DEAPCAP LONG IDEADEAPCAP stock, after breaking out of a trendline and retesting the trendline and support level, it formed a bullish engulfing candlestick, confirming that it's ready to continue the rally.
To advantage of this long signal, you can buy at the current market price. The stop can be at N1.10 (-19.12%) while the targets are N1.60 (17.65%), N1.94 (42.65%) and 2.36 (73.53%).
Confluences for the long idea:
1. Breakout and retest of a trendline
2. Bullish engulfing candlestick confirmation
3. Support level
Disclaimer: This is not a financial advice. The outcome maybe different from the projection. Don't take the signal if you're not willing to accept the risk.
Candlestick Analysis
ARADEL LONG IDEAARADEL stock is giving a long signal by having bullish divergence on awesome oscillator using the weekly timeframe. Last week candle closed as a bullish candle after a bullish engulfing candlestick formed in the previous week. This happened at a support level which also has a trendline. In addition, there was a breakout of a down trendline. Confirming that buyers are ready to push the price higher.
To take advantage of this long signal, you can buy at the current market price. Stop can be at N467.5 (-10.11%) while the targets are N666 (27.92%) and 850 (63.43%).
Confluences for the long idea:
1. Awesome oscillator bullish divergence
2. Bullish engulfing candlestick confirmation
3. Support
4. Trendline breakout
Disclaimer: This is not a financial advice. The outcome maybe different from the projection. Don't take the signal if you're not willing to accept the risk.
GER40 – Testing 24,300.00 Resistance ZoneGER40 has been pushing higher after reclaiming the 24,100.00 level, with price now consolidating just below the 24,300.00 resistance. Bulls are attempting to break through this zone to target the 24,652.29 high.
Support at: 24,100.00 🔽 | 23,950.00 | 23,800.00 | 23,400.00
Resistance at: 24,300.00 🔼 | 24,652.29 (ATH)
🔎 Bias:
🔼 Bullish: A breakout and close above 24,300.00 could trigger a rally toward the ATH at 24,652.29.
🔽 Bearish: Rejection at 24,300.00 with a drop below 24,100.00 may send price back toward 23,950.00.
📛 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
Hot Take, PLTR is a BubbleHello I am the Cafe Trader.
Price Action suggest we haven't had a proper buyer since $90.
Now I know that this can sound a bit off putting (especially if you bought above $90).
Even if this crashed, I am not suggesting you sell your long term position. I would instead look into hedging your position, giving yourself some exposure to the downside.
Consider these 2 non-biased reasons before writing me off.
Point 1
Price action suggests we have been in a short squeeze since April. Although in the short term I do see current retail buyers taking this to 169.
Point 2
If we do not land new Strong Buyer (someone that can support the price) all of this squeeze will come crashing back down to where they can support the price.
Conclusion
If we close below 152.50 on the day, this would suggest that bears have or are in control. This would expose many to tons of risk.
Here are my long Term prices for PLTR
Aggressive = 120
Fair = 107.50 - 108.50
Good = 89
Steal = 71-74.50
That's all for PLTR take a look at my other articles if you are interested in more!
Happy Trading!
@thecafetrader
ETH Critical Next Few Days.Hello I am the Cafe Trader.
Today we are taking a close look at Ethereum.
After the Tariff news and the Jobs report, The market as a whole seems very bearish suddenly to many. Even though we do have aggressive sellers in the short term, The market is still bullish in the mid to long term. Let's take a look.
Sentiment has changed
A major catalyst (like the Tariffs news) can cause a change of terrain. Buyers may become more bashful, taking their foot off the gas (where the put it before). Reactions to kry levels (like "top of demand") will give us clues into how strong are they still.
Short Term
ETH had a huge rally, Whats does a healthy rally need for a continuation?
Consolidation
This brings us to the charts
Top of demand gives us evidence of how convicted these current buyers still are in a market. A hot reaction = Aggressive Demand. Cold Reaction = Hesitant or lack of Demand.
Todays close was a touch cold, but considering the recent bearish news and data, not terrible. Buyers are still active in this area, but since the terrain might have changed, I have given you two scenarios.
