Waiting for bullish crossover and Price breaking above last swing high at 5,850
Weekly Chart:
Strong bullish structure
Moving averages stacked positively
5,810 cluster support adds confluence
50 EMA > 200 EMA (bullish)
Time-Based Considerations
The January 13 time cluster provides an additional layer of confluence for potential trend reversal. This timing aligns with Fibonacci principles suggesting higher probability setups when time and price zones converge.
Special Notes
The mixed signals between timeframes require patience. The weekly chart provides a strong bullish foundation, but entry must wait for 30-minute confirmation signals to align. The setup becomes invalid if price breaks below cluster support without triggering entry conditions. 
Long
Long
Long
Long
Long
Long 
Long
Long 
Long
