Bearswe habe been on the upper reistance and a pullback towards the 0.71-0.79 region gives us another entry after 1st entry on same region on the daily chart. there is also a formation of the ChoCh whi unless broken we will make our biase into sellsso now we look to break the low formed in the formation of ChoCh
Candlestick Analysis
Bearish bar signals risk of deeper crude slideUnable to climb above the 50-day moving average and having just delivered an almighty bearish bar, is WTI crude about to revisit the October lows—an outcome that could put a retest of the YTD lows on the cards? With momentum indicators like RSI (14) and MACD swinging sharply lower, signaling building downside strength, the risk of such a move is growing.
$58.00 is a minor level to watch near term, having acted as support and resistance at times last month. Should price trade beneath this level, shorts could be established on the break with a stop above for protection, targeting a run toward the October swing low of $56.00. The preference would be to see a back-test and rejection of the level before entry.
While short setups are favored given recent price and momentum signals, should WTI manage to hold above $58.00 during Thursday’s session, the option would be there to flip the setup, allowing for longs with a stop beneath for protection. $60.00 screens as an appropriate initial target, even with the messy price action around it recently.
Plenty of fundamental catalysts were bandied around to explain Wednesday’s abrupt drop, most linked to an EIA report warning of market oversupply. It undoubtedly contributed to the bearish move, but the seeds were sown well before the event given how poorly WTI traded at the 50DMA in recent weeks.
Good luck!
DS
Long trade
1Hr TF overview
📘 Trade Journal Entry
Pair: XAGUSD
Date: Thu 6 Nov 2025
Session: Tokyo → London → NY PM overlap
Direction: Buy-side Trade
Timeframe: 1 Hour
🔹 Trade Details
Entry: 48.1296
Take Profit (TP): 52.9400 (+9.94 %)
Stop Loss (SL): 47.9743 (–0.30 %)
Risk / Reward (RR): 33.30 R
🔹 Market Context
🧾The broader structure shows a reaccumulation base forming between 47.9 – 48.4 following an extended markdown in late October.
🧾Multiple Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) stacked between 48.2 – 49.0 serve as bullish continuation footprints.
🧾The KAMA (Adaptive MA) has turned upward, confirming regained momentum and transition into a markup phase.
🧾Consecutive session overlaps (Tokyo, London, NY) displayed defended lows with consistently higher lows, validating institutional accumulation.
🧾The premium liquidity objective sits within the 52.9 imbalance zone — an unmitigated HTF supply area.
🔹 Model Type
Re-accumulation → Breaker Block → FVG Continuation Model
Market structure shifted bullish after a CHOCH above 48.4.
Entry positioned within the re-test of the mid-range FVG / OB confluence zone.
Target seeks completion of the macro inefficiency left from October’s selloff.
🔹 Execution Notes
Trade executed on the retest of the bullish FVG with session volume confluence.
Stop anchored below the protected low (47.97). TP mapped just below the imbalance ceiling (52.94) for precision exit ahead of the premium liquidity pool. Entry aligns with breakout-retest structure and confirmed KAMA slope reversal.
🔹 Trade Narrative
This Silver trade captures a continuation leg out of accumulation — transitioning into a mid-cycle markup. Price action presented a classic discount entry within structural demand, supported by rising volume and session timing alignment. The 48.1–48.3 entry zone represents optimal efficiency entry within a clear bullish shift, projecting a move toward the higher-timeframe imbalance at 52.9.
Long trade
1hr TF overview
📘 Trade Journal Entry
Pair: ETHUSDT.P (Perpetual Contract)
Date: Wed 12th Nov 2025
Time: 7:00 AM
Session: London to New York Session AM
Direction: Buyside Trade
Timeframe: 15-Minute
🔹 Trade Details
Entry: 3552.98
Profit Level (TP): 3807.27 (+7.17%)
Stop Level (SL): 3530.45 (–0.63%)
Risk-Reward Ratio (RR): 11.31
🔹 Technical Context
Market Structure:
🧾Prior Consolidation Phase at top range followed by a significant markdown breaking below structural support.
🧾The secondary retest formed at the base level (3244–3200 zone) aligned with liquidity grab beneath prior lows (PDL).
🧾Subsequent shift in structure (CHOCH → BOS) on the 15M chart suggests transition from distribution to early accumulation.
