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XAUUSD Intraday Analysis – September 19, 2025Gold price on the H1 chart has recently broken out of a descending channel after a short-term correction from the 3,700 zone. The market is now testing a key support level around 3,645 – 3,650, which will play a decisive role in today’s intraday trend. Technical Outlook Trend After rallying strongly above 3,700, gold entered a correction phase inside a falling channel. The breakout from this channel signals potential bullish momentum if support holds. Key Levels Immediate support: 3,645 – 3,650 (retest zone after breakout). Major support: 3,625. Resistance zone 1: 3,675 – 3,680. Resistance zone 2: 3,700 – 3,705 (a break above this area could extend toward 3,720+). Indicators EMA: Price is consolidating near short-term EMAs. If support holds, EMAs may flip bullish. RSI: Recovered from oversold territory and moving upward, supporting a potential bounce. Fibonacci: 3,645 aligns with the 0.618 Fib retracement, strengthening its role as support. Trading Strategy Primary scenario (Long bias): Watch for price action around 3,645 – 3,650. If the support holds, consider long entries targeting 3,675 – 3,705. Stop loss below 3,621. Risk-to-reward ~ 1:2, suitable for intraday trades. Alternative scenario (Short if support breaks): If price breaks below 3,621 with strong volume, bearish pressure may resume. Downside targets would be 3,600 – 3,588. Conclusion Gold is at a critical point today. Holding above 3,645 – 3,650 will favor a bullish continuation toward 3,700+. A breakdown below 3,621, however, would shift the bias back to the downside. Stay alert and monitor the reaction at these key levels. Save this analysis if you find it useful, and follow along for more daily trading strategies.
FX:XAUUSD
by Henrybillion
7
XAUUSD – Correction Target on H4 Technical Analysis After reacting at the Sell Zone – FVG around 3,670, Gold was unable to sustain its upward move and is now showing signs of weakness. The H4 structure suggests that the correction is extending, with price likely to retest key support zones below. On the chart, the areas at 3,633–3,632 and 3,626 are acting as interim supports. If these levels fail to hold, bearish pressure could drive price deeper towards 3,614–3,612, before testing the main support confluence with Fibonacci extension and the potential Buy Zone around 3,579–3,560. RSI is currently moving around 45–50, indicating that momentum is leaning towards a corrective phase rather than a strong bullish trend. Trading Scenarios SELL Setup (preferred): Entry: on a retest of the 3,665–3,670 Sell Zone Stop Loss: above 3,675 Target: 3,633–3,632, 3,626, 3,614–3,612, 3,579–3,560 BUY Setup (short-term / scalping): Entry: consider longs around 3,626–3,625 support Stop Loss: below 3,618 Target: 3,633, 3,645, 3,650 Key Levels to Watch 3,670: Sell Zone – confluence with FVG after FOMC. 3,633–3,626: Short-term support; a clear break would confirm extended downside pressure. 3,612: Critical level for near-term trend direction. 3,579–3,560: Potential Buy Zone and main corrective target on H4. Keep these levels on watch and adjust trading plans accordingly. Follow for quicker access to future updates.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by LiamTradingFX
XAUUSD H1 | Bearish drop offBased on the H1 chart analysis, we can see that the price has rejected off the sell entry at 3,655.23, which is a pullback resistance and could drop from this levle to the take profit. Stop loss is at 3,672.97, whichis a pullback resistance. Take profit is at 3,616.99, which is a pullback support that lines up with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
TRADU:XAUUSDShort
by Tradu
Silver Cup &Handle Formation:Potential Breakout Towards $50–$100📊 Silver Technical Outlook (Long-Term View) Looking at the chart, Silver is forming a **massive cup-and-handle pattern** that has been developing for over a decade. This is one of the strongest bullish continuation patterns in technical analysis. 🔑 Key Takeaways: 1. Support Zone ($40–$42): * This area is acting as strong support on both weekly and daily timeframes. * A swing trade from here can easily deliver 18–20% returns. 2. Resistance Breakout ($49–$50): * If Silver gives a solid weekly/monthly close above its all-time high ($49.7) , it opens the door for a massive rally. * The upside potential could extend towards $100 (almost 100% gains). 3. Trend Structure: * Price action shows a steady uptrend since the 2020 lows. * The blue curve highlights the accumulation-to-breakout phase, signaling strong bullish momentum. 4. Strategy for Traders: * Short-Term Swing: Look for longs near $40–$42 with targets around $48–$50. * Long-Term Position: A confirmed breakout above $50 could be held for a much larger move towards $75–$100. ⚠️ Risk Note: Always manage position sizing—false breakouts are possible before the big move.
