$ETH / $BTC Breakout on Daily TimeframeETH/BTC has appeared to breakout on the daily timeframe, with a successful backtest and continuation higher. This is a great sign for alts in general, but remaining cautious with all the volatility that comes with FOMC decisions. Would like to see this hold and have a strong weekly close to give a clearer picture on mid term direction!
Candlestick Analysis
XAU/USD Daily Outlook – Tuesday Strategy
The Tokyo session offered a decent buying opportunity, which I utilized by opening a position at 4175.5 and closing at 4185. This early move reinforces the view that intraday selling pressure remains limited, aligning with my mid-term bullish bias.
Market Context
Investors have largely priced in a Federal Reserve rate cut, but the real risk lies in the magnitude of the easing cycle. A milder-than-expected approach could disrupt linear bullish momentum and introduce volatility. With the Fed decision scheduled for Wednesday, the market is in a cautious stance, balancing technical setups with macro uncertainty.
Technical Outlook
Key Resistance: 4200 (psychological benchmark)
Bullish Scenario: I’ll remain on the sidelines until we see a clean break above 4200.
Once confirmed, I’ll engage long positions targeting 4219 as the next resistance zone.
Bearish Scenario: Price action below 4176 could give sellers momentum, but I’ll avoid shorts unless 4164 is invalidated.
If that happens, targets will be 4152 and 4135.
Indecision on the Chart: What These Candles Really MeanIndecision in the market? You're not alone. Every trader has faced those moments when the charts seem to scream confusion. But here's the thing: indecision candlestick patterns aren't just noise. They hold secrets that, when decoded, can give you the upper hand. Let's dive in and learn how to spot these patterns and use them to your advantage.
Mastering Indecision Candlestick Patterns
The most well-known indecision candles are the Doji, Spinning Top, and High Wave Candle. These candlesticks might seem tricky at first, but once you learn to recognize them and understand their context, they can serve as valuable tools in your trading strategy.
Doji
A Doji has a small body with nearly identical open and close prices, and long upper and lower wicks, indicating market indecision—neither buyers nor sellers gain control during that period.
When to look for confirmation: A Doji alone isn’t enough to trade. Wait for confirmation from the next candle: a bearish one after an uptrend may signal a reversal, while a bullish one after a downtrend might indicate the start of a rally.
Spinning Top
A Spinning Top is an indecision candle with a small body and longer upper and lower shadows. It indicates uncertainty, with more volatility than a Doji.
When to look for confirmation: A Spinning Top is more meaningful after a strong trend. Following an uptrend, it could signal weakening momentum. Wait for the next few candles to confirm the market’s direction.
High Wave Candle
The High Wave Candle is like the Spinning Top but with even longer wicks. It shows high volatility with no clear direction, as the price fluctuates widely but the open and close remain close, indicating indecision.
When to look for confirmation: Use the High Wave Candle with trend analysis. If it appears during consolidation or after a major move, it may signal a breakout. As with other indecision candles, wait for confirmation before acting.
Combining Indecision Candles with Indicators
While indecision candle patterns can provide useful insights, they are most effective when combined with other technical indicators. Here are some ways to use them in combination:
Moving Averages: Use moving averages (like the 50-period or 200-period) as a trend filter. If a Doji or Spinning Top forms above a moving average and the next candle confirms a reversal, it may signal trend continuation.
Relative Strength Index (RSI) : If an indecision candle forms when RSI is at extreme levels (above 70 or below 30), it may signal an upcoming pullback or reversal.
Volume: A high-volume candle following an indecision candlestick often confirms strong follow-through. Without volume, these patterns may be less reliable.
Where to Avoid Using Indecision Candles
While indecision candles are useful, there are some scenarios where relying on them without confirmation can be misleading:
Choppy Markets: Indecision candles appear frequently and may not signal real reversals.
During News Events: Sharp price spikes can create false indecision signals.
Lack of Context: A Doji in sideways price action has less significance than one after a strong trend.
Indecision candles signal uncertainty, but don’t act on them blindly. Always combine them with other analysis and make decisions based on your own judgment!
