PLAN THE TRADE. TRADE THE PLAN. IT'S THIS SIMPLE !📅 Q4 | W50 | D8 | Y25 |
📊 EURGBP FRGNT FULL TRADE BREAKDOWN - TAKE PROFIT + 2%
🔍 Analysis Approach:
I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on:
Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️
Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐
Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎
Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅
This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price.
💡 My Motto:
"Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge."
A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐
⚠️ Losses?
They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲
They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️
🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast.
Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital
— FRNGT 🚀
Chart Patterns
Wait for the callback to endFrom the previous analysis, price respected the marked bottom and followed through toward the 4222–4250 USD target zone. We now have a clean breakout, a successful retest, and stabilization, with price starting to form a fresh re-accumulation structure above the prior range.
At this stage, the market is showing strong bullish intent, but for the next leg higher, we still require a liquidity sweep—a controlled dip to grab resting orders—before GOLD gears up for the next expansion.
Once liquidity is collected, the structure supports a continuation move toward a new ATH, potentially before year-end if momentum maintains.
Bearish drop off?AUD/CAD is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.91961
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.92566
Why we like it:
There is a swing high resistance.
Take profit: 0.91181
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
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Review and plan for 9th December 2025 Nifty future and banknifty future analysis and intraday plan.
Analysis- Indigo, Kaynes.
This video is for information/education purpose only. you are 100% responsible for any actions you take by reading/viewing this post.
please consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
----Vinaykumar hiremath, CMT
Title: Trendline Break Setup – Gold Opportunity SHORTGold has moved into a key supply zone and broken the trendline, presenting a high-probability setup. Entry on trendline confirmation offers a strong risk/reward, targeting at least 4R.
Partial positions help manage risk,
with stops shifted to break-even after initial gains.
The combination of zone confluence and trendline break increases the chance of continuation, while monitoring price reaction allows for adaptive management.
EUR/USD Outlook Price Compression Near Key Demand Zone Suggests EUR/USD Outlook – Price Compression Near Key Demand Zone Suggests Potential Reversal Setup
EUR/USD continues to consolidate after breaking short-term structure on the H1 timeframe. Despite intraday volatility, the pair is holding above the major demand zone at 1.1604–1.1628, where previous BOS and liquidity sweeps occurred. This area remains the most important structural support for bullish continuation.
At the same time, price has repeatedly failed to break through the supply region around 1.1665–1.1680, forming a visible weak high that may attract liquidity later.
Technical Structure Overview
Market Structure
Multiple CHOCH signals reflect ongoing compression.
Buyers continue defending the higher-timeframe demand below 1.1628.
The latest BOS suggests that bearish momentum is weakening but not invalidated.
EMA Context
The chart shows clear interaction with dynamic support and resistance:
EMAs are flattening, indicating reduced momentum.
Price is attempting to reclaim the EMA20–EMA50 cluster, which historically acts as an accumulation zone before directional moves.
The 200 EMA sits below price, reinforcing the bullish bias as long as the demand zone holds.
Liquidity Landscape
Liquidity resides above 1.1665–1.1680, where a weak high remains.
Downside liquidity sits around 1.1604, aligning with the unmitigated demand zone.
This dual-sided liquidity suggests a possible sweep before clean directional expansion.
Key Levels for Today
Resistance Zones
1.1648 – 1.1655: Immediate intraday reaction level.
1.1665 – 1.1680: Primary supply + weak high liquidity.
1.1700: Psychological level and potential upside magnet if momentum shifts.
Support Zones
1.1640 – 1.1645: Minor support inside consolidation.
1.1628 – 1.1604: Major demand and highest-probability buy zone.
1.1588: Next liquidity layer if a deeper sweep occurs.
Short-Term Bias: Neutral to Bullish
Price is still inside a corrective phase, but demand at 1.1604–1.1628 remains strong. As long as this zone does not break, the market may attempt a bullish rotation toward 1.1665 and above.
The lack of aggressive selling from supply indicates the potential for a liquidity sweep before a directional breakout.
Trading Strategies
1. Long Setup – Buy From Demand Zone
Ideal if price returns to test unmitigated imbalance.
Entry: 1.1628 – 1.1604
Stop Loss: 1.1590
Targets:
TP1: 1.1648
TP2: 1.1665
TP3: 1.1680
This setup aligns with EMA200 support + strong demand.
2. Short-Term Sell – Fade the Supply Reaction
Only valid if price rejects clearly from 1.1665–1.1680.
Entry: 1.1665 – 1.1680
Stop Loss: 1.1692
Targets:
TP1: 1.1650
TP2: 1.1630
TP3: 1.1608
This scenario is driven by liquidity collection above the weak high.
Outlook Summary
EUR/USD is at a decisive point:
A sustained hold above 1.1640 may push price to retest the weak high at 1.1680.
A sweep of 1.1604 could provide the strongest long opportunity of the week.
My view
***Price will drop to the green line.** That’s my key support level.
* **Then it will bounce back up.** I expect a reversal after touching that green line.
