BUY BTCUSD SIGNAL Bitcoin looking to be buying back, so there’s a buy stop that’s has been placed , in order to capitalise on the move , (50/50 + Trial) required
Chart Patterns
The Breakout Is Closer Than You Think…NZD/USD – 1H MARKET STRUCTURE ANALYSIS
1) Current Price Structure
- Market is in a clean uptrend (higher highs & higher lows on the left side of chart).
- After the impulsive bullish leg, price has shifted into a sideways range, forming a clear consolidation between Support and Resistance.
- Micro-structure inside the range shows repeated equal highs & equal lows → compression before expansion.
2) Liquidity & Key Zones
- Resistance Zone (Top of Range): 0.5785 – 0.5805
- Multiple rejections → liquidity resting above (buy stops & breakout traps).
- Support Zone (Bottom of Range): 0.5750 – 0.5765
Consistently defended by buyers → liquidity sitting below (sell stops).
Liquidity Note:
Expect a sweep of support (fake break) before a bullish continuation — classic smart money behavior in a bullish market.
3) Today’s Market Scenario
Main Scenario (Bullish Bias – Preferred):
- Price retests the support zone
- Likely performs a liquidity sweep below the zone
- Sharp bullish rejection
- Price rotates back to resistance
- Breaks out → continuation with uptrend alignment
This matches your projected red zig-zag + final bullish impulse.
Alternative Scenario (Low Probability):
- Clear candle close below 0.5740 with no recovery → shift to bearish intraday bias.
4) Market Psychology
- The market is "resting" after a strong push → accumulation psychology.
- Smart money wants liquidity → they will likely sweep below the support to fill buy orders.
- Retail traders try to sell the range highs and buy the lows, but SM often collects their stops before moving to the real direction.
Key idea:
Range = where weak hands lose money.
Breakout = where strong hands take profits
5) Intraday Strategy (Entry – SL – TP)
BUY Setup (Aligned With Your Chart):
Entry: 0.5755 – 0.5765
Stop Loss: 0.5740 (below liquidity pocket)
TP1: 0.5795
TP2: 0.5820
TP3 (Extended): 0.5840+
Trade Management:
If price sweeps support and closes back above → BUY confirmation.
If price closes below → invalidate bullish setup and reassess.
Heading into multi swing high resistance?Kiwi (NZD/USD) is rising towards the pivto which acts as a multi swing high resistance and couldreverse to the 1st support whichis a pullback support.
Pivot: 0.5802
1st Support: 5730
1st Resistance: 0.5841
Disclaimer:
The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party
USDJPY FRGNT DAILY FORECAST - Q4 | W50 | D9 | Y25 |📅 Q4 | W50 | D9 | Y25 |
📊 USDJPY FRGNT DAILY FORECAST
🔍 Analysis Approach:
I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on:
Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️
Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐
Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎
Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅
This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price.
💡 My Motto:
"Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge."
A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐
⚠️ Losses?
They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲
They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️
🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast.
Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital
— FRNGT 🚀
FX:USDJPY
FX:USDJPY
Stop!Loss|Market View: GOLD🙌 Stop!Loss team welcomes you❗️
In this post, we're going to talk about the near-term outlook for GOLD ☝️
Potential trade setup:
🔔Entry level: 4167.192
💰TP: 3900.356
⛔️SL: 4370.061
"Market View" - a brief analysis of trading instruments, covering the most important aspects of the FOREX market.
👇 In the comments 👇 you can type the trading instrument you'd like to analyze, and we'll talk about it in our next posts.
💬 Description: After breaking out of the accumulation in a symmetrical triangle, gold prices formed an accumulation near the 4200 level, indicating the emergence of a potential limit seller who, after breaking out of the accumulation, will sell the instrument to those willing to buy at the breakout. Against this backdrop, a downward movement is likely expected, and given the potential volatility this week, two scenarios are being considered.
Thanks for your support 🚀
Profits for all ✅
$BTC/USDT ANALYSISBitcoin is moving inside a symmetrical triangle on the 8-hour chart and the price is sitting near the middle of the range, trading below the 50MA which is acting as a resistance zone on top. Bulls are defending the lower trendline while sellers are active near the upper trendline, creating a squeeze where volatility is slowly reducing. If price holds above support, it may continue to move sideways inside the triangle, but a strong candle above the 50MA and triangle top would show strength, while a drop toward the ascending support would show weakness. Right now market is neutral and waiting for a clear break from this pattern, so upcoming moves around these trendlines will decide the next direction.
