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XAU/USD chart analysis in Asia Session I 30/121. Overall Trend Short-term: The price is in a strong bearish structure since the 29th. The sharp drop from the $4,540 area to the $4,320 area indicates that sellers have been in complete control over the past few sessions. Current State: The price is showing signs of a technical recovery after hitting a temporary floor around the $4,320 mark. 2. Key Volume Profile Zones Your chart displays Value Areas very clearly, which are "keys" to identifying upcoming price behavior: VAH (Value Area High) - 4,544.309: This is a very strong resistance zone. The price peaked here before the collapse. POC (Point of Control) - 4,514.962: The level with the highest traded volume. If the price returns here, it will act as a major pivot point. VAL (Value Area Low) - 4,357.158: The price is currently trading exactly at this level. It serves as the immediate resistance. Whether the price closes above or below this level will determine the trend for the next few hours. 3. Technical Patterns & Price Structure Wedge/Triangle Pattern: You have two converging trendlines. The price has just broken above the descending trendline (the diagonal line from the peak), suggesting that selling pressure is weakening and buyers are attempting to push the price higher. Immediate Support: The 4,341.720 level (Daily Open) is acting as the nearest support base for this recovery move. 4. Future Scenarios Based on the current price ($4,357.745), there are two main scenarios to watch: Bullish Scenario (Recovery): If the price holds firmly above the VAL (4,357), the next target will be filling the liquidity gap above, heading toward the POC (4,514). However, this path will face multiple resistance hurdles. Bearish Scenario (Continuation): If the price fails to break through the VAL zone and is pushed back below the lower rising trendline, Gold may retest the previous low at 4,320 or even lower. Suggestion: The price is at a very sensitive zone (VAL). You should monitor the next 30-minute candles: If a candle closes decisively above 4,358, a short-term Buy setup could be considered. If a rejection candle (like a Pin bar) or a Bearish Engulfing pattern appears at this zone, it signals that sellers are returning.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Geka_Trader
Gold Preparing for Impulsive Move After Range HoldMarket Structure: Strong higher highs & higher lows → bullish trend intact. Price Action: Gold is compressing just below key resistance, indicating breakout pressure. Liquidity: Equal highs liquidity resting above → likely stop-hunt → continuation. Channel: Price respecting the ascending channel, no bearish deviation yet. Ichimoku: Price holding above the cloud → bullish momentum supported. Bias: 📈 Bullish Continuation Trade Idea: Buy zone: Break & retest of resistance or shallow pullback inside channel Invalidation: Clean close below channel support / cloud Targets: TP1: 4,557 TP2: 4,587
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Sofia_Summer
27
Caterpillar: Rollercoaster RideCAT has been notably volatile recently. Following a sell-off of more than 11%, a countermove took place, but currently, the stock is consolidating within a tight sideways range. In our primary scenario, we expect renewed upward impulses that should carry price into our red Short Target Zone between $687.01 and $727.83, where we anticipate the high of the overarching blue wave (I). Once this zone is reached, a more pronounced corrective movement is likely to begin. Additionally, we've illustrated an alternative scenario: If the support at $537.08 is broken, the magenta wave alt.(4) could form a lower low (probability: 35%).
NYSE:CAT
by HKCM_Global
GBP/USD OVERVIEW I 12/291. Market Structure & Trend Overall Trend: The price is currently in a sideways (consolidation) phase after a correction from the peak (Supply zone). Price Pattern: There are two converging trendlines forming a Triangle/Wedge pattern. The price is compressing tightly towards the apex, suggesting an imminent and strong breakout. 2. Key Price Levels Based on the Volume Profile on the right side of the screen: Supply Zone (Strong Resistance): Located around 1.3525 – 1.3535. This is where sellers previously took full control. VAH (Value Area High): 1.3511. This is the upper boundary of the value area; a break above this would reinforce bullish momentum. POC (Point of Control): 1.3507. This is the price level with the highest traded volume. Since the price is currently trading below this level, there is a slight bearish bias in the short term. VAL (Value Area Low): 1.3494. This acts as immediate support. The price has reacted and left "wicks" here multiple times. Bottom Support: The 1.3484 area (Daily Open). If this level fails, the downtrend will likely extend. 3. Current Price Action Candlestick: The current candle is a small bearish (red) candle, showing indecision right at the lower support of the triangle. Volume: Trading volume is at an average level, without a significant spike to confirm a clear directional move yet. 4. Trading Scenarios (Strategy) Aligning with your "Remember the goal" principle (staying disciplined), here are the two likely scenarios: Scenario 1 (Bullish Bias): If the price holds the VAL (1.3494) and breaks out above the upper descending trendline. Take-profit (TP) targets would be the POC (1.3507) and potentially the Supply zone (1.3530). Scenario 2 (Bearish Bias): If the price closes decisively below 1.3484 (Daily Open) on the 30-minute timeframe. This would signal that buyers have given up, and the price could drop toward 1.3460. Pro Tip: In a tightening triangle like this, the safest approach is to wait for a breakout accompanied by high volume before entering a trade. Entering now might expose you to "stop hunting" (volatility that hits stop losses on both sides).
