USDJPY (4H chart pattern)...USDJPY (4H chart pattern).
Based on the structure and the levels my’ve already marked, here are clean, logical targets (pure technicals, not financial advice):
🎯 Upside targets (if price continues the bounce)
Target 1: 155.60 – 155.70
→ First reaction zone / minor resistance (price already respecting this area)
Target 2: 156.20 – 156.30
→ Strong level (Ichimoku / previous support-resistance flip)
Target 3: 158.40 – 158.60
→ Major resistance / previous high area
→ This is the extended target if momentum really kicks in
⚠️ Downside risk (in case bounce fails)
154.00
153.50 (last demand / swing low)
📌 Market read
The dump was aggressive → impulsive sell
Current candles look like corrective pullback
Expect reaction first at 155.6, then decision
If my want, tell me:
👉 Buy or sell bias?
👉 Scalp, intraday, or swing?
Commodities
XAUUSD H1 – Detailed Market Structure AnalysisGold is currently trading at all-time highs, confirming a strong impulsive bullish trend on the H1 timeframe. The rally into ATH was fast and decisive, leaving behind a clear price imbalance (GAP) around the 4,990–5,010 region, which is a classic sign of aggressive institutional participation rather than exhaustion. This type of expansion typically does not reverse immediately; instead, the market pauses to rebalance liquidity before continuation.
From a structural perspective, the previous demand zone near ~4,900 acted as a successful launchpad, producing a clean continuation leg and validating buyers’ control. The EMA 98 is trending upward and remains well below price, reinforcing that the current move is still in a markup phase, not late distribution. Importantly, there is no confirmed lower high or bearish structure break at this stage.
The most probable path forward is a corrective pullback into the GAP zone, where price can mitigate inefficiency and absorb resting buy orders. As long as this gap holds and price does not accept below it, any retracement should be treated as bullish consolidation, not weakness. Following stabilization inside or above the gap, the structure favors a renewed expansion toward the next upside objective around 5,110–5,140, extending beyond current ATH levels.
Invalidation only appears if price loses the GAP and breaks decisively below the demand zone, which would signal momentum failure. Until that occurs, the dominant narrative remains unchanged: Gold is trending, pullbacks are corrective, and the path of least resistance is higher.
XAUUSD GOLD Monster Trade Idea - Beware The $5000 TrapXAUUSD 🌍 The macro narrative heading into this week is dominated by safe-haven flows as geopolitical tensions—specifically the US-Europe tariff threats over Greenland and Middle East instability—drive capital into Gold 🏦. We are seeing a classic Risk-Off sentiment where dips are being aggressively bought by institutions and central banks eyeing the psychological $5,000 level.
We are seeing a Bullish Market Structure on the H1/H4 📈, but I'm looking for a correction.
Key Zone: The confluence of the channel's lower boundary and the Fibonacci 50% - 61.8% Retracement zone ($4,982 - $5,007) is the critical "Buy Zone" 📉. This area represents deep value in a strong uptrend.
We are currently trading near the top of this corrective channel. I am watching for a "Judas Swing" or a stop-hunt lower into that 61.8% Fib level to sweep early buyers before the real expansion leg kicks in 🧹. If price respects the $4,982 region, it confirms the structural integrity of this bullish flag.
Bullish bounce off?WTI Oil (XTI/USD) is falling towards the pivot, which has been identified as an overlap support and could bounce to the swing high resistance.
Pivot: 58.72
1st Support: 56.92
1st Resistance: 62.33
The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party
Bullish continuation?Gold (XAU/USD) could fall towards the pivot, then bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 4,864.86
1st Support: 4,690.83
1st Resistance: 5,111.04
The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party
XTI/USD WTI Crude Oil | Breakout, Pullback and Target Map📊 🔥 XTI/USD — US WTI CRUDE OIL SPOT (Energies Sector)
Bullish Momentum Play | Swing + Day Trade Setup 🚀
🚀 TRADE IDEA SUMMARY
Asset: XTI/USD (US WTI Crude Oil Spot)
Market Bias: Bullish bias confirmed
Timeframe: Swing & Day Trade
Strategy Focus: Moving Average Breakout + Pullback Liquidity Zones 🛢️
📈 TECHNICAL PLAN
Trend Confirmation:
✔ Triangular Moving Average breakout confirmed
✔ Price retest of MA & demand zone validating setup ✔
Primary Entry Zones:
• 🟩 Breakout Entry: After MA breakout — Enter around $62.00
• 🟦 Pullback Entry: Demand + liquidity zone — $58.00–$59.00
👉 Two potential entries — set alerts at these levels to catch momentum.
