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When Commodities Crash Up 100% and Then Price Gets SandwichedIntroduction: Crash-Ups Are Structural Events, Not Accidents One of the defining characteristics of commodities is their ability to reprice violently. Unlike many financial assets that tend to trend gradually, commodities can remain less trendy for extended periods, only to move vertically once a constraint is exposed. These episodes are commonly referred to as crash-ups—rapid advances driven not by optimism, but by urgency. Crash-ups are rarely comfortable. They compress decision-making, expand volatility, and force market participants to react rather than plan. Yet, paradoxically, the most important phase often comes after the vertical move, when price transitions from repricing to negotiation. This article examines a recent case where price advanced more than 100% in less than two weeks, only to run directly into pre-existing structural zones while leaving behind new ones. The outcome is a market now sandwiched between competing forces, offering a useful case study in how fundamentals ignite moves, but structure governs what follows. Crash-Ups in Commodities: Why They Happen So Fast To understand why crash-ups are common in commodities, it helps to recognize their underlying mechanics: Inelastic short-term supply: Production and delivery cannot be adjusted quickly, especially under stress. Demand spikes are immediate: Weather, geopolitical events, or logistical disruptions can cause instantaneous consumption changes. Storage smooths, but does not eliminate, shocks: Inventories buffer long-term imbalances but often fail to absorb timing mismatches. When these forces collide, price doesn’t “trend”—it jumps. The Fundamental Catalyst: What Triggered the Repricing The recent surge aligns with a familiar chain reaction seen repeatedly in energy markets: Extreme cold as a demand shock: A sharp drop in temperatures materially increased heating demand across key regions, forcing immediate repricing. Operational strain under cold conditions: Extreme weather can impair production, transportation, and deliverability, reducing effective supply when demand peaks. Positioning imbalance: When markets are positioned defensively, sudden demand shocks often trigger forced covering, accelerating price expansion. Why inventory levels didn’t prevent the move: Even when inventories are above historical averages, short-term deliverability can still become constrained. Crash-ups are often about when supply is needed, not how much exists in aggregate. Fundamentals started the move. From this point forward, the question becomes structural, not fundamental. Why the Weekly Timeframe Matters After a Vertical Move After crash-ups, lower timeframes tend to produce misleading signals. Indicators oscillate wildly, and momentum-based tools lose context. This is where the weekly chart can become essential. Weekly structure answers one key question: Where did the market previously fail to transact efficiently? In this case, the answer is clear: open gaps—both old and new—now frame the entire discussion. Upper Structure: A Legacy Gap Re-enters the Equation December 2022 open gap: 6.600 → 6.154 This gap has remained unresolved for years, representing a zone where price previously moved too fast to facilitate balanced trade. When markets revisit such areas, they often encounter latent supply. Importantly, gaps are not magnets by default. They are decision zones: Price may fill them Price may stall within them Price may reject sharply The outcome depends on acceptance, not momentum. Confluence Above: UFO Supply Reinforces the Ceiling Overlaying the legacy gap is a broad UFO (UnFilled Orders) sell zone: 5.337 → 7.105 This zone represents historical sell-side imbalances that were never fully absorbed. When UFO supply aligns with a legacy gap, it creates stacked resistance—multiple independent reasons for selling pressure to emerge. This does not imply reversal. It implies friction. Lower Structure: A Fresh Gap and Structural Reassignment New weekly gap: 5.791 → 5.275 Fresh gaps are fundamentally different from legacy gaps. They reflect current urgency, not historical imbalance. As long as price remains above them, they often function as support references. Adding to this dynamic is a visible level: ~5.500 resistance turned support The market gapped above a well-defined resistance level, converting it into structural support. Its alignment with the fresh gap strengthens the probability of responsive buying on pullbacks. The Sandwich Zone: Where Price Is Trapped Between Forces Defined range: 6.154 → 5.791 This is the core of the current regime. On a weekly chart, the zone appears compact. On intraday charts, it can translate into large, tradeable rotations. Price is effectively sandwiched: Above: legacy gap + UFO supply Below: fresh gap + newly formed support Such environments are rarely directional at first. They are exploratory, characterized by back-and-forth movement as the market tests which side is willing to commit. Why Sandwich Regimes Matter Sandwich regimes are often misunderstood. Traders tend to approach them with directional bias, when they are better treated as auction environments. Key characteristics: Increased two-sided trade False breakouts near boundaries Strong