US30 Technical AnalysisPrice has been respecting the uptrend supported by the 50 SMA, with pullbacks finding buyers around the dynamic support zones. Recently, US30 rejected 46,400.0 resistance and is consolidating above 45,700.0 support, while the broader trend remains bullish.
Support at: 45,700.0 🔽 / 45,000.0 🔽
Resistance at: 46,400.0 🔼 / 47,115.8 🔼
🔎 Bias:
🔼 Bullish: A sustained hold above 46,000.0 and a breakout over 46,400.0 could extend the rally toward 47,115.8.
🔽 Bearish: A breakdown below 45,700.0 would expose 45,000.0 and weaken the uptrend momentum.
📛 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
Candlestick Analysis
Focus on 3870 and 3825 to determine the short-term direction#XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
The market experienced another rollercoaster ride this evening, with significant price swings that trapped both buyers and sellers, leading to losses for many. The current market is fluctuating at a high level and it is not a good time to enter the market. It is a relatively wise choice to wait and see for the time being. If gold continues to rise around 3870 in the US market and can form an M-top trend in the short term, then I will consider participating in shorting gold moderately. If gold first retreats to around 3825, the intraday starting point, we can still consider continuing to go long on gold. The US government shutdown problem has not been completely resolved, and risk aversion still lingers in the market. Short-term trading is still mainly long, supplemented by short.
Support Unproven: Gold Bears Eye Fresh PullbackGold began retreating from around 3872, hitting 3793 before rebounding again. It has now reached a high of around 3855, recovering most of its losses.
However, it's not difficult to see that since gold's recent decline reached a rare $80, its upward momentum has been lackluster, even somewhat weak. This suggests that the sharp pullback in gold's short-term performance has dampened bullish sentiment to some extent. Furthermore, it's clear that gold has shown clear signs of profit-taking above 3855. While a collapse is far from imminent, further declines are possible as signs of profit-taking intensify.
From a technical perspective, gold experienced a sharp decline in the short term and rebounded near 3793. Technically, the validity of 3793 as a low point needs to be retested and verified. Therefore, a direct upward move in the near term is unlikely, and a retest of the short-term support low is necessary.
So, when judging short-term support and resistance, we first need to pay attention to the role of the 3845-3855 resistance area above; below, we first pay attention to the support area of 3810-3800. If gold falls below the support near the low point of 3793, then gold may fall further to the 3780-3770 area.
Therefore, in terms of short-term trading, we can still take advantage of the rebound in gold and give priority to shorting gold in the 3840-3850 area, first looking at the target 3820-3810 area.
The trend has not changed, bulls are still the main themeGold experienced another rollercoaster ride this evening, with both bulls and bears having a very volatile day. Gold has rebounded to around 3855 and then fell into high-level fluctuations. There is no good entry point in the current trend, so waiting and watching for the time being is a good decision. If gold in the US market continues to rise to around 3870 and can form an M-top trend in the short term, then I will participate in shorting gold moderately based on market conditions. If gold first falls back to around the intraday starting point of 3825, we can still consider continuing to go long on gold.
First, Trump’s new round of tariffs will take effect tomorrow, October 1st. Second, the risk of the US government shutdown has not been eliminated, and short-term risk aversion still lingers in the market. At the same time, the gold price is still above the MA10 moving average, and the short-term bullish structure has not been destroyed. Therefore, for intraday trading, I still tend to focus on long positions and short positions as a supplement.
GBPAUD SHORTMarket structure bearish on HTFs DW
Entry at Both Weekly and Daily AOi
Weekly Rejection at AOi
Previous Weekly Structure Point
Daily Rejection at AOi
Daily Previous Structure Point
Around Psychological Level 2.05000
H4 Candlestick rejection
Levels: TP BASED OFF PRICE ACTION
Entry 95%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King.
USDCHF LONG Market structure bullish on HTFs DH
Entry at both Weekly and Daily AOi
Weekly Rejection at AOi
Daily Rejection at AOi
Previous Structure point Daily
Around Psychological Level 0.79500
Touching EMA H4
H4 Candlestick rejection
Rejection from Previous structure
Levels TP BASED OFF PRICE ACTION
Entry 100%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King.