Target (TP):
🎯 $63.50 — key resistance & liquidity area (overbought region, potential trap).
Stop-Loss (SL):
• Pullback entry SL @ 57.50
• Breakout entry SL @ 61.80 (below breakout level)
💡 Risk Reminder: Execute SL & TP per your own risk tolerance — trades always carry inherent risk.
📊 MACRO & ECONOMIC FUNDAMENTALS (Real-Time Context)
Oil Supply & Demand Dynamics:
🔹 Global crude supply is currently large with inventories building — supply outpacing demand.
🔹 US WTI price recently hovered near $59–$60/bbl — range forming with volatile swings.
🔹 IEA reports world oil supply rising ~2.5 mb/d in 2026, pressuring prices.
🔹 Forecasts show mixed direction — some models see WTI averaging <$60 in 2026.
Geopolitical & Inventory Drivers:
⚠ US winter storm disrupted Gulf Coast output but prices dipped.
⚠ US shale responsiveness tied to price levels near $60.
⚠ OPEC+ output pause may support price stability.
📅 Economic catalysts to watch (London GMT):
• US Crude Oil Inventories & EIA STEO reports
• US CPI inflation data
• Global PMIs (China demand signals)
• OPEC+ meeting outcomes & supply commentary
→ These data points drive risk sentiment and crude volatility.
🔄 RELATED PAIRS & CORRELATIONS TO WATCH
📌 USOIL / CL1! (WTI Futures) — closely correlated (confirm breakout structure).
📌 Brent Crude (UKOIL) — global energy trend confirmation.
📌 Energy Sector ETF (XLE) — risk flow in energy equities.
📌 USD Index (DXY) — stronger USD often pressures crude.
👉 Correlation Notes:
• If Brent also breaks resistance, bullish energy sentiment strengthens.
• USD strength can create pullbacks in commodities (incl. WTI).
✨ TACTICAL TAKEAWAYS FOR TRADERS
🟢 Strong breakout areas + liquidity clusters provide clear entry zones.
🔔 Alerts at $62 and $58–$59 capture intraday momentum.
📉 Watch key macro releases around London open (~07:00–09:00 GMT).
📊 Confirm with related markets (Brent, DXY, Energy equities) for bias alignment.
📌 ENGAGE WITH THIS IDEA ✨
❤️ Like if you trade energy markets
💬 Comment your entry plan
🔔 Follow for updates on USOIL, Brent, and correlated setups
XAUUSDToday, gold prices rose to a new all-time high of $5111. From a technical perspective, the price is currently in an "overbought" condition, which may lead to a short-term correction. Consider selling in the red zone.
🔥Trading futures, forex, CFDs and stocks carries a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you.
This content is not financial advice. Always conduct your own financial due diligence.
>>GooD Luck 😊
❤️ Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!
WTI: False breakout above the range — seller priorityHi traders and investors!
On the 4-hour timeframe, a false-breakout pattern has formed above the upper boundary of the range.
The chart shows that key volume was accumulated above the range high (highlighted by the blue band), after which the price returned back into the range.
The seller initiative is currently active. The initiative target is 59.068, which aligns with a daily level, adding confluence to the scenario.
In the current context, it makes sense to look for short (sell) patterns.
Profitable trades!
This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis (IA) method.