reactions at structural edges Delayed resolution These are not conditions for impatience. Illustrative Trading Applications (Case Study Framing Only) The following are illustrative frameworks, not recommendations: Range interaction awareness: Structural boundaries become reference points rather than targets. Gap behavior observation: Gaps can act as support, resistance, or eventually fill—but none are guaranteed. Acceptance vs. rejection logic: A move beyond a level matters less than whether price stays there. Top-down context helps avoid overreacting to short-term volatility. Contract Context: Standard vs. Micro Exposure Understanding contract structure is essential during volatility expansion. o Natural Gas futures (NG) Full-size exposure Larger tick and dollar volatility Best suited for participants comfortable with rapid P&L swings o Micro Natural Gas futures (MNG) Reduced notional size Allows more precise risk calibration Particularly useful in wide, rotating ranges During crash-up aftermaths, exposure control often matters more than direction. Contract Specs & Margin Snapshot This section provides context only on contract structure and risk characteristics. Specifications and margin requirements are subject to change and may vary by broker. o Standard Natural Gas Futures (NG) Tick: 0.001 = $10 per tick Initial margin (approx.): ~$7,250 per contract o Micro Natural Gas Futures (MNG) Tick: 0.001 = $1.00 per tick Initial margin (approx.): ~$725 per contract Risk Management: The Hidden Cost of Crash-Ups Crash-ups can distort risk perception: Expanded ranges punish static position sizing Assuming gaps must fill increases exposure asymmetry Sandwich regimes magnify whipsaw risk Effective risk management in these environments often involves: Smaller size Wider but predefined exits Willingness to stay flat when structure is unclear From Repricing to Negotiation Crash-ups are about urgency. What follows is about agreement. Once the initial shock is absorbed, markets often enter a phase where: Old structure reasserts itself New structure is tested Direction becomes secondary to acceptance In this case, price is no longer accelerating—it is negotiating, caught between unresolved history above and freshly created support below. That negotiation phase is where patience, context, and structure tend to matter most. Data Consideration When charting futures, the data provided could be delayed. Traders working with the ticker symbols discussed in this idea may prefer to use CME Group real-time data plan on TradingView: www.tradingview.com - This consideration is particularly important for shorter-term traders, whereas it may be less critical for those focused on longer-term trading strategies. General Disclaimer The trade ideas presented herein are solely for illustrative purposes forming a part of a case study intended to demonstrate key principles in risk management within the context of the specific market scenarios discussed. These ideas are not to be interpreted as investment recommendations or financial advice. They do not endorse or promote any specific trading strategies, financial products, or services. The information provided is based on data believed to be reliable; however, its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Trading in financial markets involves risks, including the potential loss of principal. Each individual should conduct their own research and consult with professional financial advisors before making any investment decisions. The author or publisher of this content bears no responsibility for any actions taken based on the information provided or for any resultant financial or other losses.
NYMEX:NG1!Education
by traddictiv
2
Bullish Continuation Above Structure, ATH Still the MagnetOn the H1 chart, Gold remains in a clean bullish continuation structure following a strong impulsive expansion. Price has successfully broken above prior resistance and accepted above it, confirming a bullish market shift rather than a fake breakout. The former resistance zone around 4,860–4,880 has now flipped into a well-defined support zone, which is exactly what we want to see in a healthy uptrend. The pullback currently projected on the chart is corrective in nature, not distributive. As long as price holds above the support zone (~4,870), the bullish structure remains valid. Deeper retracements into the support premium zone (~4,760–4,780) would still be structurally acceptable and offer higher-quality demand reactions, especially with the EMA rising underneath price a sign that momentum is still aligned to the upside. From a price-action perspective, the market is likely to range briefly or form higher lows, then continue stair-stepping upward. Liquidity is clearly resting above recent highs, making the 5,000 psychological level / new ATH zone the natural upside magnet. Continuation toward that level favors patience over chasing, waiting for pullbacks into structure rather than buying extension candles. Invalidation: Only a clean loss and acceptance below the support premium zone would weaken this bullish thesis and open the door for a deeper move toward the lower gap. Gold is trending, not topping. As long as price respects flipped support, this remains a buy the dip continuation environment, with ATH as the dominant objective, not the ceiling .
