GBPJPY back to 134.000?Hey to everyone! Hope everybody is doing well. After a good short on GBPUSD which we made today, I got another setup on GJ. The Pound weakness is still continue so on 4H timeframe we got a double top formation and new impulse to the downside was already formed! I am gonna patiently waiting for some pullback ( according to MA50 or another double top formation) Perfect scenario for me is a double top formation, it will be a new LH formation as well. So let's see how this will play out!
Consistency
AUDUSD short to 1.7100?Very similar situation to my previous post about NZDUSD. On higher timeframe we can see huge impulse to the downside. Potentially we have created a perfect zone (resistance zone) which you can see on the screenshot above. I just follow the nature of the market and from that perspective realise that now we are in Correction form. I put an alert as well so we gonna see how this will play out.
NZDUSD new impulse to the downside?That currency pair is on the main watchlist for today/tomorrow. Put an alert and wait how the price will react on that region. On the higher timeframe we got a perfect double top formation, and huge impulse to the downside was formed. Potentially we have created a beautiful area of resistance. SO keep my eye on that region.
Generating SRC ProfitsLet’s talk about SRC profits. We’ll talk about what they are, why you must have them, and how to generate them.
So let’s get started.
What are SRC Profits?
Lately, I'm seeing all of these YouTube videos showing claims like this where someone said, “I made $1,088 in profits day trading.”
Or someone claiming, “I made $1,253 in profits in three minutes.”
Wow, look at this: “32,625 pounds in only 24 hours”
And you know what? I believe that all these guys actually did these trades.
But here’s the deal when you trade, you’re going to have trades that just work out perfectly. Yes, there will be trades where you make a lot of money.
And for me, the question always is, are these SRC profits?
So let’s talk about this here, because if you want to trade for a living, you must be able to generate SRC profits.
So let’s take a few minutes and talk about this.
S – Systematic
So here is what SRC profits are.
First, it’s an acronym and the S stands for systematic.
Now, I don’t know about you, but I want to make my profits in a systematic way.
Yes, of course, you can make money trading Tesla if you’re catching it at the right time.
But you see, how exactly do you decide when to enter, and can you generate these profits again?
You know me, I like to trade what I see and not what I think. I keep a special mug on my desk that reminds me of this.
See, that’s why I use indicators. That’s why I have a trading strategy.
Having a systematic way means that we have a trading strategy that tells me exactly what to trade, when to enter, and exactly when to exit.
Sometimes you exit with a profit and sometimes, you do exit with a loss. Losses are part of our business as a trader.
In short, I have a system. I love to trade based on rules and not based on my gut feeling, because whenever I traded based on what I thought, it only worked for a little bit.
When I switched to trading what I see based on science, based on probabilities, based on rules, that’s when my trading turned around.
R – Repeatable
Let’s move on and let’s talk about the second point, the 2nd letter in SRC profits.
So the second point here is repeatable. Without a system, it will be difficult to repeat the profits. Now, think about it this way.
Let’s talk about Tesla . Let’s say that you caught Tesla when they announced a stock split on August 11th.
And let’s say during this run you made 30% in a matter of a few days, or maybe you traded options and you made 1,000% in a few days.
Can you do it again? Well, you see, if you rely on the next stock split then you might have to wait a few years.
Think about it this way, is it better to generate $10,000 on a single trade, or is it better to know how to make $500 every single week?
For me, I’d rather trade a system that’s generating $500 per week consistently than relying on the windfall profits.
Yes, these windfall profits will happen in your trading career we’ve just talked about it. And it’s nice when it happens, but I wouldn’t rely on it.
If you can generate $500 every week times 52 weeks, that’s $26,000. For me, that is better than being able to generate these windfall profits.
This brings me to the next point.
C – Consistent Profit
The next one is consistent profit. I want to make sure that I’m getting consistent profits.
Let me give you an example here. Would you rather have an equity curve like a EKG machine? Or maybe a nice steady line gradually growing from left to right ;)
What is an equity curve?
