Cloud
tomorrow important day for SPYLag line coming up to the cloud, we didnt get 3 green candle confirm once we broke through so the next real test is the lag line meeting cloud.
Either we fall back down to cloud and the futures will pinch, or we get a real confirm out of the lag line and we're back to buying calls.
Area of confluence - ShortFor confirmation daily RSI needs to stay below 50.
ATR right now equates to about 3%. Stop is a little tight for that. Something to keep in mind and reflect on later.
Shorting one of the names that has held up well is probably not the best choice for capital allocation however.
Im sure some sort of cipher or bat pattern could better pick a target.
NTAP: Earnings Stock of the Day NetApp was one of the earliest companies in Cloud Technology. It had a stellar rise in price in 2018 but is now at risk of a topping formation. Data Storage is still a growth sub industry of the Cloud Industry. However, NTAP has gone beyond its fundamental values for 2019. Support levels are on the chart. Bounces should be expected around these price levels. This is an incomplete top. The stock could move sideways in a trading range rather than down. To sell short, the stock must break to the downside from here.
AKAM - AKAMAI Technologies Cloud and Blockchain needing CloudAKAM
The Akamai network has an inherent advantage running a distributed ledger in blockchain per JPMorgan 11.9.18 article.
Currently has shown trend of large spike investment last 3 quarters and in 1w chart shows near CCI entry, while day chart is not indicating same. Watching.
IBM is the largest patent filer in blockchain technologies, however has never been a good stock to own. It likely is best when it splits itself up.
Blockchain as an operating system would be more cybersecure than IOS and MS Windows and future tech worth watching for and will be 10x what MS growth was.
Food-tracking, financial transactions, faster payments, all part of blockchain value streams, however currently uses more energy to process/handle than spent on
mining energy globally as a bit of sad news with blockchain / crypto.
Twilio - entry at 63.44-63.50 areaTWLO TWLO has been oversold and great day momentum trade. Looking for resistance below current price around $63.50 area.
Market Cap is higher than Enterprise value, but the world is going to need more of what they offer....6.47B vs 6.1B.
VIX Rult #1
VIX Rule #2, don't forget Rule #1
VIX Just reminding you
About; Twilio Inc. offers Cloud Communications Platform, which enables developers to build, scale and operate real-time communications within software applications. The Company's platform consists of Programmable Communications Cloud, Super Network and Business Model for Innovators. Its Programmable Communications Cloud software enables developers to embed voice, messaging, video and authentication capabilities into their applications through its Application Programming Interfaces (APIs). Its Programmable Communications Cloud offers building blocks that enable its customers to build what they need. Its Programmable Communications Cloud includes Programmable Voice, Programmable Messaging, Programmable Video and Use Case APIs. The Super Network is its software layer that allows its customers' software to communicate with connected devices globally. It interconnects with communications networks around the world. Recently partnered to provide narrow-band IoT for lower cost cellular services.
Recently acquired SendGrid
When will bigdata give positive earnings, think Google turning profitable...
Potential H&S bottom on Cloud Peakbull case for coal stocks, with rising exports/rising gas prices/cold winter forecast.... May '19 target of ~$7 at the neckline
ORCL - Oracle stock dominated by mobile architecture JavascriptORCL
Oracle (large cap.) offers a 1.59% dividend with current stock prices.
Dividend has not been raised since end early 2017 and overdue.
Top Oracle Software Exec. taking leave of absence per WSJ 9.7.18
Oracle 5G CUPS is new control and user plan software architecture partially introduced in 4G & to be fully integrated in 5G and help support cloud data integration & support SaaS.
* Dividend $0.19/Q, or 0.78/yr, which at $47.81 is a 1.59% yield.
* 5G will generate profits in late 2019 and slightly earlier for SaaS services
* Key markets healthcare, transportation, blazing internet, smart cities, energy security, aka billions of devices coming on-line
* In Aug. a pension fund started lawsuite with Oracle, accusing them of farbricating cloud sales and creating unstable sales model. In reviewing their chart, they are just like the spikes of major telecomm stocks associated with 1G-2G-PDA-3G-4G-4G LTE and soon 5G in 2019-2020.
* The past year was anything but stable for ORCL, which is more like telecomm stocks than IT/Software stocks.
