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Gold - Path to 5,000At the moment, no deep correction has started - the upward move continues. Wave calculations suggest the following structure: we are currently in wave 5 and forming its internal sub-waves. Overall, price is very close to completing the entire move. One of the nearest targets is 4,830 , where we are likely to see either a reversal or at least a local pullback. If we analyze the first major wave from August 2018 to August 2020 and project Fibonacci extensions, one of the key levels comes in near 5,000 , which can be considered the primary target. Another important level to watch is around 5,200 . In commodities, the fifth wave is often extended, especially when the move turns into a mania phase. The upside potential from current levels is estimated at 3-11 %. Conclusion: Trend remains upward Key levels: 4,834 5,024 5,200 After the rally completes, a deep correction is expected. --- Please subscribe and leave a comment! You’ll get new information faster than anyone else. ---
FX:XAUUSDLong
by NotBoringTrading
1
Everyone is staring at silver 🤯 Everyone is staring at silver. As if silver just woke up one morning and decided to go vertical. Nope. This isn’t just silver. 🥇 Gold 🥈 Silver 🥉 Platinum All three started moving together back in May 2025 and in the first weeks of 2026, they didn’t trend. They snapped vertical. Here’s the illusion that needs to die first ☠️ This is not calm long-term investing. This is not pension money patiently buying for the next 20 years. If it were, the charts wouldn’t look like they were drawn after three espressos and zero sleep ☕️📈 When an entire metals complex goes vertical at once, it’s rarely about “confidence.” It’s about pressure 🔥 Positioning. Crowding. And someone stuck on the wrong side, watching exits disappear. The daily and weekly candles look… beautiful. Almost too beautiful 👀 And that’s usually where risk hides, not where it disappears. Moves like this don’t fade gently. They end one of two ways ⬇️⬆️ Either a final blow-off where everyone suddenly believes this is the new normal… Or a sharp deflation, where weeks of progress vanish in one or two sessions 💨 This isn’t bearish. It’s not bullish. It’s just how markets behave. Metals aren’t meme stocks 🤡 They don’t need hype. But when they start acting like meme stocks, something is being squeezed hard 🧨 So the real question isn’t: “Where is silver tomorrow?” ❌ It’s: What happens when this pressure releases? ⚠️ Because vertical charts aren’t gifts 🎁 They’re stress tests. And markets reward those who know when not to fall in love with a chart ❤️‍🔥📉
TVC:SILVER
by Anyatrades
1
Natural Gas → XNG/USD Bullish Trading Framework⚡ XNGUSD NATURAL GAS 🔥 Energy Market Capital Flow Blueprint 📊 DAY TRADE 🎯 TRADING PREMISE Bullish Setup: Triangular Moving Average Breakout with Support Retest Confirmation Current Market Status (January 26, 2026) 📍 Current Price Range: $6.00 - $6.30 USD/MMBtu (Historic Winter Storm Rally 🌪️) Market Movement: +20% surge this week | +90% gain since last week Largest Weekly Advance: Since records began in 1990 📈 Henry Hub Spot Price: $4.98/MMBtu (Up from $3.12 last week) 💡 TECHNICAL BREAKDOWN Pattern Recognition 🔍 ✅ Contracting Triangle Formation - 5-leg consolidation structure complete ✅ Moving Average Support Holds - Dynamic support level providing retest opportunities ✅ Bullish Bias Confirmed - Price action shows sustained strength above key MAs ✅ Resistance Zones Identified - Multiple profit-taking levels established Key Technical Levels 📍 Support Zone: $5.00 - $5.100 (Primary dynamic support) Consolidation Range: $5.200 - $5.400 (Thief Entry Layers) Breakout Target Zone: $5.900 - $6.200 (Aggressive profit capture) Extended Target: $6.500 - $7.000+ (If production disruptions persist) 🕵️ THIEF STRATEGY - LAYERED ENTRY BLUEPRINT Entry Strategy: Multi-Layer Limit Order Approach 🎪 The "THIEF" Method uses strategic layering to accumulate positions at optimal price levels, minimizing emotional trading and maximizing efficiency: Recommended Limit Order Layers: 🥇 Layer 1 @ $5.100 - Initial dip retest entry (First position) 🥈 Layer 2 @ $5.200 - Continued support averaging down (Add position) 🥉 Layer 3 @ $5.300 - Zone confirmation accumulation (Build size) 💎 Layer 4 @ $5.400 - Consolidation break final entry (Complete setup) Entry Flexibility: You can adjust these layers based on your individual risk tolerance 💰, account capital allocation 💵, market volatility conditions ⚡, and personal trading rules 📋 ✅ Pro Tip: Use 15-30 minute timeframe chart for precise layer execution & optimal entry confirmation 🎯 PROFIT TARGET STRATEGY Primary Target: $5.900 - $6.100 USD/MMBtu Reasoning: Strong resistance confluence zone Overbought warning signals emerging Technical trap potential at extreme levels Profit-taking anticipated from institutional players Secondary Targets (Optional - Aggressive Traders Only) 🚀 Target 2: $6.300 - $6.500 (If momentum sustains) Target 3: $6.800+ (Only if extreme cold continues) 🛑 STOP LOSS MANAGEMENT Thief Strategy SL: $5.000 USD/MMBtu Placement: Just below primary support consolidation Reasoning: Clean break confirmation of bullish premise failure 📊 FUNDAMENTAL DRIVERS - REAL MARKET DATA 🔥 🌡️ WEATHER IMPACT (PRIMARY CATALYST) Historic Winter Storm: Arctic blast across USA disrupting supply & boosting heating demand Production Disruption: ~10% of US natural