Green Scenario
For this to play out, we need to see buyers step in immediately. The longer ETH stays in this demand, the heavier they will become (and it's a long way down)
Wait for a second test minimum. Best to get a hot reaction. If it presses into the demand zone, Cut it early. (always good to wait for a close)
Entry 3,518
Stop 3,360
TP 1 3,990
TP 2 Breakout? Trailing stop?
Red Scenario
If we can't close above top of demand (Like tomorrow...) This is the likely scenario. I would be hard pressed to try and catch a knife this overextended. So until we identify where the new sellers are sitting, I can't give you any trades on this scenario. If you are short biased this could run all the way down to the bottom of demand.
I'll keep a close eye this over the weekend and keep updates.
Long Term
These prices should be according to your personal sentiment on ETH.
Aggressive = 3,500
Good price = on the trend roughly 2,900 - 3k
STEAL = 2,200 - 2,400
That's all for ETH! Enjoy your weekend, and Happy Trading!
@thecafetrader
Learning#05 : Decoding Highs and Lows📚 Learning#05 : Decoding Highs and Lows
- A Trader’s Guide to Reading the Market - Simple Yet Important
If the market were a book, the trend would be its storyline — and as traders, our job is to read that story without skipping pages. Trading with the trend puts the odds in your favor because you’re flowing with the market’s natural momentum, not fighting it.
Whether it’s an uptrend, downtrend, or a sideways grind, spotting it early gives you a big edge in deciding when to enter, when to exit, and when to simply step aside.
One of the simplest yet most reliable ways to read that story?
👉 Story of Highs and Lows
Let’s break it down.
📚 Understanding Highs and Lows in Trading
In technical analysis, highs and lows are the market’s way of leaving breadcrumbs.
A high is a peak before the market pulls back.
A low is a trough before the market bounces.
Track these points over time and you start to see patterns that reveal the market’s mood — bullish, bearish, or indecisive.
This isn’t about guessing; it’s about observing price action as it is.
📌 The Four Key Building Blocks of Market Structure
1️⃣ Higher Highs (HH)
Each new high is higher than the one before.Paired with higher lows, this signals an uptrend. Buyers are in control, and demand is pushing price upward.
Example: Nifty rallies from 22,000 to 22,200, pulls back to 22,100, and then rallies to 22,350. That second high (22,350) is higher than the first, confirming bullish momentum.
2️⃣ Higher Lows (HL)
Each pullback low is higher than the last.This tells you that sellers tried to push the market down — but buyers stepped in sooner this time, showing strength.
HLs often precede trend continuation and give great spots for entering long positions with tight risk.
3️⃣ Lower Lows (LL)
Each new low is lower than the previous one.Paired with lower highs, this marks a downtrend. Selling pressure is in charge, and rallies are being sold into.
4️⃣ Lower Highs (LH)
Each bounce high is lower than the last.This shows weakening buying pressure and often leads to another push lower.
Think of it like climbing stairs vs. walking down a hill:
📌 HH + HL = Stairs up → Bull trend.
📌 LL + LH = Hill down → Bear trend.
📈 HH+HL : Bullish Setup :
📉 LL+LH : Bearish Setup :
📌 Why It Matters for Traders
Price action is the most honest information in the market — no lag, no magic, no guesswork.
HH/HL → Bulls in control → Look for long setups.
LL/LH → Bears in control → Look for short setups.
Spotting these patterns on the fly means you can align with the dominant side instead of fighting it.
🧩 Combining HH & LL With Other Tools
📏 Fibonacci Retracements
Once you’ve identified the trend:
In an uptrend, draw Fibonacci from the latest HL to HH for pullback buying zones.
In a downtrend, draw from the latest LH to LL to find shorting opportunities.
⛰️ Fractals for Clarity
Fractals help pinpoint swing highs and lows without guesswork. I personally track HH/HL/LL/LH on a 1-minute chart for intraday trading — this keeps me in sync with the micro-trend while avoiding sideways traps.
🔀 Trendlines & VWAP
Trendlines show the bigger path, VWAP confirms intraday balance. When HH or LL aligns with these, you’ve got high-confluence setups.