OANDA:XAUUSD
by HENRY_TraderGold
2
ATH Under Pressure: Continuation or Distribution?Gold is currently trading at a critical inflection point near the All-Time High (ATH) after completing a strong impulsive rally from the lower accumulation zone. The bullish leg was clean and well structured, driven by sustained higher highs and higher lows, confirming strong buyer control throughout the advance. However, upon reaching the ATH region, price has begun to stall and reject, signaling that supply is actively responding at this premium area. Structurally, the market is now compressed between two key forces. On the downside, the upper demand zone around 4,880–4,900 has already proven its importance, acting as a reaction level where buyers previously stepped in aggressively. On the upside, the ATH resistance band is capping price and preventing immediate continuation. This creates a classic decision zone, where Gold must either absorb supply and break higher, or fail and rotate lower. From a bullish continuation perspective, a clean breakout and acceptance above the ATH zone would confirm that buyers remain in full control. In that scenario, the projected expansion toward the 5,100 target becomes technically valid, following range-expansion and momentum continuation logic. This would imply that the recent pause is merely consolidation before another markup phase. Conversely, if price breaks decisively below the upper demand zone, the structure starts to resemble a potential Head & Shoulders distribution, as highlighted on the chart. A confirmed breakdown would likely trigger a deeper corrective move toward the lower demand zone around 4,730–4,760, where the broader bullish structure would be tested. As long as this lower demand holds, the higher-timeframe uptrend remains intact, but momentum would clearly shift from expansion to correction. Key takeaway: Gold is not weak, but it is no longer in free-flow markup. This is a high-stakes area where confirmation matters more than prediction. Either the ATH breaks and opens the door to 5,100, or failure here leads to a controlled but meaningful pullback. Traders should stay patient and let price confirm direction before committing risk.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by BlackGoldMarket
Pullback Into Demand After ATH, Trend Still ConstructiveOn the H1 timeframe, Gold remains in a strong bullish context despite the recent pullback. The market previously delivered a clean impulsive expansion, breaking structure and printing a new ATH, which confirms higher-timeframe bullish control. The current retracement should be read as profit-taking and liquidity rebalancing, not a trend reversal. Price is now reacting inside the key demand zone around 4,760–4,780, which aligns with the prior breakout base and sits well above the EMA 98 a classic bullish pullback into value. The sharp rejection wick into this zone shows buyers are still active, absorbing sell pressure. As long as price continues to hold above this demand, the structure remains intact and the move is best classified as continuation consolidation. From a price action perspective, the ideal scenario is sideways-to-higher rotation above demand, followed by a renewed push toward the ATH at ~4,888, and if momentum expands again, continuation toward 4,900–4,920 becomes technically reasonable. The projected green path on the chart reflects this expectation: higher low formation → reclaim momentum → breakout attempt. Invalidation is clear and clean: a decisive H1 close below the demand zone would signal acceptance back into the previous range and open a deeper pullback toward the gap / demand premium below. Until that happens, bias remains bullish with patience, not chase. trend is still up, pullback is constructive, and this zone is where continuation setups are built not where fear should dominate.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by XauMasterNetwork
5