by Geka_Trader
Current Action and Scenarios and Overview EUR/USD I 12/29Current Action and Scenarios Price Action: The price is attempting a minor recovery but is currently hitting the intersection of the descending trendline and the VAL zone. Bearish Scenario: If the price fails to close above the trendline and 1.1766, it will likely continue dropping to seek lower liquidity. Recovery Scenario: The bearish structure is only invalidated if the price decisively breaks the trendline and reclaims the POC (1.1775). Summary: The technical bias is sell-on-strength. Look for short opportunities near the trendline or POC as long as the price remains capped by these resistances.
by Geka_Trader
Quick Analysis XAUUSD during Asian Session I 29/12During the Asian session, gold made a strong pullback from the new ATH at 4548 down to 4473. Key observation: 👉 Price touched the H1 ascending trendline perfectly 👉 Then rebounded strongly and continued the bullish structure This confirms: ✅ This is NOT a trend reversal ✅ It’s a healthy technical pullback to fuel the next bullish leg 📊 Technical Perspective • H1 & H4 structure: Higher High – Higher Low remains intact • Strong BUY reactions on every deep pullback • Main bias: UPTREND – BUY is the priority
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Geka_Trader
Gold Holds Firm as Markets Reassess MomentumOANDA:XAUUSD is trading around 4,500 USD per ounce, easing slightly from recent highs after an extended rally. The current price action reflects a short-term technical consolidation, as traders lock in profits following the establishment of new record levels. The recent surge in gold has been driven by a combination of key macroeconomic factors. Geopolitical tensions remain elevated, particularly in the Middle East, while developments surrounding energy sanctions and trade flows in the Americas have increased risk aversion. These conditions continue to channel capital into gold as a preferred safe-haven asset. At the same time, expectations of looser monetary policy remain a critical pillar of support. Recent U.S. economic data point to slowing growth, moderating inflation, and a softer labor market, reinforcing the view that the Federal Reserve could begin an interest-rate cutting cycle next year. This environment reduces the opportunity cost of holding gold. From a technical standpoint, gold has broken above multiple consolidation zones and is now holding above a strong high-price base, suggesting that selling pressure remains limited. As long as key support levels are respected, the current pullback is viewed as constructive rather than trend-changing. In the near term, gold may continue to move sideways while the market awaits fresh catalysts. However, with persistent geopolitical risks and expectations of lower interest rates, the medium-term outlook remains constructive, leaving the door open for another upside extension once buying momentum returns.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Trade_and_Chill-
2
XAU/USD M30 QUICK ANALYSIS I 12/291. Market Structure & Trend High Volatility: Gold is experiencing significant price swings with a wide range. After a deep "wick" rejection from the $4,475 area, the price rebounded but is currently facing heavy selling pressure. Wedge/Triangle Pattern: You have drawn two converging trendlines forming a tightening "knot". The price is currently at this convergence point, suggesting a breakout is imminent. 2. Volume Profile & Supply/Demand Zones This chart clearly illustrates the conflict between buyers and sellers: Supply Zone: Located at the top around $4,545 - $4,550. This is where sellers are aggressively guarding the price. VAH (Value Area High): Near $4,518. The price attempted to break above this but left a long upper wick, indicating dominant selling pressure as soon as the price rose. POC (Point of Control): Around $4,514. The price is currently oscillating right at this line. This is the most contested "battleground"; whichever side wins here will likely dictate the next direction. VAL (Value Area Low): Around $4,498, representing a critical short-term support level. Demand Zone: Located at the bottom near $4,475 - $4,480. This acts as a strong "floor" where the price bounced aggressively previously. 3. Current Price Action Observations Selling Pressure Dominance: The most recent red candle is engulfing the previous green candle right at the POC zone. This indicates that the recovery momentum is being blocked. Current Price: Trading at $4,513.125, slightly below the POC, suggesting a minor short-term bearish bias to retest lower supports. 4. Trading Scenarios Bearish Scenario (Higher probability currently): If the price breaks the ascending trendline (upward line) and falls below $4,500 (VAL), Gold is highly likely to return to test the Demand Zone at $4,475. Bullish Scenario: Gold needs a decisive candle close above VAH ($4,518) and a breakout above the descending trendline (downward line). In this case, the target would be the Supply Zone at $4,545. Summary: For Gold, volatility at the POC is often "noisy." It is advisable to wait for the price to exit this triangle convergence before entering a trade to avoid being caught in "stop-loss hunts" on both sides.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Geka_Trader
