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ETH Finishes Wave 5 — Is an ABC Reversal Starting?ETH/USD – H4 MARKET ANALYSIS
1. Market Structure
- Ethereum has completed a full 5-wave bearish Elliott structure (1–2–3–4–5).
The strongest selling pressure appeared during Wave (3), followed by a final capitulation move at Wave (5).
- After reaching the Wave (5) low, price failed to make a new low and instead began forming a small accumulation base, signaling seller exhaustion.
This confirms that the bearish impulse has ended, and the market is transitioning into a corrective recovery phase.
2. Elliott Wave Context
Wave (5) completion → end of the bearish cycle
Price reaction from the low aligns with Wave A
Current structure suggests a corrective ABC move, not a trend reversal
Expected path:
Wave A: Initial technical rebound
Wave B: Shallow pullback to absorb supply
Wave C: Continuation higher toward resistance
3. Key Technical Zones
Demand Zone: Wave (5) low (critical invalidation level)
Resistance 1: Previous Wave (4) structure
Resistance 2: Higher structural + MA confluence (Wave C target)
As long as price holds above the Wave (5) low, the corrective scenario remains valid.
4. Scenario Outlook
✅ Primary Scenario (High Probability)
Price holds above Wave (5) low
ABC correction continues to unfold
Wave C pushes price higher into resistance
This is a technical rebound, not a macro trend reversal
⚠️ Alternative Scenario
Strong breakdown below Wave (5) low
→ Elliott structure invalidated
→ Bearish trend resumes
5. Trading Bias
Short-term: Buy the dips within the ABC structure
Avoid chasing impulsive moves
Focus on pullbacks during Wave B
Strict risk management is required — this is a corrective phase
Summary
Ethereum has completed a bearish Elliott cycle and is now entering a corrective ABC recovery.
As long as the Wave (5) low holds, short-term upside remains favored.
SILVER (XAGUSD): Another BoS
Silver did it again.
The price updated the ATH yesterday, breaking and closing above
a major horizontal resistance.
It opens a potential for more growth.
Next resistance will be 68.0
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
$BTC Elliott Wave Roadmap
CRYPTOCAP:BTC
Still respecting the Elliott Wave roadmap almost perfectly.
We’re in Wave B, grinding higher as expected — not a straight line, but controlled structure.
Weekly view → smaller waves inside each candle.
As long as support holds, $109k remains the target for this leg.
Patience. Structure > noise.
#BTC #Bitcoin #Crypto #ElliottWave #PriceAction #TechnicalAnalysis
STPL – TECH BUY TRADE SET-UP | 1H | 17 DEC 2025 | By TCASTPL – TECH BUY TRADE SET-UP | 1H | 17 DEC 2025 | By The Chart Alchemist
• Buy 1: Rs. 9.13 (current price)
• Buy 2: Rs. 8.95
Target Prices:
• TP1: Rs. 9.70
• TP2: Rs. 10.00
• TP3: Rs. 10.25
SL (TF closing): Below Rs. 8.75 | R:R: 3.9
📢 Disclaimer: All trade signals are shared for informational purpose.
Do your own research before taking any position – No claim, No blame
GOLD (XAUUSD): Bullish Accumulation Ahead of Another Wave
Gold is stuck within a tiny horizontal range,
testing a resistance cluster based on a current All-Time High.
I think that a bullish accumulation is currently taking place.
A signal that I am looking for to buy Gold is a breakout
and a daily candle close above 4384 - ATH level.
It will be a strong signal that will push the prices higher.
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I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
$11,300 in 14 minutes!Trading isn’t hard.
Interpreting everything at once is.
This NQ trade wasn’t about predicting anything.
It was about confluence being clear enough to act without hesitation.
Trend, momentum, structure, and higher-timeframe context were aligned.
No mixed signals. No mental gymnastics. No second-guessing.
When multiple inputs agree, the trade becomes obvious.