gas production knocked offline due to freezing Texas & Louisiana: Production dropped >17 billion cubic feet/day from mid-January peaks Grid Impact: US power demand expected to reach winter record levels Temperature Forecast: Frigid conditions continuing through January 26-28, 2026 💨 SUPPLY-DEMAND IMBALANCE Supply-Side Pressures: ↓ Production fell to 106.9 Bcf/d (down from 109.7 Bcf/d in December) ↓ Daily production hit 2-year low near 92.6 Bcf/d due to weather ↓ LNG export flows fell to lowest level in 1 year (equipment frozen) ↓ 37 LNG vessels departed US ports (139 Bcf carrying capacity stranded) ↓ Freeport terminal nominations cut 41% | Cove Point halved Demand-Side Surge: ↑ Electric power generation demand surging for heating & cooling ↑ Residential heating demand at seasonal peaks ↑ Industrial fuel switching to gas from displaced alternatives 🏭 STRUCTURAL LONG-TERM FACTORS LNG Expansion: New capacity additions (Golden Pass, Plaquemines, Corpus Christi Stage 3) Data Center Boom: AI infrastructure explosion creating sustained power demand 2027 Outlook: EIA forecasts 33% price increase to $4.60/MMBtu average Storage Status: Working inventory at 3,065 Bcf (+177 Bcf vs 5-year average) 📈 ECONOMIC CALENDAR - KEY UPCOMING FACTORS This Week (Late January 2026) 🔴 ⛈️ Winter Storm Monitoring: Cold snap continues affecting production 📊 EIA Storage Report: Thursday release (expected further draws) 🏛️ NYMEX Funding Flows: COT report showing speculative positioning 💨 Production Rate Tracking: Daily output watching for recovery Next Month (February 2026) 📅 🌡️ Temperature Normalization: Potential warm-up easing heating demand 🛢️ LNG Terminal Recovery: Equipment repairs bringing export capacity back online 📊 EIA Q1 Forecast Update: February 10 release with fresh projections 📈 Q1 Storage Withdrawal Season End: March signals transition to injection phase Strategic Considerations 🎯 Geopolitical: Watch Middle East tensions (impacts global LNG flow) Production Recovery Timeline: Key risk factor for downside Weather Pattern Shifts: La Niña vs El Niño transition possible Data Center Power Demand: Sustained long-term upside driver 📍 CORRELATED PAIRS TO MONITOR 👀 Direct Correlation Watches: 1. 🛢️ ICMARKETS:XTIUSD - WTI Crude Oil Correlation: +0.65 positive (alternative energy pricing) Why Watch: Oil prices influence natural gas demand & substitute competition Current Action: Oil weakness could support gas as substitute Technical Link: Both energy markets tracking geopolitical risk 2. 🌍 ICMARKETS:XBRUSD - Brent Crude Oil Correlation: +0.60 positive (global energy marker) Why Watch: International energy benchmark influencing global LNG pricing Current Action: Brent decline may increase relative gas attractiveness Technical Link: European gas prices tied to Brent dynamics 3. 💵 THINKMARKETS:USDINDEX - US Dollar Strength Correlation: -0.45 inverse (commodity pricing relationship) Why Watch: Stronger USD = lower commodity export values Key Level: Watch DXY weakness supporting commodity upside Trading Insight: Weakening dollar = tailwind for XNGUSD rally 4. ⚡ OANDA:XAUUSD - Gold Prices Correlation: +0.35 positive (risk-on sentiment) Why Watch: Risk appetite indicator for commodity markets Current Setup: Gold strength confirms inflation hedge positioning Broader Signal: Both rallying = risk-on energy environment 5. 📊 AMEX:SPY - S&P 500 Index Correlation: +0.40 positive (economic health) Why Watch: Stock market rallies increase overall economic energy demand Tech Impact: Data center power surge linked to tech stock valuations Risk Signal: Equity market weakness could signal recession/lower demand Secondary Watch Pairs: UKOIL (UK Brent Comparison) - European gas market barometer TTF European Gas Futures - Global LNG competitor pricing Asian LNG Spot Prices - International demand signals Henry Hub Futures Strips - Forward market pricing expectations 🚨 RISK WARNINGS & TRADING NOTES CRITICAL TRADING RULES ⚠️ ✅ DO: Set YOUR OWN stop losses based on YOUR risk tolerance Adjust profit targets according to YOUR strategy Use position sizing appropriate for YOUR account Trail stops as price moves favorably in your direction Follow YOUR personal capital management rules Respect technical support/resistance zones Wait for confirmation before aggressive entries ❌ DON'T: Blindly follow ANY trader's targets (including this analysis) Risk more capital than you can afford to lose Ignore news events & volatility spikes Trade against the current trend without confirmation Use leverage beyond YOUR comfort level Skip your stop loss to "hope" for recovery Make emotional decisions based on FOMO Market Volatility Notice 📢 Natural gas is HIGHLY VOLATILE - expect sharp intraday moves Winter weather can create GAPS - gaps exceeding 10-15% possible News events cause LIQUIDITY SHIFTS - spreads may widen LNG terminal updates are UNPREDICTABLE - monitor hourly for changes Production data releases DRIVE SPIKES - be cautious around EIA reports Trading Timeframe Recommendations ⏰ Scalpers: 5-15 minute charts (quick entries/exits) Day Traders: 15-60 minute charts (intraday momentum) Swing Traders: 4H-Daily charts (position holds 2-5 days) Position Traders: Weekly charts (longer-term thesis) 📊 MARKET SENTIMENT & TECHNICALS Overall Bias: 🟢 BULLISH (Short-term strength | Caution on extremes) ✅ Trend: Strong uptrend continuing ✅ Momentum: Bullish momentum confirmed ⚠️ Overbought: RSI entering extreme levels ⚠️ Volatility: Historic elevation = risk factor ⚠️ Trap Potential: Institutional profit-taking likely at $5.900+ 🎓 FINAL THOUGHTS This is a TECHNICAL + FUNDAMENTAL TRADE blending real economic data with proven price action patterns. The historic winter storm provides legitimate fundamental support, but markets overshoot in both directions. Your Success Depends On: Your own technical & fundamental analysis Proper risk management execution Emotional discipline during volatile moves Adherence to YOUR personal trading plan Continuous market monitoring & adaptability Remember: Profits come from execution of YOUR strategy, not following someone else's targets blindly. TRADE SMART 🧠 | TRADE SAFE 🛡️ | TRADE YOUR OWN PLAN 📋 Analysis Date: January 26, 2026 | Real-Time Market Data Verified ✅ 👍 If This Analysis Helped You: FOLLOW for daily market insights COMMENT with your trade setup & ideas SHARE with your trading community Let's build profitable trading decisions together! 🚀💰
EIGHTCAP:XNGUSD
by The-Thief
$BRENT technicals in convegence between Fibonacci and TrendlineBLACKBULL:BRENT has been on a downtrend since last Summer... Now the descending trend line is about to hit the bottom of the Fibonacci Retracement Levels. This forms a triangle that we know can break either upward or downward - place your entry points and Stop-Loss points accordingly. While I don't provide Fundamentals analysis, the latest turns of events with USA and Venezuela make me lean towards a break on the downside for more supply of Crude Oil available to the US.
VELOCITY:BRENTShort
by TheDividendBible
ETHUSD (3H chart pattern ).ETHUSD (3H chart pattern ). structure-based take. What the chart shows Strong impulsive drop → then a bearish descending channel (flag) Price is below the Ichimoku cloud → bearish bias Me’ve marked a breakdown attempt near the lower channel This looks like a bear flag continuation, not a reversal 🎯 Downside Targets 🎯 Target 1 (near-term) ≈ 2,880 – 2,850 Recent reaction lows First liquidity/support zone Good partial profit area 🎯 Target 2 (main target) ≈ 2,700 – 2,680 Measured move of the flag (pole → breakdown) Strong horizontal support Matches my marked “target point” area 🎯 Target 3 (extension, if momentum is strong) ≈ 2,600 Previous demand zone Psychological level ❌ Invalidation If price breaks and holds above ~3,000–3,020 Or cleanly reclaims the channel + cloud → bearish setup fails Summary TP1: 2,880–2,850 TP2: 2,700–2,680 TP3: 2,600 (optional extension) If my want, I can: Tighten this into a scalp vs swing plan Help with stop-loss placement Or flip it and give bullish targets if it breaks up 📈
COINBASE:ETHUSDShort
by Alpha_Trade_Scope
4
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATE & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone, Please see our 1h chart levels and targets for the coming week. We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 4999 and a gap below at 4961, as support. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range. We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges. BULLISH TARGET 4999 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 4999 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS 5036 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 5036 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS 5069 BEARISH TARGETS 4861 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 4961 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET 4929 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 4929 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET 4885 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 4885 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE 4841 4796 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 4796 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE 4754 4718 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
17
EURUSD, (1H chart pattern).EURUSD, (1H chart pattern). Clear double top (“1st top” and “2nd top”) around 1.1900 Price is extended above the Ichimoku cloud → pullback / correction likely Me’ve already marked downside target zones, which makes sense Logical downside targets Based on structure + support levels: 🎯 Target 1 (conservative) ≈ 1.1800 Prior consolidation area Psychological round number Likely first reaction / partial profit zone 🎯 Target 2 (main target) ≈ 1.1680 – 1.1700 Strong previous support Near cloud base / value area Matches measured pullback after impulsive move In short TP1: 1.1800 TP2: 1.1680–1.1700 If price breaks and holds above 1.1900, the double-top idea is invalid and bearish targets are off. If my want, I can also: Suggest stop-loss placement Do a risk-reward breakdown Or map bullish targets if it breaks higher 📈
Short
by Alpha_Trade_Scope
1
