EURGBP FRGNT Daily Forecast & Breakdown -Q4 | W46 | D12 | Y25 |📅 Q4 | W46 | D12 | Y25 |
📊 EURGBP FRGNT Daily Forecast & Breakdown
🔍 Analysis Approach:
I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on:
Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️
Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐
Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎
Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅
This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price.
💡 My Motto:
"Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge."
A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐
⚠️ Losses?
They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲
They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️
🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast.
Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital
— FRNGT 🚀
Chartanalysis
AVAX Rally Keeps Bullish Outlook Intact Avalanche (AVAX) has recently posted significant gains, leaving our outlook unchanged. We continue to believe price is currently in a five-wave magenta upward move, which should soon push it above the resistance level at $36.19. Our alternative scenario also remains valid, in which AVAX could target new absolute lows below support at $8.64 (probability: 33%).
Coca-Cola: Fresh Upside MomentumAfter some recent setbacks, Coca-Cola shares have regained upward momentum. Blue wave (y) is expected to first break through resistance at $74.38, potentially pushing price into our beige Target Zone, which ranges from $76.58 to $81.51. In this area, we anticipate the completion of the same-colored impulse wave III. Once this wave is complete, a significant correction is likely to follow. For this reason, we view this range as an opportunity to establish short positions. If beige wave alt.III has already concluded, price could drop directly below $60.62 (probability: 32%).
XRP: Target Zone in sightRipple’s XRP has seen a modest rebound recently, but this hasn’t altered our outlook. We continue to expect further declines as part of a blue five-wave move down into the turquoise Target Zone ($1.03–$0.38), which is suitable for long-side entries. Within this zone, we anticipate that the low of the larger wave B in turquoise will be established. From there, we expect wave C to rally above resistance at $4.09 and complete the larger wave (Y) in magenta. We still assign a 30% probability to the scenario in which the low of wave alt.B in turquoise has already been reached.
Coinbase: Progress and DistractionCoinbase initially made progress in line with our primary scenario, moving just below the support level at $291.50 before a notable rebound to the upside. Our primary expectation is that price will soon reverse and head down toward our magenta Target Zone between $255.42 and $173.05, where we anticipate the low of magenta wave will be established. In wave , we then expect the rally to continue past resistance at $444.65, which makes the magenta zone an attractive entry point for long positions. We still see the possibility of gains above the $444.65 resistance occurring earlier than expected. In this 30% likely scenario, we would anticipate an early wave alt. top, meaning the magenta wave alt. would already be complete. In that case, our magenta Target Zone would no longer be relevant.
Ethereum: Slipped belowEthereum recently slipped back below support at $3,357 and is currently struggling to reclaim this level. In line with our primary scenario, we expect further downside below this threshold to complete magenta wave within the lower magenta Target Zone ($2,749 – $2,149). From there, a significant corrective rally is likely, targeting the high of magenta wave (B) in the upper magenta Target Zone ($5,805 – $7,326).
Trades with B – Daily Recap (Nov 7, 2025) "Lesson Learned"Ticker: QQQ / NQ1!
Strategy: ORB Pro + Fib Confluence + EMA Trend Filters
Result: Small red day – self-inflicted
🧭 Market Context
Today’s price action gave a clear short opportunity during the mid-morning fade, but momentum stalled mid-session. The first entries lined up beautifully with the ORB breakdown and EMA confluence, offering solid profits early on.
Where it fell apart was after the first wins — I overstayed, chasing secondary flushes that never came. The market started to base, and I kept expecting continuation instead of taking what the chart gave me.
📉 Trade Summary
Multiple put entries between $601–$602 levels
Early trades locked quick gains (+$271.94, +$159.94)
Gave back a chunk re-entering late into chop
Final P/L across contracts: -$205.66 total
Cumulative Options P/L breakdown:
QQQ $602.50 07 Nov 25 Put – +$51.89
QQQ $575 10 Nov 25 Put – -$4.11
QQQ $598 07 Nov 25 Put – -$57.11
QQQ $601 07 Nov 25 Put – -$196.33
💡 Lessons & Takeaways
The first clean move is often the best move. Don’t overcomplicate a confirmed win.
Late-day trades = low probability. Volume dries up, conviction fades.
Protect the capital, not the ego. There’s no “making up” missed points — only protecting what’s already earned.
🧘♂️ Reflection
“The setup worked, but I didn’t. I tried to extract more from a move that was already complete. Next time, once my target hits, I’m walking away.”