FOREXCOM:XAGUSDLong
by Nadia_farhat
Gold vs USD: Fibo Zones Ready for the Next Wave📊 Market Context Gold is extending its pullback after the FOMC, retreating from above 3,700$ as the USD rebounds from multi-year lows. The Fed’s dovish tone provides underlying support, while rising geopolitical risks could limit downside pressure. Expect choppy price action as traders weigh USD strength against safe-haven demand for gold. 🔢 Technical Levels & Key Zones (M30) OB SELL ZONE (Retest FOMC Bearish): 3683–3685 (SL 3690) Ideal for short-term selling if price retests with weak bullish momentum. Retest Support – Sell Zone: 3650–3652 (SL 3660) Secondary area for potential bearish reaction. Support Zone: Around 3630–3628 Watch for liquidity sweeps or rejection signals here. FIBO 1.5 & 1.618 BUY ZONE: 3615–3613 (SL 3605) Strong confluence for potential long entries if price flushes deeper. 📈 Trade Plan Scenarios 1️⃣ Bearish Continuation (USD Strength Holds) Sell on retest of 3650–3652 or 3683–3685, confirming rejection candles. Targets: 3630 → 3615 (Fibo buy zone). 2️⃣ Bullish Rebound (Fed Dovish + Geopolitical Support) Buy dips at 3615–3613, or partial entries on signs of support at 3630–3628. Upside Targets: 3650 → 3685, with extended potential toward ATH Zone 3,707 if sentiment flips bullish. ⚠ Risk Management & Notes Volatility may spike on additional USD headlines or geopolitical developments—use smaller position sizes. Wait for candlestick confirmation before entering trades at key zones. Avoid chasing price near mid-range; focus on well-defined liquidity levels. 💬 Discussion 📈 Will USD strength continue pressuring gold, or will Fed’s dovish stance and geopolitical tension fuel a rebound? Share your view or your chart below!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FranCis-MatrixFibo
Global Soft and Hard CommoditiesPart I: Understanding Commodities What are Commodities? A commodity is a basic good used in commerce that is interchangeable with other goods of the same type. Unlike branded consumer products, commodities are standardized and uniform. For example, one barrel of crude oil or one ounce of gold is equivalent to another barrel or ounce of the same grade. Classification of Commodities Soft Commodities: Agricultural goods like coffee, cocoa, sugar, cotton, wheat, and livestock. Hard Commodities: Natural resources extracted or mined, such as crude oil, natural gas, gold, silver, iron ore, and copper. Role in the Global Economy Commodities are critical inputs for manufacturing, energy production, and food systems. Their prices impact inflation, trade balances, and even geopolitical relations. Part II: Soft Commodities Definition Soft commodities are agricultural products that are grown rather than mined or extracted. They are often seasonal, perishable, and heavily influenced by weather, climate change, and agricultural practices. Key Types of Soft Commodities Coffee Second most traded commodity after crude oil. Grown primarily in Brazil, Vietnam, Colombia, and Ethiopia. Prices influenced by climate conditions, pests, and consumer demand. Cocoa Foundation of the global chocolate industry. Major producers: Ivory Coast, Ghana, Nigeria, and Indonesia. Issues: child labor, sustainability concerns, and volatile weather. Sugar Used in food, beverages, and increasingly in biofuels (ethanol). Key producers: Brazil, India, Thailand. Market linked to energy and oil prices due to ethanol blending policies. Cotton Critical for textiles and fashion industries. Producers: China, India, USA, Pakistan. Prices tied to global apparel demand and trade policies. Grains (Wheat, Corn, Rice, Soybeans) Staples of global food security. Wheat: Russia, USA, Canada, Australia. Corn: USA, Brazil, Argentina. Rice: India, Thailand, Vietnam, China. Soybeans: USA, Brazil, Argentina. Livestock Includes cattle, hogs, and poultry. Prices affected by feed costs, disease outbreaks, and consumer demand. Factors Influencing Soft Commodity Prices Weather & Climate Change: Droughts, floods, and changing rainfall patterns directly impact crop yields. Supply Chain Disruptions: Transportation bottlenecks and labor shortages. Geopolitics: Export bans, tariffs, and trade wars. Consumer Trends: Rising demand for plant-based proteins or organic food. Currency Movements: Since commodities are traded in USD, fluctuations affect competitiveness. Soft Commodities in Global Trade Developing economies often rely heavily on agricultural exports for foreign exchange. Commodity-dependent nations face “Dutch disease” risks when overreliant on one soft commodity. Agricultural commodity markets are also deeply tied to humanitarian concerns such as hunger and malnutrition. Part III: Hard Commodities Definition Hard commodities are natural resources that are mined, drilled, or extracted from the earth. They are non-renewable (in most cases) and form the backbone of industrialization, infrastructure, and energy supply. Key Types of Hard Commodities Energy Commodities Crude Oil: Most traded and geopolitically sensitive commodity. Major producers: