EURUSD Hits Resistance After Sharp Rebound EURUSD Hits Resistance After Sharp Rebound — Correction or Just a Liquidity Grab?
EURUSD on the H1 timeframe remains within a broader bearish structure, with price continuing to trade below the declining moving averages that have consistently acted as dynamic resistance. The overall market context reflects sustained selling pressure, as the sequence of lower highs and lower lows remains intact despite short-term volatility.
The recent sharp bullish impulse from the lower liquidity range appears to be a liquidity-driven rebound rather than a confirmed structural reversal. Price aggressively swept sell-side liquidity near the 1.1620 area before rebounding, a move often associated with stop-hunting and short covering. However, this recovery has now carried price directly back into a clearly defined resistance zone, where prior selling activity and the descending EMA converge.
At this resistance area, bullish momentum has begun to stall, suggesting that buyers are encountering active supply. Without sustained acceptance above this zone, the current move is best interpreted as a corrective pullback within a bearish trend. In this context, a rejection from resistance could lead to renewed downside pressure, with price rotating back toward the lower liquidity range to retest the recent lows.
If sellers regain control, a continuation toward the 1.1620 support area remains the higher-probability scenario, aligning with the prevailing trend and the broader liquidity framework. Such a move would confirm that the rebound was corrective rather than the start of a trend shift.
Alternatively, only a clean break and sustained acceptance above the resistance zone and the declining moving averages would invalidate the bearish continuation outlook. Until that occurs, EURUSD remains technically bearish, with the market likely using rallies into resistance as opportunities for distribution rather than accumulation.
Chart Patterns
XAUUSD – 30m Chart Analysis**XAUUSD – 30m Chart Analysis & Idea**
Gold remains in a **short-term bullish structure**, trading above key EMAs and holding an **ascending trendline**.
**Key Levels**
* **Current price:** ~**4584**
* **Support zone:** **4555 – 4565** (EMA cluster & previous consolidation)
* **Resistance zone:** **4595 – 4605**
**Price Action Insight**
* Price is consolidating after a strong impulsive move up.
* Higher lows are forming, showing buyers are still active.
* As long as price holds **above the support zone and trendline**, upside pressure remains intact.
**Idea (Educational)**
* Bullish continuation favored **above 4560**.
* A sustained break and hold **above 4600** may open the way toward **4620–4640**.
* Failure to hold support could lead to a pullback toward **4525–4500** area.
*Technical analysis only, not financial advice.*
EURUSD: Bearish Continuation & Short Trade
EURUSD
- Classic bearish pattern
- Our team expects retracement
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Sell EURUSD
Entry - 1.1687
Stop - 1.1702
Take - 1.1663
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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AUDUSD: Rising Channel Support Bounce - Long SetupPair : OANDA:AUDUSD (4H Chart)
Setup : Rising Channel + Support Test
BULLISH CHANNEL BOUNCE
Price is trading within a clean rising channel and has recently tested the lower support trendline around 0.6620. Now bouncing back toward upper channel resistance—classic buy opportunity.
Trade Plan :
Entry : 0.6700-0.6710 (current zone)
Stop Loss : 0.6600 (below channel support)
Take Profit : 0.6780 (upper channel resistance)
Risk/Reward : 1:0.7
Better Entry Option:
Entry : 0.6620-0.6640 (on any pullback to support)
Stop Loss : 0.6660
Take Profit : 0.6770
Technical Confluence :
✓ Respected rising channel structure
✓ Multiple successful bounces from support trendline
✓ Higher highs and higher lows intact
✓ RSI showing bullish reversal
Key Levels:
Channel Resistance : 0.6770
Current Price : 0.6705
Channel Support : 0.6675
Invalidation : Below 0.6660
Strategy :
Enter at current levels for conservative play, or wait for any dip to 0.6690-0.6695 for better risk/reward. Target the upper channel resistance at 0.6770. Consider partial profits at 0.6750 and trail the rest.
⚠️ Invalidation: Close below 0.6600 breaks the channel.
#AUDUSD #ForexTrading #RisingChannel #BuySetup
📝 Disclaimer :
This is not financial advice. Trading forex involves substantial risk. Always conduct your own research and trade responsibly.
BTCUSD – Bullish Setup (Daily)
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD is showing early bullish reversal confluences after a prolonged downtrend.
