Is Silver in Trouble?On 26 January this year, silver experienced a drop of more than 13% within a four-hour period—potentially the largest intraday decline in its history.
The daily chart also closed with an inverted pattern.
So what am I seeing from this move?
And what is my strategy for these precious metals for the rest of 2026?
100-Ounce Silver Futures
Ticker: SIC
Minimum fluctuation:
0.01 per troy ounce = $1.00
Disclaimer:
• What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker.
• Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises.
CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
Commodities
OIL analysis, What will happen given the tensions ?The price is moving inside an ascending channel, which can push it higher. Now and in the future, as tensions in the Middle East increase, we should expect energy prices to rise. This upward pressure on prices will likely continue until the tensions come to an end.
Best regards CobraVanguard.💚
Give me some energy !!
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Gold Is Not Reversing — This Is the Setup Traders Wait ForHello, I’m Amelia.
Looking closely at the H1 chart, gold is continuing to trade inside a well-defined ascending channel, and the overall structure remains clearly bullish. Price has just completed a strong impulsive leg to the upside and is now trading close to the upper half of the channel. This kind of price behavior tells me one thing very clearly: the trend is still strong, but momentum has temporarily run ahead of its short-term support. In these conditions, the market rarely moves in a straight line — a controlled pullback is often needed to rebuild buying strength before the next advance.
From a fundamental standpoint, the move higher is well supported. According to the latest market focus on Forex Factory, traders remain cautious ahead of upcoming US data and further guidance from the Federal Reserve. While some Fed officials continue to push back against aggressive rate-cut expectations, the broader narrative remains one of policy uncertainty and fragile confidence in the US Dollar. At the same time, ongoing geopolitical risks and persistent demand for safe-haven assets continue to underpin gold, as highlighted across major outlets such as Bloomberg and Reuters. This creates an environment where gold does not need aggressive bullish news to rise — it only needs the absence of a strong bearish catalyst.
The zone I am watching most closely sits around 5,200–5,180. In momentum-driven uptrends like this, the market often follows a familiar rhythm: a sharp expansion higher, followed by a pullback toward dynamic support — typically the midline of the channel or a prior demand area — and then a decision point. If price pulls back into this zone and buyers defend it convincingly, the bullish structure remains clean and intact. Under that scenario, I would expect gold to resume its upward path and challenge the 5,300 area, which stands out as the next psychological and technical objective.
At this stage, I see no technical or fundamental evidence of a trend reversal. Any short-term weakness should be treated as corrective rather than distributive. For me, the priority remains patience — allowing price to come back to value before aligning with the dominant flow.
Wishing you disciplined execution and successful trading.
Why Did Natural Gas Fall by 50 % in One Day ? - AnalysisWhat you’re seeing is not a real 50% collapse in natural gas prices, but a futures contract rollover effect. Natural gas trades in monthly contracts, and each month has its own price based on expected supply, demand, and especially weather risk. The February contract often carries a big premium in winter because of heating demand and cold-weather risks, while the March contract can trade much lower if those risks are expected to ease. When trading platforms switch from showing the expiring February contract to the March one, it can look like a massive price drop, but in reality, it’s just a shift from one contract to another with different fundamentals.
If you had an open position, you would not automatically lose 50% just because of this chart change. Your profit or loss is calculated based on the specific contract you traded (e.g., February gas), not the new one displayed. A large loss would only occur if your position was actually closed and reopened in the new contract at the lower price, which is a rollover transaction, not a market crash. So the dramatic percentage drop you see is mostly a visual effect of switching contracts, not natural gas suddenly becoming half as valuable.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any securities. Asset prices, valuations, and performance metrics are subject to change and may be outdated. Always conduct your own due diligence and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions. The information presented may contain inaccuracies and should not be solely relied upon for financial decisions. I am not a licensed financial advisor or professional trader. I am not personally liable for your own losses; this is not financial advice.
Bitcoin versus Gold 3DAY Chart almost at support!Bitcoin/Gold on 3DAY timeframe is approaching key support at the 1.272 fib extension level, which is also a bullish butterfly harmonic target. Very likely we see some kind of bounce at least in the short term, with potential for a massive reversal to new highs for BTC against Gold coming if the harmonic pattern plays out.
