Candlestick Analysis
Long trade Pair MNQH
Buyside trade
Thu 22nd Jan 26
5.15 am
LND Session AM
Entry 25689.50
Profit level 25883.25 (0.75%)
Stop level 25657.75 (0.12%)
RR 6.1
MNQH (Micro E-mini Nasdaq-100, 15-Min) — Sentiment Summary
Bias: Buy-side (intraday continuation)
Session: London AM
Date/Time: Thu 22 Jan 2026, 5:15 am
RR: 6.1
Market Context:
The broader structure remains bullish, with price holding above value after a prior corrective phase. The market recently swept sell-side liquidity into a well-defined discount zone, completing a reset before London participation.
Narrative:
Following the sell-side sweep, price showed bullish displacement and acceptance back above intraday value during the London AM window. We assume this signals institutional re-engagement and a shift back into continuation mode rather than further mean reversion.
Liquidity & Order-Flow:
Sell-side liquidity below recent lows cleared and defended
Bullish FVG / value support respected on the retrace
Buy-side liquidity remains resting above session highs, acting as the primary draw
Execution Logic:
The long entry at 25,689.50 aligns with discount mitigation + bullish continuation, with a tight stop below the defended low. Targets are positioned into buy-side liquidity, offering strong RR relative to risk.
Invalidation:
A decisive bearish displacement and acceptance back below the defended lows/value would invalidate the buy-side bias.
Long trade
5min TF overview
Silver Futures (SI 5-Minute) — Sentiment Summary
Bias: Short-term Buy-side (tactical continuation)
Session: NY Session PM
Context: HTF bullish → LTF pullback completed → continuation attempt
Narrative:
Silver remains structurally bullish on the higher timeframes following a strong impulsive expansion. After clearing sell-side liquidity and completing a corrective pullback, the price has now reacted positively from a discounted area, printing a sharp bullish response during the NY PM window. This suggests the market has completed its mean-reversion phase and is attempting to re-align with the dominant trend.
Liquidity & Order-Flow:
Sell-side liquidity below the range has already been cleared and defended
Bullish FVGs have provided support on the retracement
Acceptance above short-term structure implies buyers regaining control
Execution Logic:
The buy-side entry is justified after discount mitigation + bullish displacement, targeting a rotation back toward prior highs and remaining buy-side liquidity. Risk is clearly defined below the recent swing low, maintaining the setup's asymmetry and trend alignment.
Invalidation:
A decisive bearish displacement and acceptance below the defended lows would invalidate the buy-side bias.
NZDCHF LONG Market Structure Bullish on HTFs 3
Entry at both Weekly and Daily AOi
Weekly Rejection at AOi
Previous Weekly Rejection Point
Daily Rejection at AOi
Previous Daily Structure Point
Daily EMA retest
Around Psychological Level 0.46000
Touching EMA H4
H4 Candlestick rejection
Rejection from Previous structure
TP: WHO KNOWS!
Entry 125%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King.
Nifty Analysis EOD – January 22, 2026 – Thursday🟢 Nifty Analysis EOD – January 22, 2026 – Thursday 🔴
The 25,430 Wall: Bulls Stumble After 185-Point Gap Up!
🗞 Nifty Summary
Nifty delivered a session of extreme “exhaustion gap” dynamics. The day started with a massive 185-point Gap Up above the PDH, initially finding support at the breakout zone to test the 25,430 resistance.
However, this level acted as a formidable supply wall, triggering a violent rejection. Nifty plummeted 258 points from its day high, breaching the IBL, PDH, and PDC to test the 25,180 support zone.
After marking the day low, the index spent most of the session consolidating in a wide 100-point range. A desperate last-minute surge allowed Nifty to close at 25,289.90 (+0.53%). While the net change is positive, the red-bodied daily candle signals that bulls were unable to hold the premium opening, leaving the market in a state of high-tension indecision.
🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart with Levels
🛡 Intraday Walk
The opening gap-up was a classic “bull trap” for those chasing momentum. The failure to sustain above 25,430 led to a cascading sell-off that wiped out the entire gap and then some.
