$XME is a weird one, ill be honest. on the Weeklies, the trend is up, but on the dailies its starting to look very top heavy. MACD is signalling a sell, The one bright thing here is that we are near some major support, last attempt bounced this baby for 12 days. A break below this lever will open up a clear move to the 27 handle... The idea here is to Sell a Call...
After the "healthy" correction, kc touched the 100 day MA around 153 as indicated previously as a potential target. Furthermore, we are hitting the lower end of the trend channel (blue).
I am looking for some support coming in here.
As vol softened during the sell off, threeways, selling put spread, buying call seem to be good long market, long vega strategies...
The bitcoin price broke recently the $750 resistance... but not for long.
Observing the price action, a potential short oportunity would be to wait for a lower top (lower than $753) to be formed.
Then one can start selling calls or call spreads at the $760 or $780 strike price.
Last time I checked at deribit.com (an options and futures exchange) the bids were...
Crude is nearing the target of 52 after the breakout of the triangle after the OPEC meeting a couple weeks ago.
RSI and Stochastik are now very much overbought and even generated some sell signals. Also, as of now, there is a divergence in stochastik and RSI indicating the market is due for a correction sideways or lower. Without any fundamental news a correction...
Update on a upsloping trendline (blue) which acts as resistance
On the 5 hour chart, we should have generated a sell signal.
I still remain short via puyt spread 1x2s, as frost is no longer an issue. It appears the market is still digesting this from last week and should correct lower IMHO as physical supplies out of Brazil remain steady.
Warehouse stocks in...
Seems like no frost in Brazil. It was a busy weeks last week and throughout the weekend with fears a frost could hit coffee areas. None has been confirmed and worst fears did not play out.
Once all of this is digested I expect some downside opportunities as the market goes back into trading technicals rather than emotions.
Quite oversold and we saw sell...
As we see some support is coming in from our longer term trend channel as well as the lower Bbands.
So far the last three weeks have provided with the expected sideways action once reaching 50.
Selling calls has been the right strategy so far (51, 52 and 53 calls).
At this support I am covering my short calls, but will hold of selling any put spreads to see how...
Still anticipating ranging markets. Opened a couple Bear/Credit Call Spread at $211/$216. I'm using a $5 spread because the R/R is better than $10 spread.
Credit = $2.25 (net $2.14)
Break even = $213.14
* I likely will not hold on till expiration. I would use a SPY price drop to take profits and remove the risk.
Gold bounced off of the support area for now
Light volume during recent bounce indicates this is a retracement in the downtrend
--> I threw in some Fibs to indicate where overhead resistance lies.
- 7 day MA (currently there); a break would suggest the 20 day MA or the 38% FIb as target (1240ish)
- 23% Fib at 1224, 38% Fib at 1240