The bullish trend remains unchanged, buy on pullback#XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
Although gold has fallen sharply by nearly $70, the short-term bullish trend has not changed. The risk-averse panic caused by the United States and the Trump administration is still there. After digesting the short-term selling pressure, the market will return to the bullish trend. 3795-3785 below is the second highest point last week. If the US market retreats here, we can consider going long on gold.
Long trade
Trade Journal Entry
Pair/Asset: PUMPUSDT (Pump.fun / Tether Perpetual)
Trade Type: Buyside trade
Date: Tuesday, 30th Sept 2025
Session: London Session AM (7:35 AM)
Trade Details
Entry: 0.005364
Profit Level (TP): 0.005522 (+2.95%)
Stop Level (SL): 0.005328 (-0.67%)
Risk–Reward (RR): 4.39
Technical Narrative
Market Context:
Price had been in a corrective structure with a descending liquidity line overhead.
Multiple FVGs are marked, indicating inefficiency zones above.
Strong sell-off into liquidity sweep (SSLQ) with BOS confirmed at local lows.
Entry Justification:
Entry triggered after a low sweep, BOS, and demand retest at 0.005364.
Mitigation of FVG confluence with EMA alignment gave further conviction.
Tight SL placed beneath structural invalidation at 0.005328.
5min Entry
Target Rationale:
Profit level at 0.005522, positioned just below the local liquidity pool and prior swing high.
Balanced TP placement (avoids over-extension) while maintaining a solid 4.39 RR.
Observations & Notes
The inducement and BOS combo provided an early bullish trigger before the breakout.
The liquidity line above remains a long-term target (potential extended TP beyond 0.005753).
Volume profile shows a sharp absorption candle, supporting the bullish reversal thesis.
Nifty Analysis EOD – September 30, 2025 – Tuesday🟢 Nifty Analysis EOD – September 30, 2025 – Tuesday 🔴
Expiry drama continues, but no reversal in sight
🗞 Nifty Summary
Nifty opened with a 31-point gap up, quickly filled the gap, and then added 50 points from the low to test 24,731.80 — the same level that acted as strong resistance yesterday. Once again, the index failed to cross this barrier, triggering a sell-off to 24,593, breaking below the PDL.
However, this breakdown turned out to be false, sparking a 90-point recovery back to the PDC at 24,677.50. Multiple attempts to reclaim the PDC failed. Post 2 PM, volatility spiked — with wild candles and sharp shadows around key levels like PDL, trapping both sides of traders.
Eventually, Nifty settled at 24,633.60, marking the 9th consecutive red close. While the fall seems to be slowing, there is still no sign of reversal yet.
🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart with Levels
🛡 Intraday Walk
Gap up +31 pts → gap filled early.
Bounce of +50 pts to test 24,731.80, yesterday’s resistance.
Sharp sell-off to 24,593 (below PDL).
False PDL breakdown → 90-pt recovery to PDC (24,677.5).
Multiple failures to reclaim PDC.
After 2 PM → wild, volatile candles with traps around PDL.
Closed at 24,633.60.
📉 Daily Time Frame Chart with Intraday Levels
🕯 Daily Candle Breakdown
Open: 24,668.55
High: 24,731.80
Low: 24,593.05
Close: 24,633.60
Change: −1.30 (−0.01%)
🏗️ Structure Breakdown
Tiny red body → indecisive close.
Range: ~139 pts → lower than yesterday.
Long shadows on both ends → strong tussle between bulls and bears.
📚 Interpretation
Rejection repeated at 24,731.
False breakdown below PDL shows buyers defending.
Closing near mid-range with tiny body → indicates pause in momentum.
🕯Candle Type
Small-bodied candle with long shadows → Indecision candle / Doji-like structure.
Signals exhaustion but no confirmation of reversal.
🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart
⚔️ Gladiator Strategy Update
ATR: 173.37
IB Range: 95.80 → Medium
Market Structure: Balanced
Trade Highlights:
10:50 Long Trade – Target Achieved (R:R 1:2.1)
12:15 Long Trade – Trailing SL Hit (R:R 1:0.26)
13:20 Short Trade – Target Achieved (R:R 1:1.96)
📌 What’s Next? / Bias Direction
Bias remains bearish below 24,731. A decisive close above this level could trigger a short-term reversal. Until then, sideways-to-downtrend movement dominates with volatility around support zones.