The 258-point drop was high-velocity, but the successful defense of the 25,180 base (PDC area) provided a platform for the late-session recovery.
The last 15 minutes were crucial, with bulls attempting to reclaim the PDH.
We are now entering a hyper-sensitive phase with a long weekend (Sat-Mon) and the Monthly Expiry on Tuesday.
📉 Daily Time Frame Chart with Intraday Levels
🕯 Daily Candle Breakdown
Open: 25,344.15
High: 25,435.75
Low: 25,168.50
Close: 25,289.90
Change: +132.40 (+0.53%)
🏗️ Structure Breakdown
Type: Bearish-bodied candle with long wicks (Net Bullish day).
Range: ≈ 267 points — High intraday volatility and expansion.
Body: ≈ 54 points — Red body indicates the close was lower than the gap-up open.
Upper Wick: ≈ 146 points — Severe rejection from the 25,430 resistance zone.
Lower Wick: ≈ 121 points — Strong buyer defense near the 25,168 lows.
📚 Interpretation
Technically, this is a high-wave candle within a recovery trend. It confirms that sellers are still active at higher altitudes (25,430), while buyers are bottom-fishing near the 25,170 zone. The close above the open of previous sessions keeps the “revival” hope alive, but the lack of follow-through from the gap-up suggests bulls need more firepower to clear the supply.
🕯 Candle Type
Bullish Recovery Candle with High-Volatility Wicks — Demand is present at lower levels, but overhead supply is capping the upside for now.
🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart
⚔️ Gladiator Strategy Update
ATR: 248.93
IB Range: 133.30 → Medium
Market Structure: ImBalanced
Trade Highlights:
10:28 Short Trade: Target Hit (R:R 1:1.9) (IBL Breakout)
12:08 Long Trade: Trailing SL Hit (Mean Reversion)
Trade Summary: The system correctly identified the shift in momentum after the 25,430 rejection. The IBL breakout provided a clean high-velocity move to the downside. The subsequent long trade attempted to capture the V-shape recovery but was caught in the afternoon consolidation, exiting on a trailing stop.
🧱 Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance Zones:
25380
25430 (Major Ceiling)
25480 ~ 25495
25550
Support Zones:
25270
25180 ~ 25145
25060 (Last Resort)
🧠 Final Thoughts
“The Monthly Expiry fuse is lit.”
We are at a crossroads.
Optimistic View:
If Nifty opens between the current close and 25,430, a breach of the day high could trigger a massive short-covering rally toward 25,520+. The setup is screaming for a breakout if bulls can find the strength.
Pessimistic View:
If we fail to sustain above 25,430 again, expect a choppy “inside bar” session with the 25,060 level as the final line of defense.
Given the long weekend and upcoming expiry, Friday will be a battlefield of volatility. Stay disciplined and watch the IB formation.
✏️ Disclaimer
This is just my personal viewpoint. Always consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
Gold BuyWe got the reaction off Asia exhaustion and the sell was valid.
Yesterday price ended bullish again, after creating a new ATH. We then had a retracement, presenting us with a HL, which indicates we can potentially see a continuation.
A nice deep retracement to Asia lows / exhaustion, with a reaction and 15 min candl flip, would be the signal to buy, however if price remains above the equilibrium, we can buy should price action indicate bullish intent.
Long trade
USDJPY — 18-Tab Colour Framework (Buy-Side Execution)
Timeframe: 15 minutes
Session: London AM
Date: Thu 22 Jan 2026
Bias: Buy-Side
USDJPY
Bias: Buy-side (Continuation after accumulation)
Market Context: Higher-timeframe structure remains bullish, with price trading above value and holding a premium structure.