Saudi Arabia, USA, Russia, Iraq. Prices shaped by OPEC+, global demand, and supply shocks. Natural Gas: Critical for heating, power generation, and LNG trade. Producers: USA, Russia, Qatar. Coal: Still vital for power but under pressure due to green energy transition. Precious Metals Gold: Safe-haven asset, used in jewelry and central bank reserves. Silver: Industrial applications in electronics and solar panels. Platinum & Palladium: Used in automotive catalytic converters. Industrial Metals Copper: “Dr. Copper,” a barometer of global economic health. Aluminum: Lightweight metal for aerospace and packaging. Iron Ore & Steel: Core materials for construction and manufacturing. Lithium, Cobalt, Nickel: Crucial for EV batteries and clean energy. Factors Influencing Hard Commodity Prices Global Economic Growth: Demand rises with industrial expansion. Geopolitical Tensions: Wars, sanctions, and resource nationalism. Technological Shifts: EV boom increasing demand for lithium and cobalt. OPEC & Cartels: Supply management and price stability. Green Transition: Renewable energy policies reshape fossil fuel demand. Hard Commodities in Global Trade Resource-rich nations like Australia (iron ore, coal), Saudi Arabia (oil), and Chile (copper, lithium) dominate export markets. Import-dependent nations such as Japan, India, and much of Europe face trade vulnerabilities. Hard commodities often define geopolitical alliances and conflicts. Part IV: Global Commodity Markets and Exchanges Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT) – Major agricultural futures exchange. New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX) – Oil, gas, and metals trading. London Metal Exchange (LME) – Key for industrial metals. Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) – Coffee, sugar, cotton, energy. These markets allow hedging, speculation, and price discovery, ensuring liquidity and risk management for producers and consumers alike. Part V: The Role of Commodities in Financial Markets Inflation Hedge: Hard commodities like gold protect against inflation. Portfolio Diversification: Commodity ETFs and futures offer non-correlated returns. Speculation: Traders bet on future price movements. Hedging: Farmers, miners, and airlines use futures contracts to stabilize costs. Part VI: Challenges and Risks Climate Change: Threatens crop yields and water supply. Geopolitical Conflicts: Disrupt oil, gas, and grain supplies. Sustainability: Ethical sourcing and ESG (Environmental, Social, Governance) pressures. Market Volatility: Currency fluctuations and speculative bubbles. Technological Disruptions: Artificial meat, renewable energy, and substitutes. Part VII: Future of Global Commodities Energy Transition: Shift from fossil fuels to renewables and green metals. Digitalization: Blockchain for supply chain transparency. Changing Diets: Rising demand for plant proteins and sustainable agriculture. Urbanization: Infrastructure boom boosting demand for steel, copper, and cement. Climate-Resilient Crops: Biotechnology reshaping soft commodity production. Conclusion Global soft and hard commodities represent the lifeblood of the world economy. From the coffee in our cups to the oil fueling our cars and the copper wiring our homes, commodities drive industrialization, trade, and consumer lifestyles. While soft commodities tie closely to agriculture, weather, and food security, hard commodities are linked to energy, infrastructure, and industrial progress. Both categories face challenges such as climate change, geopolitical tensions, and sustainability concerns. In the future, the interplay between technological innovation, green energy transition, and global demand shifts will redefine how these commodities are produced, traded, and consumed. Understanding their dynamics is not only essential for investors and policymakers but also for every individual whose daily life depends on these fundamental resources.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by GlobalWolfStreet
2
FED slows down: Cuts 25bps, gold stays flat🟡 XAU/USD – 18/09 | Captain Vincent ⚓ 🔎 Captain’s Log – News Context FED : Cut rates by 25bps as expected, hinted at 2 more cuts this year → initially supported Gold to rebound around 3,65x. Powell turned hawkish : • “No need to move quickly on rate cuts.” • “Today’s cut is mainly risk-management.” This message signaled that the FED is not fully opening the easing door → Gold fluctuated and stalled its upside momentum. Tonight: Awaiting Jobless Claims & Philly Fed for more clarity on the FED’s path. ⏩ Captain’s Summary Gold is supported by the rate cut, but Powell’s “braking” caused volatility. Zone 3,663 – 3,665 has become the pivot support to determine the next move. 📈 Captain’s Chart – Technical Analysis Storm Breaker (Resistance / Sell Zone) 3,684 – 3,686 (strong OB) 3,717 – 3,719 (ATH Zone – very strong, likely heavy selling) Golden Harbor (Support / Buy Zone) Pivot Dock: 3,663 – 3,665 (new pivot support) Main Harbor: 3,629 – 3,630 (BoS confluence & old sideway) Market Structure After breakout and profit-taking, Gold returned to test support. 