XAGUSD H4 | Falling Towards 61.8% Fibonacci SupportMomentum: Bullish
Price action is currently retracing toward the buy entry level, which aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement, an area that often acts as a strong reaction zone.
Buy Entry: 48.75
Strong overlap support
61.8% Fibonacci retracement confluence
Stop Loss: 47.50
Pullback support
78.6% Fibonacci retracement
Take Profit: 51.00
Pullback resistance
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Commoditysignals
SILVER H4 | Bearish Reversal Off 61.8% Fibonacci ResistanceMomentum: Bearish
The price has rejected the sell-entry level, which aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement, reinforcing the bearish bias.
Sell Entry: 52.170
Pullback resistance
61.8% Fibonacci retracement
Stop Loss: 54.04
Swing-high resistance
Take Profit: 49.47
Strong overlap support
High Risk Investment Warning
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Potential bullish reversal?WTI Oil (XTI/USD) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 61.8% Fibonacci resistance.
Pivot: 59.38
1st Support: 59.01
1st Resistance: 60.16
Disclaimer:
The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party.
Bullish bounce off?Gold (XAU/USD) has bounced off the pivot which aligns nicely with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could potentially rise to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 4,043.08
1st Support: 3,973.06
1st Resistance: 4,149.32
Disclaimer:
The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party.
XAUUSD Far from signaling a BUY yet.Gold (XAUUSD) has been trading within a +1 year Channel Up and has found itself on a correction (Bearish Leg) since it's All Time High (ATH), which was a Higher High for the pattern, 1 month ago.
Despite this -11% Bearish Leg so far, it hasn't even broken yet below its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), which is something it has done on both previous Bearish Legs. As you can see those have been fairly similar to the current one (-10.92% and -9.32% respectively). All started after roughly +40% Bullish Legs led to those.
Notice also that both Bullish Legs had to test the 1D MA100 (green trend-line) before the started. At the same time the 1W RSI hit its Buy Zone.
As a result, Gold hasn't waved a buy signal yet.
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XAGUSD M30 | Bullish Bounce Off Fib LevelsMomentum: Bullish
The price is currently pulling back toward the buy entry level, which aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and the 61.8% Fibonacci projection, both reinforcing a strong bullish setup.
Buy Entry: 51.78
Pullback Support:
38.2% Fibonacci retracement
61.8% Fibonacci projection
Stop Loss: 51.14
Support Level:
50% Fibonacci retracement
Take Profit: 53.46
Pullback Resistance
High Risk Investment Warning
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ), Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
Potential bearish drop?WTI Oil (XTI/USD) could rise towards the pivot and could reverse to the 1st support which acts as a swing low support.
Pivot: 60.07
1st Support: 56.77
1st Resistance: 61.63
Disclaimer:
The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party.
XAGUSD H | Potential Bearish ReversalMomentum: Bearish
Price is currently reacting off the sell entry, which aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and the 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
Sel entry: 50.93
Pullback resistance
61.8% Fibonacci retracement and the 161.8% Fibonacci extension
Stop loss: 52.22
Pullback resistance
Slightly below the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement
Take profit: 49.22
Pullback support
38.2% Fibonacci retracement
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com):
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USOIL H1 | Bearish Momentum BuildingMomentum: Bearish
Price is currently retracing toward the sell entry, which aligns with the descending trendline that has been tested at least three times.
Sell entry: 60.16
Pullback resistance
Stop loss: 60.71
Pullback resistance
Take profit: 58.95
Swing low support
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Potential bullish bounce off?WTI Oil (XTI/USD) has bounced off the pivot and could rise to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 58.95
1st Support: 57.72
1st Resistance: 61.08
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
XAUUSD Has it started a Bear Cycle according to the Dollar??Gold (XAUUSD) may be rising early into the week on news of a potential U.S. government opening but remains heavily rejected from the Highs of the past 3 weeks.
At the same time, the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY illustrated by the black trend-line) has been staging its first legitimate bottom since December 2020 and is rebounding. That DXY's bottom came a few months after Gold's top for that Cycle. The result was the start of Gold's new 2-year Bear Cycle.
In fact that DXY bottoming pattern was also present in 2011, right before Gold topped this time. This suggests that the current DXY bottom has the potential to start a new multi-year rally, hence a new Bear Cycle for Gold.
This pattern is further strengthened by the fact that Gold has formed a Quadruple Top on its 1W RSI Resistance Zone, similar to both of its previous Cycle Top patterns since 2011.
