My long time followers and readers know two things about the bond/credit markets:
1) They are by far the largest markets in the world even dwarfing the Stock/Equity Markets.
2) If you want to know where the Stock Market is going, look at the 10 Year Bond Yield (TNX).
Of course, some argue that things have changed due to central bank money printing propping...
I Am Massively Bearish On the Dollar, But If There Was Ever A Time For It To Bounce, It Is Here!!!
Algorithms Have Been Using The Little Known-.886 Retracement Level Recently!
if 1.77500 box zone i have is supported on the 15m timeframe then im looking for a 100 pip push back up.. if this happens, and if 1.78700 is respected we could be falling back down below 1.775 depending on brexit news.
The 'Stimulus Optimism Trade' is back
Around the world, major fiat currencies are looking at major devaluation.
In the US, a stimulus deal is in the works with a bipartisan group of lawmakers in discussions for $900+ billion deal to stimulate the economy. Last month's jobs report showed that economic recovery is slowing down. This may have tipped Democrats...
DO NOT LET YOUR EMOTIONS GET THE BEST OF YOU!
GRABBING A BULL BY THE HORNS IS NOT EASY, I CAN'T IMAGINE FOR ALOT OF YOU ROOKIES HOW DIFFICULT IT IS TO RIDE IT! XD
EVERYONE IS DISSING GOLD AND FAWNING OVER BITCOIN, WE'VE SEEN THIS BEFORE!
THE NOMINAL PRICE OF EQUITIES, PRICED IN U$Ds, MAY VERY WELL CONTINUE TO RISE AND MAKE NEW ALL-TIME HIGHS!
BUT THEY WILL NOT RISE AS FAST AS THE PRICE OF FOOD, OTHER COMMODITIES OR THE PRICE OF PRECIOUS METALS (REAL MONEY)!
THEREFORE, THEIR PURCHASING POWER WILL HAVE IN FACT FALLEN!
INTEREST RATES WOULD RISE IF PRICES WERE TRULY DETERMINED BY FREE MARKET SUPPLY AND DEMAND!
BUT THE CENTRAL BANKS WILL MONETIZE EVERY GOVERNMENT BOND IN EXISTENCE BEFORE THEY ALLOW YIELDS TO ENDANGER THE SOLVENCY OF ANY GOVERNMENT!
IF THERE IS AN EXPLOSION IN YIELDS, FORCING CENTRAL BANKS TO ENGAGE IN UNPRECEDENTED LEVELS OF MONETIZATION, THIS WILL UNDERMINE...
AMERICAN EQUITIES ARE SO COMPLETELY OVERVALUED, THEIR SHARES NO LONGER REFLECT ANY SEMBLANCE OF ECONOMIC REALITY OR POTENTIAL PROFITABILITY!
DESPITE THIS THEY MAY VERY WELL MAKE NEW ALL-TIME HIGHS, BUT ADJUSTED FOR INFLATION (THE ACTUAL RATE, OF COURSE), THEY WILL BE IMPLODING!
THIS IS BECAUSE THE DOLLAR WILL FALL SO HARD, ALL PRICES WILL RISE!
THE UNCERTAINTY...
THERE IS SIMPLY TOO MUCH EVIDENCE SUGGESTING AN IMMINENT DOLLAR CRASH!
FISCAL DEFICITS, FEDERAL RESERVE DEBT MONETIZATION, AN UNSOUND ECONOMY, CIVIL UNREST, POLITICAL DIVISION AND AN OVERALL ABANDONMENT OF TRADITIONAL AMERICAN VALUES ARE ALL DOMESTIC FACTORS DIMINISHING DEMAND FOR THE U$D AND SLOWLY ERODING ITS RESERVE CURRENCY STATUS!
I BELIEVED THE DOLLAR...
WHOEVER WINS THE ELECTION, THE DOLLAR IS GOING TO IMPLODE!
THEY WILL MANIPULATE COMMODITY PRICES AS LOW AS THEY CAN BUT A PRICE EXPLOSION IS INEVITABLE!
Silver technicals and structure has an intact bullish makeup
The long-term analysis shows that silver has cleared all major resistance and should follow gold to a new all-time high within the next 6-12 months, possibly much faster.
The macro fundamentals are supremely bullish:
Negative interest rates and the beginning of a global currency war/easing...
THE ONLY QUESTION IS WHICH IS A BIGGER BUBBLE: EQUITIES AND REAL ESTATE? OR CURRENCIES AND BONDS?
I BELIEVE THE BIGGEST BUBBLE IS IN THE PURCHASING POWER OF CURRENCIES, BUT THERE MAY BE ANOTHER WAVE OF ILLIQUIDITY!
STOCKS AND REAL ESTATE MIGHT SELL OFF AGAIN!
PRECIOUS METALS MAY GET THROWN OUT WITH THE BATH WATER!
A GREAT RE-ACCUMULATION OPPORTUNITY WILL ARISE IN...
THE ONLY QUESTION IS WHICH IS A BIGGER BUBBLE: EQUITIES AND REAL ESTATE? OR CURRENCIES AND BONDS?
I BELIEVE THE BIGGEST BUBBLE IS IN THE PURCHASING POWER OF CURRENCIES, BUT THERE MAY BE ANOTHER WAVE OF ILLIQUIDITY!
STOCKS AND REAL ESTATE MIGHT SELL OFF AGAIN!
PRECIOUS METALS MAY GET THROWN OUT WITH THE BATH WATER!
A GREAT RE-ACCUMULATION OPPORTUNITY WILL ARISE IN...
USD / TRY is already triple (D1-H4-H1) overbought. If the the first D1 candle close above the north BB, the course probably turn to the middle band. Target price is 7.30000. Technical resistance: 8.50000 (magic number)
The currency pair can turn earlier, if the TCMB make a verbal or non-verbal intervention. Be prepared!