Elise | BTC/USD – Bearish Retest & Liquidity Drop SetupBITSTAMP:BTCUSD
Price has retested the prior structure break at 91,450 – 91,600 and faced rejection at the previous support turned resistance. Market structure remains bearish under the descending trendline, with liquidity sweeps seen at each bounce.
Following the BOS and return to premium pricing, bearish continuation remains favored while price holds below the retest zone.
Bearish Scenario 📉 (Primary Bias)
If price continues trading below 91,600, bearish flow may extend into discount levels.
🎯 Target 1 → 90,200
🎯 Target 2 → 89,300 (Range Liquidity)
🎯 Final Sweep Zone → 87,700 – 88,200 Strong Support
Break of strong support could trigger deeper downside, but buyers are expected to defend that zone aggressively.
⚠️ This chart is for educational and informational purposes only. Not financial advice
Gold Spot (XAU/USD) – Bullish Setup & Key ZonesPrice is holding above the pivot zone and showing strength after retesting support. The bullish structure remains valid as long as price stays above 4,188.
Key Levels:
Entry Zone: Around 4,203
First Target: 4,260
Invalidation: Below 4,146
This analysis is based on trend continuation and zone reactions. Always confirm with your own strategy and manage risk.
DISCLAIMER : THIS IS NOT A FINANCIAL ADVICE EDUACTIONAL PURPOSE ONLY.
AMD Weekly Forecast: Bearish Katy Prediction Overrides Bullish F📉 AMD — PUT Signal (High-Conflict Bearish Play) Date: 2025-12-08
Katy AI shows a clear bearish trajectory despite bullish weekly momentum and bullish options flow.
🎯 PUT Trade Setup
Direction: PUT
Strike: $220P
Entry: $0.45 – $0.47
Target 1: $0.90
Target 2: $1.35
Stop Loss: $0.23
Expiry: 2025-12-12 (4 days)
Position Size: 2% (high risk)
🧠 Why PUT?
Katy AI Prediction
Predicts drop toward $217.47 (-2.48%)
Extends to $216.03 (-3.13%) by Tuesday
168-point projection = consistent downside path
Technical Signals
RSI 77.9 (overbought) → reversal risk
Price $223 above VWAP → divergence
Resistance $224.17 is holding
Support $214.14 → room to fall
Flow Sentiment
Options flow very bullish (PCR 0.38)
But Katy bearish → contrarian put setup
⚠️ Risk Warning
HIGH RISK setup due to LLM vs Katy conflict
Fast exit required if bullish flow accelerates
Strict stop loss recommended
Gold Price Expected to Fall: $4150Gold Price Expected to Fall: $4150
As shown on the 2-hour chart:
We saw a false breakout in gold prices, followed by a decline today.
But is it truly stable?
Is the downtrend really safe?
At least in today's trading, we've made a respectable profit of $3200 per lot.
Continuing our trend-following strategy:
We now judge the probability of a genuine breakout in gold prices to be over 70%.
Based on this assumption:
Effective Resistance Level for Gold: $4200-$4190
Effective Support Level for Gold: $4180
The current trading strategy is very clear:
Sell: $4190
Stop Loss: $4205
Take Profit: $4150-$4100
There are countless profitable strategies and trading methods.
But from a technical analysis perspective, this strategy is currently the most cost-effective.
We believe the gold price will fall below $4150.
Therefore, this strategy is ideal.
You can understand my trading rhythm by viewing my real trading records on my channel. Through long-term practice and trading experience, my trading philosophy and methods have proven highly effective for me.
I have led my team to achieve an average weekly return of nearly 100 points.
We only release 1-2 high-quality signals per day.
But fewer signals do not mean less profit.
In fact, our pace is very slow and relaxed.
Now, we will continue to observe whether the gold price will fall as we expect and reach the next target: $4150.
US100 Free Signal! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
US100 has rejected a major supply zone while breaking down from a bearish wedge, sweeping buy-side liquidity before shifting order-flow bearish. This SMC structure signals distribution at premium and a move toward discount levels below.