Key Confluences:
🧩Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) identified within the 0.75–0.25 retracement zone, acting as re-entry and mitigation areas.
🧩Breaker Block formation confirmed following BOS, validating bullish continuation setup.
🧩Volume expansion visible around 3550 region, signalling strong buy-side interest.
🧩Kaufman Adaptive Moving Average (KAMA) providing dynamic trend support near 3475 level.
📈Target Narrative:
We assume that price aims to rebalance inefficiency toward the 3,800–3,850 liquidity zone, corresponding to prior unmitigated FVG and institutional range midpoint.
🔹 Narrative & Sentiment
The setup reflects a buyside re-accumulation model emerging from deep discount levels post-sell climax. The corrective structure within the descending wedge aligns with the Wyckoff “Spring” and “Test” phase, suggesting smart money re-entry before expansion.
Macro sentiment also supports ETH strength into mid-November amid rotational flow from BTC dominance cooldown and speculative positioning ahead of CPI data.
USDCHF LONG Market structure bullish on HTFs DW
Entry at Both Weekly And Daily AOi
Weekly Rejection at my AOi
Previous Weekly Structure Point
Daily Rejection at AOi
Previous Daily Structure Point
Daily EMA retest
Around Psychological Level 0.80000
H4 Candlestick rejection
TP: WHO KNOWS!
Entry 100%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King.
A W-shaped pattern is emerging, indicating a bullish outlook.#XAUUSD TVC:GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD
Gold prices trended downwards during the Asian session, leading many to believe the market has begun to reverse. However, I disagree. As I clearly stated yesterday, as long as the key support level of 4075 is not broken, we will maintain our bullish outlook, and we will continue to follow this strategy today.
From the hourly chart, gold prices are showing signs of forming a W pattern. If the neckline is broken, gold prices will continue to rise, testing the 4150-4160 range. A strong breakout could see prices reach 4180, or even 4200.
POV: GODFRYPHLP - Short-Term Reversal PlayPOV: GODFRYPHLP - Short-Term Reversal Play 🚀
Scrip: NSE:GODFRYPHLP
🧐 Chart Reading: Technical Confluence
This setup offers a powerful bullish confluence:
Master Candle (MC) Setup Candidate: Classic MC identified, signalling a potential future directional breakout.
Inside Bar Formation: Price has consolidated, often preceding a strong volatility expansion.
OL (Open = Low) Candle: Previous day showed immediate buying strength from the open.
Extreme Range Contraction: Volatility is crushed, indicating a high probability of an imminent range expansion spike.
⚠️ Key Concerns & Risks
Factors requiring caution:
Overarching Trend is Bearish: This is a counter-trend reversal attempt.
Momentum Just Initiating: Bullish momentum is only in its early stages.
Early Attempt: Targeting an early short-term spike, making it inherently a higher-risk setup.
💡 Action Plan & Execution
Action: Initiate a Long Trade on confirmation.
Entry Point: Decisive cross above 3055.
Stop Loss (SL): Critical SL must be placed at 2998.
Defined Risk: 57 Points (approx 1.85%)
Target 1 (T1): 3120
Target 2 (T2): 3210
Target 3 (T3): 3295
✏️ Disclaimer
For educational purposes only. This is not financial advice. Please consult a professional before making financial decisions.
#NiVYAMi
Volatile day where Nifty Bulls beat the Bears. Today we saw a volatile session in Nifty where Nifty initially collapsed to 25449 but then again rose to regain level above 25650 closing at 25694. The candle we saw today confirms a bullish trend.
Exit Poll indicative of the Government that Market likes will retain Bihar. Trump is signalling reduction of Tariff. So overall it can trigger a further up trend but you never say never in the market. Market can always surprise you but Shadow of the candles currently is positive.
The resistances for Nifty now remain at 25708, 25819, 26004, 26115, 26277, 26306 and finally the channel top remains at 26498. Supports for Nifty now remain at 25440, 25352, 25239, 24892, 24670 and 24292.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
Smart Money Eyes Pi Coin Breakout; OBV, MACD Signal ShiftPi Coin’s price is pressing against the upper line of a symmetrical triangle, signaling a possible breakout attempt. The squeeze shows a tug between short-term sellers and early buyers trying to regain control.