GPB/USD TODAY QUICK ANALYSIS I 12/291. Price Action Context Main Trend: The pair is in a short-term Bullish trend, supported by a clearly defined upward-sloping trendline. Current Position: The price is trading at 1.34997, hovering just below the 1.3500 psychological level. Status: Price action shows signs of stalling and moving sideways (consolidation) after the previous rally, forming a tight range at the local peak. 2. Volume Profile Analysis Your chart highlights critical high-volume zones: VAH Zone (Value Area High): Around 1.35100. This serves as the overhead resistance. The price recently touched this area and was slightly rejected, indicating profit-taking. POC Zone (Point of Control): Around 1.35070. This is the level with the highest concentration of trading volume. Currently, the price is sitting just below the POC, making it an immediate resistance. VAL Zone (Value Area Low): Around 1.35030. Observation shows the price has slipped below the light blue VAL band and is currently testing the trendline. 3. Critical Observations Trendline Stability: The price is hugging the bullish trendline very closely. A 30-minute candle close below this line would signal a weakening of the upward momentum. Buying Exhaustion: The most recent candles show small bodies and long upper wicks, suggesting that buyers are losing steam as they approach the 1.35100 mark. Lower Support: If the trendline breaks, the price is likely to drop toward the orange support zone below, near 1.34860. 4. Potential Scenarios Bullish Scenario: The price needs to reclaim the POC (1.35070) and close above the VAH (1.35100) to confirm a continuation toward higher targets. Bearish/Correction Scenario: If the price breaks the trendline and fails to hold 1.34950, it will likely enter a deeper technical correction toward the 1.34860 support level. Summary: Closely monitor the reaction at the trendline. If you are holding long positions, consider tightening stop-losses or taking partial profits, as the price is struggling at the POC/VAH cluster.
by Geka_Trader
BTC/USD CHART QUICK ANALYSIS I 29/121. Trend Overview Main Trend: Strongly Bullish. The price has just made a decisive breakout from the previous consolidation zone. Current Position: BTC is trading around $89,998, right at the critical psychological threshold of $90,000. 2. Volume Profile Analysis Your chart highlights three key zones where price action typically reacts: VAH Zone (Value Area High): Located around $89,150. Significance: This is the immediate support level. Since the price broke above this zone with high volume (the long green candle), it confirms dominant buying pressure. If a correction occurs, this is the first line of defense for the bulls. POC Zone (Point of Control): Located around $88,250. Significance: This is the price level with the highest traded volume in the session. It acts like a "magnet." If the price fails to hold the VAH, it will likely gravitate toward the POC to find balance before deciding the next move. VAL Zone (Value Area Low): Located around $87,400. Significance: This is the final major support level for this specific bullish structure. A close below this zone would invalidate the short-term uptrend. 3. Key Technical Observations Trendline Steepness: The trendline you drew following the candle bodies is very steep. This indicates extreme momentum. However, such steep angles are often unsustainable for long periods and frequently lead to a technical correction (retest). Low Volume Nodes: Between $89,200 and $90,000, the horizontal volume bars are quite thin. This means the price rose rapidly because there was little selling resistance. Conversely, if the price drops, it may fall just as quickly back to the VAH/POC zones due to the lack of "support cushions" in between. 4. Potential Scenarios Scenario 1 (Continuation): Price consolidates briefly around $90,000 and then breaks higher. The next targets could be $92,000 – $95,000. Scenario 2 (Correction): Price fails to hold $90,000 and returns to test support levels. An ideal "buy the dip" entry would be at the VAH zone ($89,150) or deeper at the POC zone ($88,250). Summary: Near $90,000, profit-taking pressure is expected to be high. Watch for price reactions at the VAH zone for potential entry opportunities that align with the current trend.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Geka_Trader