Bullish confluences:
Price bounced from the lower volatility band / demand zone
Higher low formed, breaking short-term bearish structure
Price reclaiming the mid-band / dynamic resistance (trend MA)
Bullish reaction from Fib retracement support
Volatility compression → expansion likely to the upside
As long as price holds above the 90,000–90,500 support, bullish continuation is favored.
🎯 Fibonacci Upside Targets:
Target 1 (38.2%): ~95,300
Target 2 (61.8%): ~98,400
Target 3 (100%): ~103,400
A clean break and hold above the 61.8% Fib would significantly increase probability of a full retrace toward the 100% level.
Invalidation:
Daily close below ~88,800 invalidates the bullish setup.
XAU / USD 4 Hour ChartHello traders. Taking a look at the 4 hour chart, although there are scalp trades to be made on lower time frames, for me, I will wait for a push out in either direction. Preferably a break and retest, but that doesn't always happen with gold. Either way, if we break and close below or above, we have clean traffic to the left on the 4 hour chart, nothing choppy. Big G gets a shout out. Let's see how things play out during the overnight sessions. Be well and trade the trend. We have big news starting tomorrow here in the US, so buckle up, it's going to be volitile.
Xauusd UP(Educational | Non-Executable | Peace-Driven)
Market: Gold (XAUUSD)
Context: Multi-Timeframe Market Observation
Intent: Educational & Conceptual Analysis
⸻
Market Structure
Gold continues to trade within a constructive bullish structure on higher timeframes.
Price behavior shows:
• Trend-aligned movement
• Controlled pauses after strong impulses
This reflects market balance, not randomness.
⸻
Price Behavior & Liquidity (Conceptual View)
Markets naturally revisit prior activity zones where participation previously occurred.
This behavior represents:
• Re-engagement
• Order balancing
• Healthy price discovery
Such movements are a normal part of market mechanics.
⸻
Time & Market Rhythm
Price does not move linearly.
Instead, it progresses through cycles of expansion and pause.
Current behavior suggests:
• A short-term pause
• Within a broader trend framework
Patience and structure awareness remain key.
⸻
Risk & Responsibility
This insight intentionally avoids:
• Trade execution details
• Specific price levels
• Time-based instructions
Its purpose is to encourage:
• Independent thinking
• Risk awareness
• Calm decision-making
⸻
Educational Conclusion
As long as the broader structure remains intact, gold continues to reflect trend-consistent behavior.
Short-term fluctuations should be seen as part of market rhythm, not emotional triggers.
Markets reward understanding — not fear.
Bearish reversal off 61.8% Fib resistance?US Dollar Index (DXY) is rising towards the pivot, which acts as an overlap resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 99.01
1st Support: 98.63
1st Resistance: 99.23
Disclaimer:
The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party
Gold Intraday Trading Plan 1/13/2026As mentioned yesterday, 4550 resistance is the key for bulls and bears. Currently, with this level being broken, I am switching my view to be bullish. I will look for bullish continuations for today. I will buy from 4570. My first target is 4662. Ultimate target for today is 4700.
Silver - This metal is blowing up now!💣Silver ( OANDA:XAGUSD ) is rallying even higher:
🔎Analysis summary:
Just a couple of months ago, we witnessed another bullish break and retest on Silver. It was quite obvious that Silver will rally accordingly and just recently, we experienced another +150% rally. However, looking at the higher timeframe, Silver is still not done.
📝Levels to watch:
$100
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
Crude Oil Technical Blueprint | Bullish Momentum Setup🛢️ USOIL Energy Market Blueprint | Swing/Day Trade Setup 🎯
📊 ASSET OVERVIEW
Crude Oil (USOIL) | WTI Crude Oil Futures
Market: Energies | Commodities Sector
Strategy Type: Capital Flow Analysis + Triangular MA Breakout System
Trading Style: Swing Trading & Day Trading Hybrid Approach
🔥 MARKET BIAS: BULLISH MOMENTUM CONFIRMED ✅
Technical Setup:
✨ Triangular Moving Average (TMA) BREAKOUT + RETEST pattern completed
✨ Price action showing bullish institutional order flow
✨ Momentum indicators aligning with upside continuation
✨ Volume profile supporting buyer dominance
🎯 ENTRY STRATEGY: "THIEF LAYERING METHOD" 💰
Entry Type: Multi-Layer Limit Orders (Smart Money Accumulation Style)
🔹 Layer 1: $57.50
🔹 Layer 2: $58.00
🔹 Layer 3: $58.50
🔹 Layer 4: $59.00
OR
✅ Market Entry: Any current price level (For aggressive traders)
💡 Pro Tip: The "Thief Strategy" uses multiple limit orders at strategic support zones to capture optimal average entry price. You can add more layers based on your risk appetite and position sizing plan!