GBPAUD SHORT Market structure bearish on HTFs 3
Entry at Daily AOi
Weekly Rejection at AOi
Previous Weekly Structure Point
Daily Rejection at AOi
Previous Daily Structure Point
Daily Head and Shoulder Pattern, Retest of the neckline
Around Psychological Level 2.01500
H4 Candlestick rejection
Rejection from Previous structure
TP: WHO KNOWS!
Entry 105%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King.
NZDCAD SHORT Market structure bearish at HTFs 3
Entry at both Weekly And Daily AOi
Weekly Rejection at AOi
Previous Weekly Structure Point
Daily Rejection at AOi
Daily EMA retest
Around Psychological Level 0.80000
Touching EMA H4
H4 Candlestick rejection
TP: WHO KNOWS!
Entry 115%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King.
EURUSD Pullback analysis chart.EUR/USD – Structure & Trend Summary
EUR/USD is moving inside a descending channel, respecting both the upper trendline (lower highs) and the lower trendline (lower lows). Price continues to react from the channel boundaries, confirming a bearish market structure.
Recent price action shows:
Rejections from the upper trendline, forming repeated HH (lower high attempts) but failing to break the bearish channel.
Strong bearish impulses from each lower high, creating symmetrical downward legs.
Support touches on the lower trendline, followed by corrective pullbacks.
The latest swing has again rejected the upper channel line and is showing momentum toward the downside.
Bias: Bearish
Expectation: If structure continues to hold, EUR/USD may extend toward the lower trendline once again, aligning with previous –0.37% measured moves.
Key Notes:
Channel resistance remains strong.
Market respecting HH → HL swings but still failing to break bullish structure.
As long as price stays below the trendline, bearish continuation remains likely.
What you think about EURUSD, write your feedback in comment section.
GOLD (XAU/USD): Consolidation ContinuesGold is currently consolidating within a horizontal parallel channel.
We spotted a notable bullish reaction to its support:
the price formed a small double bottom pattern and subsequently started to rise, violating its neckline with a bullish imbalance.
It is highly probable that the price will reach the 4220 level soon.
Mother line provides support to falling Nifty. Mother line or 50 EMA has provided today incredible support to Nifty which rose 111 points from low of the day to close at 25839. Still the Nifty closed 120 points below previous close. Now of the Mother line support is held we can see comeback of Nifty and rally can restart from there on. For the rally to restart we need a closing above 25930. The next resistance if we get a closing above 25930 will be 26062. Further resistance can be at 26194, 26352 and finally the channel top is near 26596. Supports for Nifty will be at 25728 (Mother Line support), Mid-Channel support is near 25608, 25338 is the final support. If this support is broken the father line support is at 24917.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
GOLD (XAUUSD): High Chance for a Pullback
Gold may go up after a test of a key intraday/daily support
and a little trap below that.
Expect a rise at least to 4216
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How to find an entry point within a trading range#XAUUSD TVC:GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD
Gold rebounded as expected after retracing to around 4170. Those who followed this strategy and executed long trades may consider taking profits and exiting the market. From the daily chart, the short-term gold price is below the MA5 and MA10, indicating a weak market. If it cannot effectively break through the short-term resistance of 4185-4195 and hold above the daily MA5 and MA10, then gold still has room for a pullback. Meanwhile, looking at both the daily and weekly charts, in the absence of major news events, there is strong support at 4150-4140, which may trigger short-term fluctuations. The first pullback to this level could present an opportunity to go long on gold.
Nifty Analysis EOD – December 9, 2025 – Tuesday🟢 Nifty Analysis EOD – December 9, 2025 – Tuesday 🔴
Deep Plunge and V-Shape Recovery: Buyers Defend 25700 Zone on Expiry Day.
🗞 Nifty Summary
The session began with a bearish continuation, gapping down 52 points below the PDL and immediately slipping a further 152 points. This aggressive sell-off was halted precisely at the Gap Zone of 25740 ~ 25715, where a strong V-shaped recovery began.
A rapid 120-point bounce tested the 25840 resistance, and bulls subsequently pushed the index above the Initial Balance High (IBH). However, the 25920 ~ 25930 zone, which had acted as support yesterday, now flipped polarity and aggressively pushed the Nifty back down toward 25800. After struggling to hold this level, the market closed at 25,839.65.
Despite the early selling pressure, the strong buying interest emerging from the lower levels allowed the index to close within a critical support zone. If this is a base-building process, today’s low must be held firmly in the upcoming session.
🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart with Levels
🛡 Intraday Walk
The overall day was characterized by the market remaining within the IB range, indicating action after the Initial Balance (IB) was formed. The early plunge confirmed the short-term bearish sentiment from yesterday’s close. However, the strong V-shaped rally from 25728 shows resilience and active defense from buyers.
The most important observation is the polarity flip: 25920 ~ 25930 is now confirmed as a strong overhead resistance zone that bears are defending.
The recovery effort was significant, but the inability to close above 25850 keeps the short-term bias negative.
📉 Daily Time Frame Chart with Intraday Levels
🕯 Daily Candle Breakdown
Open: 25,867.10
High: 25,923.65
Low: 25,728.00
Close: 25,839.65
Change: −120.90 (−0.47%)
🏗️ Structure Breakdown
Type: Bearish candle with a Long Lower Wick, forming a spinning top structure.
Range (High–Low): ≈ 196 points — moderately high volatility.
Body: ≈ 27 points — very small body showing intraday indecision.
Upper Wick: ≈ 57 points — buyers attempted to push higher but failed to sustain momentum.
Lower Wick: ≈ 112 points — strong buying attempt from lower levels (25700 zone).
📚 Interpretation
The small body and the long lower wick are highly suggestive of base-building or base formation near the crucial 25,700 support. The strong recovery from the deep low minimizes the bearish impact of the open. Although the close was below the open, the size of the lower wick signals resilience and suggests that sellers may be exhausting their supply at these lower levels.
🕯 Candle Type
Indecision Candle with Bullish Lower-Wick Support — Shows potential base-building; the next session’s action will confirm trend continuation or reversal.
🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart
⚔️ Gladiator Strategy Update
ATR: 205.82
IB Range: 162.95 → Large
Market Structure: ImBalanced
Trade Highlights:
14:04 Short Trade - Target Hit (R:R 1:1.24) (Contra Trade: PDL + IBH + trendline failure)
Trade Summary: Given the extreme opening volatility (Large IB) and the IBH forming below the PDL, the system correctly avoided the standard IBL breakout long trade. It later capitalized on a successful contra short trade during the brief failure near the high.
🧱 Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance Zones:
25930 ~ 25920 (Immediate Polarity Flip Resistance)
25985
26030
Support Zones:
25800 (Immediate Psychological)
25740 ~ 25715 (Critical Base Support)
🧠 Final Thoughts
“The test of 25,700 determined the day’s recovery.”
The strong defense of the 25700 zone is the primary victory for the bulls today, preventing a catastrophic breakdown. The key challenge for tomorrow is the flipped resistance at 25920 ~ 25930. Bulls must reclaim and hold this level to negate the bearish short-term bias. If today’s low (25,728) breaks, the next major target will be much lower.
✏️ Disclaimer
This is just my personal viewpoint. Always consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
AUDCAD: Move Up is Expected 🇦🇺🇨🇦
There is a high probability that AUDCAD will continue rising.
A bullish change of character and a formation of an imbalance
candle after the Australia interest rate decision this night,
suggest a strong buying sentiment.
Goal - 0.9218
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GBP/CAD: Bear Trap & Bullish ConfirmationThe GBPCAD pair formed a liquidity grab following a test of significant intraday/daily support.
The presence of an ascending triangle pattern and a violation of its neckline offer strong bullish confirmation.
I anticipate an upward movement, at least to 1.8511.
US 100 Index – Potential Crunch Time for the Santa Rally!The US 100 has edged 0.2% lower to start this pivotal week as traders adjust positioning ahead of the final Federal Reserve meeting of 2025. This is a meeting at which the US central bank is widely expected to cut interest rates by 25bps and with markets pricing around a 90% chance of this happening it could be argued that anything else would be a major shock to the financial system.
Putting that to one side, there could also be challenges for traders to navigate even if the Fed does cut rates as expected, and this is where assessing the price action once the decision is released at 1900 GMT on Wednesday could be crucial.
The US 100 has rallied strongly from its November 21st low at 23834 up to current levels around 25650 at time of writing (0700 GMT). This 1800-point rally coincided with Fed policymakers talking more positively regarding their views on the potential for a further ‘near term’ rate cut, so it could be argued that this is now already priced into US stock indices.