Execution gets simple.
Management gets boring.
And exits stop feeling like guesses.
This is what happens when you’re not juggling indicators in your head, but reading one coherent market state instead.
Same market.
Same volatility.
Just organized context.
Clarity, bar by bar.
BITCOIN SELLERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
BITCOIN SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 87,356.26
Target Level: 85,301.83
Stop Loss: 88,725.88
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
AUDUSD FRGNT DAILY FORECAST - Q4 | W51 | D17 | Y25 |📅 Q4 | W51 | D17 | Y25 |
📊 AUDUSD FRGNT DAILY FORECAST
🔍 Analysis Approach:
I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on:
Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️
Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐
Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎
Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅
This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price.
💡 My Motto:
"Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge."
A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐
⚠️ Losses?
They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲
They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️
🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast.
Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital
— FRNGT 🚀
OANDA:AUDUSD
GOLD DAILY CHART ROUTE MAPPlease see our Daily chart route map that we are tracking.
Price is currently playing between the longer daily chart range 4259 and 4444, with the channel half-line acting as primary support.
We have a body close above 4259 leaving a long range gap open above at 4444 and will need ema5 lock to further confirm and strengthen this.
This is the beauty of our Goldturn channels, which we draw in our unique way, using averages rather than price. This enables us to identify fake-outs and breakouts clearly, as minimal noise in the way our channels are drawn.
We will use our smaller timeframe analysis on the 1H and 4H chart to buy dips from the weighted Goldturns for 30 to 40 pips clean. Ranging markets are perfectly suited for this type of trading, instead of trying to hold longer positions and getting chopped up in the swings up and down in the range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up using our smaller timeframe ideas.
Our long term bias is Bullish and therefore we look forward to drops from rejections, which allows us to continue to use our smaller timeframes to buy dips using our levels and setups.
Buying dips allows us to safely manage any swings rather then chasing the bull from the top.
Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
SILVER SHORT FROM RESISTANCE
SILVER SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 6,544.8
Target Level: 6,229.1
Stop Loss: 6,754.8
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
TAOUSDT is preparing for distribution implementationVolumes are growing on the market due to sellers (bears). The market does not react to strong levels, but when selling and retesting support, volumes increase, which indicates the dominance of sellers.
In a downtrend, the coin is entering a consolidation phase of 270-320. Support is breaking at the moment, and bears are keeping the price outside the local consolidation. But there is important support ahead at 260.3. If the market breaks it, the decline will continue to form a downtrend.
Scenario: a retest of 269 may end with a rebound and a fall, as may a breakdown of 260.3. Breaking out of the 260.3 support level may activate a distribution phase.
BTCUSDT the falling trendline breakout is happening now!!!As previously highlighted, the price is once again testing a major RED trendline resistance level that has catalyzed several significant corrections. This level has now faced four separate rejections, with each subsequent rejection demonstrating noticeably weaker selling pressure—a clear sign of diminishing bearish momentum.
This pattern suggests the resistance is becoming increasingly vulnerable. A decisive breakout above this level would therefore represent a key technical milestone, likely confirming a shift in market structure and signaling the potential beginning of a renewed bull phase after an extended consolidation period.
DISCLAIMER: ((trade based on your own decision))
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USDCHF Trapped in a Box |Smart Money Waiting for the BreakHello and best wishes to all professional traders on TradingView 👋
I hope your trades are profitable and your risk management is on point 📊
🔍 USDCHF Analysis | 4H Timeframe
Today, we’re going to analyze USDCHF (U.S. Dollar / Swiss Franc) together.
🔎 As clearly shown on the chart, price has been moving inside a long-lasting range (box range). This behavior indicates that the market is currently in a decision-making phase, waiting for a valid breakout.