🚨 TARGET ZONE: "POLICE FORCE LEVEL" 🎖️
Primary Target (TP): $61.50
⚠️ IMPORTANT: This level acts as:
✔️ Strong historical resistance zone
✔️ Overbought territory trap area
✔️ Institutional profit-taking zone
🛡️ Exit Strategy: Take partial profits at target. Don't be greedy—when money is on the table, secure your gains! This is YOUR trade, YOUR rules, YOUR profits. Adjust TP based on your personal trading plan and risk management.
🛑 STOP LOSS: "THIEF PROTECTION LEVEL" 🔒
SL Placement: $57.00
⚠️ Risk Disclaimer: This SL is suggested based on technical structure invalidation point. However, YOU are the boss of your own trading account. Set your stop loss according to YOUR risk tolerance, account size, and trading psychology. Never risk more than you can afford to lose!
🌍 RELATED PAIRS TO WATCH 📈
Correlated Assets (Positive Correlation):
AMEX:XLE (Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund) 🔗 +0.85 correlation
NYSE:XOM (Exxon Mobil) 🔗 +0.78 correlation
NYSE:CVX (Chevron Corporation) 🔗 +0.76 correlation
TVC:UKOIL (Brent Crude Oil) 🔗 +0.92 correlation
Inverse Correlation:
TVC:DXY (US Dollar Index) 🔗 -0.65 correlation (Strong dollar = Pressure on oil)
NASDAQ:TLT (US Treasury Bonds) 🔗 -0.45 correlation
Currency Pairs (Oil-Sensitive):
USDCAD 🇺🇸🇨🇦 (Canadian Dollar strengthens with oil)
USDNOK 🇺🇸🇳🇴 (Norwegian Krone tied to oil exports)
USDRUB 🇺🇸🇷🇺 (Russian Ruble oil-dependent)
💡 Trading Insight: When USOIL rallies, energy stocks typically follow. Watch DXY weakness for confirmation—falling dollar = bullish catalyst for oil!
📰 FUNDAMENTAL & ECONOMIC FACTORS 🌐
Current Market Drivers (Real-Time Feed):
🔴 OPEC+ Production Decisions:
Saudi Arabia & Russia production cut extensions impacting supply
Tighter supply = Bullish pressure on prices
🔴 US Crude Oil Inventories (EIA Reports):
Weekly inventory data showing drawdowns = Bullish signal
Watch Wednesday 10:30 AM EST releases
🔴 Geopolitical Tensions:
Middle East tensions (Iran, Israel, regional conflicts)
Ukraine-Russia energy disruptions
Red Sea shipping route disruptions = Supply chain fears
🔴 Global Demand Outlook:
China economic recovery (world's largest oil importer)
US economic data (PMI, manufacturing, employment)
Winter heating demand seasonality
🔴 US Dollar Strength (DXY):
Fed interest rate policy (dovish = bullish oil)
Dollar weakness = Oil priced in USD becomes cheaper for foreign buyers
Upcoming Events to Watch: 📅
✅ OPEC+ Meeting - Monitor production quota announcements
✅ US EIA Crude Inventory Reports - Every Wednesday
✅ Fed Interest Rate Decisions - Impact on USD and commodity prices
✅ China Economic Data - PMI, GDP, industrial output
✅ Geopolitical Developments - Middle East news, sanctions updates
⚡ KEY TECHNICAL LEVELS 📊
Support Zones: 🟢
$57.00 (Critical SL level)
$56.20 (Secondary support)
$55.50 (Major demand zone)
Resistance Zones: 🔴
$61.50 (Target / Police Force level)
$63.00 (Psychological barrier)
$65.00 (Major supply zone)
💎 FINAL WORDS: THIEF OG'S PHILOSOPHY 🎩
Dear Ladies & Gentlemen, Thief OG Traders 🎯
📌 This is NOT financial advice—this is a technical blueprint based on chart analysis and market structure.
📌 YOU control your destiny. YOU decide entry, exit, and risk.
📌 Take profits when YOU see fit. Don't let greed rob your gains!
📌 Manage risk like a professional. Position sizing > Being right.