On the 12-hour chart, the Smart Money Index (SMI) has turned up for the first time since early November, showing renewed participation from large holders. If the price closes above $0.23, it could confirm a breakout and target $0.26–$0.27. A failure to hold $0.20 would reopen the path to $0.15.
On the daily chart, the MACD — which tracks trend momentum — is flattening after weeks above its signal line, hinting that bullish pressure is fading. However, On-Balance Volume (OBV) is ticking higher, suggesting quiet accumulation beneath the surface.
Pi Coin’s price stands at a technical pivot — smart money seems to be betting on a breakout, not a breakdown.
Pfizer stock exploded as expected from weekly demandPfizer just did it again!
After weeks of sleeping inside that weekly demand imbalance, the pharmaceutical giant exploded — exactly as expected from our supply and demand forecast. Price has already rallied more than 7%, proving once again how powerful these imbalances can be when you learn to read them properly.
Pfizer stock exploded as expected from weekly demand strong imbalance. The pharmaceutical company has already rallied 7% rally from the imbalance originated at $24.39. It's all about supply and demand.
Long trade 📘 Trade Journal Entry
Pair: ETHUSDT.P
Date: Thu 7 Nov 2025
Session: London → New York AM
Direction: Buy-side Trade
Timeframe: 1 Hour
🔹 Trade Details
Entry: 3202.91
Take Profit (TP): 3803.73 (+18.76 %)
Stop Loss (SL): 3181.80 (–0.64 %)
Risk / Reward (RR): 28.54 R
🔹 Market Context
The structure shows a clear Selling Climax with heavy volume expansion, signalling the potential completion of the markdown leg.
🧾A Secondary Re-test at the 3200 base level confirms buyer absorption and shift in short-term order flow.
🧾The Consolidation Phase and Preliminary Stop above mark prior distribution range now serving as the target zone (premium liquidity pool).
🧾KAMA (MA) flattening suggests a transition from distribution to accumulation.
🧾Price defended the POI (Point of Interest) at ≈ approximately 3244, forming higher lows in the intraday structure — confirmation of buyside intent.
1Hr TF
🔹 Model Type
Accumulation → Re-accumulation → Continuation Model
🧾The setup follows a textbook Wyckoff Accumulation: Selling Climax → Automatic Rally → Secondary Test → Spring → Markup.
🧾The Spring formed via liquidity sweep below 3200, reclaiming structure with strong close and volume support.
🔹 Execution Notes
Entry refined at re-test of the spring low on volume tapering (sign of absorption).
Risk confined below the Selling Climax wick. Target placed at prior consolidation premium zone (≈ 3.8 k) aligning with inefficiency fill. Volume profile and session timing support entry during London–New York overlap, consistent with institutional execution windows.
🔹 Trade Narrative
This ETHUSDT setup captures a phase-transition shift from markdown into early markup.
After the Selling Climax, the market re-tested structural demand at 3200 — confirming buyer presence. The confluence of liquidity sweep, volume divergence, and EMA / KAMA flattening provides a strong foundation for a buyside reversal.
🧩The trade aims to ride the short-term expansion leg toward the higher-timeframe premium zone, capturing displaced liquidity left by prior distribution. A clean break and close above 3.4 k would further confirm continuation toward the 3.8 k objective.
Nifty Analysis EOD – November 12, 2025 – Wednesday🟢 Nifty Analysis EOD – November 12, 2025 – Wednesday 🔴
Bulls Advance, But Pause at the Gate: 25920 Proves to be a Fortress!
🗞 Nifty Summary
The Nifty continued its strong bullish journey with a massive 117-point Gap Up, opening above the previous day’s high and confirming a clear continuation of positive sentiment. While the index successfully reached and tested the target of 25920 outlined in yesterday’s commentary, it was unable to sustain the breakout. The slow, zigzag movement into this key resistance zone suggests supply is aggressively defending the 25920 ~ 25940 range. The close at 25,875.80 is still structurally bullish, sitting above the prior week’s high, but the bulls must find conviction to conquer the 25920 hurdle to unlock the next 26050 ~ 26100 expansion.
🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart with Levels
🛡 Intraday Walk
The session commenced with a powerful 117-point Gap Up, immediately absorbing the aggressive buying from the previous session. Following a brief 40-point retrace that tested the 25790 support, Nifty sharply jumped around 80 points to the next resistance band of 25865. The index then consolidated with a slight pause between 25865 ~ 25880 before attempting a push toward 25920. This final leg of the upward journey was notably slow, characterized by smaller candles and a zigzag micro-trend, indicating diminishing conviction and resistance from sellers. The high was marked at 25,934.55 before the index pulled back slightly to close just below the key structural resistance.
📉 Daily Time Frame Chart with Intraday Levels
🕯 Daily Candle Breakdown
Open: 25,834.30
High: 25,934.55
Low: 25,781.15
Close: 25,875.80
Change: +180.85 (+0.70%)
🏗️ Structure Breakdown
Type: Bullish candle with moderately long, balanced wicks.
Range (High–Low): ≈ 153.40 points — a tighter range than yesterday, suggesting consolidation.
Body: ≈ 41.50 points — smaller body size, reflecting a loss of directional dominance near the close.
Upper Wick: ≈ 58.75 points — indicating sellers defending the upper resistance band (25920+).
Lower Wick: ≈ 53.15 points — confirming sustained buying interest on intraday dips.
📚 Interpretation
The candle is essentially a Bullish Spinning Top, representing indecision or a temporary equilibrium near a major resistance area. While the overall close is positive (a higher high and a higher close), the relatively balanced wicks show strong two-way action. Buyers pushed aggressively, but sellers successfully capped the high at 25,934, confirming that the 25920-25940 zone is a significant supply barrier.
🕯 Candle Type
Bullish Spinning Top — A continuation candle but signals a necessary pause before the next major move. It confirms the need for a decisive breakout before further vertical expansion.
🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart
⚔️ Gladiator Strategy Update
ATR: 209.94
IB Range: 80.05 → Medium
Market Structure: ImBalanced
Trade Highlights:
10:34 Long Trade – Target Achieved (R:R 1:1.64)
Trade Summary: The strategy capitalized successfully on the initial bullish continuation move following the gap-up. The lower volatility day, indicated by the medium IB range, limited the overall high R:R opportunities, but the core long trend was managed profitably.
🧱 Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance Zones:
25920 ~ 25944 (Crucial Barrier)
25977
26050
26100
Support Zones:
25835
25790
25715 ~ 25680
🧠 Final Thoughts
“The market rewards the patient general, not the emotional soldier.”
Tomorrow’s session promises to be a tricky battlefield for intraday players. The current resistance at 25920 ~ 25944 is the gatekeeper.
Discipline is paramount:
either wait for a decisive, sustained breach and hold above 25920 for the continuation long trade, or wait for the market to fail the PDL and execute the counter-trend short trade with targets at 25715 ~ 25680. Don’t chase the slow moves—wait for confirmation at the structural levels.
✏️ Disclaimer
This is just my personal viewpoint. Always consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
GBP/CHF: Bearish Trend ContinuesGBPCHF is currently experiencing a significant bearish trend.
After setting a new low, the market started to consolidate within a narrow parallel channel on the 4-hour chart.
The violation of its resistance level indicates a continuation of this downward movement.
I anticipate a further drop to 1.0440.
USDCAD: Consolidation Continues 🇺🇸🇨🇦
I think that sideways price action will continue on USDCAD.
The price is going to pull back from an intraday support at least
one more time.
Expect a rise at least to 1.4027 level.
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Play the gapsImportant to be patient as the QQQs try to chop buyers and sellers in a range before breaking out or breaking down. I'm looking at playing the gaps, buying puts if we fill the upper range gap (with tight stops), or adding longs if we fill the lower range gap first. The lower range gap also has confluence with an important Fib level, giving strong conviction to go long, and would be much healthier for this bull market trend.
NZDUSD SHORT Market structure bearish on HTFs 3
Entry at Daily AOi
Weekly Rejection at AOI
Daily Rejection at AOi
Previous Daily Structure Point
Around Psychological Level 0.56500
H4 Candlestick rejection
Rejection from Previous structure
TP: WHO KNOWS!
Entry 95%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King.
Nifty Analysis EOD – November 11, 2025 – Tuesday 🟢 Nifty Analysis EOD – November 11, 2025 – Tuesday 🔴
Bulls Launch a Massive 250-Point Recovery, Trapping Bears on Expiry Day!