More specifically, the US 100 is up around 21.5% year to date and consideration may need to be given to how motivated investors may be to add to their directional exposure versus locking in gains on what has been a strong 2025 performance.
With this as the backdrop moving into the next 36 hours of trading, assessing the current technical trend, alongside identifying potential key support and resistance levels could help to determine whether a Santa rally or a nasty case of ‘bah humbug’ volatility is more likely moving into the final 3 weeks of 2025.
US 100 Index Technical Update: Stalling Against 25772 Resistance?
The US 100 index has staged an impressive 8.4% recovery from the 23834 November 21st low, yet the latest phase of strength may be stalling against potential resistance at 25772. This level, equal to the November 5th session high, has repeatedly capped attempts at fresh price strength throughout November and early December, as the chart below illustrates.
While much will depend on future price activity, traders may now view the 25772 resistance as something of a pivotal level. A successful close above 25772 might be required to open the way for further price strength. However, if 25772 continues to cap prices on a closing basis, the latest upside momentum may be seen as slowing with scope for downside weakness to emerge.
What Next if 25772 Is Broken on a Closing Basis?:
With resistance at 25772 potentially pivotal to future price activity, closing breaks above this level may now be required to sustain a push toward higher levels. Such moves, while not guaranteeing continued upside, could encourage further attempts to extend the latest strength.
Successful closes above 25772 could open the possibility of moves towards 26277, which is the October 30th upside extreme, and if this level were to also be broken, on further toward 27208, which is the 38.2% Fibonacci extension.
What Next if the 25772 Resistance Continues to Hold?:
With the 25772 resistance still intact on a closing basis, it is notable that the new week has once again seen selling pressure emerge around this level. The concern now for the bulls is that the longer 25772 continues to cap price strength, the greater the risk that downside momentum could begin to materialise.
If price weakness does emerge, trader focus may then shift to support offered by the rising Bollinger mid‑average, which currently stands at 25151. A closing break below 25151 could then raise risks of a deeper retracement of the November/December strength, with potential to test 25067, which is the 38.2% retracement, possibly even 24596, a level equal to the 61.8% retracement.
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NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 12/9/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQZ2025
- PR High: 25728.50
- PR Low: 25692.00
- NZ Spread: 81.5
Key scheduled economic events:
10:00 | JOLTs Job Openings
13:00 | 10-Year Note Auction
Session Open Stats (As of 12:25 AM).
- Session Open ATR: 413.46
- Volume: 23K
- Open Int: 310K
- Trend Grade: Long
- From BA ATH: -2.7% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 26521
- Mid: 25264
- Short: 24008
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
Gold Bulls Are Making Hard Work of New HighsI remain sceptical of gold’s latest bounce and continue to look for signs of a swing high. A less-dovish — or relatively hawkish — Fed cut this week could be the catalyst for a stronger US dollar and lower gold. Either way, it’s hard to imagine gold breaking back above its record high without a meaningful dip first.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index.
Evening Doji Star Forms at Weekly Resistance on UJAn Evening Doji Star is a Bearish Reversal Candlestick Pattern that consists of 3 Candlesticks:
1) Large Bullish Candle
2) Doji Candle
3) Large Bearish Candle
The Doji Candle represents indecision in the markets where the Bulls nor the Bears were able to overcome one another.
The last candle being a bearish one suggests that the Bears have successfully taken over and are looking to push price down!
This Candlestick Pattern itself is a strong indication that price is looking to reverse from this Resistance Level at 158 - 156 formed at the end of last year/beginning of this year, but what will also add "fuel to the fire" is if the next candle, being the Confirmation Candle of the pattern turns out to be a bearish one!
If so, I am looking for FX:USDJPY to continue this bearish push down in price to the next Area of Value being at 151 - 148 with a stronger Support Level down at the 141 - 139 where price last visited in April this year.
Fundamentally, USD has a heavily news filled week with Sept. and Oct. JOLTS Job Opening being released, Unemployment Claims, ADP Weekly Employment Change and the Federal Reserve with an 86% chance of Cutting Interest Rates on the 10th.
BOJ is set to Hike Interest Rates the following week, and this, fundamentally, could be the catalyst for the Bearish Reversal we see setting up in technical terms on the charts!






