🟦 TAB 1 HTF market context
Higher-timeframe structure remains bullish
Price trading above the HTF value
No HTF bearish displacement present
🟩 TAB 2 — Macro Structure
Expansion → consolidation → continuation
Prior impulse leg respected
No structural failure on higher TFs
Narrative:
Price accumulated during the Asian session before London engineered a sell-side sweep, clearing weak liquidity below the range. This was followed by clean bullish displacement, confirming institutional participation. Multiple bullish FVGs and a respected London order block provided support, allowing the price to re-price higher.
Execution Logic:
Entry was taken after FVG mitigation and bullish structure continuation, with the stop safely below the protected low. The trade aligned with London AM continuation statistics and avoided counter-trend risk.
Targets & Expectation:
Upside targets were aligned with buy-side liquidity above session highs, offering a favourable asymmetric risk-to-reward profile.
Trade Summary
USDJPY Buy-Side continuation after sell-side sweep and London displacement.
Structure intact, liquidity aligned, and targets resting above.
CADCHF: Bearish Move From Resistance 🇨🇦🇨🇭
CADCHF appears bearish after testing a key daily resistance level.
A bearish violation of the neckline of a descending triangle pattern
indicates a local strength of the sellers.
I expect a retracement to 0.5733 level.
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Gold - The Psychological $5000 Within Sight!Looking at the price action of Gold in early 2026, it could be said that traders didn’t need much reason to resume buying at higher levels, they were primed and ready to go! However, the nature of how key events initially played out to start this week seems to have emboldened them to push prices to even higher levels than may have been anticipated at that time.
It must be remembered that Gold is one of the most popular safe haven assets to own at a time of crisis and the focus for traders across the first 3 trading days of this week, has been on President Trump’s combative stance toward Europe in his pursuit of making Greenland part of the United States, as well as Japanese PM Sanae Takaichi’s decision to call a snap election for February 8th, to bolster her mandate for greater spending and tax cuts, which increased investor angst over the fiscal situation for not only Japan but many other major economies.
Looking at the chart for this week, the uncertainty created by these events led Gold to hit numerous records. After opening on Monday at 4627, prices went straight up, eventually registering its most recent all time high at 4888 on Wednesday morning, which interestingly brought the psychological $5000 barrier into sight for the first time. Now, prices did dip late yesterday to 4758 as President Trump, while at Davos, stepped back from imposing tariffs on European allies, saying that he had a framework in place for a future deal regarding Greenland. However, Gold has since recovered to trade 4830 at the time of writing (0700 GMT).
Looking forward to the next 48 hours and early next week, where Gold moves next could be determined by the release of specific details of how this Greenland framework is to be structured and updates on whether Denmark and its European allies agree to its terms. There is also a US PCE Index release, the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge, to consider today at 1500 GMT, which could add to any future volatility for Gold depending on if it adds extra colour to the Federal Reserve’s interest rate outlook, given their next meeting is less than 7 days away on Wednesday January 28th.
Gold Technical Update: Focus is on 5000, but 4893 May Also Be Important
Gold’s acceleration through January has extended further this week, putting the psychological 5000 level on traders’ radar. Round numbers, especially when aligned with new all‑time highs or lows, often become key focal points, with closing breaks frequently acting as catalysts for additional price movement. However, for Gold, as the chart below highlights, there is perhaps a closer resistance level that may also warrant attention in upcoming sessions.
This resistance sits at 4893, which is equal to the 100% Fibonacci extension. This level successfully capped Wednesday’s price advance and triggered a setback to the downside. If Gold is to mount a credible challenge toward the 5000 psychological barrier, a closing break above 4893 may be the first hurdle to overcome.
A successful closing break above 4893 could keep the upward momentum intact, opening the way for a test of the 5000 level. A closing break above 5000 may then raise the prospect of further price strength toward 5084, which is the 138.2% Fibonacci extension, possibly even higher.
Potential Support Levels:
The extension resistance at 4893 does currently remain intact, and the latest setback from this level reinforces its role as the first possible resistance focus. While this level continues to cap Gold prices on a closing basis, downside pressure in the shiny metal may re emerge, opening the door for a retest of Wednesday’s 4758 low.
