oil is currently trading in a transition zone between two recent distributions and will have to make a choice between one or the other. if oil breaks from the red zone today then the first blue support or resistance will be a very likely target for either break.
I will be looking to trade a range day inside the red zone until a firm break of this zone is established.
oil has moved to the bottom of its bigger range and we get to see if that is support or further weakness steps in. The test off the bottom of the red zone or a break above red top both could be good trades back to the 57.5 area and we will still be in the consolidation.
As of this typing a bigger up move is happening and will give a clue as to further strength...
Nice bounce in oil keeping it inside a big range, creating what i think will be a very sideways day.
A break below red zone low should see a move to 56.65 that is about the only edge I have today in oil.
after close oil has remained in a balance consolidation and now looking at the Red zone to be very important to the next move for oil.
Will look for a range bound trade inside the red zone and only lean the direction of the break out after it happens.
Today due to oil inventor report at 10:30 and interest rate announcement at 2:00 the red zone will be larger, And this also makes since seeing that after RTH session yesterday we forma big balance zone.
I will be careful today but until we clear this zone will be looking for trades back and forth inside the red zone.
we are moving in a downward direction and could see this continue to at least 54.25 area. I would like to see a bounce up to short but will see how we act around the red zone. a move back above 55.60 should take us back into the upper distribution and have us enter chop around 56
The current move is long in a balancing consolidation and will need to move above the red zone for further up move . If we can not get back above I will be looking for oil to consolidate and then test lower prices again, and as a guess only I thin the 56 area could be oils happy area for a while.
Oil on a strong move as mentioned one should be coming and now doing a formation of a flag that could provide a further move higher. Inside the red zone are 2 of our prior support and resistance lines(blue) and figured i would leave them on the chart today.
I will be looking for a pull back down that I will be watching to see if it holds so I can get long,...
After oils up move it remains balanced in a big flag and I will be looking for bottom of range longs and top of range shorts, and will form no directional opinion until this range of 55.25 to 56.75 breaks.
The session so far has been very balanced and is inside yesterday, so I will be looking for a sideways action to trade until we can move outside yesterday's action. the line drawn are containing that action and will give clues to the intraday scalping trades, if we break out will provide targets at that point.
will look for a move down to 54 and then be trying...
oil looks to be very balanced and is getting ready for a good sized breakout, I do not think the break out happens today but the outside blue boundaries, if broken will change my mind if a move out side this range is held. So today I will be looking for a range bound day with two possible trades. 1) short from top of blue zone and long from bottom of blue zone...
after yesterdays small up move and a overnight session that has been happy at these new levels I will be looking for a back and forth action between the red lines. Now any move that is maintained outside this range I will bias the break out direction. In the even of the break out will post more target number even though many are drawn in. So looking for shorts...