GOLD What Next? BUY!
My dear subscribers,
This is my opinion on the GOLD next move:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 4066.7
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 4082.3
My Stop Loss - 4057.6
About Used Indicators:
On the subsequent day, trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment, while trading below the pivot point indicates bearish sentiment.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Commodities
Crude oil: Weak ConsolidationToday, crude oil is trading with a weak oscillatory bias, fluctuating narrowly within the 57 - 58 per barrel range. The softened geopolitical risks have set the tone for the subdued market sentiment, while the technical landscape remains dominated by bears.
Key Levels:
Support Zones:Immediate support is concentrated around 57.0 – 57.4 per barrel, with notable buying interest emerging near 57.6. A breakdown below this zone could pave the way for a test of 56.0 per barrel, potentially extending to the vicinity of the annual low around the same level.
Resistance Levels:Near-term resistance lies around 58.75 per barrel, where some trading strategies suggest initiating short positions. Further resistance is seen at the 59.0 – 60.0 per barrel range; only a decisive breakout above this interval can alleviate the short-term bearish momentum. For a full trend reversal, a breach of the long-term key resistance at 61.44 per barrel is required.
ALPH/USDT has just triggered ALPH/USDT has just triggered a massive multi-month falling wedge breakout (a powerful bullish reversal pattern) after respecting the lower trendline for over 200 days, exploding +167% in a single daily candle and clearing the upper resistance with extreme volume. This textbook setup ends the entire 2025 bear market and projects a measured move to the 161.8%–200% extension zone around $0.45–$0.55+, with the breakout confirming the start of a new parabolic bull cycle for Alephium. Former wedge resistance now flips to strong support near $0.12–$0.14; any retest should be viewed as a generational buying opportunity. 🚀🔥📈💥💰
SILVER BEARS ARE STRONG HERE|SHORT
SILVER SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 4,992.1
Target Level: 4,536.3
Stop Loss: 5,296.0
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1D
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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GOLD market after “Fed fever”, growth momentum is challengedOANDA:XAUUSD prices remain in the spotlight as the market has been experiencing a series of strong fluctuations following mixed signals from the Federal Reserve and labor data. However, developments show that the risk of price declines is increasing as the precious metal has repeatedly failed in its efforts to hold the $4,100/ounce area, the first resistance level of this year's hot period.
For most of 2025, gold has risen more than 55%, despite high bond yields and a strong dollar. But as the Fed’s final policy meeting approaches and the market lacks consensus on the path of interest rate cuts, the traditional correlation between gold, interest rates, and the dollar is returning. According to CME’s FedWatch, the market still expects a more than 70% chance of the Fed cutting interest rates next month, while economists maintain a more cautious assessment of only about 50/50.
This puts the upcoming economic data in a decisive position for both market expectations and gold’s stability in this trading week.
Fed’s Dovish Return: A Direct Impact on Gold’s Upward Momentum OANDA:XAUUSD
Gold settled in the first half of the week as demand for havens increased, while the ADP report showed that the private sector cut an average of 2,500 jobs per week in the four weeks to November 1.
The 4,000 USD/ounce level continues to be the key threshold determining the short-term trend, as the market is moving within a correction zone but has not yet broken the medium-term bullish structure.
Technical analysis and suggestions OANDA:XAUUSD
1. Price Structure & Overall Trend
• Price is still within the ascending channel that has extended since August, although the range has narrowed compared to October. The October peak around 4,128 USD acts as a major medium-term resistance.
• The current decline is still only a pullback within the uptrend, as long as price holds above 3,972 USD (Fib 0.382) and especially the 4,000 USD psychological & technical support.
2. Key Technical Zones
• Nearest resistance: 4,128 – 4,216 USD
(A strong resistance cluster where price has been repeatedly rejected in November.)
• Nearest support: 4,055 – 4,000 USD
(This zone aligns with Fib 0.382 and the short-term bottom.)
• Deeper supports:
3,846 USD (Fib 0.5) – Important for a deep pullback scenario
3,720 USD (Fib 0.618) – Reaction support in case of strong macro volatility
3. Price Momentum – RSI
• RSI has moved out of oversold territory but remains weak and has not re-established a bullish structure.
• The RSI-MA21 is flat → the market lacks strong momentum; sideways movement or a retest of the 4,000 USD zone is highly likely.