🥷 Kiran’s Approach
For intraday, I start by mapping the structure: HH, HL, LL, LH. This gives me the immediate trend bias and alerts me to potential reversals early. I track them on a 1-min chart, combine with Fibonacci and trendlines, and trail stops as the structure unfolds.
It’s simple, visual, and keeps me out of bad trades and warns me to stay out of a sideways market situation, too.
🔑 Key Takeaway
Market structure is like a language — HH, HL, LL, and LH are its alphabet. Once you learn to read it, you’ll never trade blind again.
💡 “Trade what you see, not what you think. The chart always whispers first — you just have to listen.”
Start marking highs and lows on your chart tomorrow. Watch the story unfold. Trade in sync, and you’ll notice your entries become sharper, your exits cleaner, and your confidence higher.
See you in the next one — and until then:
Keep it simple. Trade with structure. Trust the levels.
— Kiran Zatakia
Ethereum (ETHUSD): All Time High Ahead📈Ethereum has successfully broke above an important daily resistance level today.
The next major resistance is base on the All Time High.
I anticipate the market will continue to rise towards the 4800 level, but I prefer to wait for a pullback to buy on a retest of the broken structure.
Market Manipulations. Bullish Trap (Smart Money Concepts SMC)
In the today's article, we will discuss how smart money manipulate the market with a bullish trap .
In simple words, a bullish trap is a FALSE bullish signal created by big players.
With a bullish trap, the smart money aims to:
1️⃣ Increase demand for an asset, encouraging the market participant to buy it.
2️⃣ Make sellers close their positions in a loss .
When a short position is closed, it is automatically BOUGHT by the market.
Take a look at a key horizontal resistance on AUDCHF.
Many times in the past, the market dropped from that.
For sellers, it is a perfect area to short from.
Bullish violation of the underlined zone make sellers close their position in a loss and attracts buyers.
Then the market suddenly starts falling heavily, revealing the presence of smart money.
Both the sellers and the buyers lose their money because of the manipulation.
There are 2 main reasons why the smart money manipulates the markets in a such a way:
1️⃣ - A big player is seeking to close a huge long position
When a long position is closed, it is automatically SOLD to the market.
In order to sell a huge position, smart money needs a counterpart who will buy their position.
Triggering stop losses of sellers and creating a false demand, smart money sell their position partially to the crowd.
2️⃣ - A big player wants to open a huge short position
But why the smart money can't just close their long position or open short without a manipulation?
A big sell order placed by the institutional trader, closing their long position, can have an impact on the price of the asset. If the sell order is large enough, it can push the price downward as sellers outnumber buyers. Smart money are trying to balance the supply and demand on the market, hiding their presence.
It is quite complicated for the newbies and even for experienced traders to recognize a bullish trap.
One of the efficient ways is to apply multiple time frame analysis and price action.
Remember, that most of the time bullish traps occur on key horizontal or vertical resistances.
After you see a breakout, analyze lower time frames.
Quite often, after a breakout, the market starts ranging .
After a breakout of a key daily resistance, gold started to consolidate within a narrow range on an hourly time frame.
Bearish breakout of the support of the range will indicate a strength of the sellers and a highly probable bullish trap.
Remember, that you can not spot all the traps, and occasionally you will be fooled by smart money. However, with experience, you will learn to recognize common bullish traps.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
True or false? How to Decide Between Long and ShortInfluenced by the news related to tariffs, gold has just completed a fluctuation of nearly $20 in a very short period of time, breaking the silence of the gold market in one fell swoop. Separately, news indicates that the White House is planning to clarify the misinformation surrounding gold bar tariffs.
If there were traders who had rashly entered the market before, in the absence of strict trading system constraints and strict trading discipline, they would inevitably suffer certain losses regardless of whether they chose to go long or short.
This is also the reason why after giving my daily trading strategies, I will repeatedly emphasize the importance of strictly adhering to trading planning and discipline.
For ordinary traders, it's difficult to discern the authenticity of this news. After all, the Trump administration has a history of denying its own statements. Therefore, sometimes it's wise to remain on the sidelines.
This is also what I specifically reminded you to do when publishing my trading strategy this morning: be sure to trade with a small position today and be vigilant to potential unforeseen circumstances.