📌 Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance Zones:
24685 ~ 24675
24735
24750 ~ 24775
24868
24890 ~ 24915
Support Zones:
24600 ~ 24572
24500
24430 ~ 24400
💡 Final Thoughts
“In trading, sideways days are often the market’s way of loading energy. The trap candles test patience — the real move begins once levels finally break.”
✏️ Disclaimer
This is just my personal viewpoint. Always consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
Banknifty analysis (bearish to sideways)Recently, a small bounce is visible, but candles are weak. not reversal yet
Volumes are mixed, but strong selling volume in seen on the drop.
Trend is bearish to sideways, if it sustains above 54600 , more upside till 55200 is possible.
Below 54000 fresh downside may open toward 53200-53000 .
Disclaimer:
I am NOT a SEBI registered advisor nor a financial advisor.
Any investments or trades I discuss on my blog are intended solely for educational purposes and do not represent specific financial, trading, or investment advice.
Disclosure:
I, the author of this report, and my immediate family members do not have any financial interest or beneficial ownership in the securities mentioned herein at the time of publication.
US 100 Index – Upside Momentum to be Put to the TestThe US 100 registered its first down week of September when it closed at 24507 last Friday, a weekly loss of 0.4%. Hardly a collapse but a warning that no market moves in a straight line, especially one so sensitive to many of the key drivers that traders are focused on, namely AI and Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate moves.
It seems that last week’s dip may have been driven by some profit taking into the end of what has been a strong third quarter performance for this technology heavy index (8%, July 1st to September 26th). That drop has already been unwound by yesterday’s 0.4% rally which has continued this morning to current levels around 24640 (0730 BST), as traders’ position for some key economic data on the US labour market, which could clear up whether the Fed has room to cut interest rates again when they meet next on October 29th.
While there is a US labour market data release scheduled for every day across the remainder of this week, the focus could be Friday’s Payrolls update, where traders are anticipating a modest gain of around 39k and the unemployment rate to remain at its current level of 4.3%. Any deviation from these expectations could impact the market’s pricing of around a 90% chance of an October Fed rate cut, and a 60% chance of another December rate cut, with knock on implications for the direction of the US 100 at the start of Q4.
One obstacle impacting Friday’s Payrolls could be the possibility for a US Federal government shutdown from October 1st, which could delay the release of the labour market data, creating an extra level of uncertainty into the end of the week. Congressional leaders met with President Trump at the White House yesterday and talks to avoid a shutdown are on-going, although the latest updates provided by Vice President Vance suggests that a funding agreement is still some way off.
It may be worthwhile monitoring progress on this throughout the day ahead, just in case an agreement isn’t reached, and it leads to some extra US 100 volatility.
Technical Update: Price Decline Finding Support
Price corrections are a natural part of a broader uptrend and often reflect a healthy reaction to recent upside extremes. Following last week’s sell-off in the US 100 index, traders may now be assessing whether the latest weakness is simply a limited pullback ahead of renewed attempts to extend what still appears to be a constructive trend, or the beginning of a more extended price decline.
While it’s impossible to confirm whether a renewed phase of strength is underway, last week’s initial weakness found support at lower levels. As the chart above shows, fresh upside attempts may now be emerging, suggesting the possibility of a resumption of the uptrend pattern.
While positive sentiment may still be evident, this week’s upcoming data releases could prove pivotal, with the potential to shift momentum and drive notable price moves across key assets and traders will be watching closely for confirmation, or disruption, of the current US 100 index trend.
As a result, it may be important to identify and then monitor key support and resistance levels in case an increased spell of volatility emerges.
Potential Support Levels:
As the chart below shows, the latest price strength seen on Monday and into this morning, appears to be emerging from an initial support zone between 24211 and 24103. This range is marked by both the rising Bollinger mid-average and the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of September’s advance.
A closing break below these levels wouldn’t confirm a downside shift but could pave the way for a test of 23891, the 50% retracement, and possibly even extend towards 23679, which is the 61.8% level.
Potential Resistance Levels:
After marking a new all-time high at 24795 on September 22nd, traders may now be monitoring this level as the initial resistance focus this week.