***The overall trend is still up.** The big white uptrend line at the top shows the main direction hasn't changed yet.
***It’s a pullback, not a crash.** This dip to the green line is just a normal correction before the next move higher
XRP: Likely to Move Lower Ripple’s XRP is expected to retrace further into the green Target Zone ranging from $1.03 to $0.38 as part of a blue downward impulse, which would complete the higher-level turquoise wave B. Afterward, wave C should drive price sharply higher, ultimately setting a new high for the larger wave (Y) above the resistance at $4.09. However, if bulls manage to push the altcoin above the $3.19 resistance and the $4.09 level in the near term—a scenario we estimate has a 30% probability—it would suggest that the turquoise alt.B wave has already been completed, and our Target Zone would no longer be reached.
GBPUSD Bullish Setup: Waiting for the Perfect PullbackGBPUSD has broken above the daily resistance and has established a clear uptrend on the 1-hour timeframe. The market structure is currently bullish, supported by a clean upward trendline.
On the 1H chart, price has created a Fair Value Gap (FVG) and is now expected to make a pullback after forming a swing high. The ideal retracement zone is around the 50%–61.8% Fibonacci levels, which aligns perfectly with:
- A strong support level
- The 1H FVG zone
- The Fibonacci retracement levels
- The uptrend trendline
This area forms a high-probability confluence zone for a potential long entry.
Once price reaches this zone, we must wait for a 5-minute Change of Character (CHOCH) to the upside.
If the market prints a clear bullish CHOCH with a strong candlestick confirmation, a long position may be justified.
However, if the price reaches the trendline and breaks below it without giving a bullish CHOCH on 5M, the setup becomes invalid and no long trade should be taken.
XAUUSD Breakout Retest – Bearish Continuation SetupChart Analysis (XAUUSD)
Here’s a clear breakdown of what the chart shows and what the setup implies:
1. Market Structure
Price previously made a strong push upward, then entered a sideways consolidation zone (highlighted in yellow).
This zone represents accumulation/distribution, where buyers and sellers balanced out before a breakout.
2. Breakout & Retest
Price broke down below the consolidation zone, indicating bearish intent.
After the drop, price is currently doing a retest of the breakout level (where the red horizontal line sits at around 4191.953).
This retest commonly acts as a point where sellers look to re-enter.
3. Trade Setup
A sell position is plotted from the retest area.
The shaded region above represents stop-loss territory.
The two blue arrows mark:
Half Take-Profit (TP 50%) — a mid-level target for partial exit
Full Target — deeper downward continuation expectation
4. Bias
The structure, breakout, and retest all favor a bearish continuation as long as price stays below the retest zone.
The chart suggests a momentum continuation to the downside, targeting the lower green line.
5. Risk Considerations
If price closes back above the red line, the setup becomes invalid.
Consolidation after the breakdown shows indecision — strong bearish confirmation may come only after a clean push down.
$VIRTUALUSDT — $0.6950–$0.7650 Demand Zone to Decide the Next.BINANCE:VIRTUALUSDT is developing a clean bullish structure after a decisive Change of Character (CHOCH) and multiple Break of Structure (BOS) confirmations. Price has now pulled back into the key buying zone at $0.6950–$0.7650, which will determine whether the bullish trend continuation plays out.
If price holds this demand zone and shows bullish follow-through, the upside targets at $0.9120, $1.1470, and $1.7684 come into focus, exactly as outlined on the chart.
However, a clean breakdown below $0.6450 would invalidate the setup and indicate that the market may not yet be ready for a bullish reversal.
This is the critical zone that will define whether VIRTUAL continues its emerging bullish momentum or slides back into deeper retracement.
Always apply disciplined risk
management, especially when trading early trend reversals.
For more detailed chart insights, don’t forget to like and comment.
Tesla (4H) – Detailed Trendline Structure AnalysisTesla (4H) – Detailed Trendline Structure Analysis
Tesla is currently moving within a well-defined ascending structure, supported by a strong red trendline that has been respected multiple times since the beginning of the rally. This trendline has acted as the backbone of the bullish momentum, guiding every major higher low in the chart.
Right now, price is trading around 439, showing signs of slowdown after failing to create a strong continuation to the upside. The candles are starting to lose momentum, and the distance between price and the trendline has narrowed — a classic sign that the market may seek liquidity lower before deciding the next major move.
Because of this price behavior, a pullback toward the support zone near 420 is highly likely.
The 420 level is important for three reasons:
Trendline Support:
The ascending red trendline intersects almost perfectly near 420, making it a natural magnet for price to retest.
Historical Reaction Area:
Previous swing highs and lows around 420 create a clean structure of liquidity, making it a level the market likes to revisit.
Bullish Structure Validation:
As long as Tesla stays above 420, the 4H bullish trend remains intact.
A strong bounce from this zone would confirm continuation toward the 470–480 region.
0812 Before FOMC, gold trading plan on Monday.Hello traders,
1. This Week’s Core Event: Fed December FOMC Meeting (Rate decision announced at 3:00 AM Beijing time on Dec 11)
- The focus isn’t the widely expected 25bp rate cut, but whether the Fed will restart "new bond purchases" (to replenish bank reserves). This will shape global liquidity for the next 6 months and also determine the Bank of Japan’s rate hike decision next month. Watch for statements like "using Treasury bill operations to maintain ample reserves" in the policy statement/Powell’s press conference, as well as the dot plot’s stance on consecutive rate cuts.
