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Candlestick Analysis

Bitcoin has now confirmed the Golden ratio supportWhether it is chart analysis of human emotions (that is what we’re charting, emotions, not price action), the distribution of petals on a flower (which allows for the best possible exposure to sunlight), the growth of a snails shell, there you will find the Fibonacci 0.618. Don’t ask me why, that’s a philosophical rabbit hole that raises more questions than answers, just accept it happens. And thus, it has shown itself once more as support on Bitcoin price action. That is important. Look left. The calls for a bearish move in price action have never been louder. Just look at the ideas now published on tradingview.com or on social media. 5 minutes of doom scrolling and you too will feel like the end is near. What do the facts of the chart say? 1) On the above 2-week chart price action is shown with the Golden ratio multiplier. (The green line). 2) When looking left together with point (1) in mind AND stochastic RSI ‘d’ line crossing up 40 (blue circles) indicates an explosive move in price action is about to occur. 3) There is one more thing, support and resistance. On the monthly chart (below) we can see a very important candle has printed. Do you know what it is? Regardless, it is telling support has now confirmed on past resistance. I need your bite, hit the like. Ww Monthly chart
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by without_worries
7
ETH 4H Analysis - Key Triggers Ahead | Day 19😃 Hey , how's it going ? Come over here — Satoshi got something for you! ⏰ We’re analyzing ETH on the 4-Hour timeframe. 🔭 ETH 4H Chart: Observing Ethereum on the 4-hour timeframe, after breaking the midline of the box, ETH closed above the box. Then, following the news, it formed a shadow that hit the lower box level, triggering a series of buy orders. Now, we’re watching to see if ETH will continue upward. The overall trend behind ETH is still bullish, and a breakout above the multi-timeframe range could push it toward the box’s top again. ⛏ Key RSI Levels: ETH’s RSI is around 70 and 50. A breach of these levels could signal the start of a move, especially following today’s inflation news impact. 💰 Candle Size & Volume: Green candle sizes and volume have increased. Yesterday, $164M of ETH was bought via ETFs, which is notable. 🪙 ETHBTC 4H Chart: Observing the ETH/BTC pair on the 4-hour timeframe, this pair tends to act slightly more precisely compared to ETH/USDT. Currently, it’s trading within a box with declining volume. News caused a reaction at the top of the box. If the box’s top breaks, a significant amount of BTC could convert into ETH, potentially pumping the ETH/USDT pair as well. 🔔 Entry & Target Zones: A potential early entry is around $4443, with the box top at $4500 — a strong resistance. If ETH breaks this level, it could aim for a new ATH. Make sure to confirm across multiple timeframes before taking a position. ❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
Long
by CryptosWinter
Focus on CPI, 3640, 3620 long and short key pointsThe market focuses on CPI data, and in the short term 3640-3660 becomes the dividing line between bulls and bears for gold. From the news perspective, due to the sharp decline in employment rate, the employment and economic environment in the United States have been affected, and a September interest rate cut is almost a foregone conclusion, which has prompted the recent continuous rise in gold prices. Whether the interim high of 3675 means that gold has peaked remains to be seen. From a technical perspective, gold rebounded yesterday to correct Tuesday's decline, reaching a high of around 3657 before continuing its technically bearish downward trend and retreating to around 3640. Today, gold's overall volatility in the Asian and European sessions was limited, with 3640-3660 forming a short-term upper pressure, also becoming the dividing line between bulls and bears. If the CPI data is bullish for gold, the first thing gold needs to do is to break through the short-term pressure of 3640-3660. Once it breaks through strongly and stabilizes above 3660, gold will continue to rise and is expected to set a new high of 690-3700. On the contrary, if the CPI unexpectedly falls short, gold will only rebound tentatively but will be unable to break through the short-term suppression of 3640-3660, then the bears will officially counterattack and the market will briefly bid farewell to the bulls. A break below 3600 would target the key support level of 3580. In summary, focus on the 3640-3660 resistance level and the 3620-3610 support level. If the European session sees a pullback to support without a break, a small, light position can be considered, For cautious traders, it's advisable to set the stop-loss order with a buffer of $3-5, depending on their account size.with a potential profit target of $10-$30. More conservative traders can wait for the CPI data before entering a trade.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Allen_Boswell
Electronic Arts: Breakout and PullbackElectronic Arts broke out to new all-time highs last month, and now it’s pulled back. The first pattern on today’s chart is the bullish gap on August 11 following a successful test of its Battlefield 6 video game. Combined with a strong quarterly report on July 29, those moves could reflect positive fundamentals. Second is $167.01, an old record weekly closing high from December 6. EA has tested below that level in recent sessions but remained above it. Has old resistance become new support? Third, Wednesday’s session saw a higher high and lower low. That kind of bullish outside candle may be viewed as evidence of buying activity. EA also closed above its 21-day exponential moving average, a potentially positive short-term signal. Next, the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) is above the 100-day SMA. Both are above the 200-day SMA. That recent alignment, with faster SMAs above slower ones, may suggest a long-term bullish trend has begun. Finally, stochastics are rebounding from an oversold condition. TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options and futures. If you're born to trade, we could be for you. See our Overview for more. Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options or futures); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at www.TradeStation.com . Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on www.TradeStation.com . System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors. Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association, and a number of exchanges. TradeStation Securities, Inc. and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., both operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Visit www.TradeStation.com for further important information explaining what this means.