Next Stop 3420? Gold Bulls Push the Limit!Gold has shown a step-by-step rise in the short term, and has stood above 3,400 many times, and the bullish force is relatively strong. However, correspondingly, after gold stood above 3400, it fell under pressure several times, so the shape was not particularly good, which increased the risk of pullback in the short term.
However, we do not need to worry. Gold is still running in an ascending wedge structure. Although it has been under pressure and fallen back several times during the attack on 3400, the bullish structure has not been effectively destroyed so far. Moreover, with the sharp increase in gold buying, the 3380-3370 area below has become an obvious intensive trading area, which has greatly limited the gold retracement space.
In addition, after gold broke through 3340, market sentiment tended to be optimistic. If gold experiences a short-term pullback, more funds will flow into the gold market, especially for those who have missed out on long trades before, who will rush into the gold market even more frantically. Under the resonance of the current technical structure and market optimism, gold still has the potential to hit 3400, and bulls are even expected to stand firm at 3400 and make further efforts.
So in terms of short-term trading, I still advocate that gold pullbacks are buying opportunities. And I cherish the opportunity to enter the market and go long in the 3385-3375 area, and am optimistic that gold will hit 3400 again, and may even continue the bull trend to the 3420-3430 area.
OANDA:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FX:XAUUSD CAPITALCOM:GOLD
Nifty Analysis EOD – August 8, 2025 – Friday🟢 Nifty Analysis EOD – August 8, 2025 – Friday 🔴
From Yesterday’s Glory to Today’s Gloom — Bulls Knocked Off the Board
Today’s market was a textbook case of how quickly momentum can flip. Yesterday’s 289-point bullish surge was completely erased, with Nifty ending deep in the red and closing at the day’s low. Sellers clearly had the upper hand, leaving little room for bulls to breathe.
🗞 Nifty Summary
Friday opened with a 65-point gap-down — right below the crucial 24,580 support zone — and that level instantly showed rejection.
In the first 45 minutes, Nifty slipped 150 points from the day high and 200 points from the previous day high. The key Fibonacci retracement level from yesterday’s range — 24,406 ~ 24,412 — played the role of intraday savior multiple times, offering support and holding the market within a narrow zone for most of the day.
However, the bulls’ defense cracked after 3:00 PM. The support broke, triggering a sharp slide below 24,380 and even the Previous Day Low (PDL).
The upside was capped by 24,470 ~ 24,460, while 24,406 ~ 24,412 remained the battleground for most of the day until the breakdown.
In a single session, yesterday’s dramatic 289-point recovery rally was completely erased — with Nifty closing at the bottom of the PDL and CDL.
Today’s close is now below the low of 12th May, marking a 64-session (88-day) low.
Now the question for Monday: will bearish momentum extend, or will some positive news bring bulls back into play?
🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart with Levels
Intraday Walk
🔻 Gap-down open below major support at 24580.
⏳ First 45 minutes: Steep drop of 150 points from the day high.
🛡️ Fib support at 24406–24412 holds multiple times… until the late break.
🔻 Post 3 PM: Support collapse leads to fresh lows below PDL.
📉 Close near day’s low — erasing yesterday’s bullish rally.
📉 Daily Time Frame Chart with Intraday Levels
🕯 Daily Candle Breakdown
Open: 24,544.25
High: 24,585.50
Low: 24,337.50
Close: 24,363.30
Change: −232.85 (−0.95%)
Structure:
Real Body: 180.95 pts (Red Candle — Close < Open)
Upper Wick: 41.25 pts
Lower Wick: 25.80 pts
Interpretation:
Strong bearish sentiment — sellers maintained control from open to close.
Very small lower wick — indicates conviction from sellers in closing near the low.
Wiped out prior day’s gains — buyers have lost the short-term edge.
Candle Type:
Bearish Marubozu (near-full body) — signals decisive selling pressure, often a continuation pattern after weakness.
🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart
🥷 Gladiator Strategy Update
ATR: 210.45
IB Range: 134.05 → Medium
Market Structure: Balanced
Trade Summary:
10:35 AM – Short Entry → SL Hit
📌 What’s Next? / Bias Direction
Below 24,400: Bearish momentum likely to extend toward 24,250–24,200.
