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ETH Is Bouncing — But This Is Still a Reaction, Not a BreakoutMarket Structure (H1) Ethereum is showing a clear rebound from the 2,750–2,800 support zone, confirming that buyers are defending demand effectively. The impulse off support is strong, but structurally ETH remains below two key resistance layers — the first around 3,000–3,050, and the higher supply zone near 3,150–3,200. As long as price trades beneath these zones, the broader structure remains corrective. Price Action & Context The recent sell-off flushed downside liquidity, which often leads to sharp relief bounces. However, current price action still fits a range-to-range rotation rather than trend continuation. A rejection from the first resistance would likely form a lower high, keeping ETH compressed inside the larger consolidation. Only clean acceptance above resistance would shift control back to buyers. Macro & U.S. Policy Backdrop Macro conditions remain a headwind for crypto: - The Federal Reserve is maintaining a restrictive stance, with rate cuts not yet clearly signaled. - U.S. yields remain elevated, supporting the USD and limiting risk-asset expansion. - Liquidity conditions favor short-term trades, not sustained upside trends. This macro environment explains why rebounds are fast but often lack follow-through. Conclusion ETH is reacting well from support, but this move is still technical in nature. - Acceptance above 3,000–3,050 is required to unlock upside continuation. - Failure at resistance keeps ETH vulnerable to another rotation lower. For now, this is a relief rally inside consolidation patience and confirmation remain key.
BITSTAMP:ETHUSDLong
by Gold_Dominator
Gold Market Analysis - 24 NOVEMBER 2025- On the H1 chart, the gold market is currently reacting correctly at the important support zone of 4047–4050, corresponding to the bottom of the (A) – (B) – (C) correction pattern in the recovery wave structure. 1️⃣ Current Elliott wave context - The previous down wave has completed 5 waves (1)-(5). - The market then entered a large ABC correction phase: - Wave (A) has formed a short-term top around 4120. - Wave (B) has created a sideways accumulation zone. - Wave (C) is in the completion stage — and the price is currently retesting the bottom zone (C). This shows that the current down wave is not the main trend, but just the completion of the correction wave. 2️⃣ Important support is holding the price - Strong support zone: 4040–4042 → This is: ✔ Confluence of wave C bottom ✔ Strong price reaction zone in the past several sessions - Price is showing signs of bottoming here (long candle tail, weak selling pressure). 3️⃣ Technical signals confirm the possibility of reversal Stochastic H1 is in the oversold zone and starting to curve up → bullish signal. The candle continuously draws its legs at the 4042 zone → buyers absorb very well. The decreasing amplitude gradually weakens → showing that selling pressure is drying up. 4️⃣ Expected trend today High probability scenario: Bottom formation → Strong increase forming wave (C) increase If the price stays above 4040 – 4042, the market is likely to bounce back up according to the trajectory: - Near target: 4080 – 4100 - Important target: 4120 - Completed wave (C) target: 4180 – 4200 This is the main increase wave after completing the ABC correction structure. ❗ Alternative scenario (lower) - If 4040 - 4042 is broken by a strong closing H1 candle → the market will retest the area: 4000 – 3980 - But the probability is low because the current selling pressure is quite weak. 📌 Conclusion - The market is following the ABC correction pattern. - Wave C is almost complete and the price is standing on the final support zone. - Stochastic oversold → bullish reversal sign. - Main scenario today: gold bounces back, heading towards 4100 – 4180
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by andrewtradergold
1
Silver Analysis by zForex Research TeamSilver Gains as U.S. Factory Growth and Market Deficit Support Prices Silver rose above $31.5 per ounce, staying near its highest level since early December, as easing trade war fears and strong manufacturing data increased demand. While Trump imposed 10% tariffs on China and 25% on Canada and Mexico, a delay in Mexico’s tariffs reduced concerns over protectionist policies. The ISM reported improving U.S. factory activity, strengthening silver’s outlook as a key industrial metal. Meanwhile, the Silver Institute projected a fifth consecutive market deficit in 2025, driven by strong industrial demand and retail investment, outweighing weaker jewelry and silverware demand. Technically, the first resistance level will be 31.80 level. In case of this level’s breach, the next levels to watch would be 32.50 and 32.90. On the downside, 30.90 will be the first support level. 30.20 and 29.30 are the next levels to observe if the first support level is breached.