📦 Overall Market Structure
The general structure on the 4H timeframe is ranging with a bearish bias
Consecutive Lower Highs (LH) are forming
Key resistance and support zones are clearly marked on the chart
🔴 Bearish Scenario (Primary Scenario) ⬇️
Considering:
Formation of multiple Lower Highs
Strong selling pressure from the 4H resistance zone
Failure of price to break above the range high
👉 If price breaks and firmly closes below the range low (marked as After Break),
we can expect a move toward:
The Daily support level
And if the Daily support is broken, a deeper bearish continuation toward lower levels 📉
📌 Until a confirmed breakout happens, this area remains a No Trade Zone,
but after the break, we can look for pullbacks and continuation sells.
🟢 Bullish Scenario (Secondary & Weaker) ⬆️
The bullish scenario becomes valid only if:
Price breaks above the key resistance level with strong momentum
And confirms the breakout with a solid close above it
In that case:
A corrective bullish move toward higher resistance levels is possible
However, as long as the LH structure remains intact, this scenario is not the priority ⚠️
⚠️ Important Notes
Avoid rushing into trades inside the range
Wait for Break + Confirmation
Always apply proper risk management 🎯
❗️Disclaimer
This analysis reflects my personal opinion based on price action and market structure and
is NOT financial advice.
All trading decisions and risks are the sole responsibility of the trader 🙏
🗳 Your Opinion?
🤔 What do you think?
🔴 Will we see a bearish breakout?
🟢 Or will the market surprise everyone with a bullish move?
Share your thoughts in the comments 👇
If you found this analysis useful, don’t forget to like ❤️ and follow 😉
🏷 Tags:
#USDCHF #Forex #PriceAction #RangeMarket #TradingView #TechnicalAnalysis #SmartMoney #BearishBias #SupportResistance
The Hidden Signal of the Rectangle PatternWhat Is the Rectangle Pattern?
The Rectangle Pattern is one of the classic technical analysis patterns. It forms when the market enters a consolidation or ranging phase. Price moves between a horizontal support and a horizontal resistance, and the market hasn’t decided which direction to move yet.
🧠 Simple Concept
Buyers prevent price from dropping below support
Sellers prevent price from rising above resistance
Result: Price oscillates inside a horizontal box 📦
This phase usually happens before a strong move.
📐 Structure of the Rectangle Pattern
For the pattern to be valid, we usually need:
At least 2 touches on resistance
At least 2 touches on support
Lines should be mostly horizontal (not sloped)
🔄 Types of Rectangle Patterns
1️⃣ Continuation Rectangle (Most Common)
Forms after a strong trend
Market takes a breather 😮💨
After the breakout, the previous trend continues
📈 Uptrend → Breakout upward
📉 Downtrend → Breakout downward
2️⃣ Reversal Rectangle (Less Common)
Breakout happens against the prior trend
Requires strong confirmation
🚪 How to Identify a Valid Breakout?
A good breakout should have:
🕯 Candle close outside the range
📊 Increase in volume
🔁 Preferably a pullback to the broken level
⚠️ A wick-only breakout is not valid.
🎯 Price Target of the Rectangle Pattern
Very simple calculation:
Rectangle Height = Resistance − Support
Project the same distance from the breakout point.
📌 Example:
Support: 100
Resistance: 120
Height: 20
🔼 Bullish breakout → Target = 140
🔽 Bearish breakout → Target = 80
🛑 Stop Loss Placement
Bullish breakout 📈 → SL below former resistance
Bearish breakout 📉 → SL above former support
Or:
Behind the last swing high/low inside the rectangle
🧩 Role of Volume
Low volume inside the rectangle → Healthy consolidation ✅
High volume on breakout → Pattern confirmation 💪
Breakout without volume → Suspicious ❌
⏱ Best Timeframes
The pattern appears on all timeframes, but works best on:
1H
4H
Daily
⚠️ Very low timeframes = more fake breakouts
❌ Common Trader Mistakes
Entering before the breakout
Ignoring volume
No stop loss
Trading inside the box 😬
✅ Golden Tips for Success
Be patient and wait for the breakout 🧘
Always confirm with volume
Pullbacks offer the safest entries
Risk-to-reward should be at least 1:2
🧠 Professional Rectangle Trading Strategies
🎯 Entry Methods
1️⃣ Aggressive Entry
Enter immediately after breakout candle closes
Suitable for strong momentum markets
Higher risk, faster profit
📌 Best for experienced traders
2️⃣ Conservative Entry (Recommended)
Wait for pullback to the broken level
Enter after price confirmation
Higher win rate ✅
📌 Best choice for most traders
🧯 What Is a Fake Breakout & How to Avoid It?