GOLD just printed a New ATH — now comes the part that traps Everyone wants to “call the top” the moment Gold tags a fresh ATH. But tops aren’t predicted — they’re confirmed. This chart is plausible, not “provable.” The only thing that will validate the next leg is how price behaves on the reclaim / retest of the breakout (ATH supply) and the next support shelves below. Right now, the story is simple: we just saw an explosive expansion into ~4,961–4,962 (New ATH), followed by immediate hesitation. That’s normal after a liquidity grab / momentum climax price often rotates lower to rebalance, refill inefficiencies, and test whether buyers are still willing to defend the breakout. If bulls can reclaim and hold the ATH area, the trend resumes. If not, the market will likely bleed down through the nearest magnets step-by-step. Trade Plan (Confirmation > Prediction) ✅ Bullish continuation (only if market confirms) Trigger: Reclaim and hold above the ATH zone ~4,961–4,962 (ideally with a strong close and no immediate rejection). Entry idea: Buy the reclaim OR buy a pullback that holds above ~4,940 after reclaim. Targets: T1: 4,962 (ATH retest / breakout hold) T2: Extension toward the next “blue-sky” leg (trail stops as ATH expands) Invalidation: A clean failure back below ~4,940 after reclaim. ⚠️ Pullback / correction (base-case after ATH until proven otherwise) If price fails to reclaim ATH and keeps closing weak, expect a grind lower into the nearest horizontal magnets: Downside levels to watch (step-by-step): 4,917 (first major shelf) 4,880 (next support) 4,838 (deeper rebalance) 4,775 (larger corrective target) Bear trigger: Acceptance below 4,917 (clean closes + failed bounce attempts). Execution: Sell breakdowns / failed retests, take profit into the next shelf (don’t hold shorts blindly into support). Macro backdrop Gold’s ATH behavior is consistent with a market pricing: Rate-cut expectations / softer policy path (helps gold when real yields cool) USD swings (a firmer USD can pressure gold short-term even in a bull trend) Geopolitical risk & headline volatility (war/politics = spikes + fast mean reversion) Risk-off bids + central bank demand narrative (keeps dips bought, until it doesn’t) Translation: macro can fuel the move, but price must confirm it at the reclaim test.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Mathew_TraderGold
XAUUSD 23 JAN: Market Analysis & Future DevelopmentTODAY'S LIMITED STRATEGY JAN 23 Intraday trading: Adjust 📌 SET UP 1. Timming Sell Zone XAUUSD SELL ZONE: 5005 - 5008 💰 Take Profit(TP): 5002 - 4997 ❎ Stoploss(SL): 5012 Note capital management to ensure account safety 📌 SET UP 2. Timming Buy Zone XAUUSD BUY ZONE: 4880 - 4883 💰 Take Profit(TP): 4886 - 4891 ❎ Stoploss(SL): 4876 Note capital management to ensure account safety Current Market Analysis & Future Developments Today (Gold – XAUUSD) - Currently, gold is maintaining a predominantly bullish structure on the H4 timeframe, following its previous strong breakout. However, the upward momentum is slowing as the price approaches key technical resistance zones, evidenced by short periods of volatility and corrections. ✅ Current Status - The price is moving around the intermediate Fibonacci retracement zone (0.5 – 0.618), indicating that the market is in a phase of absorbing selling pressure and re-accumulating. - Momentum remains positive but is no longer overly volatile, signaling the possibility of a technical correction before determining the next trend. - The oscillator is in the high zone → not suitable for FOMO chasing the price. ✅Today's Scenario - Main Scenario: Price continues to correct or move sideways, retesting the nearest support zone to accumulate more momentum. If the structure holds firm, the possibility of continuing the upward trend to higher levels remains. - Alternative scenario: If stronger selling pressure emerges at the resistance zone, the market may retrace further to the lower support zone before forming a clear signal for the next move. ✅ Trading Strategy - Prioritize waiting for price reactions at support/resistance zones, trading based on confirmation signals. - Avoid haste during the market's "direction-choosing" phase. - Manage risk strictly; do not trade emotionally. 👉 Summary: The overall trend remains upward, but in the short term, the market needs time for correction and consolidation. Those who are patient and disciplined will have a clear advantage today.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by RexTraderGOLD
