On the technicals there is little to update while the resistance holds, despite the bounce via PBOC intervention on coronavirus risk flows. The only level in play to the topside is 7.0248 as it caps the highs in the current wave. Anything above will unlock a leg towards the next barrier at 7.0733. The coronavirus short-circuit sadly temporarily disrupted the...
Here we can focus on the realms of reflationary risks that are around the corner, the struggle to shake out bulls is identical to the struggle we saw in 2016 which is reassuring, and for that reason our problem is reduced to a timing issue. For those tracking the previous diagrams in Gold it is obvious in USD terms both on the Weekly and Daily. Weekly: ...
A good time to update the CNY chart with US away from their desks for thanksgiving. Both sides rolling back tariffs means that CNY has unlocked the gates for a retrace towards the key 76.4%. On the monetary side, updates from PBOC who continue sitting on the bid and are unlikely to change stance and keep CNY strong against the crosses, and as long as this...
...and down will come DXY, 30 percent and all! This is not financial advice.
Dollars Move Slightly Ahead of Trade Talks After finding some support, dollars traded nearly flat on Tuesday. Investors in Asia are awaiting the results of the US-China trade talks in Washington later this week. The US dollar index last traded at 98.657, or 0.01% down from its last close. Meanwhile, against the CNY, the dollar dropped 0.3% to 7.1261. Over in...
People should begin to take notice of the price of Bitcoin in Chinese Yuan. This chart looks a bit more bullish than priced in USD. I am looking for the price to break upwards starting around Sept 19th. It will probably grind its way up to 13,000 (USD) by end of Oct, come back to retest support, and blast through 13,800 (USD) by early-mid Dec. I am looking for...
R/S respectively, but if these break... $USDCNY
In this update, we take a look at the correlation between the price of Gold and Chinese Yuan. Since the end of 2017, we have seen the correlation between the commodity and the currency pair grow stronger. When the Chinese Yuan finds support and begins to impulse we see Gold do the same. When the Yuan finds resistance and starts to move lower. The Yuan here looks...
The Chinese CNY has further to devalue against the USD as a result of the ‘Trade War’. With the Chinese providing a floor underneath Gold, buying when it gets to their price, there is thus further to go in the sell off of PM’s and their mining stocks.
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Technical Analysis i) Looks like a Cup and Handle formation for USD/CNY on the weekly chart. Looking to short play the Handle, looking for entries between 6.62 - 6.64 down to 6.48 level. ii) Our most likely scenario (1), will have a pullback from the Handle down to the 6.48 level from their should look for some long positions up to 6.8 level. *ii) However, as...
Hi guys. The tensions will cause weakness imho. Please feel free to comment. Thank you.
i dont know what this means, but someone who trades Forex will see the correlation here and see were going towards a (profitable, either +/- divergence). these "fiat" currencies play a role in btc/usd (just as the yuan depreciated, btc rised, what do people buy when dollar deprecates to secure their wealth? what do smart* adjusted to the environment were in do i...