XAUUSD 4H MA50 break signals lower prices.Gold (XAUUSD) has been trading within a Channel Up in the past 1.5 month. Within this pattern, every time the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) broke downwards, the price tested the Higher Lows trend-line.
As a result, we expect Gold to reach 4115 next, which will be an interesting cluster as marginally below will be the Support Zone o the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) and more importantly the 1D MA50 (red trend-line). That will most likely decide the long-term trend.
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Commoditysignals
USOIL H1 | Bullish Bounce Off Pullback SupportMomentum: Bullish
The price is falling towards the buy entry which is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement which adds a significant strength to this level.
Buy entry: 58.22
Pullback support
Slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement
Stop loss: 57.75
Pullback support
Aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement
Take profit: 59.48
Overlap resistance
High Risk Investment Warning
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ), Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
Could we see a breakout?Gold (XAU/USD) is reacting off the pivot which has been identified as a pullback support and a breakout of this level could lead the price to fall to the 1st support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Pivot: 4,181.10
1st Support: 4,093.59
1st Resistance: 4,253.96
Disclaimer:
The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party
XAUUSD M30 | Potential Bearish DropMomentum: Bearish
The price has rejected off the sell entry which aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Sell entry: 4,216.95
Pullback resistance
38.2% Fibonacci retracement
Stop loss: 4,232.07
Pullback resitance
61.8% Fibonacci retracement
Take profit: 4,180.67
Pullback support
61.8% FIbonacci projection
High Risk Investment Warning
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ), Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
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Bearish reversal off overlap resistance?WTI Oil (XTI/USD) is rising towards the pivot, which is an overlap resistance and could reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 62.24
1st Support: 56.51
1st Resistance: 65.75
Disclaimer:
The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party.
PALLADIUM Channel Up starting a new 2-month Bullish Leg.Palladium (XPDUSD) has been trading within a Channel Up since almost the start of the year. Its latest October 16 Higher High started a pull-back (Bearish Leg) that found support recently on its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line).
As with the Bearish Leg before, it also almost reached the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level, so there is valid ground for an upward reversal into the new Bullish Leg technically. With the two previous Bullish Legs rising by +50%, we expect a similar development, targeting $2000, which is also the 1.5 Fibonacci extension (as with the last Bullish Leg).
Notice also that the 1D MACD just formed a Bullish Cross, similar to September 02, which started the previous Bullish Leg.
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XAUUSD H4 | Bullish Continuation In PLayMomentum: Bullish
Price has reacted off the buy entry and is currently trading above the Ichimoku cloud.
Buy Entry: 4,205.99
Pullback support
Stop Loss: 4,164.10
Pullback support
Slightly below the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement
Take Profit: 4,265.40
Swing-high resistance
High Risk Investment Warning
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ), Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
Bullish continuation?Gold (XAU/USD) could fall to the pivot, which acts as a pullback support, and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 4,146.41
1st Support: 4,085.30
1st Resistance: 4,264.13
Disclaimer:
The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party.
NATURAL GAS broke parabolically and the rise won't stop here.Back in late August (see chart below), we gave a bold strong buy signal on Natural Gas (NG), right at the very bottom of its Higher Lows structure:
As you can see, it is well on its way to hitting our 6.400 Target as it rose parabolically.
This time, we revisit NG's multi-year Cycles, a chart we first coined years ago that became quite popular in the energy sector. This is because we feel that this recent 3-month parabolic rise opens the way to an even higher, than anticipated before, Cycle Top.
The 1M RSI turning overbought (above 70.00) is the trigger and we believe that by that time Natural Gas could be as high as 8.000. Basically since 2000, it has only failed to price a Cycle Top without the 1M RSI hitting 70.00, once.
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Could we se a reversal from here?Gold (XAU/USD) is reacting off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support which aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Pivot: 4,263.04
1st Support: 4,097.06
1st Resistance: 4,364.63
Disclaimer:
The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party.
XAUUSD Another correction below 3900 is likely.Last week (November 24, see chart below), we gave a buy signal on Gold (XAUUSD), which has already hit Target 1 at $4180 and is about to hit Target 2 at $4275:
This time we move on to the longer time-frames, namely the 1W, where Gold's 2-year Channel Up suggests that another correction is likely at this point.
The reason is the 1D MA100 (black trend-line), which Gold has hit 3 times out of the 4 corrections it has had within this 2-year pattern. October's pull-back saw it pull-back just above the 1D MA50 (red trend-line) but it didn't break, something that always happened during these past corrections.