--------------------
Stop Loss: 25840
Take Profit: 25315
Entry: 25622
Time Frame: 4H
--------------------
Sell!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Bullish Thesis on RGTI (Rigetti Computing)Swing-to-position | High Beta Momentum + Fundamental Inflection
1. A deep base followed by a violent expansion
RGTI spent almost ten months building a flat, forgotten base with low participation.
Then it erupted with a multi-hundred-percent move on real volume.
This kind of structure is classic for high-beta tech names that shift suddenly from neglect to aggressive re-rating.
The recent correction is a textbook post-parabolic digestion.
Price returned to the prior breakout zone, found buyers again, and held a higher low. That’s typically a sign of strength, not weakness.
2. A clean higher low after a major run
This is often the moment where the next leg begins.
The stock printed a capitulation low, reversed sharply, reclaimed key levels, and stabilized above support around 25–26.
When high-beta names form their first higher low after a parabolic advance, institutions usually prefer to accumulate because the risk becomes well-defined.
3. The downtrend break confirms an early trend reversal
The main descending trendline from the highs has now been broken.
Price retested that area and held.
From a structural point of view, this is one of the clearest reversal formations you can get: compression, breakout, retest, continuation.
The next logical liquidity area sits around 34–36.
4. Momentum is rotating back into speculative tech
High-beta and speculative technology are attracting flows again.
RGTI is one of the purest quantum computing names in the public markets, and it tends to outperform whenever risk appetite rises.
Right now, there is strong momentum coming back into these themes, which gives RGTI a favorable backdrop.
5. Fundamentals are improving quietly but meaningfully
Rigetti has expanded internationally, launched a new Italian subsidiary focused on scaling talent and operations, and secured a 5.8 million dollar contract with the U.S. Air Force for quantum networking.
Revenue also came in better than expected in Q3.
The stock pulled back on a small EPS miss, but that part of the story is already well digested by the market.
For a micro-cap, even moderate improvements have an outsized impact on sentiment and price behavior.
6. Clean air above current levels
There is very little resistance between 28 and the mid-30s.
Volume drops off in that zone, which often acts like a magnet during recovery phases.
If buyers continue to step in, the next natural target becomes the 34–35 range, followed by the 40–42 zone.
Price Targets
TP1: 34–35
Short-term, driven mostly by momentum and liquidity gaps.
TP2: 40–42
Medium-term, aligned with the next structural shelf.
Extended scenario: 55–60
If quantum computing gains fresh attention or if another government contract comes in, a move toward the old highs becomes realistic.
Risk Management
Small position sizing is essential because RGTI is still a speculative micro-cap.
A clean invalidation sits below 24.
Expect volatility, which is normal for this type of name.
USOIL IDEA Demand zone..
Play long
Due to Dxy showing sign of strength and its end of the year already
NOTE: It's an IDEA, Not signal
EURUSD | Pullback From Supply Zone,Bearish Scenario Still ActiveBy analyzing the #EURUSD chart on the 6 hour timeframe, we can see that price climbed into the 1.168 supply zone exactly as expected and immediately faced strong selling pressure. This drop pushed EURUSD down to 1.1616, and it is now trading around 1.16345.
If EURUSD can stay below 1.165 during the next 12 hours, we can expect a deeper bearish move from this pair.
This scenario fails only if price breaks and holds above 1.168. Monitor the reaction closely.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
KDRI IS ON ENTRY ENTRY 0.644
TAKE PROFIT 0.85
STOPLOSS 0.6
acc. to time analysis it is the end of accumulation phase
now we targeting inner side $ after that the goal is easy sell side $$
EURGBP Bearish Breakout!
HI,Traders !
#EURGBP made a bearish
Breakout of the key
Horizontal level of 0.87473
Which is now a resistance
And the breakout is confirmed
So after the potential pullback
And retest we will be expecting
A further bearish move down !
Comment and subscribe to help us grow !
USDJPY is on thin iceOverview
USDJPY continues to trade in a strong long-term uptrend, supported by reduced demand for safe havens and moderating U.S. growth momentum. However, the current structure may be forming a strategic reversal zone, with a potential medium-term downside target near 149, aligned with the 200-day moving average.
This idea is expected to unfold over several weeks or even months rather than within a single trading week.
Macro Foundation Behind the Idea
1. Yen as a Carry Trade Currency
The JPY remains the lowest-yielding major currency and is widely used in carry trades.