Liquidity Cleared, Gold Setting Up the Next Leg HigherOANDA:XAUUSD has just completed a powerful expansion leg that pushed price into a new all-time high region, and the current pullback should be viewed through the lens of liquidity management, not trend failure. On the one hour timeframe, the market has clearly transitioned from a steady accumulation phase into an impulsive markup, leaving behind multiple unfilled inefficiencies and a well-defined demand zone around five thousand to four thousand nine hundred eighty. This area is not random. it represents the last consolidation before the vertical expansion, where smart money accumulated inventory before driving price higher.
From a structure perspective, the sequence is constructive. The impulsive move from the previous base formed a clean five wave advance, with wave three accelerating through prior resistance and wave five extending toward the five thousand one hundred ninety to five thousand two hundred region. After such a move, it is statistically normal for price to retrace into prior demand to rebalance liquidity. The projected corrective structure labeled as A–B–C is consistent with a healthy bullish continuation: wave A initiates profit-taking, wave B traps late buyers into thinking the uptrend has resumed, and wave C completes the correction by sweeping remaining sell-side liquidity resting below the demand zone.
Liquidity dynamics strongly support this scenario. The all time high area above five thousand one hundred is a major pool of buy side liquidity, but markets rarely move straight through such levels without first clearing internal liquidity below. The current pullback is effectively a liquidity cleanse removing weak long positions and triggering protective stops which resets positioning and allows stronger hands to re-enter at better prices. As long as price holds above the demand zone near four thousand nine hundred eighty to five thousand, the bullish structure remains intact.
On the macro side, gold continues to benefit from persistent uncertainty: elevated geopolitical risk, long-term concerns over sovereign debt, and expectations that global monetary conditions will remain accommodative longer than previously priced. Even when short-term rate expectations fluctuate, gold has shown relative strength, signaling that capital is flowing into it as a strategic hedge rather than a short-term trade. This macro backdrop supports the idea that dips are being accumulated, not sold aggressively.
From a market psychology standpoint, this is the classic late-stage breakout behavior. Retail traders tend to chase strength near all time highs, while professional participants wait for pullbacks into demand. The current retracement is designed to shake confidence, create fear of a “top,” and entice premature short positions fuel that can later drive the next expansion once price reclaims momentum.
Trading Plan & Key Levels:
As long as price respects the demand zone between four thousand nine hundred eighty and five thousand, the bias remains bullish. A strong reaction and higher low from this area would open the path for another push toward five thousand one hundred ninety to five thousand two hundred, with a confirmed break potentially extending the trend further. A sustained breakdown and acceptance below four thousand nine hundred eighty would invalidate the immediate bullish scenario and suggest a deeper correction instead.
Summary:
This is not weakness it is rotation. Gold has already proven strength by reaching new highs. What we are seeing now is a controlled reset of structure and liquidity before the market decides whether it is ready to continue toward the five thousand two hundred objective. Patience here is key; let the market show its hand at demand.
Silver - Here comes the bullrun top!☠️Silver ( OANDA:XAGUSD ) creates its final top now:
🔎Analysis summary:
Silver still remains totally bullish. But Silver also remains totally overextended and the metal is also approaching the final resistance trendline. With all of this short term weakness, this might be the final top on Silver. Just please wait for bearish confirmation.
📝Levels to watch:
$100
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
Silver Breaks $110 — Time to Rotate Out? Silver just printed a new all-time high at $110.25 — a clean Fibonacci extension rally that’s now entering major resistance zones :
• $111.40
• $116.98
• $134.95
The move from $50 to $110 has been explosive. But parabolic advances don’t last forever , and this chart now outlines a potential local top formation .
We could see a rejection at $111–116 and a retest of key zones below :
• $103.86 (previous resistance)
• $92 and $86 if things accelerate
📺 All of this was broken down in the full macro video — along with why Bitcoin might be next in line to move:
🔗 Silver $110, Gold $5K — Bitcoin Pump Next?
Silver bulls have feasted. Now it’s time to ask — are you late to the party, or early to the rotation?
Perspective Shift 🔄
Every rally ends with FOMO — and that’s often your exit cue. Silver's rally is historic, but the rotation clock is ticking. With BTC sitting on macro support , this could be the last leg before capital flows shift.