This Sideways Move Is the Setup Before ExpansionETHUSD – 4H MARKET ANALYSIS 1. Market Structure ETH is moving inside a sideways accumulation range after a strong impulsive move. Price is forming higher lows above the main support, showing absorption rather than distribution. 2. Key Zones Resistance Zone: ~3,150–3,160 → Sellers are active, price is being capped. Primary Support Zone: ~2,880–2,920 → Strong demand, repeated defenses. Secondary Support: ~2,770 → Last line if the range fails. 3. Price Behavior Repeated range oscillations → liquidity building. No impulsive rejection from support → buyers still in control. Compression near support often precedes expansion, not breakdown. 4. Scenarios Bullish (Preferred): Hold above 2,900 Break & accept above 3,160 Expansion toward 3,250+ Bearish (Lower Probability): Clean breakdown below 2,880 Retest 2,770 liquidity zone 5. Conclusion ETH is not trending yet it is preparing. As long as price holds above the main support, this range favors upside continuation, not reversal. Sideways here is accumulation — not weakness.
COINBASE:ETHUSD
by Mathew_TraderGold
“BTC Bounce From Demand Zone – Targeting 94K Next📊 BTCUSDT Analysis (Based on Your Chart) 1️⃣ Price is Still Respecting the Range Bitcoin is trading inside a wide consolidation box (around 91,000 – 93,000). The recent drop tapped the bottom of the range, showing a clean liquidity sweep. That wick below the box = fake breakdown → bullish signal. --- 2️⃣ Strong Reaction at Demand Zone The chart shows BTC touching the demand/support zone, followed by a small bullish reaction (the black arrow). This suggests: Sellers failed to break lower Buyers are stepping in exactly where expected Market preparing for a reversal bounce --- 3️⃣ Expected Move (Your W Pattern Idea) The drawn “W-shape” indicates a double bottom setup. If the bottom holds around 91,000, BTC can push back toward: 🎯 Target: 93,500 – 94,000 This matches the upper boundary of the consolidation. --- 4️⃣ Bullish Scenario If BTC holds above 91,000–91,300: Reclaim mid-range Break through resistance Continue toward 94,000+ This aligns with the “BUY” tag you added. --- 5️⃣ Bearish Invalidations Bullish idea is invalid if: ❌ Price closes below 90,800 on 30-minute = fresh breakdown → deeper correction --- 🧠 Summary BTC swept liquidity at the support → formed a bounce → still inside range → bullish reversal expected toward 94K
Long
by Sofia_Summer
28
Busted Chart Patterns...What They Are?Hello traders, Ever saw that textbook double bottom with all rules applied? Price broke the swing high and stayed above, clear entry, stop loss and tp targets. All of a sudden, price reverts and continues the move downwards. But why? its a double bottom for god's sake!! Every guru said its a guaranteed trade. This was not a double bottom. This was "busted double bottom". So what is a busted pattern? -------------------------------------------------------------------------- 🔍 What defines a busted chart pattern? A pattern is considered "busted" when all of the following occur: 1️⃣ Typical price breakout Price closes above resistance or below support, or outside a pattern boundary (e.g., triangle trendline). 2️⃣ Limited follow-through Price travels no more than ~10-15% in the breakout direction. 3️⃣ Failure & reversal Volume and momentum stalls and price reverses 4️⃣ Invalidation close Bearish breakout → price closes back above the top of the pattern Bullish breakout → price closes back below the lowest low of the pattern -------------------------------------------------------------------------- 🔄 Can a single pattern bust more than once? Yes. Patterns can experience: Single (most common), double or triple bust. Price could oscillate for days, weeks or months, repeatedly failing in both directions. Usually that is a clear sign of distribution, accumulation, or liquidity sweeping. -------------------------------------------------------------------------- 🧩 How this fits modern price action? Busted patterns often align with: - Liquidity grabs - False breakouts - Stop-hunt behavior -------------------------------------------------------------------------- 🛠️ How to capitalize on this in our trading? If the normal pattern momentum is fading, wait for failure confirmation - Use the reclaimed level as invalidation - Expect expansion in the opposite direction - Risk is often cleaner than chasing breakouts -------------------------------------------------------------------------- 📌 Examples Busted Head & Shoulders Busted Double Top -------------------------------------------------------------------------- Patterns fail not because they are “wrong.” But because our mindset becomes one-sided. Educational content only. Always manage risk and do your own analysis. This knowledge and concepts are adapted from Thomas Bulkowski’s chart pattern research If you find value in this content, please support the effort with a like & a comment
