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Candlestick Analysis

BTC faces a crash, can it hold the $100000 mark?#BTCUSD BITSTAMP:BTCUSD BINANCE:BTCUSDT BITSTAMP:BTCUSD BINANCE:BTCUSDT Affected by market news, BTC's hourly chart showed a large bearish candlestick, falling to a low of around 104000. Currently, regardless of the time frame, BTC has reached the lower Bollinger Band area, and all moving averages across different timeframes are trending downwards in tandem, with the MACD indicator showing a bearish crossover and increasing volume. There are no signs of a technical reversal yet, and in the short term, BTC still has room for further downward correction. If 104000 is breached again, BTC may further decline to 102000-101000, or even the psychological level of 100000. It's only a matter of time, and the bulls will temporarily back down. Therefore, if BTC rebounds to 105500-106500 in the short term, shorting BTC can be considered.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by Miracle-Walker_GC
Gold – Dancing Around $4000, Where Next?Gold prices may have stabilised after their sharp correction from an all-time high at 4381 on October 20th to a low of 3887 on October 28th, however traders still bear the scars from that excessive and volatile move which has left the popular metal dancing in a 3% range either side of 4000. Judging where Gold prices may move next has become more challenging with Federal Reserve policymakers trying to cool market expectations of a further interest rate cut at their next meeting in December. As a general rule, lower interest rates can help support Gold prices as it is a non-yielding asset. Not only that, but this changing outlook from the Fed has also seen the US dollar move up to its highest level for 3 months, which has further weighed on Gold prices, as it makes the safe haven asset, which is priced in dollars, more expensive to global investors. However, many of the drivers that attracted traders to add Gold to their portfolios remain, such as geo-political risks in Ukraine, credit risk and uncertainty regarding the direction of global economic growth. In this type of environment paying attention to the technical outlook can be just as important as staying appraised of macro headline risk. Technical Update: Does 3915 Mark the Extent of Corrective Moves? Gold has corrected over 11.25% from its October 20th all-time high into last Tuesday’s October 28th session low, unwinding the possible over-extended upside conditions that built during the sharp August 20th to October 20th price advance. The key dilemma for traders now is whether the recent weakness marks a healthy market correction or suggests a deeper shift in sentiment. If it’s the former, we could see renewed buying interest and a resumption of the broader uptrend. However, if it’s the latter, risks may lead to a further phase of price weakness. While the next directional theme for Gold remains uncertain, technical analysis can offer potential clues. By identifying key support and resistance levels, traders can anticipate where directional risks may emerge, especially if those levels break on a closing basis. A breach of support may signal deeper corrective risk, while a close above resistance could resume positive momentum. Potential Resistance Levels: Gold’s 11.25% decline from the October 20th high appears to have found support at 3,915, the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the September 18th to October 20th advance. Price action has since stabilised around this level, suggesting potential for attempts to renew upside. Traders may now shift focus to key resistance levels, with closing breaks above those levels needed to indicate further price strength. With upside developing following tests of the 3915-retracement support, traders could now be monitoring the 4076 level, which is the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of the October price weakness. Successful closing breaks above 4076 could result in tests of 4134, the 50% level, even 4192, the higher 61.8% retracement. Potential Support Levels: As suggested above, with the latest phase of price weakness being held by the 3915 retracement levels, traders will likely be monitoring this as the first possible support. Closing breaks under this level could be a catalyst for continued price declines. Such moves while not a guarantee of a phase of further price weakness, could open tests of 3819, the October 2nd session low, even 3717, which is the September 24th downside extreme. The material provided here has not been prepared accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Whilst it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research, we will not seek to take any advantage before providing it to our clients. Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD
by Pepperstone