If the positive trend does remain, fresh attempts at price strength are possible. It could be worthwhile monitoring how the 24795 all-time high is defended on a closing basis, with successful breaks higher potentially leading to a further phase of price strength.
While a closing break above 24795 doesn’t guarantee further upside, it could trigger fresh attempts to push first towards 24971, the 100% Fibonacci extension, and potentially up to 25347, the 138.2% extension level.
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GBPCAD: Bearish Move After the Trap?! 🇬🇧🇨🇦
GBPCAD may drop after a liquidity grab above an intraday
horizontal supply zone.
A formation of a bearish imbalance candle suggest a strong
bearish pressure.
The price may retrace to 1.8672
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I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long trade
Trade Journal Entry
Pair/Asset: BTCUSDC (Bitcoin / USDC, Perp)
Trade Type: Buyside trade
Date: Monday, 29th Sept 2025
Session: Tokyo Session AM (4:00 AM)
Trade Details
Entry: 112,051.5
Profit Level (TP): 115,828.0 (+3.41%)
Stop Level (SL): 111,561.0 (-0.97%)
Risk–Reward (RR): 8.42
Technical Narrative
Structure & Context:
BTC was in a clear downtrend but found demand at ~111,000–112,000.
A consolidation phase formed before a sharp, impulsive move upward (accumulation confirmed).
Multiple FVGs (fair value gaps) printed on the way up, acting as support levels.
Entry Justification:
Long taken on breakout above consolidation and demand validation.
Entry at 112,051.5, just above liquidity sweep low.
Confluence: bullish displacement + FVG alignment + demand retest.
Target Rationale:
TP aimed at 115,828, near the previous structural high / liquidity pocket.
Price path shows strong imbalance magnets above (113.2K → 115.7K)
Scaling partials around 114.6K–115.0K is recommended before final TP.
Risk Management:
SL set at 111,561, just under the structural low, keeping tight invalidation.
Time to Fade the Rally—Gold Shorts Aim for 3835–3825Driven by the market's risk aversion sentiment, gold continues to maintain its strong upward position and has now reached our long target area: 3850-3860 as expected. It is obvious that gold is still in a bull trend, but as gold prices have risen sharply, more and more high-level risks have accumulated. Therefore, it is actually very difficult to directly participate in gold long trading now.
But according to the current trend, it is not difficult to find that after each surge in gold, there is a trend of falling back and testing support. Therefore, even if gold is in an upward trend, there is still a need to retrace support locally, and the retracement range is relatively not small, and can reach a retracement space of $20-30, so there is enough profit space for short-term trading.
In addition, in the short term, gold is currently facing the influence of the trend channel resistance area of 3855-3865. The current upward momentum has converged and the willingness to rise has tended to weaken. Under the influence of the resistance in this area, gold may have a need to retreat in the short term.
So in the short term, we might first consider shorting gold with the 3855-3865 area as resistance, and first look at the target area of 3835-3825 area. Of course, to gamble on short-term retracement profits in an upward trend, you need to set up protection!
Swing trading, holding short positionsI executed the short trade as planned and added to the short position in batches as gold rallied. Current technical analysis is no longer valid; in the short term, gold's price is primarily driven by news events. Please remember, there is no market that only goes up and never goes down. Although most people are bullish at the moment, how many people really dare to chase the long position in an extreme rising market? Gold is currently setting new historical highs, but today gold is facing the end of the monthly line. In addition, the situation in the Middle East has eased. Once bad news comes, those who blindly go long will suffer huge losses. Therefore, in the short term, I am still inclined to short gold at the top. Since we adopt swing trading and have sufficient funds in the account, short-term floating losses are still within our controllable range. During this period, I will flexibly adjust the trading layout according to market trends. If you are currently in trouble with your short position, you can contact me for help.
EUR/AUD: Another Bearish Forex Pair to TradeAnother pair that appears to be showing a strong bearish trend, in my assessment, is 📉EURAUD.
Based on price action analysis:
The market had been experiencing a positive trend, but it began to lose momentum as it approached a significant horizontal resistance level.
Subsequently, the price began to consolidate before declining, ultimately violating a horizontal support level within the trading range.
The market will probably continue to decline. The next support level is anticipated to be at 1.7698.
What Makes Technical Analysis The #1 Skill To HaveFinding this Forex pair CAPITALCOM:EURMXN
was very hard
you see Forex trading is very sensitive
Because you are dealing with governments
and central banks.