Disclaimer: I'm not a financial advisor — I'm a master of Prognosis. These are my personal views. I read charts like a poet reads the stars. You still gotta trade at your own risk. 🧠💥
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
Silver drops after biggest nominal rallySilver rose nearly $14.5 dollars from its opening price to its highest point today, making it the biggest nominal daily gain ever...percentage wise the gain was 14% at one stage. The metal then hit supply at $117.74 from where it sold off around 8% to dive back below $109.00. This is the bears' first real attempt at trying to create a top. The long legged 4H doji candle certainly looks bearish. Let's see where silver closes today's session. Was this a blow off top, or a mere correction before the next up leg? Keep an eye on the key levels shown on the chart.
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
Silver Bells, Silver Bells, Silver all the way...Silver Bells, Silver Bells
Silver all the way
Oh what fun it is to ride
"in a One Horse" open sleigh
Silver Bells, Silver Bells
Silver all the way
Oh what fun it is to ride
"in a One Horse" open sleigh
Dashing through the snow
"In a One Horse" open sleigh
Over the hills we go
Laughing all the way
Bells on Bobtails ring
Making spirits bright
What fun it is to ride and sing
A Silver song tonight...
Happy Silver New Year!
Copper: Following Gold and SilverAs the weekly chart indicates, we foresee a pronounced sell-off as part of the green wave , but not before finishing its current run to conclude the magenta wave (Y) and therefore the overreaching green wave around the $7.00 mark.
The then following and before mentioned wave should bring copper down into our green long target zone between $4.56 and $4.06.
Gold - Path to 5,000At the moment, no deep correction has started - the upward move continues.
Wave calculations suggest the following structure: we are currently in wave 5 and forming its internal sub-waves.
Overall, price is very close to completing the entire move.
One of the nearest targets is 4,830 , where we are likely to see either a reversal or at least a local pullback.
If we analyze the first major wave from August 2018 to August 2020 and project Fibonacci extensions, one of the key levels comes in near 5,000 , which can be considered the primary target.
Another important level to watch is around 5,200 .
In commodities, the fifth wave is often extended, especially when the move turns into a mania phase.
The upside potential from current levels is estimated at 3-11 %.
Conclusion:
Trend remains upward
Key levels:
4,834
5,024
5,200
After the rally completes, a deep correction is expected.
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Everyone is staring at silver 🤯 Everyone is staring at silver. As if silver just woke up one morning and decided to go vertical.
Nope.
This isn’t just silver.
🥇 Gold
🥈 Silver
🥉 Platinum
All three started moving together back in May 2025 and in the first weeks of 2026, they didn’t trend. They snapped vertical.
Here’s the illusion that needs to die first ☠️
This is not calm long-term investing.
This is not pension money patiently buying for the next 20 years.
If it were, the charts wouldn’t look like they were drawn after three espressos and zero sleep ☕️📈
When an entire metals complex goes vertical at once, it’s rarely about “confidence.”
It’s about pressure 🔥
Positioning.
Crowding.
And someone stuck on the wrong side, watching exits disappear.
The daily and weekly candles look… beautiful. Almost too beautiful 👀
And that’s usually where risk hides, not where it disappears.
Moves like this don’t fade gently.
They end one of two ways ⬇️⬆️
Either a final blow-off where everyone suddenly believes this is the new normal…
Or a sharp deflation, where weeks of progress vanish in one or two sessions 💨
This isn’t bearish.
It’s not bullish.
It’s just how markets behave.
Metals aren’t meme stocks 🤡
They don’t need hype.
But when they start acting like meme stocks, something is being squeezed hard 🧨
So the real question isn’t:
“Where is silver tomorrow?” ❌
It’s:
What happens when this pressure releases? ⚠️
Because vertical charts aren’t gifts 🎁
They’re stress tests.