As Japan gradually lifts interest rates (starting from 2024), carry trades become increasingly risky. Japan’s inflation, previously cyclical and subdued, has turned upward again after reaching a local bottom around August 2025. This keeps probabilities of additional BOJ rate hikes elevated.
2. Bond Market Signals
Japan’s 30-year government bond yields have surged to 3.4%, the highest level ever recorded.
Rising long-term yields indicate tightening conditions and strengthen the case for a stronger yen.
3. BOJ Communication Turns Hawkish
Governor Ueda recently stated that the BOJ will weigh the “pros and cons” of another rate hike at the upcoming meeting — a clearly hawkish tone. Historically (July 2024 and January 2025), similar patterns preceded significant USDJPY declines:
JPY strengthened 1–2 weeks before policy announcements, and USDJPY retraced sharply, giving back long-term gains.
4. Despite Downtrend in Yen, Reversal Risk Is Growing
While the yen is still under pressure due to active carry trades and strong risk appetite in global equities, macro signals (yields + inflation + BOJ stance) suggest the balance of risks is shifting toward yen appreciation.
This creates an attractive setup for position traders looking for a medium-term USDJPY short.
Key Triggers Ahead
FOMC meeting & Powell press conference – Wed, Oct 9
Potential volatility catalyst and sentiment shifter.
Japan CPI (Dec 19) + BOJ rate decision
Critical for confirming whether a full reversal can accelerate.
Don't forget - this is just the idea, always do your own research and never forget to manage your risk!
POTENTIAL BULLS Greetings everybody. This is our forecast on the short term and long-term movement of the Yellow metal. We think that the market is winding up printing printing wave 4 of the lower degree and finally complete the Impulse printing wave 5.
On the lager TF, leg B of the wave 4 correction is setting up and whenn done we'll observe a down fall for the wave clC of the potential FLAT Correction. we'll update more and with maps once the correction move is completed to avoid flooding with mis information
EURGBP FRGNT DAILY FORECAST - Q4 | W50 | D9 | Y25 |📅 Q4 | W50 | D9 | Y25 |
📊 EURGBP FRGNT DAILY FORECAST
🔍 Analysis Approach:
I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on:
Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️
Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐
Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎
Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅
This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price.
💡 My Motto:
"Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge."
A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐
⚠️ Losses?
They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲
They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️
🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast.
Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital
— FRNGT 🚀
FX:EURGBP
EURNZD Buy ideaBullish Trend, waiting for price to enter at demand zone,strong leg out, Quality zone and fresh.
GDX Anticipates a Double Correction Within Bullish TrendThe short-term Elliott Wave outlook for the Gold Miners ETF (GDX) indicates that the cycle from the October 28, 2025 low concluded as a five-swing diagonal structure. From that pivotal low, wave ((i)) advanced to 73.06 before a corrective pullback in wave ((ii)) reached 68.20. The ETF then extended higher in wave ((iii)), achieving 79.97, while subsequent dips in wave ((iv)) found support at 72.45. The final leg, wave ((v)), advanced to 84.03, thereby completing wave 1 of a higher degree sequence as the 30 minutes chart below shows.
Following this advance, the market entered a corrective phase. Wave 2 is unfolding as a double three Elliott Wave structure, reflecting a complex consolidation. From the termination of wave 1, wave (a) declined to 81.48, while wave (b) rebounded modestly to 82.96. A further decline in wave (c) reached 79.30, completing wave ((w)) of the correction. The subsequent rally in wave ((x)) ended at 83.76, forming a zigzag pattern. Thereafter, the ETF resumed its decline in wave ((y)), which is also subdividing internally as a zigzag. From wave ((x)), wave (a) fell to 79.07, while the current wave (b) rally is expected to fail in either three, seven, or eleven swings, setting the stage for another decline in wave (c). This move should complete wave ((y)) of 2 in the larger degree.
In the near term, as long as the pivot at 71.55 remains intact, and more importantly, the October 28 low at 67.35 holds firm, dips are expected to attract buyers. These corrective swings should provide opportunities for renewed upside, reinforcing the broader bullish outlook for GDX.