Polkadot: Ready to Bounce Straight Back Up?For now, we continue to expect that DOT will be sold off into our orange Target Zone between $1.66 and $0.70—which could offer attractive long entry opportunities – and complete magenta wave . However, we estimate there’s a 37% chance that the significant low is already in place and that the altcoin could break out directly above resistance at $3.45; in this scenario, our Target Zone would no longer be relevant.
S&P500: Rebound S&P 500 futures managed to stage a modest rebound in yesterday’s session and are now showing renewed upward momentum. In our primary scenario, we expect magenta wave (5) to continue climbing and to ultimately mark a final high that completes the larger blue wave (III). Afterward, we anticipate a corrective phase via magenta wave (A), which should pull the index toward support at 6,371 points. However, if prices drop directly below the 6,371 points support, our alternative scenario will come into play. In that case, the alternative wave alt.(4) would likely extend further downward, finding its low within the magenta alternative Target Zone between 6,055 and 5,822 points.
Palo Alto Networks: Pullback Follows New All-Time HighPalo Alto initially climbed to a new all-time high, but the upward momentum soon faded, leading to a notable pullback. However, we expect the stock to recover soon and, as part of the magenta wave (3), break through resistance at $232.29. The following waves (4) and (5) are also projected to develop above this level, further fueling the ongoing upward trend. That said, we still see a 37% chance that PANW will instead complete (or has recently completed) turquoise wave alt.B below the $232.29 mark. In that scenario, wave alt.C could trigger sell-offs to a new low for magenta wave alt.(2) , though support at $139.18 should remain intact.
Nvidia: Acceleration Toward New Highs Nvidia gained strong upward momentum shortly after our last update, surging past the $196.45 mark, which had previously served as resistance. As a result, our prior short-term alternative scenario was triggered, and we have now adjusted the chart accordingly (with minor modifications). We now view the green wave as complete and believe that the joint top of green wave and beige wave III, as well as the low of wave IV, have already been established. The Target Zone we had initially set for the wave- low has therefore been removed. In our updated short-term alternative scenario, we still see a 30% probability of a new low for beige wave alt.IV below the $176.21 support level. In this case, however, price would likely rebound above the lower $145.50 level.
eBay: Confirming Wave [ii] Top Right on ScheduleeBay rallied once again to test resistance at $101.15, but quickly reversed with sharp sell-offs, confirming the top of magenta wave in a timely manner. Since then, the stock has moved as anticipated below the $86.36 level and now appears poised for further declines as part of wave . The subsequent wave- corrective move higher should remain capped below $86.36, allowing wave to complete turquoise wave 1 at a lower level—though still above $55.96.
HTZ:From Breakdown to Breakout,Bullish Reversal Gaining TractionHertz Global Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ: HTZ)
Technical Outlook: Potential Reversal Following Structural Breakout
Date : 5 November 2025
Summary
Hertz Global Holdings (HTZ) has exhibited signs of a potential medium-term trend reversal following a prolonged downtrend since mid-2023. Multiple bullish technical signals — including a breakout from key continuation patterns, RSI divergence, and sustained support retests — point toward a possible shift in market sentiment.
Price Action and Technical Developments
1. Downtrend continuation : Since July 2023, HTZ has been in a persistent downtrend, reinforced by a breakdown below major horizontal support.
2. Symmetrical triangle breakdown (Feb 2024) : The stock failed to hold within a consolidation structure, confirming bearish momentum at that stage.
3. Bullish divergence (Sept 2024) : Despite registering new price lows, the RSI formed higher highs, suggesting weakening downside momentum and potential for reversal.
4. Falling wedge breakout (Nov 2024) : Price action reversed from a classic bullish pattern, followed by a strong rally through the end of November.
5. Symmetrical triangle breakout (Apr 2025) : HTZ broke out of consolidation on elevated volume, coinciding with a break above the long-term descending trendline — a key technical inflection point.
6. Current setup (Nov 2025) : The share price is consolidating within a falling channel. On 4 November 2025, it rebounded from a confluence of supports — including the uptrend line from September 2024 and prior resistance turned support — reinforcing near-term bullish bias.
Trading Idea
Entry Zone: 4.71 - 5.50
Target: 10.50 and 15.00
Support: 4.71
Conclusion
After a long downtrend, HTZ is showing a clear shift in momentum. With multiple bullish patterns confirmed and strong support holding, the stock may be entering a new uptrend phase toward USD 10.50 and USD 15.00.