Nat Gas: At The Moon - $6.. Now Next Stop $7?! NYMEX:NG1! NYMEX:NGG2026 Well it's been 4 days since my last post, In my previous post I put forward a target of $6 for the prompt month NG contract . Now that we've blown through that target with a strong weekend open, the next question is where do we go from these historic Winter 2026 highs?? Many NG bears, would argue everything is already priced in, and there's no more gas left in the tank. However, if you look back a year from now, you'll realize we're finally at the bullish levels that were the BASE CASE for what we thought the supply & demand picture would like for 2026. This means we are finally at the expected value that markets had anticipated, 12 months ago, not that we are OVERVALUED. Now BEARS are supposed be hibernating during the winter, but for some the recent historic rally has caused them to come out of hibernation. Well... there's a reason bears try to sleep through the winter.... it's because you don't chase penny's... when there's dollars to be made!! Right now you should only be taking tactical & quick shorts. This rally still has room to run, and you don't want to step in front of this Bull Train!! From my charts & fundamental insights, I believe our next target for a session close will be $6.55 then $6.99, and that the February 2026 contract will expire above $6. Looking at the charts for the front month, you can clearly see an upward directional channel that's now been established. The 30 minute ichi cloud has been providing upward support for NG. The 30min ichi wave targets are lower than the 1hour ichi cloud, and at first if you're looking at the lower time frame, it might seem that the near term movement is to the downside, below the lower upward channel support line & the next wave targets take us lower. Howeverrrrrrr, if you look at the 1hour ichi, you can clearly see a support cloud above the upward channels bottom support. The next wave targets on the hourly seem to imply, that we can reach $6.55 to $6.65, and if those targets are smashed through next resistance is at $6.99 at the top of the upward channel. The one hope for Bears, that may lead to consolidation & accumulation at or below the $6 level, before another move higher past $6.30 : "..analysts said potential reductions in LNG exports and pipeline deliveries to Mexico could help offset some of the tightening. “Another potential wrinkle is how much LNG exports may decline as a result of Fern,” said Pat Rau, NGI’s senior vice president of research and analysis. “Back during Winter Storm Uri, LNG exports fell as well. That meant the overall supply/demand picture wasn’t just lost supply, there was some curtailed demand to help balance things a bit.””-NGI Now, taking the above quote into consideration... I know you must be skeptical of a continuation of this breakout, but please refer to my previous post of why this rally had legs to begin with to take out the $6 level. But to reach the $7 level, I'll provide a few more quotes below, of why this historic Winter Freeze will keep the bull train going strong down the tracks. A few fundamental insights on why the cold weather in the U.S. has been an ignition switch for NG prices for the weekend open, quotes provided from industry news source Natural Gas Intelligence: “I think this storm has all the elements to make it a major risk on the level of Elliott and Uri,” said NGI’s Dan Spangler, senior director of analytics. “There’s going to be widespread cold in nearly all major producing areas, so there will definitely be a freeze-off impact.” "Wood Mackenzie said Friday that average U.S. natural gas production month-to-date is down to 109.2 Bcf/d, “reflecting the impact of supply-related outages.” The consultancy’s freeze-off projections for the final two weeks of January jumped 9.5 Bcf on Thursday to 138.8 Bcf. That would be an all-time high if realized, breaking the 118.7 Bcf record set in February 2021 when Uri hit.” "When Uri struck in mid-February 2021, LNG feed gas flows slowed to a trickle. Deliveries fell 87% to 1.3 Bcf/d from above 10 Bcf/d at the start of the month, Wood Mackenzie data show." “Prices still took off back then, of course,” Rau said, “but the impact may have been even worse if LNG hadn’t served as a demand destruction vehicle to help counter some of the lost production.” "Even so, Fern may not stress the Texas power grid to the same degree as Uri, according to RBN Energy LLC analyst John Abeln. The expected zone of extreme cold during Fern “does not extend as far south across Texas” as it did during Uri, Abeln said, and the storm is forecast to move through the state much more quickly. Temperatures in Dallas are expected to rise above freezing by Tuesday, compared with a much longer stretch below freezing during Uri. “The sustained deep freeze that exhausted storage and led to equipment failures is likely to be much less severe this time around,” Abeln said. If deep snow materializes, frigid temperatures linger and production freeze-offs mount, February natural gas “could rally to the $7.500 area” in a highly bullish scenario, Yawger added. Exceptional storage withdrawals are in the cards as well, with most analysts now looking for a pull far north of 300 Bcf for the last week of the month. “The chatter around the natural gas space is a storage draw of over 350 Bcf or greater,” Yawger said. “There have only ever been four draws of 300 Bcf or greater in the history” of federal storage data.
NYMEX:NGG2026Long
by TX_MicrosTrader
3
Gold long term targetsAs I personally think we will see gold hitting 5600$! Based on what? Well this is why I think what I think ! My first target hit long ago(as you can see in the image) and I sold all my Long term position already...Sadly. I honestly thought price would have retraced a bit but instead it didn't even stop. This strongly convince me , now that we have created a monthly FVG above 0.75 DRT level, that price will retrace in it and that will give me an advantage to open a light swing trade to last target 5600$. Check it out and see if you like the idea.