Three Indicators I Use to Read the Market: EMA – RSI – VolumeAfter years of observing different markets—from gold and forex to crypto—I’ve come to a very clear realization: price never moves randomly. Every move only truly matters when it exists within the right context. And to read that context, I don’t need a chart crowded with indicators. I keep just three familiar tools—enough to understand what state the market is in and how I should respond to it. For me, EMA is the market’s skeleton. When price holds steadily above the EMA lines and pullbacks remain clean and controlled, I can clearly feel that a trend is being maintained—calm, orderly, and without panic. On the other hand, when price stays below EMA and rebounds are weak and short-lived, the picture becomes clear in the opposite direction. What matters most is the slope of the EMA. An upward-sloping EMA tells a very different story from one that is flat or starting to roll over. With just that, I can already tell whether the market is trending, correcting, or stuck in balance. And simply identifying the correct state of the market already determines most of the quality of any analysis that follows. In practice, EMA 34 and EMA 89 are the two levels I rely on the most—they act as familiar anchors to help me orient myself. RSI plays a different role. It doesn’t give me structure; it gives me rhythm. When RSI stays elevated for a prolonged period, I don’t just see strong price action—I see buyer initiative and sustained conviction. When RSI starts to fade while price hasn’t dropped much yet, that’s when I sense momentum slowing down, like a breath becoming heavier. And when RSI hesitates around the neutral zone, it often coincides with moments when the market needs time—to absorb order flow, rebalance emotions, and prepare before choosing its next direction. Volume is the final piece—and an indispensable one. Price can break highs or lows, but without volume backing it, that move is still unconvincing to me. When price expands alongside steadily rising volume, I see real participation and genuine commitment from the market. Conversely, when price travels far but volume fails to follow, it usually signals hesitation—a level that hasn’t been fully accepted yet. Volume helps me distinguish between a move with solid backing and one that’s merely technical, driven more by inertia than by belief. Three indicators, three different perspectives—but when placed together, they form a complete picture of the market.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by DomicChaina
24
XAUUSD H1 Strong Bullish Continuation Buy the Dip Above 5000📝 Description: Gold (XAUUSD) is trading in a strong bullish structure on the H1 timeframe. Price has broken and accepted above the 5,000 psychological level, confirming buyer dominance. The market continues to print higher highs and higher lows, indicating trend continuation. Preferred strategy is buying pullbacks into previous resistance-turned-support zones. Shorts are not valid unless price breaks and closes below 4,950. 📍 Bias: Bullish 📈 Strategy: Buy the Dip 🛑 Invalidation: H1 close below 4,950
OANDA:XAUUSD
by JaxonJackFX
Gold Smashes Past $5,000 – Investors Rush to Safe HavenGold prices have soared to a record high above $5,000 per ounce, as global investors seek safety amid growing political and economic uncertainty. Gold hit $5,085.50, the highest price ever recorded. Silver also broke records, reaching $108.60 per ounce. Analysts believe gold could climb even higher, possibly peaking near $5,500 this year. Why Gold Is Rising Gold gained 64% in 2025 and has already risen more than 17% in 2026. Several factors are driving this rally: Safe-haven demand as investors worry about global stability. U.S. monetary policy easing, making gold more attractive. Strong central bank buying, especially from China, which has been purchasing gold for 14 straight months. Massive inflows into gold ETFs, showing strong investor appetite. Political Tensions Fuel the Surge Recent decisions by U.S. President Donald Trump have shaken confidence in U.S. assets: He backed away from tariff threats against Europe tied to Greenland. He announced plans for a 100% tariff on Canada if it pursues a trade deal with China. He threatened 200% tariffs on French wines and champagne to pressure France into joining his “Board of Peace” initiative. Analysts say these moves have created a “crisis of confidence,” pushing investors toward gold as a safer alternative. Currency Moves Add Support The Japanese yen strengthened, pulling the U.S. dollar lower. A weaker dollar makes gold cheaper for buyers using other currencies, further boosting demand. Other Metals Join the Rally Silver: up 4.57% to $107.65, after hitting $108.60. Platinum: up 3.26% to $2,857.41. Palladium: up 3.2% to $2,074.40. Silver’s surge is especially notable, as it crossed the $100 mark for the first time ever, following a massive 147% rise in 2025. Tight supply and strong retail investor demand continue to fuel its momentum. Outlook Experts expect gold’s rally to continue, with short-term corrections likely but quickly met by strong buying. The safe-haven rush shows no signs of slowing down.