An equity curve is charting your account, of how your account is going. Now, I don’t know about you, but I wouldn’t want my equity curve to be like a roller coaster. Even if this roller coaster would make me more money I wouldn’t do it.
I would rather make slightly less money but still have my hair instead of pulling it out with that equity.
I’m not a nail biter but if I had this equity curve, this roller coaster, I would probably bite off all my nails. You know that there’s some traders who are doing exactly this.
Now that you know what SRC profits are and why you need them if you want to trade for a living, let’s move on and let’s talk about how you generate these profits.
3 Things You Need To Generate SRC Profits – Number 1
So the first thing that you need is that you need to have a trading strategy or trading strategies.
The strategies that I use are based on indicators and probabilities.
You see, I know exactly what to trade, I know exactly when to enter, I know exactly when to exit. I know my risk, I know my potential profit, and I know my odds of realizing that profit or loss.
If you don’t know my trading strategies yet, let me briefly mention them to you.
So my bread and butter strategy is the PowerX Strategy, and I have written a book about this.
During the pandemic I was trading a strategy called Theta Kings. This was perfect as the markets were crashing, along with the PowerX Strategy.
Now, another trading strategy that I’m trading here right now is a trading strategy called The Wheel. Anyhow, let’s move on.
2. To generate SRC profits you need to have tools
What is the second thing that you need to generate these SRC profits? Well, I am using tools that make my life easier.
You see, I know my odds. I know my probabilities, I know what to expect and I couldn’t do all these calculations in my head.
This is why I’m using tools like the PowerX Optimizer that helps me to find the best stocks and options to trade.
The PowerX Optimizer shows me for any given stock the signal, the position size, how much I should trade, how much money I can potentially make, and how long I’m in a trade.
All of this is important to me so this is why I love to have tools.
And for The Wheel strategy, for example, I use the wheel income calculator.
I've built a calculator that I’m using for picking the best stocks and options for The Wheel.
You see, I need to make sure that I’m getting the very best trades for my trading. I personally would never trade without the right tools. It’s like trying to compete in a Formula One race with a Toyota Prius.
I mean, nothing against a Prius, but you won’t win a Formula One race with it. And when trading your trading against some of the smartest minds in the world. Don’t bring a knife to a gunfight, have the right tools.
3. You need to have the right mindset
So finally, number three, what is the third thing that you need here? It is the right mindset.
What do I mean by this? You see, when trading there will be losses and you need to know how to limit your loss because otherwise these losses will be devastating.
Who knows what I’m talking about? You see, you need to know how to control your risk. Take care of your losses. The winners, they can take care of themselves.
Summary
Now, here’s something to remember that is super, super important. Trading is a marathon, not a sprint.
So super important and here’s why.
Good for you if you made a $1,088 in profits in day trading, or if you made $1,253 profits in three minutes. And you know what? Good for you if you made $32,625 during the coronavirus in 24 hours.
But let me ask you this, how much money did you lose before that? How much money did you lose right after you made these profits? Did you give it right back?
You see, I see too many traders being blinded by these windfall profits, by these, “Hey, look at me. Look at what I did” stories and they don’t see the full story.
This is why I’m doing this here to show you the full story.
When traders don’t see this full story, when they just see this “look at me” stuff, they start chasing these dreams and they lose a lot of money along the way.
You see, for me personally, I prefer SRC profits. Trading is a marathon, not a sprint.
If you enjoyed this article, feel free to leave a comment below and share it with anyone you think may find this helpful.
5 Fundamental Truths of Trading:1. Anything can happen.
Why? Because there are always unknown forces operating in every market at every moment , it takes only one trader somewhere in the world to negate the positive outcome of your edge. That's all: only one. Regardless of how much time, effort, or money you've invested in your analysis, from the market's perspective there are no exceptions to this truth. Any exceptions that may exist in your mind will be a source of conflict and potentially cause you to perceive market information as threatening.
2. You don't need to know what is going to happen next in order to make money.
Why? Because there is a random distribution between wins and losses for any given set of variables that define an edge. (See number 3.) In other words, based on the past performance of your edge, you may know that out of the next 20 trades, 12 will be winners and 8 will be losers. What you don't know is the sequence of wins and losses or how much money the market is going to make available on the winning trades.