NASDAQ:EA
by TradeStation
Focus on CPI, beware of unexpected surprisesThe market focuses on CPI data, which is unlikely to fluctuate significantly in the short term. Although it has fallen below the recent support of 3620, buying below is still strong, so don't chase the short position. From the news and other recent data, it can be seen that the weak US employment data has suppressed the economy, forcing the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates. The current market basically assumes that 25 basis points has become a reality, so the possibility of positive CPI data is relatively high. If the CPI data is positive for gold, it will first test the resistance level of 3640-3660. If the data triggers a strong rally, gold could potentially reach new highs, aiming for 3690-3700. However, the previous NFP data was also crucial, but the result was a surprise. Therefore, we cannot rule out the possibility of a similar surprise with the CPI data. If the CPI data is bearish for gold, it will first test 3600 below. Once it falls below 3600, it will go to 3580. The above content is just an analysis of the possible trend of gold, which you can refer to. If the European session retreats again to 3620-3610 without breaking, you can try to go long with a light position, and the ideal target is 3640-3660. If it falls below 3600, SL will be adjusted in time.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TP-Halson
2
BTC 1H Analysis - Key Triggers Ahead | Day 39😃 Hey , how's it going ? Come over here — Satoshi got something for you! ⏰ We’re analyzing BTC on the 1-Hour timeframe. 👀 On the 1H timeframe for Bitcoin, we can see that BTC has been ranging since yesterday’s news. A breakout and confirmation above the range high or below the range low will give us a trading setup. The key levels are $114,407 on the upside and $113,528 on the downside. Today’s hot topic is the US CPI inflation data, which is a high-impact event at the very top tier of importance. ⚙️ On the RSI, Bitcoin is moving between the 50–70 zone. A breakout beyond these values, in alignment with a price breakout, could generate strong trade entries. 🕯 Candle structure shows that green candles are getting larger with more volume, while red candles are more frequent but smaller each time—so much that the market is starting to ignore them. The range high is very critical; it could break with a whale candle or even an indecision candle right before the move. Order type matters here—whether you use a trigger order or market entry on candle open will impact the trade. 📊 On the 1H Tether dominance, we’re also seeing a range—opposite in behavior to Bitcoin—with a range high at 4.37% and low at 4.32%. With BTC’s underlying trend on the 1H still bearish, there’s a decent probability of a downside break in USDT dominance while BTC breaks the upside of its range. 📊 On the 1H BTC.D , after a strong leg down, BTC.D has dropped below the 0.618 retracement level of its previous range and failed to hold support. We might see a small bounce/retest of that area, but unless today’s CPI causes major volatility, the broader expectation remains further downside in dominance. 🔔 The CPI report could bring serious volatility today. Yesterday’s news triggered nearly $750M worth of Bitcoin buys, sparking a strong rally with only minimal compression-style pullbacks. If today’s inflation data triggers a breakout above $114,407, and we see dominance dropping at the same time, large-cap projects are likely to pump even harder than Bitcoin itself. ❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
Long
by CryptosWinter
1
GBPUSD Faces Strong Ceiling at 1.36 – Drop to 1.32 Ahead?The first half of this year was strongly bullish for GBPUSD, with the pair climbing from 1.20 to 1.37 — a rally of nearly 1,700 pips (14%). However, after topping in July, cable corrected around 600 pips, only to find solid support at 1.32 in August. From there, a rebound followed, pushing price back up to 1.36 by the end of the month. Looking at the chart, we can see a clear technical picture: while GBPUSD has rebounded from support, it has also formed a very strong ceiling at 1.36. This zone has now been reinforced by a bearish pin bar printed just two days ago. Going forward, as I already highlighted in my DXY analysis, I expect a rebound in the USD — and this will almost certainly translate into a drop in cable. From a purely technical standpoint: • 1.36 = strong resistance, validated by the pin bar and multiple rejections. • 1.34 is the first support and can act as a soft target. • In the medium term, I expect GBPUSD to revisit 1.32. The strategy is clear: sell the rallies into resistance, as the pair appears to be at the beginning of a corrective leg lower. 🚀
