This is only a trading capability - no recommendation !!! Buying/Selling or even only watching is always your own responsibility ... .zip (with PDF`s) @ my Google Drive 4XSetUps for next wee - friday close (32 Commodities) drive.google.com Best regards :) Aaron
This is only a trading capability - no recommendation !!! Buying/Selling or even only watching is always your own responsibility ... .zip (with PDF`s) @ my Google Drive In percents away from all-time high & low by last close (32 Commodities) drive.google.com Best regards :) Aaron
A long play based on divergence only, both RSI and MACD. Seasonal coffee chart shows a probable up thrust in January. GL
Coffe could be found it's multi year higher low? Will see... At the moment it could be a leading diagonal in wave 1 (primary) or A and a zig-zag in wave 2 or B... or it's just 2/A in wave 2 or B/A ... (Didin't posted my original idea here (3 month ago.... wave 5, intermediate level), but my target was $26 in JO)
This time, after a good sell, technical side is showing some signals for long opportunity. Position is open from 154,6-155,4 levels; stop below lows (154). Will closely watch for a next couple of days to get confirmation or denial.
Target the $20-20.50 buy zone with prior pivot tops, pivot lows and rising daily trendline providing support. Definitely in oversold territory down here. First Target would be $22.50
After the "healthy" correction, kc touched the 100 day MA around 153 as indicated previously as a potential target. Furthermore, we are hitting the lower end of the trend channel (blue). I am looking for some support coming in here. As vol softened during the sell off, threeways, selling put spread, buying call seem to be good long market, long vega strategies...
$SBUX may be coming back into play. With a better than expected quarter (in my opinion) and really putting the focus on Chinas growth, we may have a breakout. CMF is still in an uptrend since September MACD is looking like we may have a shallow cross RSI has ticked back up Support at the $52.50 mark was held and bounced. All these together make it go higher on...
$SBUX continues its slow decline through 2016. After an incredible run in 2015, this is to be expected. Although $SBUX is still maintaining its dominance in the coffee world, it is at the end of its massive growth cycle. I expect growth to be incremental in foreign countries and China to determine the course of the stock over the coming months/years. Until it sees...
Market taking a breather after the recent rally. I would think that the market is taking a break from the rally for now. Corrective levels below are the 7 day MA at 164ish, 20 day MA at 158 and 100 day MA along with the lower line of the upsloping trend channel. Option vol went out on the move, but commercials seems to be selling as physical prices in Brazil are...
Looks down to the 140 area for a test. However as long as the orange or blue trends hold, the upwards trend is still intact IMHO. short call spreads above 165 in Dec or January might be a good idea. I would buy any puts as downside seems limited for the moment and option volatility might decline during a sell off diminishing returns on long option strategies....
3% since my idea on Friday. Bounce adds to my conviction. Targets initially at 158, then 170.
The strong rally of support at 134.90 is very encouraging for the impulsive count from 111.05. The next upside targets to look for is seen at 162.95 and 178.95, but the long term target remains at 233.80 as a huge flat wave is unfolding. Only from 233.80 is the next strong decline in wave expected to take over for a long term decline to below 100.95.
I am bullish Coffee since a series of bullish momentum divergences started to develop in February, March and April. As with other commodities, I am convinced that the early 2016 lows were important cyclical lows. I am therefore bullish Coffee long-term. The weakening US Dollar should further support the entire commodities complex. The latest correction brought...
Looking for 130 area as a target of the recent decline in coffee prices. Overall uptrend as indicated in upsloping orange trendline hasn't been broken yet Spreads are weak as well.