This truth makes trading a probability or numbers game.
3. There is a random distribution between wins and losses for any given set of variables that define an edge
If every loss puts you that much closer to a win, you will be looking forward to the next occurrence of your edge, ready and waiting to jump in without the slightest reservation or hesitation. On the other hand, if you still believe that trading is about analysis or about being right, then after a loss you will anticipate the occurrence of your next edge with trepidation, wondering if it's going to work. This, in turn, will cause you to start gathering evidence for or against the trade, so you will not be in the most conducive state of mind to produce consistent results .
4. An edge is nothing more than an indication of a higher probability of one thing happening over another.
Creating consistency requires that you completely accept that trading isn't about hoping, wondering, or gathering evidence one way or the other to determine if the next trade is going to work. The only evidence you need to gather is whether the variables you use to define an edge are present at any given moment. When you use "other" information, outside the parameters of your edge to decide whether you will take the trade, you are adding random variables to your trading regime. Adding random variables makes it extremely difficult, if not impossible, to determine what works and what doesn't.
Gathering "other" evidence makes about as much sense as trying to determine whether the next flip of a coin will be heads, after the last ten flips came up tails. Regardless of what evidence you find to support heads coming up, there is still a 50-percent chance that the next flip will come up tails.
If the market is offering you a legitimate edge,determine the risk and take the trade .
5. Every moment in the market is unique.
Take a moment and think about the concept of uniqueness. No two moments in the external environment will ever exactly duplicate themselves . To do so,every atom or every molecule would have to be in the exact same position they were in some previous moment. Not a very likely possibility.
Source: Mark Douglas - Trading in the zone
CADJPY **Do you like consolidations?**This pair has been stuck in this range over month and the best way I can say is to myself and I tell others - Let it break out in the direction it wants to then trade the pull back trade to follow the momentum trade it goes to with confluence adding Fibonacci retracement. PATIENCE.
***Maybe add alerts to the chart and see it reacts at certain levels or trend lines!***
Just a trade idea, not a recommendation...
EURUSD SHORTHey Traders! Happy Sunday, let's get this week started right with the Top FX Pairs on my watchlist,
And all the zones I am looking for possible trades in for this week.
Firstly we have EURUSD which for the whole of last week was in an Uptrend.
This pair has just crossed over the 50EMA and is now coming up to a Major WEEKLY Structure Resistance Level . This is a level that has been tested multiple times by the EURUSD. Because of that and in combination with the Uptrend, this will be an area that I am looking at for possible counter-trend continuation to the downside from this area.
Major WEEKLY Structure Resistance Level= (1.13595-1.14250)
Above this,
There's also another Major MONTHLY Structure Resistance Level that has been tested multiple times
Levels= (1.14600-1.15260)
Visa Psychological Resistance 200Possible psychological resistance at $200 a share, wouldn't recommend shorting this as this is a very consistent stock, providing steady returns, however it will be interesting to see what occurs once price has broken the $200 milestone. Also sitting at top of regression trend, which may lead to a small pullback
100 PUBLISHED TRADES - StatisticsToday I published my 100th trade idea. (this excludes educational idea’s)
Here are the quick Stats:
WINS : 49
Losses: 14
Flat trades: 8
Cancelled Trades: 29
PIPS Won: 2,560
Pips lost: 515
A 3.5 to 1 win to loss ratio
A 4.97 to 1 win to loss Pip ratio
*Cancelled Trades: these are trades that were cancelled prior to entry. It is important to understand that I only want High probability trades with good to Great RRR. If market conditions change after the idea has been posted but prior to being triggered, and it no longer meets that criteria, then I cancel the trade. I believe sitting on the sideline IS a position. Some of these trades would have lost, some would have won but I rather just not be in the market.
I would appreciate if you let me know what you think and a like.
Thanks
Allen






