Short
by Mihai_Iacob
11
Germany 40 Index – Range Trade or Something More?It has been a nervy week for the Germany 40 index as it has struggled for direction ahead of today’s ECB rate decision, which is due at 1315 BST, and then the press conference, led by ECB President Lagarde, which starts at 1345 BST. While general sentiment has been boosted by US inflation data (PPI) supportive of a Federal Reserve rate cut next week, helping to lift the Germany 40 up to a weekly high of 23887 (Wed), issues related to Ukraine, including a violation of Polish airspace by a Russian drone leading to it being shot down, and the start of discussions between the US and EU regarding the potential for new tariffs on China and India, two big export markets for German companies, for their continued purchases of Russian energy, have weighed on rallies, which resulted in lows being seen at 23582 this morning (0700 BST). Now, looking forward, Germany 40 traders may be focused on the ECB who are fully expected to keep interest rates unchanged, which could shift the focus for volatility to what Madame Lagarde says regarding the potential for one more 25bps (0.25%) rate cut in December, economic growth, the outlook for global trade and the sustainability of European government debt, particularly in France. Any surprises here, combined with the US CPI release at 1330 BST could decide where the Germany 40 moves into the weekend, ensuring that monitoring the technical outlook could also be helpful for traders. Technical Update: Range Trade or Something More? Since early July, when the Germany 40 index hit its all-time high of 24639 on July 9th, it hasn’t shown a clear upward or downward trend. As shown on the chart below, prices have mostly moved sideways, staying between the resistance level at 24639 and the support level at 23378, which was the low on August 1st. It is impossible to say when this type of sideways price movement will end. A strong close above the resistance level or below the support level would suggest that prices may start moving more steadily in the direction of the break. That said, with recent price weakness and a decline toward the August 1st low of 23378, traders may be wondering whether this could lead to a break lower from the sideways range, or if support will hold again, keeping the range intact. So, let’s look at what may be the key support and resistance levels to watch Potential Support Levels: One could argue that the August 1st low of 23378 is the first key support to watch. If prices close below this level, it could signal a more extended phase of weakness, with the next potential support being 23013, which is the low from June 19th. While there is no guarantee of further weakness, a close below 23013 could trigger a deeper decline toward 22420, which marks the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of the price strength from April 7th to July 9th, possibly further. Possible Resistance Levels: While the July 9th high of 24639 remains the key resistance level marking the upper boundary of the current sideways range, if the August 1st low of 23378 continues to hold and sees a rebound, traders may want to watch for earlier resistance levels that could come into play before opening possibilities of moves toward the top of the range. As shown in the chart above, the Bollinger mid-average is currently declining and sits at 24006. This level may act as the immediate resistance. If prices manage to close above 24006 in coming sessions, it could open the door for a retest of the July 9th high at 24639. The material provided here has not been prepared accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Whilst it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research, we will not seek to take any advantage before providing it to our clients. Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.