A closing break below 4758 wouldn’t be an outright technical reversal for Gold, but it may leave the door ajar for further downside. If weakness extends, a deeper pullback toward 4657, which is the 38.2% retracement of this year’s range, could unfold, possibly even 4584, which is the deeper 50% mid-point support.
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EUR/JPY Setup: What to Watch TodayThe EURJPY pair is currently consolidating at a significant intraday/daily resistance level.
For a confirmed long position, I recommend observing a double bottom pattern on a 4-hour timeframe.
A breakout above its neckline and a 4-hour candle closing above 185.60 would provide a reliable bullish confirmation.
Our target for this movement would be 186.00.
Conversely, if the price establishes a new lower low on the 4-hour timeframe, this particular setup would be invalidated.
CHFJPY: Bullish Trend Continuation 🇨🇭🇯🇵
CHFJPY will likely continue rising after a retest of the recently
broken horizontal structure resistance.
A bullish breakout of a falling wedge pattern provides a
strong confirmation.
Goal - 200.2
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Short trade Pair AUDJYP
Sell-side trade
Wed 21st Jan 26
NY Session PM
3.00 pm
Entry 107.081
Profit level 106.574 (0.47%)
Stop level 107.147 (0.062%)
RR 7.68
Higher-Timeframe Sentiment
Macro Bias: Late-stage Buy-side → Distribution Risk at HTF Supply
Execution Bias (for this trade): Sell-side justified at a premium.
4Hr TF
4H Market Structure Narrative
Primary trend: Clear bullish expansion from the April lows, with sustained higher highs / higher lows. Current location: Price has now returned to a major 4H resistance / prior distribution high (equal highs/range high).
Bearish / Caution Case (Distribution Scenario)
Warning signs if price fails to hold 107.00:
A displacement back below 107.00 increases the odds of a deeper pullback into the London range.
Market Narrative
Asia → London: Clean accumulation and higher-low structure. Liquidity was engineered during Tokyo, then London delivered displacement, breaking prior range highs.
London → NY: Buy-side liquidity above London highs was raided during the NY open. Price expanded aggressively, printing a session high of ~107.20.
Post-raid behaviour: Momentum stalled near the highs with inefficiency (FVGs) left below, suggesting either a continuation after mitigation or distribution before a pullback.
5min TF
GBPAUD SHORTMarket structure bearish on HTFs 3
Entry at both Weekly and Daily AOi
Weekly Rejection at AOi
Weekly Previous Structure Rejection
Daily Rejection At AOi
Previous Daily Structure Point
Daily EMA retest
Around Psychological Level 2.00500
Touching EMA H4
H4 Candlestick rejection
Rejection from Previous structure
TP: WHO KNOWS!
Entry 125%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King.
Nifty Analysis EOD – January 20, 2026 – Tuesday🟢 Nifty Analysis EOD – January 20, 2026 – Tuesday 🔴
25K Revival: Nifty’s Epic 380-Point V-Shape Recovery!
🗞 Nifty Summary
The Nifty delivered a session of extreme theater, starting with an 80-point Gap Down at the 25145 support. After a failed 5-minute attempt to reclaim 25270, the index collapsed, slicing through the PDL and the 25060 support.
Panic intensified as the psychological 25,000 mark was breached, leading to a deep low of 24,919.80. However, the bottom band of the daily channel acted as a trampoline, triggering a spectacular 380-point V-shaped recovery back to the day’s highs.
The 25270 level proved to be a stubborn ceiling once more, pushing the index back down by 180 points.
Nifty eventually closed at 25,157.50, essentially flat relative to the open, but having survived a near-catastrophic breakdown.
🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart with Levels
🛡 Intraday Walk
The day was a masterclass in volatility. The morning breakdown below 25,060 was a high-conviction bearish move that targeted the 24970 zone.
Once the “final flush” hit 24920, the vacuum created by exhausted sellers allowed for an aggressive short-covering rally.
This 380-point bounce was one of the sharpest in recent history, though the secondary rejection at 25270 confirms that supply remains heavy on every significant rise.