TVC:GOLDLong
by Antonio_Cirrincione
XAUUSD (Gold) – 30M Trendline Support & Breakout ContinuationPrice is holding above the rising trendline and support zone, forming a bullish continuation structure. A successful hold or breakout above the range opens the path toward higher targets. Immediate Support: 4960 – 4975 Range High / Resistance: 4985 – 4990 First Target: 5025 – 5045 Extended Target: 5070 – 5100 Bullish bias remains valid above trendline support. Look for retest confirmation or clean breakout before entries and manage risk accordingly.
TVC:GOLDLong
by XauusdMarketNavigator
18
XAGUSD (Silver) 3H — chart pattern...XAGUSD (Silver) 3H — chart pattern. Strong impulsive bullish breakout Price above trendline + above Ichimoku cloud No nearby resistance until the upper range 🎯 Upside Targets Current price: ~103.4 ✅ Target 1 (TP1 – conservative) 105.80 – 106.00 Psychological level + minor structure pause Good spot to secure partials 🎯 Target 2 (TP2 – main target) 110.50 – 112.00 Matches my marked target point Measured move from the last consolidation leg High-liquidity zone from prior range expansion 🚀 Extension (if momentum stays aggressive) 115.00 Round number + trend acceleration target ❌ Invalidation / Pullback Zone Bullish bias holds as long as price stays above 98.50–99.00 Deeper retrace support: 96.00 (top of cloud) Summary: Bias = bullish continuation Best target = 110–112 zone 🎯
OANDA:XAGUSDLong
by Alpha_Trade_Scope
7
USDJPY 4H chart pattern ...USDJPY 4H chart pattern . Context (quick read): Clean breakdown below the rising trendline Strong impulsive bearish candle → structure break Price is slicing through the prior demand / consolidation zone (~156.3–156.7) 🎯 Downside Targets Primary target (TP1): 155.20 – 155.00 Nearest liquidity + prior swing lows Logical pause / partial take-profit zone Extended target (TP2): 154.50 – 154.30 Equal lows + liquidity sweep area Matches the “target point” marked on my chart If momentum stays strong (TP3): 153.80 – 153.50 Next clean demand from previous structure ❌ Invalidation / Caution Bearish bias weakens if price reclaims and holds above ~156.80 Strong bullish rejection from 155.0 would suggest short covering Summary: Bias = bearish continuation Best target = 154.5 area 🎯
Short
by Alpha_Trade_Scope
1
Gold breakout supported at 4957The Gold remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a breakout within the broader uptrend. Support Zone: 4957 – a key level from the previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level. A bullish rebound from 4957 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at: 5242 – initial resistance 5350 – psychological and structural level 5495 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart Bearish Scenario: A confirmed break and daily close below 4957 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward: 4862 – minor support 4737 – stronger support and potential demand zone Outlook: Bullish bias remains intact while the Gold holds above 4957. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:XAUUSD
by Trade Nation
Silver bullish breakout supported at 9900The Silver remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a breakout within the broader uptrend. Support Zone: 9900 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level. A bullish rebound from 9900 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at: 11200 – initial resistance 11617 – psychological and structural level 12070 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart Bearish Scenario: A confirmed break and daily close below 9900 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward: 9468 – minor support 9010 – stronger support and potential demand zone Outlook: Bullish bias remains intact while the Silver holds above 9900. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:XAGUSD
by Trade Nation
WARNING!!! 19 Year Dollar Channel is Now Broken!Trading Fam, The title is NOT clickbait. If you’ve been following me for any length of time, you’ll know I have been warning you about this exact moment for some time. We’ve had many signs. Many clues. But the price of gold and silver rising exponentially was our crystal ball. And now, price movement on the U.S. dollar has confirmed to us that the dollar will continue its descent. For the first time in 19 years, the dollar has dropped from its ascending channel. The price of everything is about to increase. Be prepared. Let’s take a look at our chart. In the upper rectangle, you’ll see the U.S. dollar on the daily. We have existed inside this channel for 19 years. And for 8 months now, we’ve been consistently hammering away at the bottom of our channel, which has been acting as strong support. 19 years’ worth of strong support. Today, we finally confirmed a break below this support. Two times in the past, once in July of last year and once in Sept., we did break the bottom of the channel. But we received no confirmation. We were looking for a lower low closing candle, but we never received that, and somehow we escaped back into our “safe” zone, the channel. Today, the break from our channel is looking like it will be confirmed. Yes, we do have to wait and see where our candle will close. But the reason I am confident this is our move is mainly because of that overhead trendline (white) coming all the way from 1983, drawn through a couple of tops in 2001, and extended through today. This will now act as major resistance. And it intersects almost precisely with the bottom of our 19-year channel! This is not good. It means the price of everything is about to inflate even more than it already has. Any student of monetary history will know that all fiat currency always only ever ends in hyper-inflationary recession/depression. I’m not saying we are at that point yet. But maybe we are? Or is this time different? Whatever the case may be, we can’t cling to hopium to preserve our cash. We must take steps to hedge against this massive deterioration of our dollar that will continue to occur. So, what do we do? Where do we go from here? My suggestion is to concentrate on acquiring assets that the FED cannot print! This would include things like physical gold and silver. I have long been a proponent of the 4 “G’s” in investing/hedging strategy. Each “G” is symbolic of a larger class of commodities that will do well to keep one safe in both times of inflationary pressures as well as deflationary