Bitcoin’s price is at one of its most critical moments yet!👋🏻 Hey everyone! Hope you’re doing great! Welcome to SatoshiFrame channel. ✨ Today we’re diving into the 4-Hour Bitcoin analysis. Stay tuned and follow along! 👀 On the 1-hour timeframe of Bitcoin, we can observe that after failing to break above its key resistance zone, BTC moved toward the multi-timeframe lows. Losing those lows created a selling pressure, pushing the price to retest its fundamental support levels. Currently, I’ve identified two critical zones in my analysis — a breakout from either one could provide a solid trading opportunity. ⌛ Bitcoin’s volume shows a strong bias toward sell positions, to the point where buyers are barely preventing the higher timeframes from entering oversold conditions. However, if this selling pressure and volume persist, Bitcoin could break the lower boundary of its recent daily range and continue downward. Volume data gives us the best insight into market behavior, allowing us to build effective scenarios. ✍️ There are two potential scenarios for Bitcoin that I’ll briefly summarize below — both can be used as setups for positioning. 🟢 Long Scenario: If Bitcoin breaks above the resistance zone at $108,072, completes a pullback, and shows an increase in buying volume with momentum entering the market, we can open a long position. This setup looks somewhat risky, so it’s better to enter with a smaller position size. The best trigger for a long entry is located around $111,180. 🔴 Short Scenario: If Bitcoin breaks below the key support level at $105,732, it could offer a short position setup — provided that selling pressure and bearish momentum continue. After the breakdown, we’ll need to wait for a pullback before entering the trade. ❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
by Satoshimultiframe
Warning signs build for bullsContinued topside failures combined with an evening star pattern on the daily should have silver traders on alert for potential downside in the days ahead. You can’t help but notice how feeble the bounce has been relative to the rout seen in October, with price consistently struggling above $49, which just happens to be the 38.2% fib retracement of the October high-low range. Five separate failures above the level were telling, perhaps explaining why we saw an eventual pullback on Monday, delivering an obvious evening star pattern on the daily that warns of downside risk. With momentum indicators turning neutral, the price signal suggests short setups may be the way to play near term. $48.00 has seen plenty of action either side recently, making it a candidate to build a bearish setup around. Shorts could be set beneath with a stop above for protection, targeting either $46, which offered support previously, or the October 28 swing low of $45.56. In between, the 23.6% fib of the October high-low is found at $47.67. Given the price has respected other retracements, it’s a level of note. Minor support is also located 40 cents lower at $47.27. Unless you’re only interested in ultra-short-term setups, price action at these levels should be monitored rather than treated as targets for the trade. Good luck! DS
FOREXCOM:XAGUSD01Short
by FOREX.com
1
USD Index, AUD/USD Hint at Near Term ReversalsAs outlined in last week’s video, I suspect the US dollar may have the potential to break higher as part of its wave C before momentum realigns with its dominant bearish trend. However, Monday’s shooting star candle just below 100, coupled with an overbought RSI (2), warns of a potential pullback ahead of any breakout. Also note that AUD/USD has formed a spinning top doji near the September low, suggesting that bearish momentum is waning despite closing lower for a fourth consecutive day. With the RBA likely to deliver a hawkish tone when they hold rates today, there’s potential for a short-term bounce in the Australian dollar. However, if I’m right in expecting an eventual bullish breakout in the US dollar index, I’ll also be watching for evidence of a swing high on AUD/USD once that anticipated bounce is delivered. Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index
ICEUS:DX1!Short
by City Index
Can gold prices go long amid a narrow stalemate?#XAUUSD TVC:GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD Gold prices continued to fluctuate narrowly throughout the evening⚖️, with the hourly and 2-hour moving averages converging in the 4010-4005 range, as both bulls and bears awaited a clear directional decision from the market.📊 However, from a technical perspective, gold prices have failed to break below the 4-hour moving average support at 3995 and the daily MA5 at 3985📈. These are crucial short-term support levels🚀, and the fact that gold prices haven't broken them confirms strong buying support below💪. This suggests that any short-term decline should be viewed as a technical correction rather than a market reversal.🤔 Therefore, although the short-term direction is not yet clear, considering the support formed by the 4-hour moving average and the daily MA5, I remain bullish and await a breakout from the consolidation pattern in gold prices🐂. There may not be much clear information tonight, so let's take a look at the performance of gold prices in the Asian session👀. In summary, the current trend is still in an upward channel. As long as the 3995-3985 level holds, I will maintain a bullish view. On the upside, pay attention to the short-term resistance at 4020-4030🤩.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Miracle-Walker_GC