PEPPERSTONE:GER40
by Pepperstone
USDCHF – Liquidity Sweep + FVG Entry (Counter-Trend Long to PDH)Idea: Price swept previous day’s low (PDL), tapping into an Extreme Daily POI. We then saw a CHOCH on LTF, confirming rejection. A clean 5M FVG entry formed, giving a precise long setup. Bias: Intraday bullish (HTF still bearish). Entry: 5M FVG inside Daily POI. SL: Below swept low. TP1: 2R (partial exit). TP2: Previous Day High (PDH liquidity magnet). Notes: This is a buy-to-sell setup — valid for intraday longs up into PDH, but watch for shorts if HTF structure rejects at PDH.
Long
by BFUFX_MARKETS
1
USDJPY: Tight Range, Big Breakout Coming – Bulls Eye 150.80In recent weeks, USDJPY has been one of the most frustrating pairs to trade. Since early August, the pair has fluctuated inside a very narrow range between 146.70 and 148.50 — less than 1.5% of movement. However, such tight consolidations rarely last. They usually precede strong moves, and in my opinion, this breakout is more likely to come to the upside. Looking at the broader picture: • The April low around 140 (which also tested September last year’s low) marked a strong structural support. • From there, the pair began climbing in a constructive way, consistently putting in higher lows on the long-term chart. • During the current consolidation, we’ve seen two notable bullish reactions: dips slightly below 147.70 were bought aggressively on 14 August and again just two days ago, leaving behind clean bullish pin bars on the daily chart. Putting these pieces together, my bias is bullish. I expect the current range to eventually resolve higher, with 150.80 as the next major resistance and natural target for bulls. That being said, the market still needs to confirm this idea: • Upside acceleration comes with a clear break above 148.50. • The bullish case would be invalidated by a daily close below 146.50. As always, patience is key — range markets test our discipline, but they also prepare the ground for the next big move. 🚀
Long
by Mihai_Iacob
11
Price broke below EMA200 on M15 + Shooting Star + MACD CrossPrice below EMA200 on M15 + Shooting Star + MACD bearish cross - Tokyo. Entered this trade a few hours ago during Tokyo session. Price finally broke through the EMA200 on M15 putting us into sell territory. A shooting star had been printed and the MACD produced a bearish cross. As several of you noted, there’s a clean FVG stack below — I placed my TP at the end of that block. SL was set just above the most recent structure high, giving this trade a strong R:R of nearly 1:9. RSI is already oversold, but in strong trending conditions, it can remain that way for a while. Looks like we’re (hopefully lol) printing the closing leg of a clean M-pattern.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Miss_GoldFinger
11
China A50: Bulls eye 16,000 as triangle breaksThe China A50 contract has broken out of the ascending triangle it’s been trading in over the past month, putting traders on alert for a potential resumption of the prior bullish trend. However, having recently traded through 15000 on multiple occasions only to reverse back lower, the precondition to act upon today’s break would be to see the price close above the level. If that plays out, longs could be established above 15000 with a stop beneath for protection. One look at the recent price action tells you that once a sustained bullish breakout occurs, the contract tends to gravitate towards big figures, suggesting 16000 may be an appropriate initial target rather than nominating a specific extension level. If achieved, traders could assess based on the price action at the time whether to square or hold looking for a push towards the October swing high of 16322 set last year. RSI (14) has broken its downtrend and has now set a higher low above 50, pointing to building bullish momentum while not yet being overbought. The signal has been confirmed by MACD which has staged a bullish crossover in positive territory. The broader picture is one that favours longs over shorts. If the price cannot close above 15000, there may be better setups elsewhere. Good luck! DS
FOREXCOM:CHINA50Long
by FOREXcom
CADCHF: Trend Continues Below Daily LevelCADCHF is beginning to show confluence, which gives me an opportunity to frame my entry opportunity. Here are the key observations across the daily and H1 timeframes. Daily Timeframe: Price made a strong break below the HTL and is holding below it. Although two bullish bar formed, they did not engulf the previous bearish bar, which is a good indication that buying strengh just isn't there. H1 Timeframe: There's quite a bit of confluence on the H1 timeframe with the first being price entering and exiting the potential supply zone. In addition, price is about to cross below the ATL, which is another sign that the counter-trend move is ending. Finally, there's confluence with the moving averages where EMA20 is crossing below EMA60; price is also beginning to cross below EMA20.
Short
by FinancialGamblR