Above 24,470: Only a strong reclaim can shift bias back to neutral.
Gap-down/weak open on Monday may accelerate selling; bounce attempts will face resistance at 24,400–24,470.
🔍 Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance Zones:
24,406 ~ 24,412
24,460 ~ 24,470
24,500
24,580
Support Zones:
24,315
24,280
24,240 ~ 24,225
24,185
💬 Final Thoughts
"Markets don’t turn on hope — they turn on price. Respect the levels, and let price lead the story."
Bulls had the glory on Thursday, but Friday flipped the script completely. The market now sits at a multi-month low — momentum favors bears, but Monday’s open will decide if we see follow-through selling or a sharp dead-cat bounce.
✏️ Disclaimer
This is just my personal viewpoint. Always consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
Mastering bearish candlestick patterns - How to use it!Bearish candlestick patterns are a cornerstone of technical analysis, relied upon by traders across financial markets to assess the likelihood of price reversals or continued downward trends. At their core, these patterns are visual representations of shifts in market sentiment, formed by the open, high, low, and close prices over one or several trading sessions. When recognized accurately and interpreted in context, bearish candlestick setups can alert market participants to the fading strength of buyers and the increasing presence of sellers, which often precedes downward price movements. Expanding on this, a comprehensive understanding of each pattern’s nuances, psychological underpinnings, and optimal trading applications can significantly enhance a trader’s analytical toolkit.
What will be discussed?
- What is a shooting star?
- What is a hanging man?
- What is a gravestone dojo?
- What is an evening star?
- What are the three black crows?
- How to trade the bearish candlestick patterns?
Shooting star
The shooting star pattern stands as a prominent candlestick configuration foreshadowing potential bearish reversals after an uptrend. This single-candle pattern is distinguished by a small real body situated near the lower end of the price range, a long upper shadow that is at least twice the length of the body, and little to no lower shadow. The psychological narrative implied by the shooting star is compelling: buyers initially control the session, pushing prices sharply higher, but by the close, sellers have overwhelmed this optimism, pulling the price back down to near or below the opening point. This abrupt shift in control suggests that the bullish momentum is waning, priming the market for a price correction or reversal.
Hanging man
The hanging man, while visually similar to the hammer pattern of bullish reversals, is distinctly bearish because of its position at the top of an established uptrend. This single-candle pattern features a small body at the upper part of the trading range and a markedly long lower shadow, again with minimal or absent upper shadow. During the session, substantial selling pressure drives prices down, accounting for the extended lower shadow, yet buyers temporarily regain some control, recovering much of the loss by the close. Despite this late-session recovery, the appearance of the hanging man warns traders that sellers are growing more aggressive – especially if the next candle confirms the weakness with a lower close.
Gravestone doji
A classic and somewhat ominous formation, the gravestone doji is a specialized form of doji candlestick that carries even greater weight when it appears after a rising market. Here, the open, close, and low are all clustered near the session’s low, forming a long upper shadow with no lower shadow. This structure vividly illustrates a dramatic shift in sentiment: buyers propel prices higher during the session, only to be met by intense selling which pushes prices back to the opening level by the close. This failed rally, marked by the upper wick, reflects the exhaustion of buying interest and the potential onset of bearish dominance.
Bearish engulfing
Turning to multi-candle setups, the bearish engulfing pattern is a powerful, two-bar reversal pattern. The initial candle is bullish and typically a continuation of the prevailing uptrend, but the second candle is bearish and must open above and close below the body of the first candle, “engulfing” it completely. The transition from a relatively small upward move to a much larger downward move highlights a rapid escalation in sell-side enthusiasm. Importantly, the larger the second candle and the greater the volume accompanying it, the more reliable the signal.
Evening star
The evening star expands the analysis further into a three-candlestick formation, representing a storyline of shifting market dynamics. The pattern commences with a long bullish candle, followed by an indecisive small candle (the star) that gaps above the previous close, and concludes with a large bearish candle that closes deep into the first candle’s body. The evening star is especially meaningful because it narrates a transition from bullish exhaustion to bearish control over three sessions, making it a robust signal of a pending trend reversal. The reliability of the evening star increases if the bearish candle is accompanied by high volume, confirming a surge in selling pressure.