At the same time, it is very likely to hit the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level (has done so 2 out of 4 times) once the 1D MA100 contact is made, which gives us a medium-term Target at $3860. That would make a perfect Higher Low on the Channel Up.
Notice also how during the past 3 corrections, the 1W RSI always hit the Support Zone. If this is get hit before the price reaches $3860, it is technically a good idea to take profit earlier.
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Heading into key resistance?WTI Oil (XTI/USD) is rising towards the pivot, which acts as an overlap resitance and could reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 62.24
1st Support: 56.51
1st Resistance: 65.75
Disclaimer:
The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party.
USOIL H1 | Bearish Reversal Off key ResistanceMomentum: Bearish
The price is rising towards the sell entry, which aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci projection.
Sell entry: 59.31
Pullback resistance
61.8% Fibonacci projection
Stop loss: 60.03
Pullback resistance
145% Fibonacci extension
Take profit: 58.16
Pullback support
High Risk Investment Warning
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ), Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
Heading into key resistance?Gold (XAU/USD) is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the 1st support, which acts as an overlap support.
Pivot: 4,221.15
1st Support: 4,027.94
1st Resistance: 4,364.63
Disclaimer:
The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party.
XAGUSD H4 | Bullish RiseMomentum: Bullish
The price has reacted off the buy entry, which is a pullback support.
Buy entry: 50.84
Pullback support
Stop loss: 49.39
Pullback support
Take profit: 54.09
SWing high resistance
145% Fibonacci extension
High Risk Investment Warning
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ), Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
Bearish reversal off 61.8% FIbonacci resistance?Gold (XAU/USD) is reacting off the pivot, which is a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 4,147.61
1st Support: 4,093.63
1st Resistance: 4,219.46
Disclaimer:
The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party.
Could we see a reversal from here?XAU/USD has reacted off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 4,156.76
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss:4,195.51
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 4,099.93
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
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XAUUSD starting a new short-term Bullish LegGold (XAUUSD) is testing today once more its 4H MA50 (blue trend-line). Having held the Higher Lows trend-line two times already since the November 13 pull-back, a second break above the 4H MA50 can technically confirm a quick test of the Lower Highs trend-line of the Triangle. As a result, our short-term Target is 4180 (also just below the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level).
A closing above the Lower Highs trend-line, potentially means the emergence of a Channel Up (blue), in which case we will re-buy the first 4H pull-back and have a final Target at 4275 (the 0.786 Fib). Long-term we believe Gold is going to have a bearish 2026.
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Potential bullish bounce?Gold (XAU/USD) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance which is a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 3,928.53
1st Support: 3,823.55
1st Resistance: 4,200.91
Disclaimer:
The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party.
XAGUSD Is it on the brink of a Bear Cycle?Silver (XAGUSD) has formed the same kind of 1W RSI peak pattern as the one that marked the August 2020 Top of the previous Bull Cycle.
The confirmation signal for the Top on that Bull Cycle following an impressive 4-month rally (similar to the July - September 2025 one), was the price breaking below the 1D MA50 (red trend-line).
When that took place, the price violently dropped to the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level. As a result, if we get again a 1D MA50 break-out (which is being tested persistently and holding), we expect Silver to start a new Bear Cycle and quickly decline to 38.000 (Fib 0.382). On the longer term, we may even see a bottom as low as 30.500 (Fib 0.618) based on the July - October 2022 bottom formation of the previous Bear Cycle.
Perhaps the most optimal indicator to call the bottom, hence the most optimal long-term buy, is the 1W RSI getting oversold at 30.00 as it happened perfectly another 3 times in the past 7 years.
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XAGUSD H4 | Falling Towards 61.8% Fibonacci SupportMomentum: Bullish
Price action is currently retracing toward the buy entry level, which aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement, an area that often acts as a strong reaction zone.
Buy Entry: 48.75
Strong overlap support
61.8% Fibonacci retracement confluence
Stop Loss: 47.50
Pullback support
78.6% Fibonacci retracement
Take Profit: 51.00
Pullback resistance
High Risk Investment Warning
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ), Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
SILVER H4 | Bearish Reversal Off 61.8% Fibonacci ResistanceMomentum: Bearish
The price has rejected the sell-entry level, which aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement, reinforcing the bearish bias.
Sell Entry: 52.170
Pullback resistance
61.8% Fibonacci retracement
Stop Loss: 54.04
Swing-high resistance
Take Profit: 49.47
Strong overlap support
High Risk Investment Warning
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ), Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits.
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Potential bullish reversal?WTI Oil (XTI/USD) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 61.8% Fibonacci resistance.
Pivot: 59.38
1st Support: 59.01
1st Resistance: 60.16
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