CRYPTO:BTCUSDEducation
by VIPCryptoVault
1
ETH Is Trapped Between Liquidity WallsETHEREUM MARKET ANALYSIS (ETHUSD – H1) 1. Market Context Ethereum is currently trading inside a clear consolidation range after a previous corrective move. Price is oscillating between a well-defined support zone and a heavy resistance zone, showing classic liquidity accumulation behavior rather than trend continuation or breakdown. This type of structure often precedes a strong directional expansion, especially during low-liquidity holiday sessions. 2. Key Technical Zones Major Resistance Zone: 2,980 – 3,020 Key Support Zone: 2,880 – 2,920 Current Price Area: ~2,950–2,970 Dynamic Levels: EMA 34 & EMA 89 converging → compression Price has repeatedly failed to accept above resistance, but sellers are also unable to push below the support zone decisively. 3. Price Structure & Behavior Sideways structure with higher volatility swings inside the range Multiple liquidity sweeps on both sides No impulsive follow-through yet → confirms range environment EMAs flattening → market is waiting for a catalyst This is not a trend market at the moment — it is a pre-expansion phase. 4. Scenario Outlook Primary Scenario (Bullish Expansion): Price holds above 2,900–2,920 Strong breakout & acceptance above 3,020 Upside expansion toward 3,080 → 3,120+ Alternative Scenario (Final Liquidity Sweep): One more dip into 2,880–2,900 Absorption of sell orders Sharp reversal → breakout higher afterward Invalidation: Clean breakdown and acceptance below 2,880 would shift bias to a deeper correction. 5. Trading Bias Market State: Accumulation / Compression Best Strategy: Trade the range edges or wait for confirmed breakout Risk Note: Holiday sessions = sudden spikes → reduce position size Conclusion Ethereum is coiling tightly between support and resistance. This is a decision zone, not a random range. Once liquidity is fully absorbed, the next move is likely to be fast and directional. Patience here is a position. Wait for confirmation the breakout will not be subtle.
COINBASE:ETHUSDLong
by Raphael_TraderGOLD
Most Traders Lose Because They Don’t Know What a Trend Really IsDOW THEORY – THE FOUNDATION OF TREND READING 1. The Market Moves in Trends – Not Randomly - Price does not move randomly. What looks like chaos is actually structured movement driven by collective behavior. A trend exists when the market consistently creates: + Higher Highs & Higher Lows → Uptrend + Lower Highs & Lower Lows → Downtrend As long as this structure remains intact, the trend remains valid regardless of news, opinions, or emotions. 2. Every Trend Has Three Levels of Movement - Understanding timeframe hierarchy is critical. Markets move in three simultaneous layers: + Primary Trend – the dominant direction (weeks to months) + Secondary Move – corrective phases against the main trend + Minor Swings short-term noise Most traders lose money because they trade against the primary trend, reacting to minor swings and mistaking them for reversals. 3. The Three Phases of a Trend A trend does not start or end suddenly. It evolves through three psychological phases: 1️⃣ Accumulation Phase Smart money quietly builds positions Price moves sideways, volatility is low Public interest is minimal 2️⃣ Participation Phase Trend becomes clear Breakouts occur Most trend-following profits are made here 3️⃣ Distribution Phase Late buyers enter emotionally Volatility increases Smart money exits Understanding these phases helps traders avoid buying tops and selling bottoms. 4. Structure Is the Only Valid Trend Confirmation A trend is not confirmed by indicators alone. A trend is confirmed when: + Price breaks structure in the trend direction + Pullbacks respect previous swing levels + Momentum continues after corrections If structure is not broken, there is no reversal only a correction. This is why predicting tops and bottoms is dangerous. 5. Volume Confirms Direction, Not Timing Volume does not tell you when to enter — it tells you whether the move is real. - Rising volume in the direction of the trend = confirmation - Weak volume during pullbacks = healthy correction - High volume against structure = warning sign Price leads. Volume confirms. 