Three black crows
Among the most striking bearish signals is the three black crows pattern. It comprises three consecutive large bearish candles, each opening within the body of the previous candle and closing successively lower. This pattern demonstrates relentless selling over several sessions, erasing prior gains and indicating that bearish sentiment is in full swing. Collectively, the three black crows can shift market psychology significantly when they appear after a lengthy uptrend, especially if accompanied by increased trading volume.
How to trade the bearish candlestick patterns?
Effectively using bearish candlestick patterns in a trading strategy requires more than mere recognition of shapes. The context in which these patterns emerge matters greatly; traders should analyze preceding price action, the scope of the trend, and any converging signals from other technical tools such as momentum oscillators or volume indicators. Confirmation is a best practice, waiting for a subsequent session that continues in the bearish direction can filter out false signals and decrease the chances of whipsaw trades.
In practice, traders may use these patterns to identify short-selling opportunities, define entry and exit points, or adjust stop-loss levels to protect profits as a trend appears to reverse. Risk management is crucial, as no pattern is infallible. Position sizing, stop-loss placement, and ongoing evaluation of the broader market environment all contribute to the prudent use of candlestick analysis. By integrating these patterns into a comprehensive market analysis framework, traders are better positioned to interpret crowd psychology, anticipate significant reversals, and navigate the complexities of price movement with a higher degree of confidence and skill.
-------------------------
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Thanks for your support. If you enjoyed this analysis, make sure to follow me so you don't miss the next one. And if you found it helpful, feel free to drop a like 👍 and leave a comment 💬, I’d love to hear your thoughts!
Long trade
Trade Journal Entry – XRPUSDT
Direction: Buyside trade
Date: Wednesday, 6th August 2025
Time: 12:30 PM (Tokyo to London Session PM)
Timeframe: 15-Min TF Entry
📊 Trade Details
Entry Price: 3.3479
Profit Target: 3.5547 (+6.18%)
Stop Loss: 3.3236 (−0.73%)
Risk-Reward Ratio: 8.51: 1
🧠 Context / Technical Notes
Price action shows a bullish structure following prior range accumulation.
Multiple higher timeframe fib ranges marked; entry taken within premium/discount zones. Current price reacting from a demand zone with liquidity sweep seen in the lower timeframe.
Long trade
15min TF overview
🟩 Trade Type: Buyside Trade
Pair: ETHUSDT
Date: Sunday, 3rd August 2025
Time: 5:15 PM
Session: London–New York Overlap (LND Session PM)
Timeframe: 15 minutes
🔽 Entry Parameters
Entry Level: 3,455.23
Stop Loss: 3,436.73 (-0.54%)
Take Profit: 3,877.00 (+12.21%)
Risk-to-Reward (RR): 22:8
📉 Market Structure & Technicals
Trend Context:
Price reversed from a steep bearish trend and showed signs of a bullish momentum shift.
EMA/WMA Levels:
EMA (blue) and WMA (yellow) show a bullish crossover at the point of entry
Both MAs began to slope upward, confirming the trend shift.
Liquidity Observations:
Clean sweep of prior lows below 3,500 preceding entry.
Price traded back into a premium zone after reacting from a deep discount.
🧠 Narrative / Rationale
Set up Narrative:
ETH completed a strong downtrend and printed a bullish market structure shift (MSS) on the 15-minute TF. Entry was taken after price reclaimed the (POI) and confirmed a higher low.
Current Status: Trade in progress, profit levels partially hit.
TP aligns with the previous supply zone or relatively equal highs around 3,784.
Additional liquidity above 3,877–3,915 for extended targets if trade continues.
U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) – 15M Chart Analysis | Aug 8, 20251. Market Structure:
DXY is trading in a short-term range between 98.471 resistance and 97.952 support, following a sharp downtrend from the 99.072 high.
2. Supply Zone Pressure:
The 98.471 level acts as a strong intraday supply, repeatedly rejecting price and limiting bullish momentum.