3,663 – 3,665 : pivot support. • If it holds → rebound to 3,684 – 3,717. • If it breaks → deeper correction to 3,629. 🎯 Captain’s Map – Trade Plan ✅ Buy (priority) Buy Zone 1 Entry: 3,663 – 3,665 SL: 3,655 TP: 3,684 – 3,717 Buy Zone 2 Entry: 3,629 – 3,630 SL: 3,618 TP: 3,663 – 3,684 – 3,717 ⚡ Sell (only at resistance) Sell Zone OB Entry: 3,684 – 3,686 SL: 3,695 TP: 3,665 – 3,645 Sell Zone ATH Entry: 3,717 – 3,719 SL: 3,727 TP: 3,706 – 3,690 – 3,675 ⚓ Captain’s Note “The Golden sails caught wind as the FED cut rates, but Powell’s headwind slowed the advance. Golden Harbor 🏝️ (3,663 – 3,629) is the pivot dock to decide the next course. If it holds, the ship may rebound to test Storm Breaker 🌊 (3,684 – 3,719) . If it breaks, the ship will retreat deeper to gather strength. For now, Quick Boarding 🚤 should only be done at strong resistance, while the larger voyage still leans northward.”
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
Gold Futures — Bearish Momentum Building After Fed CutGold continues to show weakness after the Fed’s 25bps rate cut. Price rejected the 1H FVG overhead and is pressing down toward yesterday’s low (3660). Key Scenarios: Bearish Case (favored): If we break and close below yesterday’s low (D-L 3660), sellers likely push toward the weekly low (WL ~3627). That move would clean up the liquidity pool and fill the H-TF imbalance. Bullish Case: Only if buyers defend the daily low and reclaim the 1H FVG with strength could we see price revisit 3710 (daily high). Momentum remains on the downside, with ADX > 25 confirming trend conditions. Watching closely for the daily low sweep and possible continuation.
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!
by DWoodz
Gold 30Min Engaged ( Bullish Movement Detected )Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare Entry Protocol: Only after volume-verified breakout 🩸Bullish Movement From : 3665 ➗ Hanzo Protocol: Volume-Tiered Entry Authority ➕ Zone Activated: Dynamic market pressure detected. The level isn’t just price — it’s a memory of where they moved size. Volume is rising beneath the surface — not noise, but preparation. 🔥 Tactical Note: We wait for the energy signature — when volume betrays intention. The trap gets set. The weak follow. We execute.
TVC:GOLDLong
by Path_Of_Hanzo
8
Global Gold at a Turning Point: Fed Policy, Yields, GeopoliticGold has once again captured global attention. Spot prices are trading around $3,690–$3,705/oz, hovering near historic highs. A weaker U.S. dollar, falling Treasury yields, and widespread expectations of a 25 bps rate cut by the Federal Reserve on September 17 are the three key forces fueling this rally. Near-Term Outlook: Scenarios Ahead For the next 1–2 weeks, all eyes are on the Fed: Base Case (Most Probable): A 25 bps cut with a cautious, data-dependent tone. Under this scenario, gold is likely to consolidate between $3,630 and $3,760, with buyers stepping in on dips. Bullish Extension: If the Fed surprises with an overtly dovish message (via the dot plot or guidance) and the dollar weakens further, momentum could push gold toward $3,800. Downside Risk: A “hawkish cut,” emphasizing persistent inflation and data dependence, could lift real yields and drag gold back to $3,590–$3,560, or even the deeper $3,520–$3,500 zone. Medium-Term Outlook: Upward Bias Over the 3–6 month horizon, the broader bias remains bullish. UBS projects gold at $3,900 by mid-2026, while Goldman Sachs forecasts $4,000 in the same timeframe. Unless real yields re-price higher in a sharp, unexpected fashion, the path of least resistance continues to point upward—underpinned by a weakening dollar and slowing economic growth. Geopolitics: The Silent but Powerful Driver Beyond Fed policy, geopolitics is exerting strong influence: The war in Ukraine continues to threaten Europe’s energy security. In the Middle East, tensions between Israel, Iran, and regional actors raise the risk of broader escalation. In Asia, U.S.–China friction over Taiwan and advanced technologies is steadily intensifying. Together, these flashpoints reinforce gold’s role as the ultimate safe-haven asset, sustaining demand even during corrective pullbacks. Key Levels and Market Strategy Short-term trading revolves around critical technical zones: Resistance: $3,740–$3,760, followed by $3,800. Support: $3,650–$3,630, then $3,590–$3,560, and deeper $3,520–$3,500. Institutional players typically deploy two strategies: Buy the Dip: As long as prices remain above $3,630–$3,650, dip-buying dominates. Fade the Rally: Should the Fed strike a hawkish tone or the dollar rebound, sellers will look to fade strength near resistance. Conclusion Gold stands at a pivotal crossroads. The Fed’s upcoming decision will dictate short-term swings, but the broader forces of dollar weakness and geopolitical instability keep the medium-term bias tilted to the upside. For institutional investors, gold remains the “king of safe-haven assets,” a shield against both monetary and geopolitical risk.