6. A Trend Continues Until Proven Otherwise This is the most ignored rule and the most important. A trend does NOT end because: - Price “already went too far” - Indicators are overbought/oversold - Social media says “top is in” A trend ends only when structure breaks and fails to recover. HOW TO APPLY THIS IN REAL TRADING Simple, repeatable framework: - Identify the dominant trend (HH/HL or LH/LL) - Wait for a correction not a reversal - Enter only after structure resumes in trend direction - Place stop-loss where structure becomes invalid - Hold until the market changes structure No prediction. No guessing. Just reading what price is already telling you. FINAL THOUGHT Most traders don’t lose because they lack indicators. They lose because they don’t understand trend behavior. When you stop predicting and start reading structure, the market becomes clear, calm, and repeatable.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by Gold_Dominator
BTC/USD 1h chart I 12/261. Key Components on the Chart The chart highlights three critical price levels based on historical trading volume: VAH (Value Area High - 88,856): The upper boundary of the value area. This acts as a resistance zone where sellers have historically stepped in. POC (Point of Control - 87,796): Represented by the central line. This is the price level with the highest trading volume, acting like a "magnet" that attracts price action. VAL (Value Area Low - 86,942): The lower boundary of the value area. This usually serves as a strong support zone where buyers find value. 2. Current Price Action Breakout Attempt: The price recently made a strong push from the POC zone toward the VAH (88,856). Currently, the price is hovering right at this boundary. Short-term Trend: Since the price is trading in the upper half of the value area, the short-term sentiment is bullish. However, maintaining a position above 88,856 is crucial for further upside. 3. Potential Scenarios Scenario 1: Bullish Continuation If BTC closes firmly above 88,856 and successfully retests this zone as support, the next targets would be the previous local highs around 90,000 - 91,200. In this case, VAH flips from resistance to support. Scenario 2: Mean Reversion (Correction to POC) If the price fails to hold above 88,856 and drops back into the "Value Area," it is highly likely to gravitate back toward the POC (87,796). This is a natural correction to find "fair value" based on volume. Scenario 3: Bearish Drop If selling pressure increases and the price breaks below the POC, the final support level in this structure is the VAL (86,942). This would be considered a "discount" zone for swing traders. 4. Key Takeaways The Critical Level: 88,856. Watch the 1h candle close relative to this line. Volatility Note: There are some "low volume nodes" (gaps in the volume bars) between the POC and VAH, which means the price can move very quickly (and sometimes unpredictably) through these zones.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Geka_Trader
XAUUSD H1 CHART QUICK ANALYSIS I 26/11On Wednesday, Gold experienced a strong pullback from the new ATH at 4525 down to 4448. The key point is: 👉 Price only retraced to the H1 ascending trendline and then bounced strongly. This move was NOT a reversal, but a healthy technical pullback within a strong uptrend. During today’s Asian session, Gold surged again and printed a new ATH at 4530, confirming: • The uptrend remains intact • Buyers are still in full control • All pullbacks are simply momentum resets 📊 2. TECHNICAL STRUCTURE • H1 structure: Clear Higher High – Higher Low • Ascending trendline still respected • No bearish structure break at all ➡️ This is a textbook example of a healthy and sustainable uptrend, not a fake rally. 🎯 3. TRADING PLAN ✅ Main bias: BUY with the trend • Look for BUY opportunities at support and value zones • Avoid counter-trend SELLs (SELL only for experienced scalpers with small size) • Strict risk management – SL is mandatory because trading is probability-based 📌 Reminder: Winning is not about buying everywhere, but buying at the right zone, with the right size and discipline.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Geka_Trader
BTC Is Not Trending — It’s Loading LiquidityBTC/USD – QUICK ANALYSIS (1H) Market Structure Clear range / consolidation phase Price oscillates between defined support and resistance No confirmed breakout → sideways market Key Levels Support zone: ~86,800 – 87,200 Resistance zone: ~90,000 – 91,000 Price Behavior Repeated reactions at both edges = liquidity absorption EMAs flatten → lack of directional momentum Macro Context Market waiting for new catalyst (Fed tone, USD move, ETF flows) No strong risk-on or risk-off trigger → chop continues Bias Range trading only Wait for clean breakout + volume before trend bias Avoid FOMO inside the box
