Platinum (XPTUSD) has been trading within a (very) long-term Triangle pattern since the September 24 2020 Low. That was the low that initiated a massive rally to the February 16 2021 High that started the long-term Lower Highs trend-line, which lastly rejected the price November 11 2022. The 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) is the key here. As long as it holds, there...
The WTI Oil (USOIL) almost turned oversold on its 1D RSI today and the last time it approached the 30.000 level was on September 26. That was the low of the multi-month downtrend, with Oil making a counter trend rebound to 93.65 in just 10 days! On the short-term, the Resistance that has been intact since November 15 is the 4H MA50 (red trend-line). Breaking...
Gold (XAUUSD) broke and closed above the 4H MA50 (red trend-line) for the first time since November 18 and turned the short-term trend bullish again. The target is the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), which is just below the 1800 psychological level, and has been unbroken since June 23. Notice how perfectly the November 23 low and rebound was made on the 0.382...
Copper (HG1!) on the 1W time-frame appears to be repeating the previous major Bear Cycle that started in 2011/12. Based on this fractal analysis, the recent 1W rejection just below the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) puts us at a proportionate level as on the February 06 2012 1W candle. Having rebounded on the 1W MA100 (green trend-line) both on the July 11 and...
Silver (XAGUSD) has been trading since September exactly like we wanted it to, as we have been tracking its long-term Channel Down pattern correctly: Our 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) target has been hit, with the price also marginally breaking above the top (Lower Highs trend-line) of the Channel Down (Fibonacci level 1.0). That doesn't call for a bullish...
Gold (XAUUSD) broke below its 4H MA50 (red trend-line) on Friday for the first time since November 04, which was when the strong rally started on the Triple Bottom. Having failed to reach the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), which is the long-term Resistance and difference maker between a long-term bullish and long-term bearish trend, this is most likely the start of...
Gold (XAUUSD) is approaching the most critical level of its long-term trend. That is the 1W MA100 (green trend-line), which is currently at 1802.69 and tends to be the deciding factor between Gold's Bull and Bear Cycles. This sample on the 1W time-frame starts from late 2009 and it shows that when Gold is in an uptrend and the 1W MA100 supports, the Bull Cycle...
The WTI Oil (USOIL) followed the exact projection we made earlier this week, as after a rebound to its 4H MA50 (blue trend-line), it got rejected again and even broke as low as the Support Zone 1: By doing so it reached the 1W MA100 (red trend-line), which is the most important long-term Support. Last time it hit that level (September 26), it made an...
TODAY’S MARKET IDEA: Cotton price looking bullish after breaking above 50 day moving average Cotton vs US Dollar current price $88.25, both rate of change 4 and 13 day above zero line (bullish); MACD above its signal line (bullish) and the fact that current price is above both its respective 20 and 50 day moving averages indicate bullish technical...
WTI Oil (USOIL) hit today the bottom of a Head and Shoulders pattern since late October. With the Head being on November 07 and rejected on the 93.75 Resistance (1), the current Low is a short-term buy opportunity, targeting the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) and the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line), as long as today's Low holds. A closing below the bottom targets the...
Gold (XAUUSD) had its strongest short-term rally since March and succeeded at breaking above its long-term bearish trend (Channel Down) and 1D MA100 (green trend-line), confirming our bullish outlook on our previous analysis: Even though it didn't hit the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), the yellow metal is already showing the first signs of exhaustion and if it...
WTI Oil (USOIL) didn't just break above its long-term Channel Down pattern on Friday, but at the same time broke and closed above its 1D MA100 (green trend-line) for the first time since July 05. That alone is the second major bullish signal on WTI, after the September 27 rebound on the 1W MA100 (red trend-line). That is something we made clear on our previous...
Gold (XAUUSD) closed on Friday above the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time since August 12 that was practically the time that the stock market made its previous High. At the same time, Gold broke and closed above both the former Channel Down and Triangle patterns that we discussed where bullish break-out signals on our past analyses. Despite the...
Gold (XAUUSD) has been trading within a Channel Down (blue) inside a Triangle pattern (dashed lines). The distinct characteristic is that the price hasn't had a 4H candle closing above the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) since October 07. Even the recent attempts that broke above it (Oct 26/27 and Nov 02) failed to close above it and dropped emphatically back below...
The WTI Oil (USOIL) rebounded on its 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) yesterday and is once again near the top (Lower Highs trend-line) of the long-term Channel Down pattern that started at the end of June. On the short-term, it has been trading within a Channel Up (dashed lines) since the October 18 Low. Naturally, the Higher Lows on the 4H RSI draw comparisons with...
Gold (XAUUSD) dropped below its 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) after failing to close a candle above the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) and remains within a Triangle pattern (dashed lines) since the September 28 Low. The 1D RSI remains on Higher Lows since that day so it gives some edge to the upside, which can come if the current short-term pattern gets confirmed as an...
WTI Oil (USOIL) broke today above its 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) after three consecutive rejections and is going for the 1D MA50 (green trend-line) test where it was rejected on October 20. A break above it would be a short-term bullish break-out signal, targeting the top (Lower Highs trend-line) of the Channel Down pattern that the commodity has been trading in...
Gold (XAUUSD) largely confirmed our sell signal below the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) on our last week analysis: 1620 was hit and the price bottomed on Lower Lows while the 4H RSI was on Higher Lows, with this Bullish Divergence signaling the most optimal buy entry. As you see, the same Bullish Divergence was formed on September 28, with Gold rebounding...