2. Short-Term Gold Trend Logic
- Gold will trade in a consolidation range before the FOMC meeting. It needs to reclaim above 4200 to confirm the uptrend; otherwise, a deeper pullback may follow. The expected range pre-meeting is 4160–4220 (current levels).
Gold Trading Plan (EU/US Sessions, Monday)
Fundamental Context
Gold is consolidating between 4160-4220 amid FOMC expectations, awaiting clarity on liquidity direction. Combined with the chart pattern, we’ll focus on long positions supported by the EMA zone in the short term.
Specific Trading Strategy
- Entry Condition:
Go long with a light position if price stabilizes in the 4200-4210 range (EMA support zone on the chart) during EU/US sessions (e.g., bullish candlestick patterns like a hammer or bullish engulfing).
- Stop-Loss:
Set stop-loss at 4190 (below the short-term EMA support and the key 4200 level).
- Take-Profit Targets:
1st target: 4244 (TP1 on the chart); 2nd target: 4266 (TP2 on the chart).
- Position Rules:
Keep single-position size ≤5% before the FOMC meeting (Dec 11 early morning). Partial profit-taking is allowed if TP1 is hit, while holding a small core position for post-meeting direction.
GOOD LUCK!
LESS IS MORE!
EURGBP oversold bounceback capped at 0.8720 resistanceThe EURGBP remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a corrective pullback within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 0.8720 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 0.8720 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
0.8780 – initial resistance
0.8800 – psychological and structural level
0.8820 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 0.8720 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
0.8700 – minor support
0.8690 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the EURGBP holds above 0.8720. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
GBPUSD Falling wedge pattern..Wedge patterns are commonly used by traders to gets profits . A perfect wedge pattern is established in 1 hour time frame, if it breaks upwards go for bullish ..
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This setup is shared for educational purposes only. It is not financial advice. Always do your own analysis and apply proper risk management before trading any setup.$
POTENTIAL BULLS Greetings everybody. This is our forecast on the short term and long-term movement of the Yellow metal. We think that the market is winding up printing printing wave 4 of the lower degree and finally complete the Impulse printing wave 5.
On the lager TF, leg B of the wave 4 correction is setting up and whenn done we'll observe a down fall for the wave clC of the potential FLAT Correction. we'll update more and with maps once the correction move is completed to avoid flooding with mis information
in continuation to 80/135 weeksthis sideway action developing at the lower highs are weakening the degens.
might go to 95-100k but its selling area
hope im wrong. and my crystal ball will explode ...
but too much resistance up there . and you can see the the over all uptrend channel - but the low rib is around 36k .. so its still 100%+- above the low of the 12/2022- so there is a lot of logic in this direction
Gold Price Expected to Fall: $4150Gold Price Expected to Fall: $4150
As shown on the 2-hour chart:
We saw a false breakout in gold prices, followed by a decline today.
But is it truly stable?
Is the downtrend really safe?
At least in today's trading, we've made a respectable profit of $3200 per lot.
Continuing our trend-following strategy:
We now judge the probability of a genuine breakout in gold prices to be over 70%.
Based on this assumption:
Effective Resistance Level for Gold: $4200-$4190
Effective Support Level for Gold: $4180
The current trading strategy is very clear:
Sell: $4190
Stop Loss: $4205
Take Profit: $4150-$4100
There are countless profitable strategies and trading methods.
But from a technical analysis perspective, this strategy is currently the most cost-effective.
We believe the gold price will fall below $4150.
Therefore, this strategy is ideal.
You can understand my trading rhythm by viewing my real trading records on my channel. Through long-term practice and trading experience, my trading philosophy and methods have proven highly effective for me.
I have led my team to achieve an average weekly return of nearly 100 points.
We only release 1-2 high-quality signals per day.
But fewer signals do not mean less profit.
In fact, our pace is very slow and relaxed.
Now, we will continue to observe whether the gold price will fall as we expect and reach the next target: $4150.
Did Natural Gas Just Top? Natural Gas got pummeled today falling over 9% on the commodity.
In our last Natural GAs video we prepared you for the short idea.
Our members were long KOLD and took monster profits today.
Natural Gas is coming into a weekly demand zone so we have to see if some buy pressure comes into this next area. There could very easily be a bounce very soon.
Surprisingly not all nat gas stocks sold off today.
AR remained very strong.
Bitcoin - The bearmarket officially started!🪚Bitcoin ( CRYPTO:BTCUSD ) will still head lower:
🔎Analysis summary:
Taking a look at all previous cycles on Bitcoin, each cycle lasted for about 1,000 days. Together with the current retest of the major resistance curveline, the recent move lower was totally expected. And looking at clear market structure, this correction is not over yet.
📝Levels to watch:
$75,000 and $60,000
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION






