3. Demand Zone Cushion:
The 97.952 level is holding as immediate support. Below that, the yellow zone around 97.60–97.45 is a major demand area where buyers may step in.
4. Momentum Bias:
Lower highs from the recent peaks signal ongoing bearish pressure. Short-term rallies are getting sold into, suggesting sellers control the market.
5. Next Move:
Bullish: Break above 98.471 opens path to 98.829–99.072 .
Bearish: Break below 97.952 targets the 97.60–97.45 demand zone.
The trend has not changed, go long and look for new highs#XAUUSD
Gold fluctuated at a high level in the Asian session, and the market has not yet taken a clear direction. Despite the current market conditions being extremely flat, caution remains regarding the potential for wider volatility after a breakout above key levels. The current short-term resistance area above gold is 3400-3410. With the breakthrough of yesterday's high today, the short-term support level will also move up. The middle track of the Bollinger band at the hourly level below has also risen to around 3390. The focus of the European session is whether gold can effectively break through the short-term suppression. If the European session is under pressure and encounters resistance, then gold may have a correction. It can be considered to retreat to the 3390-3378 area below and stabilize before lightly long gold to see new highs. Be wary of potential black swan events on Friday.
Gold Poised for a Surge: 3400 in Sight, 3430 Within ReachToday, gold retreated to a low of around 3350 before rebounding again, reaching a high of around 3390. During this process, we seized the opportunity to go long on gold near 3356 and closed the trade by successfully hitting TP: 3380, making a profit of 240 pips!
Although gold retreated after reaching 3390, I had originally planned to short gold near 3395, but gold didn't reach that level during the rally, so our shorting plan had to be shelved. Currently, it's trading in a narrow range around 3380. Clearly, I'm not considering shorting gold after a pullback.
Although gold retreated to around 3350 during the day, it did not destroy the current bullish structure of gold. In addition, gold regained the 3370-3375 area again during the rebound, and the gold bulls became even stronger. Therefore, I have now lost the desire and interest to short gold. Gold has currently reached a high near 3390. Given its current structure and strength, I don't believe 3390 is the current high. Gold is likely to attempt to break through 3400, and even has the potential to continue its rise to the 3420-3430 range. As the center of gravity of gold shifts upward, the current short-term support has moved up to the 3375-3365 area; and the relatively strong support is located in the 3360-3350 area.
Therefore, for short-term trading, I prefer to start trying to go long on gold after it retreats to the 3375-3365 area, and expect gold to hit 3400 as expected, or even continue to the 3420-3430 area.
Long trade
📘 Trade Journal Entry
🔹 Pair: LINKUSDT
📅 Date: Friday, 8th August 2025
🕖 Time: 7:30 PM
🗺 Session: NY to Tokyo Session PM
⏱ Timeframe: 15-Minute TF
📈 Direction: Buyside
📊 Trade Details
Parameter Value
Entry Price 16.668
Profit Target 18.229 (+9.37%)
Stop Loss 16.562 (−0.64%)
Risk-Reward 14.73: 1
📌 Technical Context
Entry Zone: The trade was initiated after observing a sell-side liquidity sweep, followed by an internal break of structure (BOS), which supported the shift toward bullish intent. The trade aligns with a Wyckoff-style accumulation schematic, with a Phase C spring-type event visible. We anticipate that Phase D — a trending move within the range — is now underway.
Bullish Outlook Intact: Gold Targeting 3400-3410Gold encountered resistance and retreated several times on its way to 3400, but it remained above 3370 during the pullback, perfectly maintaining the integrity of its volatile upward trend. Therefore, even though gold's upward momentum has weakened, I still believe that due to structural support, gold still has the potential to reach the 3400-3410 area, and may even continue its bullish trend to the 3420-3430 area.
As gold prices rise, market sentiment tends to be more optimistic, and the price behavior reflected by the candlestick chart becomes clearer. The lows of gold continue to rise, and the highs always insist on setting new highs in the process of rising. The oscillating upward structure is particularly obvious. While greatly limiting the retracement space, it also greatly consolidates the support structure below and is conducive to further rises in gold. At present, gold has been confirmed to have stabilized above 3370, so gold may not give another chance to fall back to the 3360-3350 area.