The market is now in a state of high-tension equilibrium at the channel’s edge.
📉 Daily Time Frame Chart with Intraday Levels
🕯 Daily Candle Breakdown
Open: 25,141.00
High: 25,300.95
Low: 24,919.80
Close: 25,157.50
Change: −75.00 (−0.30%)
🏗️ Structure Breakdown
Type: Long-Legged Doji.
Range: ≈ 381 points — Extreme intraday volatility.
Body: ≈ 17 points — Negligible real body, signaling total indecision.
Upper Wick: ≈ 143 points — Massive rejection from the 25,300 supply zone.
Lower Wick: ≈ 221 points — Aggressive, institutional-grade defense of the channel bottom.
📚 Interpretation
A Long-Legged Doji forming at the bottom band of a channel is a textbook reversal signal. It indicates that while bears had the power to break 25,000, they lacked the conviction to stay there.
However, the equal power of the rejection from the top suggests that the bulls are not out of the woods yet. This structure marks a transition from a trending environment to a high-volatility “battle zone.”
🕯 Candle Type
High-Volatility Indecision (Long-Legged Doji) — Indicates a potential pivot point; validation of today’s low is the only thing keeping the current channel structure alive.
🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart
⚔️ Gladiator Strategy Update
ATR: 245.67
IB Range: 147.60 → Medium
Market Structure: ImBalanced
Trade Highlights:
10:22 Short Trade: Target Hit (R:R 1:4.1) (IBL Breakout)
Trade Summary: The strategy successfully identified the morning’s bearish imbalance. The IBL breakout provided a high-probability entry that captured the slide through the 25,000 psychological level, yielding a massive 1:4.1 R:R before the V-shaped recovery commenced.
Personal Note: The system also alerted for a reversal long trade, but I avoided it due to fear and a technically far Stop-Loss (SL).
🧱 Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance Zones:
25180
25270 ~ 25300 (Crucial)
25380
25430
Support Zones:
25060
25009 ~ 24970
24920 (Line in the Sand)
🧠 Final Thoughts
“The channel bottom has been tested—and it held.”
Today was a survival test for the bulls. The Long-Legged Doji at these levels suggests that a bottom might be in, but turning bullish won’t be easy.
For the upcoming session, if Nifty respects the 24,920 low, the channel remains valid. However, if that low is breached, the structure is discarded, and we enter a new bearish phase. Expect extreme choppiness as both sides fight for control over the next directional move.
✏️ Disclaimer
This is just my personal viewpoint. Always consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
NZDCAD: Bearish Move After Trap 🇳🇿🇨🇦
NZDCAD looks overbought after a test of a key horizontal resistance.
After a bullish trap, the price returned below that and will most likely
continue retracing.
Goal - 0.8074
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What is Bullish/Bearish Mitigation Block & How to Identify It
Bullish and Bearish Mitigation Blocks are easier to identify than you think.
In this article, I will share with you very efficient price models for the identification of Order Blocks and Mitigation Blocks.
You will learn
what is Mitigation Block,
Bullish/Bearish Mitigation Blocks examples,
how to draw Mitigation Block,
how to use Mitigation Block,
in trading Smart Money Concepts SMC ICT.
Bearish Mitigation Block Model
Let's start with a theory and study Bullish Trend Model & Bearish Mitigation Block Formation.
Please, examine a following price model:
In Smart Money Concepts trading, a bullish price structure is based on a consistent formation of new Higher Highs and Higher Lows.
Such a price model will be used to confirm an uptrend .
The zone based on the last higher low in that will compose a Bullish Order Block Zone - the area from where the last bullish impulse initiated.
I will explain how to draw that zone in the examples below.
Bullish Order Block will be confirmed after a violation of a current high - a Break of Structure BoS and a formation of a new Higher High.
In some instances, a bullish wave that initiates from a potential Order Block Zone will FAIL to break a current structure high and will set a Lower High.
A consequent bearish movement and a breakout of an identified Order Block zone will confirm a formation of a Mitigation Block.