Silver forming a long-term “Cup and Handle” - as Gold didSilver seems to be repeating the same institutional “Cup and Handle” structure that we recently saw play out perfectly on Gold.
On Gold, the price completed the entire measured move — equal to the depth of the cup — before entering consolidation.
Now, Silver is building a very similar long-term formation, and this setup could define the market direction for the next several years.
🧠 Technical Context
On the higher timeframes (1W and 1M), Silver has formed a clear rounded base — the cup.
The current consolidation area represents the handle, and price is now approaching the upper boundary of that handle.
Once we see a decisive breakout above the handle resistance, institutions will likely defend that zone on the first retest.
This pattern is one of the most reliable continuation formations in long-term trends, especially when accompanied by rising volume near the breakout area.
There’s a very important condition: this pattern becomes active only after the handle breakout.
Before the breakout, it’s just an unconfirmed structure — the pattern is validated only once the handle level is broken.
🎯 Trade Plan
Breakout Level (Handle Resistance): around $50.0 – $51
Usually, the breakout happens on high volume, accompanied by several strong bullish candles
Retest Zone: $30 – $35.0
Target (long-term extension): $600.0+
Stop-Loss: according to your risk management strategy
📊 Summary
If Silver repeats the Gold scenario, we might see a clean breakout–retest–continuation structure with very limited pullbacks once the move begins.
This could mark the start of a multi-year bullish phase in silver.
I’ll be monitoring the breakout confirmation and volume profile closely before entering.
Once confirmed, the upside potential looks substantial compared to the risk.
This is not financial advice. For educational purposes only
Booking: Persistent Counter PressureBooking has continued to face persistent counter pressure to the upside, which resulted in only limited downward movement. We still primarily expect that, within the current magenta downward impulse, price will move closer to—and eventually fall below—the support level at $4,093. However, if stronger upward momentum emerges and pushes price above the $6,101 resistance, we will then have to consider the stock as remaining in a broader uptrend, with the potential for a new high in blue wave alt.(I) (probability: 37%).
GBPUSD within Bearish StructureHi Traders!
With price failing to swing higher I'm still seeing it's within bearish structure. The 1.35000 area looks like a strong resistance/supply zone. If price fails to break and close above it, that reinforces my bearish bias.
As of now, the current bounce looks corrective- possibly a retracement toward the 1.3500 zone before sellers step in again.
If price rejects near 1.35000 and continues to break below, then the next level I'd be considering would be 1.30000.
In addition, DXY is sitting at a higher low zone on a higher TF. It hasn't broken its longer-term uptrend yet. The price action looks like it's attempting a base/reversal. If it holds within 98.000-98.500 and starts pushing up, that could align with GBPUSD weakness.
*DISCLAIMER: I am not a financial advisor. The ideas and trades I take on my page are for educational and entertainment purposes only. I'm just showing you guys how I trade. Remember, trading of any kind involves risk. Your investments are solely your responsibility and not mine.*
Microsoft: Wave X Top Confirmed! As primarily anticipated, Microsoft shares recently reached the high of turquoise wave X just below resistance at $562.17 before quickly reversing lower. This decline, part of the same-colored wave Y, is likely to bottom within our magenta long Target Zone between $477.87 and $451.84, where we also expect the low of magenta wave (4). In our view, this range presents attractive opportunities for long positions, as we anticipate a renewed upward move during magenta wave (5) to follow. This rally should push price above the $562.17 resistance and complete the larger blue wave (I). Alternatively, we see a scenario in which the high at $562.17 marked only the end of beige wave alt.III (probability: 36%). In this case, a drop below the $392.97 support would be expected to form the low of wave alt.IV.
S&P500: Rising?S&P 500 futures edged slightly lower in yesterday’s session but are expected to remain within the upward trajectory of magenta wave (5), which, under our primary scenario, is likely to continue moving higher. This advance would also complete the larger blue wave (III). Afterward, we anticipate a corrective phase in magenta wave (A), which should put renewed pressure on the index. At the same time, we are monitoring our alternative scenario, which suggests that magenta wave alt.(3) has not yet concluded. If prices drop below the support level at 6,371 points, this scenario will come into play. In that case, wave alt.(4) would likely extend further downward, reaching its low within the magenta alternative Target Zone between 6,055 and 5,822 points (probability: 30%).






