New Analysis – West Texas Oil (WTI)Those who follow my work know that we have posted multiple oil analyses in a row,
all of them successful, closed with high reward ratios ✅
But let me be very clear:
❌ I’m not part of OPEC
❌ I’m not a politician
❌ I don’t have access to political or economic decisions
No one knows what’s really going on in Powell’s mind,
what Trump plans to do with Iran,
or what the future holds for Venezuela, Cuba, or others.
📌 These are market drivers,
but we have zero access to policymakers’ decision rooms.
We are simply small traders,
trying to extract profits from opportunities — nothing more.
🔎 In this analysis, after making solid profits,
I’m willing to risk a small portion of those gains.
This setup carries higher risk, and that’s fully intentional.
📉 At the moment,
we are sitting at a good area to sell oil.
🔁 If this level breaks,
as always,
I’ll wait for a pullback and look for a long position.
🎯 No bias, no predictions — just following the market.
🌹 Stay safe & stay profitable
West Texas Oil (WTI)Those who follow my work know that we have shorted oil multiple times and successfully built profits.
In my previous post, I clearly mentioned the final short target, and price reached it perfectly.
🔁 Now the situation has changed, and I see a buying opportunity on the
chart.
We are traders —
we build profits from opportunities, not from bias.
I entered a long position at lower levels, and in my view, this area still offers a valid buying opportunity.
As I always say:
I’m not a political analyst, not an oil analyst, and not an OPEC member.
I’m simply a trader who follows a clear rule:
Price reaches my level and gives a signal → I buy
The level breaks and gives the opposite signal → I sell
📉📈 I don’t care whether the market goes up or down.
There is no bias here.
An opportunity is identified, execution is done,
and the rest is up to the market.
❗️Never try to stand in front of the market
and tell it where it should go because of a trendline
or an indicator.
The market moves ruthlessly in its own direction —
and if you fight it, you’ll only be left watching.
🎯 Real trading skill is finding a way to move with the market,
even when it doesn’t agree with you.
🌹 Stay safe & stay profitable
Gold Weekly Levels: Break above 5055/5065 → 5210/5220🔱 GOLD WEEKLY SNAPSHOT — EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
✨ Bulls remain in control as price pushes toward overhead liquidity
🟡 Key unlock level: 5055–5065 — a clean break and acceptance above opens continuation fuel
🚀 Breakout continuation objective: 5210–5220 primary upside objective and overshoot zone
🧲 Fresh overhead sell-side liquidity: 5055–5065 then 5210–5220 high-probability magnet zones
🔄 Expectation after 5210–5220: profit-taking wave and corrective rotation lower into fresh buy-side pools
🛡 Transition pivot: 5210–5220 where longs should be exiting and reversal stalking begins
⚠️ Bears’ post-extension objectives: 4875–4885 then 4775–4785 — fresh buy-side liquidity targets below
🎯 Strategy this week: trade the breakout into 5210–5220, then shift mindset to correction timing
🏦 Core play: don’t chase highs inside 5210–5220; scale out into target, then stalk confirmed reversal
🗳️ Gold Weekly Scenarios — What’s Your Play?
Which path do you have for XAUUSD next week?
🅰️ Hold above and accept through 5055–5065 → breakout triggers → run to 5210–5220
🅱️ Early-week stall at 5055–5065 → brief pullback → reclaim and acceptance → squeeze into 5210–5220
🅲 Direct drive into 5210–5220 → reversal confirmed → correction targets 4875–4885 then 4775–4785
🅳 Your key level: 5055–5065
GOLD - The market bought the dip. ATH retest. 5150?FX:XAUUSD , after an aggressive rally, faced a correction (profit-taking) near 5100. However, the market is quickly buying back the decline and is once again storming the ATH with the aim of continuing its growth.
Fundamental situation
- Trump continues to escalate relations with Canada (new tariffs) and maintains tensions with the EU...
- Russia-Ukraine negotiations in Abu Dhabi ended without result, which maintains geopolitical risks.
- The Fed meeting (decision on January 31) will be the main event of the week. Rates are expected to remain unchanged, but Powell's tone could cause volatility. However, the market expects two Fed rate cuts in 2026.
Technically, the market has the potential to continue its movement due to fundamental support.
Resistance levels: 5100, 5111, 5125, 5150
Support levels: 5075, 5055
In the current situation, it is logical to consider two scenarios:
- steady growth without pullbacks and a storming of resistance could lead to a breakout of 5100 and an upward momentum. Local target 5125-5150
- retest of the liquidity zone (long-squeeze) 5075 - 5055 before continuing growth
Best regards, R. Linda!