And markets reward those who know when not to fall in love with a chart ❤️🔥📉
Natural Gas → XNG/USD Bullish Trading Framework⚡ XNGUSD NATURAL GAS 🔥 Energy Market Capital Flow Blueprint 📊 DAY TRADE
🎯 TRADING PREMISE
Bullish Setup: Triangular Moving Average Breakout with Support Retest Confirmation
Current Market Status (January 26, 2026) 📍
Current Price Range: $6.00 - $6.30 USD/MMBtu (Historic Winter Storm Rally 🌪️)
Market Movement: +20% surge this week | +90% gain since last week
Largest Weekly Advance: Since records began in 1990 📈
Henry Hub Spot Price: $4.98/MMBtu (Up from $3.12 last week)
💡 TECHNICAL BREAKDOWN
Pattern Recognition 🔍
✅ Contracting Triangle Formation - 5-leg consolidation structure complete
✅ Moving Average Support Holds - Dynamic support level providing retest opportunities
✅ Bullish Bias Confirmed - Price action shows sustained strength above key MAs
✅ Resistance Zones Identified - Multiple profit-taking levels established
Key Technical Levels 📍
Support Zone: $5.00 - $5.100 (Primary dynamic support)
Consolidation Range: $5.200 - $5.400 (Thief Entry Layers)
Breakout Target Zone: $5.900 - $6.200 (Aggressive profit capture)
Extended Target: $6.500 - $7.000+ (If production disruptions persist)
🕵️ THIEF STRATEGY - LAYERED ENTRY BLUEPRINT
Entry Strategy: Multi-Layer Limit Order Approach 🎪
The "THIEF" Method uses strategic layering to accumulate positions at optimal price levels, minimizing emotional trading and maximizing efficiency:
Recommended Limit Order Layers:
🥇 Layer 1 @ $5.100 - Initial dip retest entry (First position)
🥈 Layer 2 @ $5.200 - Continued support averaging down (Add position)
🥉 Layer 3 @ $5.300 - Zone confirmation accumulation (Build size)
💎 Layer 4 @ $5.400 - Consolidation break final entry (Complete setup)
Entry Flexibility: You can adjust these layers based on your individual risk tolerance 💰, account capital allocation 💵, market volatility conditions ⚡, and personal trading rules 📋
✅ Pro Tip: Use 15-30 minute timeframe chart for precise layer execution & optimal entry confirmation
🎯 PROFIT TARGET STRATEGY
Primary Target: $5.900 - $6.100 USD/MMBtu
Reasoning:
Strong resistance confluence zone
Overbought warning signals emerging
Technical trap potential at extreme levels
Profit-taking anticipated from institutional players
Secondary Targets (Optional - Aggressive Traders Only) 🚀
Target 2: $6.300 - $6.500 (If momentum sustains)
Target 3: $6.800+ (Only if extreme cold continues)
🛑 STOP LOSS MANAGEMENT
Thief Strategy SL: $5.000 USD/MMBtu
Placement: Just below primary support consolidation
Reasoning: Clean break confirmation of bullish premise failure
📊 FUNDAMENTAL DRIVERS - REAL MARKET DATA 🔥
🌡️ WEATHER IMPACT (PRIMARY CATALYST)
Historic Winter Storm: Arctic blast across USA disrupting supply & boosting heating demand
Production Disruption: ~10% of US natural gas production knocked offline due to freezing
Texas & Louisiana: Production dropped >17 billion cubic feet/day from mid-January peaks
Grid Impact: US power demand expected to reach winter record levels
Temperature Forecast: Frigid conditions continuing through January 26-28, 2026
💨 SUPPLY-DEMAND IMBALANCE
Supply-Side Pressures:
↓ Production fell to 106.9 Bcf/d (down from 109.7 Bcf/d in December)
↓ Daily production hit 2-year low near 92.6 Bcf/d due to weather
↓ LNG export flows fell to lowest level in 1 year (equipment frozen)
↓ 37 LNG vessels departed US ports (139 Bcf carrying capacity stranded)
↓ Freeport terminal nominations cut 41% | Cove Point halved
Demand-Side Surge:
↑ Electric power generation demand surging for heating & cooling
↑ Residential heating demand at seasonal peaks
↑ Industrial fuel switching to gas from displaced alternatives
🏭 STRUCTURAL LONG-TERM FACTORS
LNG Expansion: New capacity additions (Golden Pass, Plaquemines, Corpus Christi Stage 3)
Data Center Boom: AI infrastructure explosion creating sustained power demand
2027 Outlook: EIA forecasts 33% price increase to $4.60/MMBtu average