pressures. The 4 “G’s” are these: Gold - anything categorized as precious metals Ground - real estate providing tangible value and income potential Guns - again, not literal. So, don’t let this scare you. But to keep the alliteration alive, guns stand for anything physical that can be used to protect your wealth. Usually, this comes in the form of something metal. Whether that be a safe, a tractor, or an iron tool that is hard to get, these tools can be used to protect your property, your precious metals, and anything else that is considered of value. Some may interpret this to be defensive type stocks. Gas - energy related stocks and investments How you acquire the above-listed and by what means is entirely up to you. But I don’t think you can go wrong. In the great depression, these categories saved people. In any sort of inflationary recession/depression, they are also most likely to do the same, and they will always hedge against a currency devaluation and an economy that can no longer be controlled. ✌️Stew
TVC:DXYShort
by stewdamus
NG: Natural Gas Surge as the Polar Vortex Tests the Upper Range Market Overview and Key Drivers Natural gas futures are among the most seasonally sensitive products in the commodity markets, with prices largely driven by predictable demand cycles and unpredictable weather shocks. Demand typically begins to build in late summer, with prices often finding seasonal lows between July and August before rallying into September and October as the market prices in winter heating demand. Volatility generally accelerates from November through February, when cold weather events, storage draws, and forecast revisions can rapidly shift sentiment. As winter demand fades, prices often soften into March and April, followed by a weaker period in May and June as heating demand subsides and storage injections resume. Beyond seasonality, traders closely monitor weekly EIA storage reports, temperature forecasts measured through heating degree days, production trends, and LNG export flows. Short term price discovery is frequently driven by changes in weather models, while medium term direction is shaped by whether storage levels and production trends confirm or contradict seasonal expectations. Natural gas does not maintain a consistent correlation with other energy products, as pricing is driven more by regional supply and demand than global macro flows. That said, broader risk sentiment and energy sector positioning can still influence short term price behavior. Volatility remains elevated, especially during winter, when forecast changes can reprice the market quickly. Over the past week, natural gas prices reacted sharply to weather driven headlines. A polar vortex warning across large parts of the United States triggered a surge in short term demand expectations, leading to an aggressive upside move. This rally pushed price into the upper portion of the broader multi-year range. What the market has done • The market remains within a larger multi-year range, with clearly defined weekly resistance in the 5.8 to 6.0 area and weekly support near the 3.2 area. • Since the end of winter in 2025, price has respected a block step trend down, consistently rotating lower after each failed rally attempt. • The market began its seasonal rally in September, driven by expectations of increased winter heating demand and tightening balances. • Sellers responded aggressively at the start of December at offer block 2, auctioning price lower and pushing the market back toward the 3.2 weekly support area. • In the past week, a polar vortex weather warning across the United States triggered a sharp upside spike, driving price toward the 5.6 area, aligning with offer block 1 near the top of the multi-year range and directly into the March 2025 mVAH. What to expect in the coming weeks The key level to monitor remains the 5.0 area, which aligns with daily level 1, the March mVAL, and the April mVAH. This zone is likely to act as the primary decision point for both buyers and sellers as the winter season progresses. Bullish scenario • If the market holds above the previous week’s close at 5.278, continued momentum could carry price higher toward the 6.0 area. • The 6.0 level aligns with weekly resistance and the upper boundary of the multi year range. • Sellers are expected to respond aggressively in this area, potentially leading to rotational or rejection based price action rather than sustained breakout behavior. Neutral scenario • Price may balance between the 5.0 area and the 5.75 zone for the remainder of the winter season. • This range represents a region of prior acceptance, with 5.75 aligning with weekly resistance and the March 2025 mVAH. • In this scenario, traders should expect two sided trade and rotational behavior rather than directional continuation. Bearish scenario • If buyers fail to hold price above the 5.0 area, long liquidation could accelerate. • A downside move could target the SOC, repairing single prints left behind during the recent weather driven rally. • Buyers are expected to respond near the 4.47 and 4.25 area, which aligns with the December 2025 VPOC and daily level 2. Conclusion Natural gas remains a headline driven market where technical structure and macro fundamentals must be evaluated together. While seasonal demand and extreme weather events continue to support volatility, the broader market remains constrained within a well defined multi year range. From a technical perspective, acceptance or rejection around the 5.0 area will likely dictate whether price continues higher toward weekly resistance or rotates lower to repair unfinished auctions. Fundamentally, traders should remain alert to shifts in weather forecasts, storage trends, and production data, as these factors can quickly invalidate technical setups. As winter unfolds, traders will need to respect the speed of rotations and the market’s tendency to punish late positioning near range extremes. If you found this analysis helpful, consider sharing your own levels or scenarios and join the discussion. Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Analysis is for educational purposes only; trade your own plan and manage risk. Acronyms: C - Composite w - Weekly m - Monthly VAH - Value Area High VAL - Value Area Low VPOC - Volume Point of Control LVN - Low Value Node HVN - High Value Node LVA - Low Value Area SP - Single print
NYMEX:NG1!