THE DOLLAR IS CRACKING | HISTORIC 4-YEAR LOWS 🚨 THE DOLLAR IS CRACKING | HISTORIC 4-YEAR LOWS 🚨
The TVC:DXY (USD Index) has officially reached a critical tipping point. We haven't seen these levels in 4 years, and the global markets are feeling the heat. This is the definition of a "Make or Break" zone.
📉 THE CRITICAL LEVEL: 94
The dollar is currently hovering at 96. If we see a weekly candle close below 94, the dollar officially enters a structural breakdown.
* If it breaks: It will be "hard" to ever recover that ground.
* The Result: A massive capital flight into hard assets—most notably GOLD.
💰 MARKET SNAPSHOT (TODAY):
* 💵 USD Index: 96.00
* 🟡 GOLD: $5,266
* ⚪️ SILVER: $115.2
* 📈 Nasdaq: 26,210
* 💷 GBP/USD: 1.3812
* 🇦🇪 XAU/AED: 19312
THOUGHTS: The inverse correlation is screaming. As the Dollar loses its grip, Gold and Silver are entering a new era of price discovery. This week's close determines the next decade of macro trends.
Stay sharp. Stay hedged. 🛡
---
✨ ✨
The pulse of the markets.
XAU/USD | Going strong! (READ THE CAPTION)By examining the Hourly chart of Gold, we can see that Gold has been on bullish run and still shows no evidence of slowing down or for a reversal. I expect a little bit of correction before going for the next targets.
For the time being, the targets are: 5111, 5141, 5171 and 5200.
Hellena | Oil (4H): LONG to resistance area 62.545.Colleagues, after a strong upward movement, I decided to observe the price and understand what is happening.
Now I believe that this movement resembles the beginning of an “ABC” correction, which means that the higher-order wave “A” ended at 54.956.
This means that we can expect the upward movement to continue at least to the resistance area of 62.545.
A correction to the support area of 58.890 is possible.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Gold Bullish Outlook - Buy Zone & 5200 TargetGold remains in a clear bullish market structure. Price is trading well above the rising long term trendline and has already confirmed multiple Break of Structure showing strong institutional buying interest. After the impulsive rally from the 4550-4620 base price paused briefly in consolidation and then expanded higher validating the continuation trend rather than a distribution phase.
Currently gold is undergoing a healthy corrective pullback after testing the resistance near 5094. The pullback is aligning perfectly with the premium discount zone where the 4840-4760 overlaps with previous structure support and trendline confluence. This strongly suggests the move is corrective not a trend reversal.
As long as price holds above 4760 the bullish structure remains intact and this pullback should be treated as a buy the dip opportunity. A strong bullish rejection from the buy zone or a confirmed 4H close back above 4970 would signal continuation toward higher targets.
From a fundamental perspective gold continues to be supported by persistent geopolitical risks global economic uncertainty and expectations of looser US monetary policy going forward. The market is increasingly pricing in slower US growth which keeps real yields under pressure and limits USD strength both positive for gold.
Additionally ongoing central bank gold accumulation and safe-haven demand further strengthen the upside bias. Unless we see a surprise hawkish shift from the Federal Reserve or a sharp USD rebound downside moves in gold are likely to remain corrective and short lived.
Trade Plan:
Buy Zone: 4840 – 4800
Buy Trigger: Bullish rejection from the buy zone or a strong 4H close above 4970
Targets: 5095 → 5172 → 5200
Invalidation: Sustained 4H close below 4760
Note
Please risk management in trading is a Key so use your money accordingly. If you like the idea then please like and boost. Thank you and Good Luck!
Gold Short Analysis – Bullish Trend & TradeGold remains bullish but corrective on the 1H chart, trading within a rising channel. Price has reacted from the 4960-4980 demand zone and is attempting to hold above the trendline support. As long as this zone holds the overall structure favors continuation higher though a brief pullback or consolidation is still possible before the next leg up.
Trade Plan:
Buy Zone: 4980 – 4960
Buy Trigger: Bullish rejection from the buy zone or a strong 1H/4H close above 5100
Targets: 5,100 → 5,165 → 5,210
Invalidation: Sustained break and close below 4,940
Fundamentally gold is supported by geopolitical uncertainty expectations of a more accommodative Fed stance and ongoing pressure on the US dollar and real yields. Any risk-off sentiment or weaker US data can further fuel upside while only a sharp USD rebound or hawkish surprises may slow the bullish momentum.