Storage Status: Working inventory at 3,065 Bcf (+177 Bcf vs 5-year average)
📈 ECONOMIC CALENDAR - KEY UPCOMING FACTORS
This Week (Late January 2026) 🔴
⛈️ Winter Storm Monitoring: Cold snap continues affecting production
📊 EIA Storage Report: Thursday release (expected further draws)
🏛️ NYMEX Funding Flows: COT report showing speculative positioning
💨 Production Rate Tracking: Daily output watching for recovery
Next Month (February 2026) 📅
🌡️ Temperature Normalization: Potential warm-up easing heating demand
🛢️ LNG Terminal Recovery: Equipment repairs bringing export capacity back online
📊 EIA Q1 Forecast Update: February 10 release with fresh projections
📈 Q1 Storage Withdrawal Season End: March signals transition to injection phase
Strategic Considerations 🎯
Geopolitical: Watch Middle East tensions (impacts global LNG flow)
Production Recovery Timeline: Key risk factor for downside
Weather Pattern Shifts: La Niña vs El Niño transition possible
Data Center Power Demand: Sustained long-term upside driver
📍 CORRELATED PAIRS TO MONITOR 👀
Direct Correlation Watches:
1. 🛢️ ICMARKETS:XTIUSD - WTI Crude Oil
Correlation: +0.65 positive (alternative energy pricing)
Why Watch: Oil prices influence natural gas demand & substitute competition
Current Action: Oil weakness could support gas as substitute
Technical Link: Both energy markets tracking geopolitical risk
2. 🌍 ICMARKETS:XBRUSD - Brent Crude Oil
Correlation: +0.60 positive (global energy marker)
Why Watch: International energy benchmark influencing global LNG pricing
Current Action: Brent decline may increase relative gas attractiveness
Technical Link: European gas prices tied to Brent dynamics
3. 💵 THINKMARKETS:USDINDEX - US Dollar Strength
Correlation: -0.45 inverse (commodity pricing relationship)
Why Watch: Stronger USD = lower commodity export values
Key Level: Watch DXY weakness supporting commodity upside
Trading Insight: Weakening dollar = tailwind for XNGUSD rally
4. ⚡ OANDA:XAUUSD - Gold Prices
Correlation: +0.35 positive (risk-on sentiment)
Why Watch: Risk appetite indicator for commodity markets
Current Setup: Gold strength confirms inflation hedge positioning
Broader Signal: Both rallying = risk-on energy environment
5. 📊 AMEX:SPY - S&P 500 Index
Correlation: +0.40 positive (economic health)
Why Watch: Stock market rallies increase overall economic energy demand
Tech Impact: Data center power surge linked to tech stock valuations
Risk Signal: Equity market weakness could signal recession/lower demand
Secondary Watch Pairs:
UKOIL (UK Brent Comparison) - European gas market barometer
TTF European Gas Futures - Global LNG competitor pricing
Asian LNG Spot Prices - International demand signals
Henry Hub Futures Strips - Forward market pricing expectations
🚨 RISK WARNINGS & TRADING NOTES
CRITICAL TRADING RULES ⚠️
✅ DO:
Set YOUR OWN stop losses based on YOUR risk tolerance
Adjust profit targets according to YOUR strategy
Use position sizing appropriate for YOUR account
Trail stops as price moves favorably in your direction
Follow YOUR personal capital management rules
Respect technical support/resistance zones
Wait for confirmation before aggressive entries
❌ DON'T:
Blindly follow ANY trader's targets (including this analysis)
Risk more capital than you can afford to lose
Ignore news events & volatility spikes
Trade against the current trend without confirmation
Use leverage beyond YOUR comfort level
Skip your stop loss to "hope" for recovery
Make emotional decisions based on FOMO
Market Volatility Notice 📢
Natural gas is HIGHLY VOLATILE - expect sharp intraday moves
Winter weather can create GAPS - gaps exceeding 10-15% possible
News events cause LIQUIDITY SHIFTS - spreads may widen
LNG terminal updates are UNPREDICTABLE - monitor hourly for changes
Production data releases DRIVE SPIKES - be cautious around EIA reports
Trading Timeframe Recommendations ⏰
Scalpers: 5-15 minute charts (quick entries/exits)
Day Traders: 15-60 minute charts (intraday momentum)
