Gold (XAUUSD) followed our January 08 buy signal (see chart below) and rebounded on the 1D MA50, easily hitting the 2040 Target: This time we have a distinct technical formation arising as the pair is forming the first 4H Death Cross since September 28 2023. In fact, the price action is very similar to the Death Cross that was formed a few days prior that...
WTI Oil (USOIL) has hit today the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time since October 24 2023. Today's analysis is on the 1W time-frame but we have explained the reasoning behind a long-term buy once the 1D MA50 would break, a month ago (December 19, see idea below): That Buy Zone offers a low risk action ground for longs and as you can see on today's...
Natural Gas (NG1!) is having a strong bearish reversal since the January 09 High, which on this 1D time-frame can be identified as a Lower High on a 3-month Channel Down pattern. On top of that, the 1D RSI got overbought above 70.00 and is correcting. This appears to be the new Bearish Leg of the Channel Down and we expect it to last around 1 month. Our Target is...
Gold (XAUUSD) followed the Channel Up 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) rejection pattern and as per our last week's idea (January 04, see chart below), it hit today our 2020 Target: The price is now only a few pips away from hitting the 1D MA50 (red trend-line) which has been untouched since October 13 2023 and near which both previous Higher Lows on the Channel's...
Natural Gas has been so far following the sell strategy we shared with you a month ago (December 04, see chart below), having already hit one Target (2.425): Yesterday the price hit the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and managed to close the 1D candle below it, which stands out as the most efficient sell opportunity since the October 27 2023 High. Technically we...
Gold (XAUUSD) eventually did get rejected on the 0.618 Fibonacci level as per our last week analysis (see chart below): This is so far consistent with all previous All Time Highs since August 2020 and our long-term target remains 1975. On the shorter term though we see a quick sell opportunity following today's bounce after the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line)...
WTI Oil (USOIL) got rejected two days ago near the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), which has been the downward Resistance since October 24, despite the fact that the price marginally broke above the 3-month Channel Down. As long as it stays below the 1D MA50, the trend is bearish and we will target the 68.00 Low. On the long-term though, this is a huge Buy Zone since...
Gold (XAUUSD) hasn't so far diverged from the previous two ATH peak patterns (March 08 2022 and August 07 2020) as following this Cycle's new All Time High, it got heavily sold to the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), which held and initiated a price rebound. This rebound sequence is now approaching the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level, which is where the Lower Highs...
Wheat (ZW1!) has been trading within a Channel Down pattern since July 2022 and since early December has failed repeatedly to detach itself above the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line). Since it is closer to the top (Lower Highs trend-line) of the pattern and it resembles the February 14 High, we expect a strong selling sequence if the price breaks below the 1D MA50...
WTI Oil (USOIL) hit our 73.50 short-term Target that we called on December 07 (see chart below) but remains within the 2 -month Channel Down: On the wider 1D time-frame, we can clearly see that the price is still inside the 9-month Buy Zone. The tendency is that when the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) breaks after dipping within the zone, the price approaches the...
Gold (XAUUSD) eventually delivered the expected rejection and pull-back after hitting the 0.786 Fibonacci level as we presented on our December 04 idea (see chart below): The All Time High (ATH) candle turned out to be a fake-out, liquidating countless of late buy positions at the top as well as stop losses on sells. If we ignore that non-technical candle...
Gasoline (RB1!) has had a strong 3-day rise last week but that is still contained within the bearish barriers of a Channel Down. However during this whole pattern, the 1D RSI has been developing a Channel Up, hence a Bullish Divergence for the price. As a result, we will look to the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) for a break-out signal and if the price closes a 1D...
Palladium (XPDUSD) has been trading within a Channel Down pattern since the October 04 2022 High. Today though, the price broke, marginally so far, above it for the first time after a strong post-Fed 1D candle. This rise was initiated on a Lower Lows trend-line but on an underlying Bullish Divergence as the 1D RSI was during the same period on Higher Lows. This...
Unfortunately, Gold has taken an unexpected turn, deviating from my initial expectations. It appears that the previous upward impulse might be an extension of Wave 1. To maintain my bullish outlook, it's crucial for us to remain above $1810; any breach below this level would invalidate the bullish scenario. However, if our interpretation aligns with a Wave 2...
Gold (XAUUSD) eventually delivered the expected rejection and pull-back after hitting the 0.786 Fibonacci level as we presented on our December 04 idea (see chart below): That Monday candle turned out to be a fake-out, liquidating countless of late buy positions at the top as well as stop losses on sells. If we ignore that non-technical candle wick, we can...
Gold (XAUUSD) is trading exactly at the bottom of the 2-month Channel Up, restrained below the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line), which ahead of today's Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report is getting increasing dangerous. Technically, as long as the Channel Up holds, the current level is the most optimal buy opportunity for another +11.00% bullish sequence (as the previous two...
WTI Oil (USOIL) eventually hit our 71.00 target we set last week (see chart below) upon the dotted Channel Up break-out: The price is now attempting a rebound following the breach of the 1W MA200 (red trend-line), which is a typical procedure throughout 2023 and delivers a strong rebound. However, we we will our perspective short-term until the Channel Down...
Last time we looked at Copper (HG1!) 1.5 months ago (October 24), we caught the most optimal bottom buy signal: The price action didn't only hit our Target but also broke above both the January 18 2023 Lower Highs trend-line and the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line). The rejection that took place on Monday though, is giving rise to a new Falling Wedge pattern with...