Above 4000, continue to be bullish on gold.#XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD Gold prices fell after opening lower in Asian trading today, but rebounded after touching the key support zone of 3960-3950 and then entered a narrow range of fluctuation. Judging from the current trend, gold is still in an upward channel, and the price is still stabilizing above the daily MA5. Therefore, as long as it does not break below the daily MA5 of 3985, we can continue to maintain a bullish view. Observing the 1H and 4H charts, we can see that the moving average support is basically maintained in the 4010-4000 range. If the gold price retraces to this range in the short term, we can consider going long on gold. Meanwhile, the first resistance level to watch is 4035-4045, which is both the rebound high point that gold prices repeatedly tested last Friday and the location of the daily MA10 moving average. Only by breaking through and stabilizing above this level will gold prices further test the upper resistance of 4050, or even higher.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Miracle-Walker_GC
Long trade 📘 Trade Journal Entry Pair / Symbol: MNQ1! (Micro E-Mini Nasdaq-100 Index Futures) Direction: Buy-Side Trade Date: Mon 3 Nov 25 Time: 1:00 am Session: London Session AM Timeframe: 1 Hour 🔹 Trade Details Metric Value Entry 26,057.50 Profit Level (TP) 26,390.50 (+1.28 %) Stop Level (SL) 26,004.00 (–0.21 %) Risk–Reward (RR) 4.36 R 🔸 Technical Context Market Structure: The index has been consolidating after a prior impulsive up-leg from mid-October. A liquidity sweep below the 26,000 handle and BOS on lower time frames confirmed short-term accumulation. 15min TF Overview Confluence Factors: KAMA (Kaufman Adaptive MA) has flattened and begun to curl upward — early momentum shift. Volume Expansion: Spike during the London open, suggesting institutional re-entry after the weekend gap. Intraday PD Array Alignment: Demand zone and VWAP cluster at 25,980–26,020 confluence zone. Session Overlay: Previous NY session lows have been taken out; London reclaim confirms buyside intent. Key Zones: Demand Base: 26,000 – 26,030 Target Zone: 26,380 – 26,400 (liquidity resting above prior London swing highs) Extended Target: 26,790 (1.618 fib projection of current impulse) 🔹 Narrative & Bias The setup reflects short-term accumulation within the broader bullish structure, consistent with rotation back into tech futures as the USD consolidates. The 26,000 psychological level acted as a liquidity magnet — price swept stops, reclaimed structure, and produced a bullish displacement candle. Macro Sentiment: Renewed optimism in the Q4 earnings cycle; U.S. indices stabilising post-CPI data. NASDAQ is outperforming due to sector rotation into large-cap growth (AAPL, ZS, NVDA correlation). Projection: Expect price to continue toward 26,390–26,400, with a partial profit zone near the prior swing high and potential continuation to the 26,780 1.618 extension if NY session momentum follows through.
CME_MINI:MNQ1!Long
by davidjulien369
3
Nifty Analysis EOD – November 3, 2025 – Monday🟢 Nifty Analysis EOD – November 3, 2025 – Monday 🔴 A Day of False Breakouts — Signs of Base Building or Just Another Trap? 🗞 Nifty Summary Nifty opened 38 points lower, quickly filled the gap in the initial move but couldn’t hold above the 25715 support zone, slipping further to mark the day’s low at 25645.50. From there, a sharp recovery of over 100 points lifted the index above the previous day’s close (PDC) to a new day high of 25761.5, forming the Initial Balance (IB) High. After a brief retracement, a strong rally attempted to break the IB High, but the very next candle proved it a false breakout, pulling Nifty back under control of the bears. Price hovered near the IB zone, with multiple breakout attempts followed by quick rejections. A double bottom pattern emerged around the earlier swing low, which helped bulls stage another rally toward the IB High — and once again, a false breakout ensued. Finally, around 2:10 PM, Nifty decisively broke above the IB High, rallying to the next resistance zone of 25790, where it again faced rejection but managed to close near the day’s high at 25774.3, above both CDO and PDC levels. While the day looked random at first glance, the price behavior reflected a pattern typical of base-building phases — a mix of failed breakouts, mid-range compressions, and reactive rallies. If this indeed is a base formation, the 25700 zone must hold in coming sessions. As highlighted in yesterday’s note, 25790 was the key level, and today’s close near it makes tomorrow’s close above 25790 crucial for bulls’ continuation. The 25700 level remains the guiding line for short-term structure. 🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart with Levels 🛡 Intraday Walk Opened 38 points negative and tested 25715 zone. Failed to sustain, slipped to 25645.5 marking day’s low. Sharp 100+ point recovery to 25761.5 forming IB High. Multiple fake breakouts above IB High followed by rejections. Double bottom near 25650–25670 region provided strong bounce. Final rally tested 25790 resistance; closed at 25774.3 near the high. 