FXOPEN:XAUUSDLong
by hiradaryanejad
Dot Plot Divide: Dollar Gains, Gold Stalls The USDJPY spiked lower following the Fed’s 25 basis point cut yesterday but quickly reversed trajectory as the dot plot projections from the FOMC came in softer than markets had expected. The updated dot plot showed a narrow majority of FOMC members anticipating two more small rate cuts in 2025, while others leaned toward just one or even none. This potentially suggests that the Fed is not simply aligning with Trump sycophant and newly appointed FOMC board member Stephen Miran’s aggressive call for repeated 50-basis-point cuts and instead signals an element of independence. USDJPY (left chart, 1H): The pair has carved out a sharp V-shaped reversal after its Fed-driven dip, showing strong bullish momentum. This suggests buyers remain in control unless a reversal candle (such as a bearish engulfing) forms. XAUUSD (right chart, 4H): Gold’s rally topped out near 3,707 before pulling back more than 600 pips to 3,646. The most recent candles show shorter bodies with upper wicks — a potential sign of fading momentum and supply pressure. If this develops into a bearish continuation pattern, the channel’s border becomes the next area of focus.
by BlackBull_Markets
3620 Fortress or 3680 Trap?Hello traders, today gold is caught in a fascinating battle between defense and deception. The higher timeframes still lean bullish, but intraday cracks are showing, and price is now dancing between major walls of liquidity. Let’s map it out step by step 👇 On the Daily chart, momentum is still supported by EMA5 above EMA21, yet the rejection wick from the Premium Supply Wall (3665–3680) signals exhaustion. On H4, a minor CHoCH under 3650 put us in a range between this supply wall above and the Mid-Range Support (3620–3630) below. Meanwhile, H1 shows the swing high at 3670 breaking down into 3640, with the Supply Trap (3660–3665) capping upside and the Defensive Buy Base (3610–3620) holding the floor. So what’s the play? 🟦 On the buy side, bulls will look to defend the 3620 Fortress, where OB + FVG + EMA100 meet. If that holds, price could rebound back toward the supply zones above. If it doesn’t, the road opens into the Deep Discount Stronghold (3580–3565), a last-resort H4 demand zone. 🟥 On the sell side, the Supply Trap (3660–3665) is already proving dangerous. Any strong rejection here can drive us lower. And above it, the Premium Supply Wall (3680–3695) remains the ultimate liquidity zone – either a breakout or a deadly trap for late buyers. But the real key lies in the Decision Zone (3645–3655). This is the battlefield pivot: hold above it, and bulls regain momentum into 3665–3680; stay below, and sellers tighten their grip, driving gold into deeper discount. 👉 In short: Above 3645–3655 → bulls can fight for higher ground. Below 3645–3655 → the path opens toward 3620 and 3580. 🔥 Gold is standing between the 3620 Fortress, the 3645 Decision Zone, and the 3680 Trap. Which wall breaks first? Will bulls defend or are we about to dive into discount? Drop your thoughts below 👇, smash like & follow GoldFxMinds for daily sniper maps, and let’s keep staying two steps ahead of the market 🚀✨
OANDA:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
Natural Gas Bearish News TodayNatural Gas crumbled off the inventory report this morning. Natural gas inventories came in at 90B vs 80B consensus. This larger than expected build shows a weaker demand for Nat Gas during this seasonal period. Key things to consider: 1. EU moves to accelerate ban on Russian LNG. 2. New Israel–Egypt pipeline coming online 3. China continues to import from Arctic LNG‑2 despite sanctions 4. Japan’s JERA in talks to buy U.S. shale gas assets 5. Gas storage in Germany & winter supply concerns 6. Western Canada storage nearly full; supply glut 7. Canadian production at record levels, but prices very low
CAPITALCOM:NATURALGAS
by Trading-Capital