by EdgeClear
Gold Options Expiry: The $4,375 "Gravity" vs. StatisticalHey traders! Tomorrow is a financial battleground for the gold market. It's the major monthly options expiry, and the numbers reveal a fascinating tug-of-war. Let’s break down the forces at play and what they mean for the price. The Setup: Huge Open Interest Looking at the latest data, we have over **126,000 open call contracts** and more than **155,000 open put contracts** set to expire. Here’s the breakdown: Calls: - In the Money (ITM): 105,859 - At the Money (ATM): 68 - Out of the Money (OTM): 20,572 - Total OI: 126,499 Puts: - In the Money (ITM): 111 - At the Money (ATM): 47 - Out of the Money (OTM): 154,874 - Total OI: 155,032 That’s a massive pile of open interest, with most puts sitting deep out of the money—a sign that a lot of traders have been betting on a drop or hedge there bull trades. But the story doesn't end here. The "Gravity" of Max Pain The Max Pain level is currently sitting at $4,375. What is Max Pain? Think of it as the "house's" ideal price. Option sellers (market makers and institutions) collect premiums from buyers. They make the most money if options expire worthless. The Max Pain price is the strike where the maximum number of options (both puts and calls) expire worthless, causing the most financial "pain" to buyers and maximum profit for sellers. The theory suggests that as expiry approaches, the price will be gravitationally pulled toward this level. If you take this theory at face value, gold should drop from its current to $4,375 by tomorrow's close. But… Is That Even Possible? Here’s where we need to pump the brakes. Statistically speaking, the odds of such a move are close to zero—and here’s why. On developed markets, asset price moves are largely governed by well-known mathematical and statistical boundaries, especially the **expected volatility range**. Hedge funds and institutional traders have relied on these ranges for years to guide their decisions. The range is defined by standard deviations: - 1st standard deviation:** Price stays within this range 68% of the time (up or down). - 2nd standard deviation:** 95% probability. - 3rd standard deviation:** 98% probability. So, to seriously claim that gold will hit $4,375 by tomorrow’s close, you’d need to calculate the 3rd standard deviation from today’s settlement and see if $4,375 is even in the realm of possibility. In my experience, I do these calculations right after the daily clearing and plot them on the current gold futures chart. (If you’re not up for the math, just follow my posts—I regularly share these volatility bands and show how well they work. Spoiler: price bounces or stalls at these levels with at least 70% effectiveness.) Can Gravity Break the Leash? Now, let's be data-driven analysts and combine our two forces: Max Pain "Gravity" Target: $4,375. Statistical "Leash" Range for Today(3rd SD): $4,855-5,300 The conclusion is immediate and powerful: The Max Pain level of $4.375 lies far outside the probable 3rd standard deviation statistical range. For the price to reach $4,375, it would need to break not just the 1st, but likely the 2nd or even 3rd standard deviation boundary. While not impossible, this is a very low-probability event. The Bottom Line: What to Expect So, will gold collapse to $4,375 tomorrow? Statistically, the odds are heavily against it. The "leash" of volatility is too short. The theory of Max Pain is a vital tool for identifying points of financial interest, but it's not a crystal ball. It works best when the Max Pain level falls inside the statistical volatility range. When it's outside, volatility almost always wins. In a hot market like gold, where every dip is being bought, a low-probability statistical move becomes even less likely. Instead of a crash to Max Pain, a more probable scenario is for the price to remain pinned within its statistical range (for today $4,855-5,300), possibly testing the lower bound of that range. I hope this article has sparked your interest in diving deeper into these topics and prompted you to start incorporating statistical data into your trading decisions. This is precisely the kind of edge that is essential for successful practical trading 💰 Check our account bio for more ADVANTAGE! Trade Smart!