📌 The market doesn't care about your feelings. Stick to your plan!
🔥 Trade smart. Trade safe. Make money, then TAKE money. 🔥
📢 Engagement Call-to-Action:
💬 Drop a comment with your thoughts!
👍 Smash that LIKE button if this setup resonates!
🔔 FOLLOW for more market blueprints and Thief OG setups!
🚀 Let's make those pips together, traders!
Happy Trading, Thief OG's! 🎩✨
Descending Triangle Meets Inverse Head and ShouldersThis chart highlights a structural confluence developing within a broader context of strong bullish market pressure .
Price action shows a combination of a descending triangle and an inverse Head and Shoulders formation , both forming after a strong move from the left side of the chart.
That prior movement reflects sustained buyer participation across multiple reactions.
From a market behavior perspective, this area often attracts interest from:
• Structure-based traders
• Pattern-focused participants
• Breakout and continuation observers
The alignment of these behaviors contributes to increasing bullish pressure , rather than a single pattern acting on its own.
This is not a prediction, but an observation of how pressure develops when multiple structures align .
📈 Scenario 1 – Immediate Continuation
If price continues higher from current levels, it would remain consistent with:
• Inverse Head and Shoulders structure
• Sustained buyer participation
• Bullish pressure remaining dominant
📈 Scenario 2 – Pullback Before Continuation
Price may also retrace toward the lower boundary of the structure before attempting continuation.
As long as this level holds, the bullish pressure context remains valid.
⚠️ Pressure Reassessment
If price breaks and sustains below the lower structural boundary, bullish pressure becomes less evident and the market context would require reassessment.
🧠 Key Observation
Patterns provide structure, but market pressure explains participation .
Understanding how different traders react around key levels helps clarify why price may expand — without relying on indicators or predictions.
⚠️ Educational & Analytical Use Only
This analysis is shared strictly for educational and analytical purposes.
No financial advice, trade signals, or guarantees are provided.
All decisions remain the sole responsibility of the reader and should align with their own ethical, legal, and religious principles.
ETHUSD Intraday Sell Setup Below 3160Market: Ethereum / USD
Timeframe: Intraday (30M)
Current Price: 3105
Trade Bias
📉 Bearish (Sell Only) while price remains below 3160
Trade Plan
Sell Zone: Below 3160
Target 1: 3029
Target 2: 2993
Extended Target: 2956 (if selling momentum continues)
Stop Loss: Above 3222
Technical Reasoning
Price is trading below key resistance at 3160
RSI is below 50, showing weak bullish strength
MACD is negative and below its signal line
Price is trading below 20 & 50 moving averages
Pullbacks toward resistance may offer sell continuation entries
Invalidation
❌ If price breaks and closes above 3160, the bearish setup becomes invalid
Risk Management (House Rule)
Risk only 1–2% per trade
Always wait for candle confirmation
Avoid over-trading and emotional decisions
Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational purposes only.
I am not a financial advisor.
Crypto markets are highly volatile. Trade at your own risk.
#ETHUSD OANDA:ETHUSD CRYPTOCAP:ETH BBG:ETHEREUM $CRYPTO $INTRADAY $SELL AAII:BEARISH
XAUUSD Intraday Buy Setup Above 4590Market: Gold (XAU/USD)
Timeframe: Intraday (30M)
Current Price: 4622
Trade Bias
📈 Bullish (Buy Only) while price stays above 4590
Trade Plan
Buy Zone: Above 4590
Target 1: 4650
Target 2: 4680
Extension Target: 4700 (if strong momentum continues)
Stop Loss: Below 4565
Technical Reasoning
Price is trading above the pivot (4590), showing bullish control
RSI is above 50, confirming bullish momentum
Higher highs and higher lows indicate a continuation move
Pullbacks above 4590 can be used for buy entries
Invalidation
❌ If price breaks and closes below 4590, bullish setup becomes invalid
Risk Management (House Rule)
Risk only 1–2% per trade
Wait for confirmation candle
Do not trade emotionally or over-leverage
Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational purposes only.
I am not a financial advisor.
Trading involves risk, and you are responsible for your own trading decisions.
#XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD $GOLDUSD CRYPTOCAP:FOREX $INTRADAY GETTEX:BUY AAII:BULLISH
Geopolitical tensions and policy uncertainties combined to push Geopolitical tensions and policy uncertainties combined to push gold prices to record highs
On Monday, spot gold continued its strong upward trend, briefly touching a record high of $4600.89 per ounce, and is currently trading around $4575, up about 1.45% on the day. Driven by geopolitical tensions and market concerns about the independence of monetary policy, safe-haven funds continued to flow into the gold market, pushing the precious metal to new highs.