FOREXCOM:XAGUSD
by ChartMage
CVC due for a bullish break out?I like the project, blockchain identify services, needed to regulatory compliance for things like DEX for example. But CVC seems to have always struggled to get the love from the market, even now it is lagging the broad Crypto market run. Here is what the charts have to say. Structure and Price Action: **Breakout Above Descending Resistance**: The chart shows a breakout above the long-term **descending red trendline**, signaling a shift from bearish to bullish momentum. This is a significant move, as price is now retesting the breakout. **Red Resistance Zone**: Price has approached a strong **red resistance zone** around $0.22–$0.24. A decisive break above this level could open further upside. **Higher Highs and Higher Lows**: The price structure reflects a clear uptrend with consecutive **higher highs and higher lows**, which is a bullish signal. **Retest of Breakout Area**: The recent spike is now consolidating just below resistance, testing support at the prior descending red trendline. Support and Resistance: **Immediate Resistance**: $0.22–$0.24 (red resistance zone where sellers are active). **Key Support Levels**: $0.18: Support formed at the prior breakout area. $0.16: Strong support at the **green order block zone**. $0.12–$0.10: Key structural support aligned with prior lows. Indicators: Moving Averages (EMA 20/50/100/200): Price is above the **EMA 20** ($0.17) and EMA 50 ($0.16), confirming short-term bullish momentum. The **EMA 100/200** ($0.14 and $0.136) are now acting as strong support, aligning with previous demand zones. Money Flow Index (MFI): MFI is at **75.64**, which signals that price is approaching **overbought conditions**. This suggests potential short-term consolidation or a minor pullback. Stochastic RSI: The Stochastic RSI is currently near **overbought territory** (~63.85 and 59.58), indicating a slowdown in upward momentum. However, it still has room to push higher if bulls maintain control. Volume: Recent volume has increased significantly during the breakout, validating the bullish move. A volume decline during consolidation suggests profit-taking but no significant selling pressure yet. Pattern Analysis: The breakout above the **descending red trendline** signals a bullish reversal. The price is now consolidating near the red resistance zone, forming a potential **bullish flag** or consolidation pattern. Probabilistic Outlook: Bullish Continuation (Primary Scenario): If price breaks decisively above the $0.22–$0.24 resistance zone with volume, further upside is likely. Key upside targets: **First Target**: $0.26 (next resistance zone). **Second Target**: $0.30–$0.32 (historical resistance from previous highs). Bearish Pullback (Alternate Scenario): If price fails to break resistance and falls below $0.18, a pullback toward key supports is likely. Key downside targets: **First Target**: $0.16 (green order block). **Second Target**: $0.12–$0.10 (strong historical support and EMA 200). Key Signals to Watch: Breakout above $0.24 with strong volume = **Bullish continuation**. Breakdown below $0.18 = **Bearish pullback confirmation**. Monitor volume during consolidation to gauge buyer strength. Conclusion: The chart reflects a **bullish breakout** above descending resistance, with price now testing a key red resistance zone. A breakout above $0.24 could signal further upside toward $0.26 and $0.30. However, overbought indicators suggest caution, with potential for a pullback toward $0.18 or $0.16 before resuming the uptrend.