Swing Traders: 4H-Daily charts (position holds 2-5 days)
Position Traders: Weekly charts (longer-term thesis)
📊 MARKET SENTIMENT & TECHNICALS
Overall Bias: 🟢 BULLISH (Short-term strength | Caution on extremes)
✅ Trend: Strong uptrend continuing
✅ Momentum: Bullish momentum confirmed
⚠️ Overbought: RSI entering extreme levels
⚠️ Volatility: Historic elevation = risk factor
⚠️ Trap Potential: Institutional profit-taking likely at $5.900+
🎓 FINAL THOUGHTS
This is a TECHNICAL + FUNDAMENTAL TRADE blending real economic data with proven price action patterns. The historic winter storm provides legitimate fundamental support, but markets overshoot in both directions.
Your Success Depends On:
Your own technical & fundamental analysis
Proper risk management execution
Emotional discipline during volatile moves
Adherence to YOUR personal trading plan
Continuous market monitoring & adaptability
Remember: Profits come from execution of YOUR strategy, not following someone else's targets blindly.
TRADE SMART 🧠 | TRADE SAFE 🛡️ | TRADE YOUR OWN PLAN 📋
Analysis Date: January 26, 2026 | Real-Time Market Data Verified ✅
👍 If This Analysis Helped You:
FOLLOW for daily market insights
COMMENT with your trade setup & ideas
SHARE with your trading community
Let's build profitable trading decisions together! 🚀💰
$BRENT technicals in convegence between Fibonacci and TrendlineBLACKBULL:BRENT has been on a downtrend since last Summer...
Now the descending trend line is about to hit the bottom of the Fibonacci Retracement Levels.
This forms a triangle that we know can break either upward or downward - place your entry points and Stop-Loss points accordingly.
While I don't provide Fundamentals analysis, the latest turns of events with USA and Venezuela make me lean towards a break on the downside for more supply of Crude Oil available to the US.
ETHUSD (3H chart pattern ).ETHUSD (3H chart pattern ).
structure-based take.
What the chart shows
Strong impulsive drop → then a bearish descending channel (flag)
Price is below the Ichimoku cloud → bearish bias
Me’ve marked a breakdown attempt near the lower channel
This looks like a bear flag continuation, not a reversal
🎯 Downside Targets
🎯 Target 1 (near-term)
≈ 2,880 – 2,850
Recent reaction lows
First liquidity/support zone
Good partial profit area
🎯 Target 2 (main target)
≈ 2,700 – 2,680
Measured move of the flag (pole → breakdown)
Strong horizontal support
Matches my marked “target point” area
🎯 Target 3 (extension, if momentum is strong)
≈ 2,600
Previous demand zone
Psychological level
❌ Invalidation
If price breaks and holds above ~3,000–3,020
Or cleanly reclaims the channel + cloud → bearish setup fails
Summary
TP1: 2,880–2,850
TP2: 2,700–2,680
TP3: 2,600 (optional extension)
If my want, I can:
Tighten this into a scalp vs swing plan
Help with stop-loss placement
Or flip it and give bullish targets if it breaks up 📈
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATE & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our 1h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 4999 and a gap below at 4961, as support. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
4999
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 4999 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
5036
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 5036 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
5069
BEARISH TARGETS
4861
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 4961 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
4929
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 4929 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
4885
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 4885 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
4841
4796
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 4796 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE
4754
4718
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX






