📉 Daily Time Frame Chart with Intraday Levels 🕯 Daily Candle Breakdown Open: 25,696.85 High: 25,803.10 Low: 25,645.50 Close: 25,763.35 Change: +41.25 (+0.16%) 🏗️ Structure Breakdown Type: Small-bodied bullish candle with wicks on both ends — indecision with mild bullish bias. Range (High–Low): 157.60 points → moderate volatility. Body: ≈ 66.50 points → limited directional strength. Upper Wick: ≈ 39.75 points → rejection near 25,800. Lower Wick: ≈ 51.35 points → buying support near 25,650. 📚 Interpretation After two strong bearish days, Nifty managed to hold key supports and stage a mild comeback. Bulls defended the 25,650–25,700 zone well, though momentum above 25,800 remains lacking. The close above open signals buyer re-entry, albeit cautiously — a potential pause before reversal or consolidation. 🕯Candle Type A Spinning Top, appearing after consecutive bearish sessions — a classic indecision candle often preceding a short-term base or pullback. 🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart ⚔️ Gladiator Strategy Update ATR: 201.94 IB Range: 116. → Medium Market Structure: balanced Trade Highlights: 9:36 – Long Trade → Target Achieved (R:R 1:1.69) 10:43 – Long Trade → SL Hit 11:26 – Short Trade → Trailing SL Hit 📌 What’s Next? / Bias Direction The short-term trend remains in flux — bulls are attempting to defend their ground, while bears continue rejecting higher zones. A close above 25790 could confirm short-term strength and push Nifty toward 25880–25940. If the 25700 level fails, the market may retest 25580–25550 as the next strong demand area. 📌 Support & Resistance Levels Resistance Zones: 25790 25865 ~ 25880 25920 ~ 25944 Support Zones: 25635 ~ 25615 25585 25550 25510 25460 ~ 25440 💡 Final Thoughts “Base-building phases test patience — not skill. The disciplined trader sees patterns where others see noise.” ✏️ Disclaimer This is just my personal viewpoint. Always consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
NSE:NIFTY
by kzatakia
After a long pause, I'm backIt's been a minute since I've posted or traded. As it happens trading drew me back. Let's see the first position I've taken. We've got ourselves a downtrend on euro-dollar since sep, and around the 1.15 area is my trade. Is it risky? Yes. But, I'll only give it 2-3 options to be able to break further down or need an extra super strong signal of bullish momentum to change my view. Initial stop will be very close: 1.1545 First tp is @1.1454 RR is 1:2.
Short
by adamnkiss
3
EUR/USD: Classic Breakout Trade - Don't Miss the Move!The 📉EURUSD pair experienced a decisive breakout and closed below a significant daily/intraday horizontal support cluster on Friday. Following this breakout, the pair started to consolidate on an hourly timeframe, on the previously breached structure. The bearish violation of this consolidation serves as a strong bearish confirmation. Conversely, the price is projected to continue its downward trajectory, with a likely target of at least 1.1500.
Short
by linofx1
26
DXY Analysis — Bulls at 100: Continuation or Correction?In my latest DXY analyses, I mentioned that the index could reverse and push higher, with the 100 figure acting as a key zone to watch for bulls. Indeed, on Friday the index climbed right into this area and is now showing signs of minor consolidation. The key question now: 👉 Will the DXY manage to continue above this critical level, or is it time for a pause? In my view, a correction is looming for the index. Even if we see a short-term spike above 100, I expect it to be unsustainable. For the near future, DXY could remain in a range-trading environment, with 100 as resistance and 97.50 as support.
TVC:DXYShort
by Mihai_Iacob
1
Long trade 📘 Trade Journal Entry Pair: SUSHIUSDT.P Direction: Buy-Side Trade Date: Sat 1 Nov 25 Time: 6:30 am Session: LND to NY Session PM Timeframe: 15 Min 🔹 Trade Details Metric Value Entry 0.5094 Profit Level (TP) 0.5846 (+15.28 %) Stop Level (SL) 0.5041 (–1.38 %) Risk–Reward (RR) 11.07 R 🔸 Technical Context Structure: Price completed a clear re-accumulation phase after a multi-session decline. The CHOCH → BOS sequence on the 15 m timeframe confirmed bullish intent. Liquidity sweep beneath 0.50 zone (prior Asian lows) provided the displacement and smart-money entry. Key Zones: Demand Zone: 0.497 – 0.501 (previous breaker block + FVG mitigation). Target Zone: 0.580 – 0.585 (previous London/NY liquidity high cluster). Adaptive MA (KAMA): Now curling upward, acting as dynamic support. Volume Profile: Volume expansion noted during London open; follow-through in NY confirms participation from larger players after mid-week compression. 🔹 Narrative & Bias SUSHI formed a clean spring + retest pattern within the accumulation base, suggesting strong buy-side intent. The entry coincided with a liquidity sweep and rejection from demand confluence, triggering a structural breakout above the 0.51 handle. Confluences: 15 m CHOCH + BOS confirmation. 4 h FVG alignment and daily order-block support. Volume divergence → bullish reversal confirmation. KAMA support + London–NY session continuation. Projection: Expect sustained continuation toward 0.58–0.59 zone, potentially extending into 0.61–0.62 if volume persists through NY close. Partial profits ideal near 1.618 extension (~0.575) before evaluating re-entry opportunities.
Long
by davidjulien369