4. Short-Term Outlook (Next Week)
• Market bias: Neutral to slightly bearish, but the medium-term uptrend remains intact.
• Price is likely to retest 4,000 USD, then form one of two scenarios:
o Hold 4,000 → rebound to 4,128 – 4,216 USD
o Break 4,000 → drop to 3,972 – 3,846 USD
👉 Conclusion: 4,000 USD is the decisive level for the short-term trend.
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 4102 - 4100⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 4106
→Take Profit 1 4094
↨
→Take Profit 2 4088
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 4016 - 4018⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 4012
→Take Profit 1 4024
↨
→Take Profit 2 4030
Rising 10_Yields Ahead?Here’s How It Could Hit BTC, Gold, StocksWhy the US 10-Year Yield Matters
The US 10-Year Treasury yield is one of the most important benchmarks in global finance. It reflects investor expectations for inflation, growth, and Federal Reserve policy. Because it influences everything from mortgage rates to equity valuations and the strength of the US dollar( TVC:DXY ), understanding its direction helps traders anticipate major market shifts.
Key Scenarios to Watch
1. Yield Rising (Bullish Yield / Bearish Bonds)
Signals stronger economic expectations or sticky inflation.
Usually pushes the USD higher and puts pressure on risk assets like tech stocks and crypto.
Markets begin pricing fewer rate cuts or even potential tightening.
2. Yield Falling (Bearish Yield / Bullish Bonds)
Indicates rising recession risk, softer inflation, or expectations of Fed rate cuts.
Supports equity markets and risk assets (including crypto).
Typically weakens the US dollar.
3. Sideways / Stable Range
Suggests economic uncertainty or balanced expectations.
Markets remain in consolidation until new macro data or Fed signals arrive.
Why Traders Follow It:
Small moves in the 10-year yield can shift global liquidity, risk sentiment, and currency flows — making it a core indicator for forecasting market direction.
Given the current data and signals, my short-term forecast is for yields to remain flat or move slightly higher, but the likelihood of a significant decline in the near term seems slim.
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Now let's take a look at the US 10-Year Government Bond Yield chart on the daily time frame.
The US 10-Year Government Bond Yield is currently moving near the support lines and the 4.00% (Round Number).
In terms of classic technical analysis, we can expect that the US 10-Year Government Bond Yield's uptrend could start with an Inverse Head and Shoulders Pattern.
In terms of Elliott Wave theory, it appears that the US 10-Year Government Bond Yield has succeeded in completing the main wave 4 with a Double Three Correction(WXY).
I expect the US 10-Year Government Bond Yield to attack Resistance lines after breaking the Neckline and Resistance zone(4.24%-4.14%).
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Impact of a Rising US 10-Year Yield
•Bitcoin( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ):
A higher 10-year yield usually reduces liquidity and increases funding costs, which puts pressure on risk assets. BTC typically faces short-term downside or slower momentum when yields rise.
•Gold( OANDA:XAUUSD ):
Gold often moves inversely to yields. Rising yields increase the opportunity cost of holding gold, making it less attractive. This usually leads to weakness or consolidation in gold.
•Stocks (Equities):
Higher yields tighten financial conditions and lower valuations, especially for tech and growth stocks. Equities generally face selling pressure when yields rise sharply.
If you would like to see technical analysis on the weekly timeframe, I recommend you take a look at the link below.👇
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💡 Please respect each other's opinions and express agreement or disagreement politely.
📌US 10-Year Government Bond Yield Analyze ( TVC:US10 ), Daily time frame.
🛑 Always set a Stop Loss(SL) for every position you open.
✅ This is just my idea; I’d love to see your thoughts too!
🔥 If you find it helpful, please BOOST this post and share it with your friends.
Gold: The $4K - make it or break it?Gold was holding higher grounds during the previous week. Its price was moving in a relatively shorter range, between $4.002 and $4.130. Charts are showing a sort of narrowing moves within this range, in which sense, it might be expected a break in the coming period, whether to the up- or to the downside. The catalyst for such a move might be expectations of the Fed rate cut in December. Posted delayed jobs data are showing mixed signals, with the unemployment rate modestly increased in September to 4,4% from 4,3% previously.