* #needstodiversify
This posting is for own reference. Come to own conclusions. Comments welcomed.
$BTC Getting ready to drop dramatically? If so, Autumn sales!!!Hi folks, I drew this yellow line back in June based on KUMO cloud and fib retracements.
With a (amateur) off-set it seems to be holding some shape and form.
Probably not a popular prediction, but if this thing hold we'll slide right down under that red cloud before we shoot up in November
Would be quite dramatic because October would slash the price 43% ($4405) at best and 68% ($2485) at worst....
ETH back to pre-bubble levelI really like ETH but it's not looking good.
ETH is looking to fail the weekly cloud here. Next line of major support is back to the levels of last fall.
ETH used to oscillate around 280-330 for a while, seems to be pointing back to these levels.
ICO's shitcoins spending their massive initial investments of BTC and (mostly) ETH will probably continue until late in the year.
TNDM will see huge growth - This is a great BUY opportunityTandem just got FDA approval for their t:slim x2 with BASAL-IQ and will be integrating the device with Dexcom G6. Sales will begin as early as August while expansion into several international markets is ongoing. In the meantime, we should expect to see FDA approval for Control-IQ in the first half of 2019. The company will reach cash break even point next year also. Technical chart should soon enter the previous falling wedge and hopefully break through it.
EOS/USD: Possible bear trend incoming - Short possibilityEOS/USD. TK cross above the cloud, although it's just an inch outside of the cloud this is a WEAK bearish signal
Lagging span is under the price which is pretty much the first indicator I use to aggressively short a currency that has seen a massive increase in price.
Bullish kumo is getting thinner indicating a possible future bearish kumo.
Stop loss at levels around 13.2 USD
4HR Ichimoku Beckons4HR Ichimoku Cloud signals a new opportunity for this pair.
Keeping it simple, the metrics have aligned.
- Bullish Kumo twist
- Price is above cloud
- Bullish Tenken-Kijun cross
- Lagging Span breaching top of cloud
- Candles formed HHHL
- Kijun and Ten-ken are angling up, a signal of momentum.
- Cloud direction is also upward.
First target I see is at 0.256859. Where we had previous major resistance, and a prolonged cloud flattening.
Remember;
- Keep an eye on bearish Kumo twist on the daily chart.
- Reload at & as support levels form/confirm; i.e Ten-ken, Kijun & Cloud.
- Massive-sudden Btc 0.81% drop will invalidate this set up.
- Use a trailing stop loss.
Defender of the Cloud on the WeeklyAs I posted yesterday, Defender of the Cloud is on. Target for end of week is ~$9k. Sound crazy? Just look back every time btc touched the weekly cloud. BTC is coming into this cloud HOT (fast and downward) so it's no surprise we saw the violent move up today, in an attempt to save the nosediving plane. Should be a glorious couple of weeks. Enjoy it while it lasts.. Check out my yesterday's chart for more details.
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Bitcoin BTC - The End is Nigh or To The SkyOverall view of Market direction using the weekly to foresee possible exit/rise positions.
Break of Weekly 50MA is worrying as has been years since this was the case.
Rapid rise during Nov/Dec gave little chance for supports to be established under $5800 and would worry most investors if the possibility arose.
1st July (which may see action early, due to 20th June Cboe Ftuures expiry/27th June CME Futures Expiry) will be decisive as Trend Line (dashed blue line) which has been a resilient support during entire crash, its actually been the saving grace & would be concerned if broken, meets the Ichimoku cloud (years since been broken). Direction is dependent on current fight between bulls/bears @ $7900 & where the markets heads leading into this timespan.
Manipulation on speculation of Futures at the end of the 2017, I believe rose the price from $2000 - $20000 so it would be feasible that if funds are removed in range under $5800 due to risk would add pressure downwards (would exchanges "allow" BTC to get to these prices?) ....cause I worry Volume not setting mean reversions as we are back on low 24HR BTC - 4Bln
Sharp price action rose BTC to $10000 at the start of April from $6600, so again this should be taken as possible support bottom which seems again would need manipulation to impede further downward pressure.
Would love to see Positive news...which should come in the short term, whereas Weekly chart poses that BTC has a decision that will eventually provide forward direction, my previous analysis showed $10000 July so lets hope for little wins up to that point.
BTC is seeing some tough times , so I should write this:
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