Note
Please risk management in trading is a Key so use your money accordingly. If you like the idea then please like and boost. Thank you and Good Luck!
#USDJPY , Follow it !📊 Morning Market Brief | London Session Prep
🔎 Instrument Focus: #USDJPY
⚠️ Risk Environment: High
📈 Technical Overview:
Crazy moves by USDINDEX and it keep dropping so lets be same way of Momentum
ENTRY ONLY AND ONLY BY LTF entry sign
🚀 Trading Plan:
• LTF ENTRY NEEDED
• Just and Only for QuickScalp
🧠 Stay updated with real time news and macro events, visit 👉 @News_Ash_TheTrader_Bot
#Ash_TheTrader #Forex #EURUSD #MarketInsight #PriceAction #TradingPlan #RiskManagement #LondonSession #Scalping #Futures #NQ #Gold
Gold Price Analysis - XAUUSD Near Premium ZoneGold remains in a strong bullish structure trading inside a well defined ascending channel. Price has recently pushed into the upper premium zone near 4960-4970. Momentum is slowing here and the rejection wicks suggest buying pressure is fading at the channel top. Structurally the trend is still bullish but price is extended and vulnerable to a healthy pullback. Key retracement levels at 4850, 4813 and 4777 aligning well with the channel midline and prior structure making them strong magnet zones if a correction unfolds. As long as price holds above the lower channel and 4760-4780 demand the broader bullish bias remains intact.
Trade Plan:
Sell Zone: 4950 - 4970
Sell Trigger: 4900 - 4930. Only valid once an H1 candle closes bearish and breaks back below the prior H1 structure
Targets: 4850 – 4813 – 4777
Invalidation: A clean H1 close above 4985 with momentum invalidates the short idea and signals bullish continuation toward 5000+
Buy the dip not the top. Wait for confirmation inside 4770-4750. Structure favors continuation toward 4950+.
Note
Please risk management in trading is a Key so use your money accordingly. If you like the idea then please like and boost. Thank you and Good Luck!
Stop!Loss|Market View: SILVER🙌 Stop!Loss team welcomes you❗️
In this post, we're going to talk about the near-term outlook for SILVER ☝️
Potential trade setup:
🔔Entry level: 115.78874
💰TP: 92.94021
⛔️SL: 125.46576
"Market View" - a brief analysis of trading instruments, covering the most important aspects of the FOREX market.
👇 In the comments 👇 you can type the trading instrument you'd like to analyze, and we'll talk about it in our next posts.
💬 Description: Metals are still considered for short-term buy, but given today's Fed meeting and its interest rate decision, prices could reverse sharply based on Powell's potential rhetoric. Rhetoric favoring keeping rates unchanged would allow buyers to lock in after the rally, thereby triggering a correction in silver toward the 95 level. Selling is only considered in this scenario, and most likely during the Fed press conference itself.
Thanks for your support 🚀
Profits for all ✅
Gold Is Not Overextended — This Pullback Is the Setup Before ATHGold is not rejecting at the highs; it is rebalancing after an impulsive breakout. The current pullback is technically healthy, showing controlled candles and overlapping price action as price rotates back into a prior breakout support zone aligned with the rising EMA. There is no structural breakdown, no displacement to the downside, and no acceptance below support all signs of correction, not distribution. From a liquidity perspective, this dip is clearing weak longs and attracting premature shorts while larger players accumulate at demand. As long as this support holds, the dominant bullish structure remains intact, and the path of least resistance continues toward a new all-time high, supported by the broader macro backdrop of easing expectations, persistent geopolitical risk, and ongoing central bank demand.
Gold Tests Buy-Side Liquidity — Rotation or Continuation?OANDA:XAUUSD | Daily Smart Money Plan – H1
Gold remains within a well-defined bullish structure after a strong multi-session expansion. Price is now trading deep in premium, hovering just below the recent highs around 5,110–5,116, where external buy-side liquidity has already been engineered and partially tapped.
Today’s price action is unfolding against a hot macro backdrop:
Markets are reacting to renewed Fed rate-path uncertainty, unstable U.S. yields, and ongoing geopolitical risk, all of which continue to fuel safe-haven interest in gold. While headlines can amplify volatility, Smart Money execution on H1 suggests distribution and rebalancing, not aggressive continuation.