Then in the next short-term trading, the gold pullback is a buying opportunity. We focus on the opportunity to participate in long gold after gold retreats to 3380-3370. The target will first look at the 3400-3410 area, and the higher target area is in the 3420-3430 area.
Auto Index has consolidated and might be in search of a BreakoutCNX Auto Index has consolidated for a long time in the range of 22800 and 24250 since May 25. If the index can cross the resistance zone between 23828 and 24221 and if we get a weekly closing above 24221 or 24250 then we might see a rally in this index towards 25K or even near 26K. Currently the index closed on Thursday at 23808. Lot of Auto and Auto component companies gave good results during the last quarter.
When the index is strong and gives a breakout it means that the undercurrent in majority of the companies which constitute the index is strong. There will be some companies which will obviously drag the index down as there can not be one way traffic. To know amongst these which companies to invest in an investor should look at fundamentals of the company, recent and past results, cash flows, Sales and order books, EPS and many other factors. While a Technical investor should look at charts of the companies before investing.
A smart investor would be a person who looks at both fundamentals and technicals of the company and invests in a fundamentally strong company which is giving a technical breakout. For this one has to learn Techno-Funda analysis. I have written a book on the subject called The Happy Candles Way To Wealth Creation. In this book you will learn the basics of Techno-Funda investing. The book is available on Amazon and is one of the highest rated books in its category. With an approval rating of 4.8/5 as on date. Lot of investors call it as a Hand book for Techno Funda investing. Most of the chapters are standalone and can be read at your own accord. It will be really helpful to you.
The companies that constitute this index are Maruti Suzuki, Tata Motors, M&M, MRF, TI India, Exide, Samvardhana Motherson, Ashok Leyland, Hero Moto, TVS Motors, Bharat Forge, Bosch, Balkrishna, Bajaj Auto and Eicher Motors. Amongst these companies due to Tariff uncertainties one should focus on companies which will be least dependent on export and have major market which caters to local consumption or exports not related to US. Two-Wheeler manufacturers and Two Wheeler component manufacturers are looking particularly strong in the index as most of them are consumed and sold locally. The rains so far this monsoon have been good so the Farm equipment and Tractor manufacturers also can try to push the index upwards if the monsoon remains strong in India.
If we get a closing above 24250 we can easily see index moving 1000 to 1500 points northwards if positivity in the index sustains. The resistances currently for the Auto index are at 23828, 24221, 24554, 24965, 25407 and 25865. The supports for Auto index remain at 23620 (Mother line support), 23087 (Father line support), 22894 (Below this level index becomes very weak) and 22259. To know more about Mother line, Father line and my Mother, Father and Small child theory you should once again I recommend, read my book the Happy Candles Way to Wealth Creation.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
Don’t Blink — Gold Charging Toward 3400!Overnight, we entered a long trade at 3365 and successfully closed the trade by hitting TP: 3395, locking in nearly 300pips of profit. This was a very successful and accurate trading strategy.
Just now, gold became very crazy after rising, and plunged directly from around 3397 to around 3372. It was a very scary and crazy diving action. In fact, I am not worried about it. On the contrary, I am very happy that it provides me with another opportunity to enter the market and go long on gold. I've already entered a long position in gold again, as planned, in the 3375-3365 area.
Regarding the recent plunge in gold, I think it was intended to scare off the long positions that were somewhat loose in their intentions. Although gold has fallen sharply, it is still in a recent volatile upward structure. The volatile upward structure has not been destroyed in the short term, so I believe that gold will not have much room for retracement for the time being under the support of the bullish structure. On the contrary, I believe that after gold touches around 3397, even if it is weak, it will try to hit the 3400 mark, and it is even expected to continue the bullish trend to the 3420-3430 area.
There may be many friends in the market waiting for the opportunity to enter the long market at 3350 or even 3340, but what I want to say is that under the support of the gold bull structure, the downward space has been greatly limited. In the short term, gold may not go to such a low position at all, so relatively speaking, I prefer to go long on gold in the 3375-3365 area, and I have indeed done so!