BtcusdBitcoin is showing signs of a huge climb to the 146-148 level…at minimum 138k…so im super bullish rn
Cattle Prices Soar Amid Record-low Herd Size and Holiday DemandCME: Live Cattle Futures ( CME:LE1! )
CME live cattle futures market rallied last week. February 2026 contract rose $3.15 to settle at $227.15 (per 100 pounds) on Friday, gaining $9.30 or 4.63% on the week.
In the spot market, the National Daily Cattle & Beef Summary shows that the Weekly Average Price of Choice Cutout was $361.20 per 100 pounds as of December 5th. This is $46 or 15% above the year-ago price, and $83 or 30% above the 5-year average.
A major driver of the rising beef prices stems from a record low cattle supply. The start of 2025 saw the smallest national herd since 1951. Meanwhile, beef consumption increases due to the holiday season as well as the cold weather. Low supply and high demand are a recipe for higher prices.
November WASDE Report
On November 14th, the US Department of Agriculture (USDA) published an update on World Agriculture Supply and Demand Estimates, also known as the WASDE report.
November WASDE is bullish on beef and cattle:
• For 2025, beef production is lowered, as reduced steer and heifer slaughter and lower weights are partially offset by higher expected cow and bull slaughter.
• For 2026, beef production is lowered on reduced steer and heifer slaughter, with the slower rate of fed cattle marketings expected to carry into the first half of 2026.
• The beef import forecasts for 2025 and 2026 are unchanged from the previous report based on U.S. Census data reported through July. Beef exports are reduced in the third quarter of 2025 but remain unchanged for the outlying quarters of 2025 and 2026.
While the November WASDE forecasted lower cattle prices for Q4 2025 and 1H 2026, I expect the December WASDE to raise its price forecasts based on recent market rallies.
July Cattle Inventory
The U.S. cattle herd totaled 94.2 million head as of July 1, 2025, according to the latest bi-annual Cattle report from the USDA’s National Agricultural Statistics Service.
Among the total herd, 38.1 million were cows and heifers that have calved. The report also breaks down the numbers by category, with 28.7 million beef cows and 9.45 million milk cows counted nationwide. The 2025 calf crop is projected at 33.1 million head, while 13 million cattle are currently on feed.
The cattle cycle is the natural expansion and contraction of the U.S. cattle herd — which is tied to supply and demand. It typically occurs every eight to 12 years. When producers can get higher prices, they will likely retain more females, called heifers, for breeding. When the cattle supply increases, prices eventually go down and the herds contract again.
However, if farmers begin retaining heifers to put into the breeding herd, it will first reduce the total domestic beef production because we have fewer animals going to the feedlot. Therefore, even though higher beef prices encourage heifer retention, I expect the number of marketing cattle to remain low for the next 6-12 months.
Partially offsetting the impact of smaller herd numbers is the fact that the U.S. is producing bigger cattle. Incremental supply, mainly for ground beef, also comes from beef imports.
Trading with CME Live Cattle Futures
Futures market shows bullish sentiment. CFTC’s Commitments of Traders report shows that, as of October 28th, CME live cattle futures ( NASDAQ:LE ) have total open interest (OI) of 343,707 contracts.
• “Managed Money” holds 136,302 Long contracts, 21,163 Short contracts, and 35,555 contracts at spread positions.
• The long/short ratio of 6.4-to-1 shows that “Smart Money” is bullish on Live Cattle.
A trader sharing a similar bullish view could explore CME Live Cattle futures.
Live Cattle futures ( NASDAQ:LE ) have a notional value of 40,000 pounds (~18 metric tons). At Friday settlement price of $227.15 per 100 pounds, the lead February contract LEG6 is worth $90,860. To buy or sell one contract, a trader is required to post an initial margin of $3,300. The point value of Live Cattle futures is $400.
The futures contract has built-in leverage of 27.5:1 (= 90860 / 3300).
• If LEG6 goes up 5% to $238.51, a long position will gain $4,544 (= (238.51-227.15) * 400). This will be a hypothetical return of 137.7% (= 4544 / 3300).
• If LEG6 declines, the trader will see large losses due to leverage. To avoid unlimited exposure, the trader could enter the long position with a stoploss.
• For illustration, a stoploss at 220 for the 228 long futures order will cap the loss at $3,200 (=(228-220) * 400).
Happy Trading.
Disclaimers
*Trade ideas cited above are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management under the market scenarios being discussed. They shall not be construed as investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services.
CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