Rather than accelerating higher, price is compressing near highs — a classic signal that institutions may be selling strength before guiding price back into value.
Market Structure & Liquidity Context
Higher-timeframe bias remains bullish
Prior BOS confirms trend strength
Recent CHoCH signals transition from impulse → rotation
External buy-side liquidity has been tested above 5,100
Clear discount draw rests below at H1 demand + imbalance
Market logic favors premium delivery → discount mitigation
➡️ News creates volatility, but liquidity defines direction
Key Trading Scenarios
🔴 Sell Reaction at Premium (Primary Scenario)
5,108 – 5,116
SL: 5,125
Confluence:
External liquidity near recent highs
Premium pricing in mature bullish leg
Weak follow-through after liquidity grab
Rejection or lack of acceptance here favors a corrective rotation.
🟢 Buy Reaction at Discount (Scenario A)
4,995 – 4,980
SL: 4,970
Prior H1 support + order block
Liquidity buy zone shown on chart
Ideal area for bullish continuation after confirmation
🟢 Buy Reaction at Deeper Discount (Scenario B)
4,950 – 4,948 (FVG)
SL: 4,940
Unmitigated imbalance
Deeper liquidity sweep if premium fully unwinds
High-probability Smart Money reload zone
Invalidation
Sustained H1 acceptance above 5,125 invalidates the corrective thesis and opens continuation toward higher expansion targets.
Expectation & Bias
This is not a breakout-chasing environment
Liquidity comes before direction
Acceptance = continuation
Rejection = rotation
Execution > Prediction
💬 Will Gold accept value above 5,110 on Fed-driven volatility — or return to discount for rebalancing first?
Gold’s Parabolic Advance Is Losing Time — Not TrendTODAY'S LIMITED STRATEGY JAN 27
Intraday trading: Adjust
📌 SET UP 1. Timming Sell Zone
XAUUSD SELL ZONE: 5145 - 5148
💰 Take Profit(TP): 5142 - 5137
❎ Stoploss(SL): 5152
Note capital management to ensure account safety
📌 SET UP 2. Timming Buy Zone
XAUUSD BUY ZONE: 4980 - 4983
💰 Take Profit(TP): 4986 - 4991
❎ Stoploss(SL): 4976
Note: capital management to ensure account safety
Gold is still trading inside a strong bullish cycle, but this chart shows the market is transitioning from expansion to timing correction, not straight continuation. The impulsive leg completed a clear Elliott Wave 1–5 sequence, with Wave (5) topping near the upper Fibonacci arc and psychological exhaustion zone. Price is now reacting below that curvature resistance, signaling momentum deceleration, not structural failure. From a technical perspective, the Fibonacci arcs + measured impulse suggest price has entered an ABC corrective phase, where liquidity is rebalanced before the next directional decision. The key level to watch is the ~4,920–4,980 zone, which aligns with prior structure, Fib confluence, and corrective Wave (C) potential this is where continuation is either validated or the cycle pauses deeper.
From a macro lens, gold remains structurally supported by rate-cut expectations, persistent geopolitical risk, and central bank accumulation, but markets never move in straight lines. Strong macro trends still require technical resets to reload positioning. This is why pullbacks during bull cycles are often violent but corrective, designed to flush late longs before continuation. If buyers defend the corrective zone and reclaim momentum, the longer-term upside toward new ATHs above 5,280 remains intact. Until then, this is a timing market, not a direction market patience matters more than prediction.
Is Not Reversing — It’s Deciding Where the Next ATH StartsOANDA:XAUUSD just printed a sharp pullback after failing to hold above the ATH range, but structurally this is not a breakdown. Price is currently reacting around the prior breakout support, while the deeper demand zone below remains untested, acting as a liquidity magnet if downside continuation occurs. From a technical standpoint, this is a classic post impulse correction: strong expansion → distribution near highs → liquidity sweep → decision point . If buyers defend the current support and reclaim the ATH range, continuation toward the next upside target is back on the table; however, failure here likely sends price into the demand zone to rebalance inefficiencies before the next leg. Macro wise, gold still benefits from rate-cut expectations, geopolitical risk, and central bank accumulation but price still needs liquidity before expansion. This is not a prediction chart. it’s a conditional map: hold support and break ATH = continuation; lose support = deeper reset before the real move.






