Is the Dollar signaling a Bear Cycle on Gold?
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Bearish momentum to extend?WTI Oil (XTI/USD) has rejected the pivot level, which serves as a pullback resistance, and could reverse toward the 1st support.
Pivot: 61.26
1st Support: 56.38
1st Resistance: 64.62
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
XAGUSD H4 | Heading Into Key ResistanceSilver (XAG/USD) is rising towards the sell entry, which is a pullback resitance and could drop from this level to the downside.
Sell entry is at 49.35, which is a pullback resitance.
Stop loss is at 50.47, which s a pullback resistance that aligns with the 138.2% Fibonacci extension.
Take profit is at 47.01, which is a pullback support.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Poteential bullish reversal?The Gold (XAU/USD) is reacting off the pivot, which is a pullback support and could bounce to the 50% Fibonacci resistance.
Pivto: 3,952.85
1st Support: 3,800.21
1st Resistance: 4,148.52
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
XAUUSD H4 | Bullish Bounce Off Key SupportGold (XAU/USD) is falling towards the buy entry, which is an overlap support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this levle to the upside.
Buy entry is at 3,969.18, whic is an overlap support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement
Stop loss is at 3,794.07, which is an overlap support that lines up with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracemnt.
Take profit is at 4,070.26, which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
UKOIL H4 | Bullish Bounce OffBased on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is reacting off the buy entry which is a pullback support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to the upside.
Buy entry is at 63.40, which is a pullback support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement
Stop loss is at 62.64, which is a pullback support that aligns witht he 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 66.51, which is a multi swing high resitance.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
XAUUSD H4 | Bearish Drop OffGold (XAU/USD) has rejected off the sell entry, which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to the downside.
Sell entry is at 4,017.82, whic his a pullback resistance that lines up witht he 23.6% Fibonacci retracemnt.
Stop loss is at 4,135.96, whic is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 3,789.94, which is a pullback support that is slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci projection.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Bullish bounce off?WTI Oil (XTI/USD) has bounced off the pivot, which has been identified as a pullback suport and could potentially rise to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 60.13
1st Support: 58.86
1st Resistance: 63.19
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
XAUUSD Bear Cycle has started and this is why according to VIX.Gold (XAUUSD) closed 2 straight red weeks, which last did on June 23. Despite this pull-back, it remains within a Channel Up since the October 31 2022 Low, which was essentially when the Bear Cycle ended and the new Bull Cycle (Channel Up) started.
The previous Bull Cycle topped around 4.5 months after the Volatility Index (VIX) shown in blue, peaked during the March 2020 COVID flash crash.
We are now on a similar situation as VIX topped on the week of March 31 2025 during the Trade War and has since started to decline aggressively. Gold's current top was 6.5 months after VIX's top. Even the 1W RSI sequences between the two Bull Cycles are similar, further raising the degree of their high symmetry.
According to this correlation, Gold may has already formed its Bull Cycle Top 3 weeks ago and could be starting a new +2 year Bear Cycle.
As far as a Target and Bottom is concerned, the previous Bear Cycle almost hit its 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level three times throughout the Cycle, until it broke below it marginally for its September - October 2022 bottom.
As a result, we are looking for the 0.382 Fib yet again as our focal point which is currently around $3000.
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UKOIL H1 Bearish Reversal Forming at Key ResistanceUKOIL is rising towards the sell entry, which is an overlap resistance and could reverse from this level to the downside.
Sell entry is at 65.05, whic is an overlap resistance.
Stop loss is at 65.77, whic his a pullback resistance that lines up with the 138.2% Fibonacci extension.
Take profit is at 53.84, whic is an overlap support.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
SILVER H1 | Bullish Momentum To ExtendXAG/USD is falling towards the buy entry, which is a pullback support that lines up with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to the upside.
Buy entry is at 48.28, whichis a pullback support that lines up with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracemnt.
Stop loss is at 47.17, whichis an overlap support that is slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 50.52, which is a pullback resistance that is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
UKOIL H1 | Bearish Momentum BuildingBased on the H1 chart analysis, we can see the price rise to the sell entry, which is a pullback resistance, and could drop from this level.
Sell entry is at 64.43, whichis a pullback resitance.
Stop loss is at 65.10, whichis an overlap resistance.
Take profit is at 62.99, which aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci projection and serves as a pullback support.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.






