FXOPEN:XAUUSDLong
by Trade_Prosperity
Gold Nears $5,000 – Bullish Momentum Remains IntactGold prices continue to surge strongly, moving closer to the key psychological level of $5,000 per ounce. The rally is supported by a weaker U.S. dollar and mixed movements in U.S. Treasury yields, creating a favorable environment for the precious metal. In the global market, spot gold is currently trading around $4,985 per ounce, up nearly 1% over the past 24 hours, equivalent to a gain of more than $47, highlighting persistent and active buying interest as prices approach record highs. On the U.S. economic front, activity appears stable but lacks strong momentum in both the manufacturing and services sectors. This backdrop reduces pressure on gold and helps sustain prices at elevated levels near the historic $5,000 mark. Meanwhile, expectations that the Federal Reserve will continue easing monetary policy remain a key driver of capital flows into gold, even as geopolitical tensions have eased somewhat following U.S. President Donald Trump’s policy shift on Greenland. Notably, despite signs of short-term overbought conditions, gold’s upward momentum has shown little sign of fatigue, suggesting that the bullish trend remains the most likely scenario.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Zero_Eclipse
Gold at Record Highs: Testing Acceptance Above Key EMAsHello everyone, Gold is currently experiencing one of its strongest rallies in many years, repeatedly breaking historical highs and moving into price territory the market has never traded before. However, for me, the key question at this stage is not how far gold has already risen, but whether the market is truly willing to accept this new price level. Looking at the technical picture, an important detail stands out. On the H4 chart, gold surged aggressively from around the 4,600 area straight into the 4,880–4,900 zone in a very short period of time. Price moved away from both the EMA 34 and EMA 89 much faster than usual, with consecutive bullish candles and almost no pauses in between. More importantly, there was a clear lack of consolidation zones above. This is a classic sign of a strong impulsive rally—powerful, but carrying a familiar risk: price advancing faster than the market’s ability to absorb it. For that reason, gold slowing down after setting a new high is not surprising. As price approached the 4,880 area, rejection candles began to appear, followed by a mild pullback toward the 4,800 zone. Crucially, this correction has not damaged the broader bullish structure. EMA 34 remains intact, both EMAs continue to slope upward, and EMA 89 still sits below price as a backbone for the medium-term trend. This behavior suggests the market is “retesting” the strength of the uptrend rather than signaling a reversal. At this stage, the EMA levels are becoming especially important. EMA 34 is acting as dynamic support for the short-term uptrend, while EMA 89 continues to represent the core support of the larger trend. A key support zone lies around 4,740–4,700, which closely aligns with EMA 34. As long as this area holds and there is no clear H4 close decisively below it, the market is likely completing a short-term consolidation before attempting to resume the uptrend. In that scenario, higher levels such as 4,900+—and even the psychological 5,000 USD/oz mark—remain firmly on the radar. What do you think? Share your view!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by DomicChaina
33
Only God or Nuclear War Can Break This Weekly Gold ResistanceA Resistance That Has Stopped Gold for 20 Years On the weekly chart, gold has respected the same rising resistance line through every major global crisis: May 2006 – ~$723 September 2011 – ~$1,900 Now / early 2026 projection – ~$5,000–$5,200 Each time price reached this zone, the world was under extreme stress; wars, financial crises, or systemic instability. Each time, gold stalled. This level is not random. It’s historical memory. What Drove Each Major Rally -2006: Middle East wars, rising geopolitical tension, early cracks in the financial system -2011: Global Financial Crisis aftermath, QE, eurozone debt crisis, loss of trust in banks -2020–2022: COVID, unlimited stimulus, supply-chain breakdown -2022–Now: Russia–Ukraine war Middle East escalation Red Sea trade disruptions China–Taiwan tensions Central banks aggressively buying gold Exploding sovereign debt De-dollarization no longer theoretical This rally is not about greed. It’s about protection. I’m Calling the Top (For Now) I’m calling this a temporary top. Gold has gone vertical into a multi-decade weekly resistance that has never been broken cleanly. Moves like this do not continue straight up. They pause, correct, and reset. My base case is a meaningful correction toward the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement, around $3,800, to retest structure and flush late buyers. Final Thought Gold isn’t rallying because traders are bullish. It’s rallying because trust is breaking. But even fear respects structure. This resistance has survived wars, crises, and pandemics. If it breaks decisively, it won’t be because of technicals. It will be because something bigger than markets forces it. Only God or something close to nuclear-level escalation does that !!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by GoldCartel