The RSI was moving around the level of 50 during the week, reflecting the price movements without a clear trend. The MA200 is now strongly converging toward the MA50, where the potential cross might be expected in the near term period.
The support line at $4K remains strong, while it has not been tested during the week. The move above the $4.100 also remains a high challenge for gold at this moment. Considering the narrowing of price range traded during the day, a break to one side might be expected in the week(s) ahead. On the downside, the $4K remains a support, while a break from this level would lead the price of gold down to $3.920. On the upside, the $4,1K remains a short resistance, while the break of this level would lead the price toward the $4,2K.
In the game of global trade, the referee is gold!!!What appears to be the convergence of two long-term downtrends formed by the parity of the gold to bitcoin ratio, and at this point when gold has broken its grip (thanks to the foolishness of Western governments past and present), we should see the price rise to the 1.59 range.
This is evidence that gold prices, even if they have not increased since the time of writing, are still in high demand! And gold is the best judge of the global economy!
Good luck
Copper continues to grow!The two price targets I envision on the chart, which indicate continued upward swings, are the powerful candles of the last two weeks that have made it easier to reach these targets in the medium term, and other than time, which requires more patience, I don't see any reason why we won't reach the desired target!
XAUUSD (Gold) – Target Analysis...(XAUUSD) Target Analysis based on my chart (2H timeframe):
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📌 XAUUSD (Gold) – Target Analysis
My chart shows:
A long-term ascending trendline
Price breaking below the trendline
Price also falling inside / below the Ichimoku cloud
A downward arrow drawn toward a lower support zone
This setup indicates bearish continuation.
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🎯 Main Target (Based on my Marked Level)
$3,940 – $3,960 zone
This matches the “Target Point” you marked on my chart.
This level is a strong support area where price may reach after the trendline break.
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📉 Why This Target Is Valid
Trendline breakdown indicates a shift from bullish → bearish
Price is below cloud → bearish momentum
Clean space below, meaning no strong support until $3,940 area
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📌 Suggested Trade Plan
Entry: After clean breakdown retest (approx. $4,030 – $4,050)
Stop-Loss: Above trendline → $4,085 – $4,100
Take Profit: $3,940 – $3,960
ETH/USD 1H Chart Pattern.📌 ETH/USD 1H Analysis
I have drawn two target levels on my chart, and based on the trendline break + Ichimoku signals, my targets look correct.
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1️⃣ Trendline Break
ETH has broken the downward trendline, which shows the beginning of bullish momentum.
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2️⃣ Ichimoku Cloud
Price is trying to move above the cloud.
If a candle closes above the cloud on 1H, the bullish continuation becomes stronger.
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🎯 Target Levels (Based on my Chart)
✔ Target 1 (Short-Term)
$3,040 – $3,060
This is the first resistance zone and the first realistic target after the breakout.
✔ Target 2 (Extended Target)
$3,220 – $3,250
If ETH breaks Target 1 with strong volume, it can move toward this higher target.
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Suggested Trading Plan
Stop-Loss: $2,775 – $2,785
Take Profit 1: $3,040
Take Profit 2: $3,230
ETH/USD (1H timeframe) ...ETH/USD (1H timeframe) on Coinbase, and it’s clearly showing a raisin trendline test with two downside “Target Points” already drawn. Let’s break it down:
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🔍 Chart Analysis
Price is $3,441, sitting right on the ascending trendline.
Ichimoku Cloud is turning bearish (price below the cloud).
Trendline break looks likely — momentum is weak and candles are closing below the cloud.
Two target zones (downside) are marked on my chart.
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📉 Bearish Breakdown Scenario
If ETH breaks and closes below the ascending trendline (~$3,440 area):
First Target (TP1): around $3,230 – $3,250
→ This aligns with previous horizontal support and midpoint of the last bounce.
Second Target (TP2): around $3,000 – $3,050
→ This is my deeper support zone — the next strong demand level on the chart.
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⚠ Invalidation / Stop-Loss
If ETH closes back above $3,520 – $3,540, that would invalidate the bearish move (trendline reclaim + cloud flip).
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🧭 Trade Summary
Entry (Breakdown): Below 3,440
TP1: 3,240
TP2: 3,020
SL: 3,540
GOLD MARKET OVERVIEWAfter last week's sell mitigating 3990's, we saw gold make a bullish pullback up till 4060's before the market closed on friday. This weekm gold opens with nearish sentimens as gold 4040's inti currently ranges between 4040's with $20 decline in price from last weeks close.