I still remember the time i was
learning about forex trading
and then the late president
of united states blocked the ICE feed
which is needed to screen
the forex markets
this is why if you go into forex
trading you need to understand
that this is really real.
So what is happening here?
Basically its the trade of currency bonds ,
The government borrows money
from the central bank in order
to develop the economy.
What the government does with this
money is up to the current government
in power.But this system
will never die.
Because printing money also known
as currency bonds is very very addictive
to the political powers. People love
governments that provide jobs.
I once talked to a local politician and she told
me that unless i have plan to involve a large number
of people the"funds" wont be released.
These funds are government currency bonds.
this is why forex trading is so powerful.
The moment you understand technical analysis
Its like you can see the future.
On this chart am using the surpport
plus the stochastic crossover
look at the chart and see the crossover
Rocket boost this content to learn more.
Disclaimer: Trading is risky please learn risk management
and profit taking strategies.Also feel free to use a simulation
trading account.
Gold & Silver Push Higher as Markets Hunt for Safe HavensGold continues its climb, breaking through past resistance levels as investors flee into safety ahead of U.S. fiscal turmoil and rate ambiguity.
Meanwhile, silver is turning heads — rallying hard on the back of both safe-haven demand and its dual role as an industrial metal.
Together, they’re painting a picture: when anxiety and uncertainty rise, the metals step into the spotlight.
Gold hit an all-time high of $3,833.37/oz, closing at $3,829.63, on strong safe-haven demand amid U.S. shutdown fears and rate cut expectations.
It then extended gains, reaching $3,842.76/oz, putting it on track for its best month since August 2011 with an ~11.4% gain in September.
Silver also surged: it climbed to a 14-year high near $46.85/oz as industrial demand and safe-haven flows bolstered interest.
Earlier this year, silver broke $35/oz, a level not seen in over 13 years, driven by tight supply and robust demand in tech & green energy sectors.
Bitcoin Stalls as Shutdown Fears Meet Rate UncertaintyBitcoin hasn’t broken out just yet — it’s hovering in a tight range, waiting for signals to decide whether to sprint or stall. Amid talk of a U.S. government shutdown and fading clarity around rate cuts, traders seem hesitant to commit.
That said, institutional interest remains alive: U.S. Bancorp recently relaunched its institutional Bitcoin custody service, signalling banks are still gearing up for more crypto inflows.
Meanwhile, the broader macro backdrop — monetary policy expectations, dollar strength, and regulatory tone — continues to be the real tug-of-war behind each move.
Rallies, Pullbacks, Repeat: The Story of U.S. Stock IndexesThe U.S. stock market has been threading a fine line lately: the S&P 500 and Nasdaq climbed today as tech names like Nvidia, Micron, and Lam Research led gains, while traders held their breath over a looming government shutdown.
Despite strong momentum, indexes ended the week in the red as hawkish comments from Fed officials and sticky inflation data cooled enthusiasm.
What’s driving this tug-of-war? Optimism over rate cuts clashes with political risk — and the next twist could send markets swinging hard.
Dollar Index: The Calm Before the Storm?The Dollar Index has been stuck in a tight range, but don’t mistake sideways trading for stability.
Behind the scenes, traders are torn — weaker economic data and the prospect of a shutdown argue for a softer dollar, while global demand for safe havens keeps a firm bid under the greenback.
That tug-of-war has kept DXY consolidating near recent highs, almost like a coiled spring waiting for a breakout.
When Washington sneezes or the Fed shifts tone, the dollar won’t drift — it will lurch, and the next move could set the tone for every major market this quarter.
US Shutdown... How Can This Impact Yields?A U.S. shutdown doesn’t just freeze Washington — it shakes Wall Street. Investors rush into Treasuries for safety, pulling long-term yields down, while missing data and fiscal fears can push short-term yields up. The curve bends under politics, not just economics, turning every extra day of gridlock into fresh market uncertainty.
The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield recently fell ~4.3 basis points to about 4.145 % amid safe-haven demand ahead of a possible shutdown.
The curve has shown signs of steepening: longer maturities have been under more pressure (yields up) relative to short maturities.






