COINBASE:CVCUSD
by EncryptShawn
RNDR Chart AnalysisLets break it down: Structure and Price Action: **Rising Wedge Formation**: The chart shows a **rising wedge**, which is typically a bearish reversal pattern. Price is currently trading near the lower boundary of the wedge, increasing the likelihood of a breakdown. **Red Resistance Zone**: The price rejected the key **red resistance zone** between $10.0–$11.0, indicating strong selling pressure. **Higher Lows**: Despite rejection at resistance, the price has maintained **higher lows**, signaling bullish attempts to sustain the uptrend. **Bearish Momentum Developing**: Price is now testing the rising support line. A breakdown here could lead to a reversal toward lower levels. Support and Resistance: **Immediate Resistance**: $10.0–$11.0 (red resistance zone where sellers are dominant). **Key Support Levels**: $8.50: Rising support line and psychological level. $7.50–$7.00: Green order block area where buyers previously stepped in. Below $7.00: Strong support near $5.50–$5.00 (historical support zone). Indicators: Moving Averages (EMA 20/50/100/200): Price remains above the **EMA 20** ($8.96) and EMA 50 ($7.82), showing bullish bias in the short-term trend. The **EMA 100/200** at $7.03 and $6.68, respectively, provide stronger long-term support. Money Flow Index (MFI): **58.08** indicates neutral momentum but leaning slightly toward bullish, suggesting buyers still have some control. Stochastic RSI: The Stochastic RSI is currently near **oversold territory** (11.56), suggesting a potential bounce from support levels. However, if price fails to hold support, oversold conditions can persist, leading to further downside. Volume: Volume during the recent move upward has been declining, suggesting weakening bullish momentum. Watch for a volume spike on any breakout or breakdown to confirm direction. Pattern Analysis: The **rising wedge** pattern signals caution as it leans bearish. A breakdown below the wedge's lower trendline would confirm a reversal. Rejection at the red resistance zone strengthens the bearish outlook unless bulls regain control. Probabilistic Outlook: Bearish Breakdown (Primary Scenario): If price breaks below the rising support line (~$8.50), bearish momentum will increase. Key downside targets: **First Target**: $7.50 (order block zone). **Second Target**: $7.00–$6.50 (EMA 100/200 levels). **Third Target**: $5.50–$5.00 (major historical support). Bullish Continuation (Alternate Scenario): If price reclaims $10.0–$11.0 with strong volume, the uptrend will resume. Key upside targets: **First Resistance**: $11.50. **Second Resistance**: $12.00–$12.50 (previous highs). Key Signals to Watch: A breakdown below the rising support line (~$8.50) = **Bearish confirmation**. A breakout above $10.0–$11.0 resistance = **Bullish continuation**. Volume spike during breakout or breakdown will confirm the move. Conclusion: The chart shows a **rising wedge** with weakening bullish momentum, increasing the probability (~65–70%) of a bearish breakdown. A decisive break below $8.50 would target lower levels at $7.50 and beyond. Conversely, a breakout above $10.0–$11.0 could invalidate the wedge and continue the uptrend toward $12.00.
R
by EncryptShawn
1
Paradeep Phosphate : Looking Good with nice rewardThis stock is looking good for attractive risk reward. Here you can enter at current levels also but if want you can wait for entry at 100 lelvel. But it does not look like it will touch 100 support level. If it does then buy with small SL of Rs.5 What can be better trade when SL is Rs. 5 but first target is Rs.20. That is 1:4 RR. That is one good trade looking at past stock behaviour. Entry : Rs. 100 or current levels SL : Rs. 95 Target 1: Rs. 120
NSE:PARADEEPLong
by vkfinserv
Gold: Downward trend continue to maintain in the near futureGold is facing difficulties in capitalizing on the previous day's gains and is oscillating within a narrow range as it enters the European trading session on Wednesday. Global risk sentiment continues to be supported by reduced concerns over escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. This is attributed to the decline in the US dollar (USD) price, coupled with reinforced expectations from the Federal Reserve. From a technical perspective, the upward trend remains intact, but gold prices are currently showing signs of correction. It is anticipated that there will be a retracement towards Fibonacci's support level in the near future.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Stephen_Anders
4