4030 is a vital zone and if it breaks we may go lower up tilll 4010's.
Higher time frame bullish bias still valid.
Gold: Overview 24.11This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis (IA) method.
Hello, traders and investors!
The gold price on the daily timeframe is in a sideways range.
A seller initiative is active, with a target at 3928.
On the daily chart, the levels 4133 and 4154 are of interest for potential short opportunities, as well as the 4110 level — which is both an hourly timeframe level and the high of a seller candle with increased volume.
The first target for short positions is 3998.
Long positions should be considered only when we see signs of buyer strength on the daily timeframe — this may happen near 3998 or 3928.
Wishing you profitable trades!
Is This the Start of the Next Natural Gas Upswing?💨 Natural Gas (XNG/USD) — “Profit Pathway Setup” 🎯 Swing / Day Trade Edition
📊 Market Overview:
The Energies Market is heating up — and Natural Gas is showing its next potential boom move! After a confirmed Moving Average Breakout, bulls are sneaking back in. 🕵️♂️
This setup blends discipline + creativity, using the Thief-Trader layered entry method — designed to catch price action efficiently while minimizing emotional errors. ⚙️
⚔️ Trade Plan (Bullish Setup):
Entry Zones (Layered Buys):
🟩 3.500
🟩 3.600
🟩 3.700
(You can expand your buy layers depending on your own comfort and risk plan.)
Stop-Loss (Thief SL):
🧯 3.350 — just below the nearest lower-low candle wick.
💬 Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG’s) — this SL is a personal style choice, not a fixed rule. Manage your risk your way.
Target (Profit Escape Zone):
🎯 4.100 — a strong resistance + overbought + trap + distribution zone.
💬 Reminder: I’m not forcing my TP; you’re the boss of your own bag — make your profits, then take them! 💰
📈 Why This Setup Works:
🧠 Technical Confirmation: MA breakout = bullish continuation in progress.
🎯 Layering Strategy: Multiple limit orders reduce average cost + improve flexibility.
🏗️ Structural Setup: Clear accumulation → breakout → markup pattern emerging.
🧩 Exit Logic: Resistance + trap-zone = high-probability exit zone for profit capture.
🌍 Related Assets to Watch (Correlation Check):
💹 NYMEX:NG1! — Natural Gas futures benchmark, strong global mirror.
AMEX:UNG — U.S. NatGas ETF; sentiment confirmation.
🛢️ BLACKBULL:WTI / BLACKBULL:BRENT — closely tied to energy flow; when oil strengthens, gas often follows.
⚡ TVC:DXY — dollar strength can inversely impact commodity demand.
💵 FX:EURUSD — macro correlation to risk appetite across energy & FX.
Keep eyes on these pairs — their momentum helps confirm or contradict your NatGas bias. 👀
📌 Key Takeaways:
✅ Trend Bias: Bullish
💪 Setup Type: Swing / Day Trade hybrid
🧮 Risk : Reward: Favorable above 1 : 3
⏳ Holding Window: Short-term → Mid-term (2 – 5 days typical)
🧭 Trade Management: Stick to your plan — don’t chase, layer smart.
⚠️ Pro Tip:
If price breaks below 3.350, it’s a signal to step aside — no hero moves. 🛑
Price structure > emotions. Stay patient, and let the plan do the heavy lifting. 🧘♂️
✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!”
#NaturalGas #XNGUSD #EnergyTrading #SwingTrading #DayTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #BreakoutStrategy #CommodityTrading #ForexTrading #TradingIdeas #RiskManagement #MarketAnalysis #EnergyMarkets #TradingView #ChartAnalysis
Weekly Market Forecast: Indices Are Weak! Wait For Sells!In this Weekly Market Forecast, we will analyze the S&P 500, NASDAQ, Gold and Silver futures, for the week of Nov 24-29th.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
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Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
Potential bullish bounce?Gold (XAU/USD) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance which is a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 3,928.53
1st Support: 3,823.55
1st Resistance: 4,200.91
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USOIL: Bullish Continuation
It is essential that we apply multitimeframe technical analysis and there is no better example of why that is the case than the current USOIL chart which, if analyzed properly, clearly points in the upward direction.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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