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Raphael_TraderGOLD
XAU/USD (Gold) H1 CHART I 12/261. Volume Profile Key Levels Analysis The value area structure is defining clear support and resistance levels: VAH Zone (Value Area High) - 4,516.8: This is the upper boundary of the value area. The price recently retested this zone but encountered long upper wicks (rejection), indicating selling pressure is blocking further upside here. POC Zone (Point of Control) - 4,487.1: This is the level with the highest traded volume. It serves as the most critical psychological and technical support zone at the moment. VAL Zone (Value Area Low) - 4,456.5: The lower boundary of the value area, acting as the final support floor to maintain the current bullish structure. 2. Trend Structure and Price Action Ascending Trendline: Gold is moving in a strong uptrend from below 4,350. However, the current distance between the price and the trendline is quite wide, suggesting the price may need a corrective dip or sideways consolidation to let the trendline catch up. Short-term Weakness: After peaking near the VAH, recent H1 candles have small bodies and frequent wicks. This indicates that the upward momentum is temporarily stalling. 3. Potential Scenarios Scenario 1: Correction to Equilibrium (POC Retest) If the price fails to break and close firmly above 4,516 (VAH): There is a high probability of a corrective drop toward the 4,487 (POC) zone. At this level, the price will meet the intersection of high volume and the ascending trendline. This represents an ideal "Buy Zone" for those looking to follow the prevailing uptrend. Scenario 2: Bullish Continuation (Breakout) If an H1 candle closes decisively above 4,520: Gold will exit its current consolidation range and continue to seek new record highs. The next target could be the 4,550 psychological level. 4. Overall Assessment Gold remains in a dominant uptrend but is currently facing difficulties at the VAH resistance. Advice: Avoid "chasing" the price at current levels (near VAH). "Remember the goal"—be patient and wait for the price to react at strong support levels like the POC (4,487) or for a confirmed breakout of resistance. Risk Management: Place a Stop Loss below the POC zone if you enter a buy order there to protect your account against a deeper drop toward the VAL.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Geka_Trader
GBP/USD CHART OVERVIEW H1 CHART I 12/26The pair is currently in a "tightly compressed" phase. The price sitting right at the POC reflects indecision between both buyers and sellers. Priority: Closely monitor the reaction at the trendline. Since the overall trend is still upward (the trendline slope is quite steep), priority is given to buy signals if the price bounces from this area. Risk Management: "Remember the goal"—do not forget to place a Stop Loss just below the POC zone (around 1.3495) if you execute a buy order, to protect against a sudden trendline break.
by Geka_Trader
Gold Continues to Maintain Its Bullish Streak Into Year-EndHello everyone, Today, OANDA:XAUUSD is taking a pause during the Christmas holiday period, currently trading around 4,479 USD. Although slightly lower than the previous session, gold continues to hold a strong high-price base after a powerful rally, driven by rising safe-haven flows, escalating geopolitical tensions, and expectations that the Fed may cut interest rates in 2026. On the chart, price has broken out of the previous sideways range and formed a clear bullish structure. At the moment, gold is consolidating within the 4,450–4,525 range, with 4,520–4,525 acting as the nearest resistance (weak high)—a zone where liquidity may be drawn before the market commits to its next direction. From a scenario perspective, as long as price holds above key support, any pullbacks are considered healthy, and the uptrend remains dominant. A decisive break above 4,525 could open the door toward 4,600 USD and beyond, especially if supportive factors such as low interest rates and ongoing geopolitical risks persist. The preferred strategy at this stage remains buy-biased, focusing on patience, confirmation-based entries, trading in line with the trend, and avoiding FOMO. What’s your view on the current XAUUSD trend? Feel free to leave a comment. Wishing you a peaceful and joyful Christmas!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Trade_and_Chill-
13