A formation of a Bearish Mitigation Block will be an important event that will signify 2 things:
a violation of a current uptrend,
a market structure shift and a start of a new bearish trend.
A Bearish Mitigation Block zone will be applied as the area to sell from.
Probabilities will be high that a strong bearish movement will follow after its test.
Such a market structure shift is not a random event.
One of the most reliable things that can help you to confirm a coming violation of an uptrend is a test of a significant liquidity supply zone.
The market may reach a supply zone and initiate a bearish reversal, or form a bullish trap and a liquidity sweep first.
Both scenarios are acceptable.
Here is an example of a formation of a bearish Mitigation Block on GBPUSD forex pair.
The pair was in a bullish structure and reached a historic supply zone.
After its test, the price retraced and formed a potential Bullish Order Block Zone from where a new bullish wave started.
Drawing that zone, I took the level of the last Higher Low and the low of the body of that candlestick.
The price did not manage to update the high and set a lower high instead.
With a consequent bearish movement, the underlined Bullish Order Block Zone was broken .
A formation of a new lower low lower close confirmed a bearish market structure shift.
Bullish Order Block Zone turned into a Bearish Mitigation Block - the zone from where the next bearish wave started.
Bullish Mitigation Block Model
Now, let's examine a Bearish Trend Model and Bullish Mitigation Block Formation.
In Smart Money Concepts trading, a bearish price structure is based on a consistent formation of new Lower Lows and Lower High.
Such a price model will be used to confirm a downtrend.
The zone based on the last Lower High in that will compose a Bearish Order Block Zone - the area from where the last bearish impulse initiated.
Bearish Order Block will be confirmed after a violation of a current low - a Bearish Break of Structure BoS and a formation of a new Lower Low.
In some instances, a bearish wave that initiates from a potential Order Block Zone will FAIL to break a current structure low and will set a Higher Low .
A consequent bullish movement and a breakout of an identified Order Block zone will confirm a formation of a Bullish Mitigation Block.
A formation of a Bullish Mitigation Block will be an important event that will signify 2 things:
a violation of a current downtrend,
a market structure shift and a start of a new bullish trend
.
A Bullish Mitigation Block zone will be applied as the area to buy from.
Probabilities will be high that a strong bullish movement will follow after its test.
Such a market structure shift is not a random event.
One of the most reliable things that can help you confirm a coming violation of a downtrend is a test of a significant liquidity demand zone.
The market may reach a demand zone and initiate a bullish reversal , or form a bearish trap and a liquidity sweep first.
Both scenarios are acceptable.
Here is an example of a formation of a bullish Mitigation Block on USDJPY forex pair.
The pair was in a bearish structure and reached a historic demand zone.
After its test, the price pulled back and formed a potential Bearish Order Block Zone from where a new selling wave started.
Drawing that zone, I took the level of the last Lower High and the high of the body of that candlestick.
The price did not manage to update the low and set a Higher Low instead.
With a consequent bullish movement, the underlying Bearish Order Block Zone was broken .
A formation of a new higher high higher close confirmed a bullish market structure shift.
Bearish Order Block Zone turned into a Bullish Mitigation Block - the zone from where the next bullish wave started.
Please, also not, that testing a Bullish Mitigation block there was a liquidity grab and a bearish trap below that. Smart Money will often manipulate the market, hunting your stop loss before an expected price movement begins.
The Takeaway
A proper combination of structure mapping and liquidity analysis will help you to predict a market structure shirt and a mitigation block creation in a bullish and bearish trend before they happen.
The models that I shared will help you to confirm bullish and bearish breaker Mitigation Blocks trading Forex or any other markets with Smart Money Concepts SMC ICT.
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CRUDE OIL (WTI): Confirmed CHoCH
It appears that WTI Crude Oil will rise.
The price bounced strongly after the last test
of the underlined horizontal support.
A confirmed bullish change of character, accompanied
by an imbalance, provides a strong confirmation.
I expect a pullback to 61.0 level.
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