XAUUSD Approaching a critical Resistance. Trading plan ahead!

Gold (XAUUSD) has been trading within a Channel Down (blue) inside a Triangle pattern (dashed lines). The distinct characteristic is that the price hasn't had a 4H candle closing above the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) since October 07. Even the recent attempts that broke above it (Oct 26/27 and Nov 02) failed to close above it and dropped emphatically back below the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line).

As a result, a candle close above the 4H MA200 would be the first bullish signal while one above the 1D MA50 (red trend-line), which is exactly on the top (Lower Highs trend-line) of the Triangle, would confirm it. In that case, we will target the top (Lower Highs trend-line) of the long-term March 2022 Channel Down (green line). Further break-out should test the 1D MA100 (yellow trend-line). Notice how the RSI on the 1D time-frame is on Higher Lows all this time, potentially accumulating a build-up for a major bullish break-out.

However, new rejection on the 4H MA200, will maintain the short-term bearish trend within the Channel Down and target the bottom (dashed line) of the Triangle pattern.



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