🗞 Nifty Summary
The session delivered an amazing recovery by the bulls, creating classic bear traps on this expiry day. The market’s ability to recover 250 points non-stop from the lows and close strongly at 25705.55, near the day’s high, confirms the return of powerful bullish conviction.
Crucially, we achieved the close above 25650 that was anticipated in yesterday’s commentary. The long lower wick structure confirms demand is aggressive at dips. We now anticipate a further extension of the continuation move in the next session.
🛡 Intraday Walk
Nifty opened with a 45-point Gap Up, landing exactly at the immediate resistance zone of 25615 ~ 25635. Following the first tick, the index slipped sharply by around 150 points, breaching the PDL before the Initial Balance (IB) could even form. This initial sell-off flipped sentiment bearish for a short period.
The aggressive slide was halted precisely at our important support zone of 25440 ~ 25460, where strong demand emerged. From this support, the index executed a non-stop, powerful recovery of 250 points, systematically breaching the PDC, CDH, the 25615 ~ 25635 resistance, and the PDH.
This sustained upward move carried the index to the next key resistance level of 25715. The day ultimately closed at 25705.55, just shy of the day’s high, confirming a highly bullish structural close.
🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart with Levels
📉 Daily Time Frame Chart with Intraday Levels
🕯 Daily Candle Breakdown
Open: 25,617.00
High: 25,715.80
Low: 25,449.25
Close: 25,694.95
Change: +120.60 (+0.47%)
🏗️ Structure Breakdown
Type: Bullish candle with a long lower wick.
Range (High–Low): ≈ 266.55 points — a wide and active trading range, indicative of high intraday volatility.
Body: ≈ 77.95 points — moderate body size.
Lower Wick: ≈ 167.75 points — a strong sign of aggressive buying and demand resurgence from lower levels.
Upper Wick: ≈ 20.85 points — limited resistance near the high, enabling a strong close.
📚 Interpretation
Price opened near mid-range, dipped sharply toward 25,449, but buyers stepped in aggressively, rejecting the lower prices and lifting the index almost to the day’s high. The long lower shadow confirms high demand and the rejection of the deep intraday sell-off. Closing near the upper end solidifies bullish momentum and significantly improved sentiment.
🕯 Candle Type
This session formed a Bullish Pin Bar (Hammer-like candle) in an up-move. This candlestick suggests renewed buying strength and strong follow-through after the previous session’s bullish commitment.
🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart
⚔️ Gladiator Strategy Update
ATR: 206.65
IB Range: 150.95 → Medium
Market Structure: ImBalanced
Trade Highlights:
10:09 Long Trade – SL Hit
10:15 Short Trade - Target Achieved (R:R 1:1.64)
12:21 Long Trade - Target Achieved (R:R 1:3.36)
Trade Summary: The early volatility led to an immediate Stop Loss, but the strategy quickly recovered with a profitable short trade and then successfully capitalized on the strong, sustained bullish reversal later in the day.
🧱 Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance Zones:
25790
25865 ~ 25880
25920
Support Zones:
25635 ~ 25615
25585
25550
🧠 Final Thoughts
“On expiry, the longest wicks are often the graves of aggressive shorts and the foundations for the next rally.”
Today’s action teaches a crucial lesson: do not trade the emotion of the gap. The sharp initial dip was a perfect bear trap on expiry. The non-stop 250-point recovery emphasizes the importance of waiting for price to stabilize near structural support (like 25440) before committing. For motivation, the recovery from an early SL shows that discipline and sticking to the trend reversal signals pay off with high-R:R opportunities.
✏️ Disclaimer
This is just my personal viewpoint. Always consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
GBPAUD: Rise After a Trap 🇬🇧🇦🇺
We discussed this setup on a today's live session:
GBPAUD will continue rising after a confirmed bullish trap.
I expect a bullish movement at least to 2.0199 level.
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A reversal? No! Our bullish outlook remains unchanged!#XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
Looking at the hourly and 4-hour charts, the technical indicators are diverging, indicating a need for a pullback correction. In the short term, it may test the 4115-4105 support level. Therefore, do not trade blindly in the short term, wait for the price to pull back to the support level before participating in long positions.






