42
USOIL H1 | Bullish riseBased on the H1 chart analysis, we can see that the price has bounced off our buy level of 60.68, which is an overlap support. Our stop loss is set at 60.37, which is an overlap support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. Our take profit is set at 62.32, which acts as a swing high resistance. High Risk Investment Warning Stratos Markets Limited fxcm.com Stratos Europe Ltd fxcm.com CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 69% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC fxcm.com Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited fxcm.com Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at fxcm.com
FX:USOILLong
by FXCM
Bullish breakout?WTI Oil (XTI/USD) is reacting off the pivot and could rise to the 1st resistance, which is an overlap resistance. Pivot: 60.27 1st Support: 58.58 1st Resistance: 65.88 Disclaimer: The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party
ICMARKETS:XTIUSDLong
by IC Markets
1
Natural Gas Stock Forecast | Oil | Dollar | Silver | GoldNatural Gas Stock Forecast | Oil | Dollar | Silver | Gold Catch the latest commodities trading insights! This week's market analysis includes a look at both sides of the coin for oil, gold and silver. Plus, get some helpful technical analysis and trading tips to guide your decisions. 0:00 Intro & Commodities Overview 0:38 Natural Gas AMEX:UNG 8:23 Oil NYMEX:CL1! 9:51 US Dollar (DXY) 11:55 Gold & Silver COMEX:GC1! COMEX:SI1! 19:15 Outro Natural Gas stock Bulls PEPPERSTONE:NATGAS Support & Resistance Guide AMEX:USO Oil Stock price Forecast TVC:DXY US dollar Stock analysis Gold OANDA:XAUUSD Stock price Forecast Silver OANDA:XAGUSD stock analysis
NYMEX:NG1!
by ArcadiaTrading
THE KOG REPORT THE KOG REPORT: In last week’s KOG Report, we identified 4608 as the key bias level for a bullish break, with upside targets at 4835 and 4860. These targets were achieved within the first few hours of the market opening. As the week progressed, we shared updates based on the weekly chart, which indicated higher price objectives. These levels were also reached successfully. Throughout the week, we provided hot spot levels and red box targets, all of which were completed along the bullish path. Overall, it was a strong week for directional accuracy. However, despite the clear bullish movement, price action was very aggressive, making it difficult to capture meaningful pullbacks for optimal trade entries. So, what can we expect in the week ahead? Looking ahead, we anticipate another choppy and volatile trading week, especially as we approach the end of the month and the monthly candle close next week. Additionally, the FOMC meeting on Wednesday is expected to increase volume and volatility. During such events, price may temporarily push above key levels, so it is essential to carefully observe price reactions, not just breakouts. Key Resistance Levels: Primary resistance zone: 4992–4997 This area requires a strong and decisive break to open the path toward higher targets. Upon the break we have Defence box / major resistance: 5020–5030 Ideally, we would like to see price push into these higher resistance levels and then show a Reaction In Price (RIP). A rejection from these areas would provide high-quality trade opportunities early in the week. Key Support Levels: Immediate support: 4965 Bias level for a bearish break: 4970 A clean break below 4970 should be taken seriously. While red box targets have already been identified, there is potential for price to extend further downward where we have an Excalibur target now active! With our technical indicators becoming increasingly stretched and liquidity flow approaching extreme conditions, the move toward the 5000 level must be treated with caution unless price breaks above 5000, holds above it, and establishes a strong support level (ideally around 5006). For this week we would prefer to trade reactions in price (RIP), or scalp level-to-level rather than holding large directional positions. RED BOXES: Break above 4990 for 5003, 5010 and 5020 in extension of the move Break below 4970 for 4960, 4950 and 4933 in extension of the move As always, risk management is essential especially during high-impact news weeks. Newer traders should focus on waiting for confirmation, respecting key levels, and avoiding over-trading during volatile sessions. Thank you for your continued support. We have been providing free, in-depth Gold analysis for many years, and your likes, comments, and follows are genuinely appreciated. Trade safe, KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
42