Safe-haven sentiment continues to rise. Recent developments in the international situation have put market nerves on edge: the latest US intervention stance on Venezuela, possible military statements regarding the situation in Iran, the escalating Russia-Ukraine conflict—including the use of high-tech weapons by both sides—and the White House's intention to acquire Greenland, all have intensified investors' pursuit of safe-haven assets. These geopolitical uncertainties have significantly damaged global risk sentiment, becoming a major support for gold buying.
A weaker dollar and policy uncertainties add momentum. The dollar's recent pullback from its highs has further boosted gold priced in dollars. Concerns about central bank policy independence continue to escalate. Although strong US jobs data last Friday weakened market expectations for aggressive rate cuts in 2026, potentially limiting short-term upside for gold prices, the dollar did not strengthen significantly, reflecting that market sentiment remains dominated by broader structural concerns. Currently, investors are closely watching the upcoming US CPI data for further clues about the monetary policy path.
Technical Structure Remains Strong, Beware of Short-Term Consolidation
From a technical perspective, gold prices have been moving along an upward channel over the past month, with a solid bullish short-term trend. Currently, the price is holding above the 200-period moving average (approximately $4310), and the MACD indicator remains positive with expanding momentum bars, indicating continued strong buying power. However, the RSI is approaching overbought territory, suggesting a possible technical consolidation or pullback in the short term. The lower channel line and the dynamic moving average will provide important support. As long as gold prices hold above $4365, the overall upward trend remains intact.
Trading Considerations
Current market sentiment is clearly dominated by risk aversion and uncertainty, with gold prices continuously breaking historical highs amidst strong upward momentum. Despite technical indicators suggesting a potential short-term consolidation, the primary strategy remains bullish until a clear trend reversal signal emerges. Any pullback, as long as it doesn't break key support levels, could present an opportunity for bulls to re-enter the market. Short-term resistance is seen in the 4600-4610 area, while support lies at 4560-4550.
Overall, gold maintains a very strong position due to a confluence of factors. The recommended strategy is to buy on dips, using light positions and strict risk management to avoid chasing the rally excessively. The market is still awaiting new data and event guidance, but the current trend momentum remains firmly in the hands of the bulls.
Gold (XAUUSD) Bullish Continuation – Strong Market StructureGold (XAUUSD) on the 1H timeframe is trading within a well-defined ascending channel, clearly showing a bullish market structure. Price has respected higher lows and higher highs, indicating strong buyer control from the bullish demand zone at the lower boundary.
The marked Market Low acts as a key structural support, confirming that buyers successfully defended downside pressure and initiated a strong upside continuation. From this base, price accelerated upward, maintaining bullish momentum inside the channel.
Currently, price is testing a Bearish / Supply Zone near the upper channel resistance. This area represents a decision zone where short-term selling pressure or consolidation may occur. A healthy pullback toward channel support would be considered bullish as long as the market holds above the previous market low.
If buyers manage a clean breakout and sustained close above the bearish zone, the structure favors further upside expansion toward higher liquidity levels. Overall bias remains bullish, with short-term reactions expected near resistance before continuation.
$GMT stabilizes at demand, pullback long targets $0.023BINANCE:GMTUSDT spent an extended period in correction, leaving price compressed and direction uncertain.
Price is now showing early bullish reversal signs with a high-probability pullback-based long setup forming at key demand.
Price retraced into a validated demand zone: $0.01904 – $0.01853
Bullish Harami printed at support → seller exhaustion
Structure favors buyers while holding above demand
Buying Zone: $0.01904 – $0.01853
Entry: $0.01891
Stop Loss: $0.01811
Target 1: $0.02078
Target 2: $0.02291
Bullish bias remains intact above $0.01811.
Break below invalidates the setup.
GBPUSD buy nowGBPUSD was in a recent downtrend for the last few weeks and struggled to stay bullish, but recently it has just broken a strong resistance trend line which it tested several times and failed to break through. GBPUSD is very likely to hit the next major resistance zone which is market as the "TAKE PROFIT" LEVEL. There are many clear signs of new bullish movements. Buy GBPUSD.






