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDEducation
by ClashChartsTeam
XAUUSD Time to correct for the last time before $8000?Almost 5 months ago (September 05 2025, see chart below) we posted a multi-decade analysis on Gold (XAUUSD), making a case why $8000 was the long-term Target by late 2029: Now as the price has almost reached the top of its Bull Cycle Channel Up (green) and it is time to start considering a multi-month technical correction. That was what happened back in March 2008 when the price was almost at the exact point as today. At the top of its Bull Cycle Channel Up, just after the 0.786 Time Fibonacci level and just below the 0.236 Channel Fibonacci level. With just this month's rise (January 2026), Gold managed to reach the 0.236 Channel Fib just a month after it hit the current 0.786 Time Fib. So that technical confluence initiated an 8-month correction that breached the 0.236 Horizontal Fib (orange), did the same to the 0.618 Channel Fib and just before it hit the 1M MA50 (blue trend-line), it bottomed. On today's fractal we know where both the 0.618 Channel Fib and 1M MA50 are so what's left is to confirm where the price peaks and draw the 0.236 Fib. If we top a little higher, then the 0.236 Fib will be at 3600, so we can expect to fulfil the 2008 conditions a little lower. In any case, the moment Gold approaches its 1M MA50 again (remember this is also where the market bottomed in November 2022 and this massive rally started), it will be our choice for a long-term buy again, targeting the top of this Cycle at $8000. --- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** --- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
FX_IDC:XAUUSDShort
by TradingShot
3
Gold Breaks $5,000 | 2026 Outlook, Risk-Off Rally & Next Price ZOANDA:XAUUSD Gold Outlook 2026 Buy or Sell 📅 26 January 2026 🌍 MARKET OVERVIEW Gold surged sharply on Friday, January 23, 2026, extending its historic rally as safe haven demand intensified amid geopolitical tensions, US policy uncertainty, and a weaker dollar outlook. COMEX gold futures hit record intraday highs near $4,990 to $4,995 and settled around $4,980 to $4,990, capping a massive weekly gain of over 8 percent. Spot gold closely followed, pushing toward the key $5,000 psychological level after trading near $4,800 to $4,900 earlier in the week. The rally was driven by strong central bank buying, de dollarization trends, and escalating global risks, with silver also posting explosive gains. 🧠 KEY FUNDAMENTALS 🇺🇸 US Durable Goods Orders Expected around 8:30 AM ET. Strong data may support the USD and pressure gold, while weak data could boost safe haven demand. 🏭 US Capital Goods Orders Released alongside durable goods. Impacts growth outlook and USD direction, indirectly affecting gold. 🌍 Other Minor Data Possible Eurozone or Canada GDP and early regional releases, but no major gold moving impact expected. 🌐 GEO POLITICS 🟡 Gold breaks $5,000 Spot gold surged to new record highs between $5,092 and $5,108 intraday on Monday, January 26, driven by intense safe haven demand. 🇺🇸 US tariff and policy uncertainty Renewed fears around broad US tariffs involving Europe, trade partners, and Greenland rhetoric revived Trump era volatility, triggering capital flight into gold. 🔥 Rising global geopolitical risks Ongoing Middle East tensions including Iran concerns, Russia Ukraine dynamics, and shifting US foreign policy are fueling global risk aversion. 🏦 De dollarization and central bank buying Persistent central bank accumulation and investor hedging continue to underpin gold’s upside momentum. ⚖️ RISK ON RISK OFF ANALYSIS 📉 US 10 Year Treasury Yield Current level 4.208 percent Change 0.032 percent lower versus previous close around 4.24 percent Daily range 4.208 percent to 4.223 percent 52 week range 3.860 percent to 4.660 percent Trend Yields drifting lower confirming a risk off bias 🧠 WHAT DO ANALYST EXPECT Gold surged to new all time highs above $5,100, extending its historic breakout into January 26. The $5,000 level was breached for the first time late on January 25, triggering accelerated upside momentum. Escalating US tariff threats including potential 100 percent tariffs linked to China and Canada heightened global trade war fears. Policy uncertainty and confrontational rhetoric increased risk off sentiment, driving safe haven flows into gold. Gold’s rally is increasingly viewed as a signal of declining confidence in fiat currencies and global policy stability, reinforcing strong bullish momentum. 🟢 CONCLUSION Gold’s move above $5,000 confirms a strong risk off shift driven by geopolitical stress, tariff fears, and declining confidence in policy stability. Falling yields and a weaker dollar are reinforcing safe haven demand. Central bank buying and de dollarization trends continue to support the rally. The move is structural rather than data driven. Upside momentum remains firmly intact.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by DECRYPTERS
Bitcoin vs Gold — Major Support Says “Watch This Now” ⚔️ Bitcoin vs Gold — Major Support Says “Watch This Now” 🏅 This is one of the most underrated charts in macro right now — the BTC/XAU ratio is sitting at multi-year ascending channel support , the same level that triggered massive reversals in 2020 and 2022. We're talking about a structure that’s been respected for years — and it’s flashing a signal again. Support is between 15.39 and 17.09 , and we’ve just tagged it. Divergences are present, momentum is slowing, and risk-to-reward is building. 📺 This setup was covered in detail in the full macro video: 🔗 Silver $110, Gold $5K — Bitcoin Pump Next? This isn’t just about BTC vs Gold. It's about where we are in the rotation cycle : – Silver just hit $110 – Gold is hovering above $5,000 – Bitcoin has underperformed — until now? If this level holds again, we could see a sharp reversal in favor of BTC. If it breaks… you already know the play — sit back and wait for a deeper flush. Mindset Check 🧘 Real macro setups don’t scream — they whisper at key levels. This BTC/Gold chart is whispering now, just like it did before the 2020 breakout. If you’re focused only on dollar pairs, you're missing the real rotations. Disclaimer: Nothing I post is financial advice. It's perspective. I’ve mastered the art of prognosis, but you are the one behind the trigger. Always know your levels, and respect your risk. One Love, The FXPROFESSOR 💙
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by FX_Professor
6