A fake breakout happens when price briefly exits the rectangle and quickly returns inside 😵
Warning Signs:
❌ No volume
❌ No candle close outside the range
❌ Breakout against higher-timeframe trend
Professional Solution:
Wait for candle close
Confirm with Volume or RSI
Enter on pullback, not the first impulse
📊 Trade Management
🎯 Multi-Target Strategy
Instead of one target:
TP1 = 50% of rectangle height
TP2 = 100% of rectangle height
Trail the remaining position
📈 This reduces psychological pressure
🛑 Smart Stop Loss Techniques
Advanced methods include:
Above/below breakout candle
Behind VWAP or EMA 20/50
ATR-based stop (volatility-based)
🧩 Combining Rectangle Pattern with Other Tools
📉 With RSI
Bullish breakout + RSI above 50 → Strong confirmation
Divergence inside rectangle → Trend change warning
📈 With EMAs
Price above EMA 50 → Long bias
Price below EMA 50 → Short bias
📊 With Volume Profile
Breakout from High-Volume Area → More reliable
⏳ Higher Timeframe Analysis (Top-Down)
Before entering a trade:
Identify the higher-timeframe trend
Align the rectangle breakout with it
📌 Rectangle against the major trend = higher risk ⚠️
🧪 Real Trade Scenario Example
Overall trend: Bullish
Rectangle forms on 4H
Low volume inside the box
Bullish breakout with volume
Pullback to broken resistance
🎯 Long entry | SL below box | TP = rectangle height
❌ Even Pros Make These Mistakes
Overtrading inside ranges
Drawing the rectangle too wide
Ignoring major news events
Risking more than 1–2% per trade
✅ Golden Pre-Trade Checklist
☑️ At least 2 touches on support & resistance
☑️ Low volume inside the rectangle
☑️ Breakout with candle close
☑️ Aligned with higher-timeframe trend
☑️ Risk-to-reward ≥ 1:2
📌 Final Summary
The Rectangle Pattern means:
“The market is building energy” ⚡️
If you:
Stay patient
Filter fake breakouts
Follow proper risk management
This pattern can become one of the most reliable tools in your trading system 🚀
Hellena | EUR/USD (4H): LONG to resistance area of 1.18000.Colleagues, the price is successfully moving in an upward impulse “12345” in a medium-term wave “3”.
I believe that this week we will see a continuation of the upward movement.
A slight correction to the support area of 1.17049 is possible to complete wave “4”, followed by an update of the local maximum of the lower-order wave “3” and reaching the resistance area of 1.18000.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
ETHUSDT The major Fib support is holding StrongAs observed on the chart, Ethereum is currently testing a critical support confluence consisting of two major levels:
1. $2,800 – aligning with the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level on the daily timeframe.
2. $2,450 – representing a significant weekly trendline support.
Should this support zone hold, we may anticipate a bullish reversal, potentially driving the price back toward the $3,500 resistance area. A decisive breakthrough above $3,500 would then set the stage for a challenge of the major descending trendline resistance visible on the chart.
A sustained break above this trendline resistance, especially if coupled with Bitcoin maintaining strength above $110,000, could signal the beginning of a new bullish phase, with a subsequent test of previous highs becoming increasingly probable.
DISCLAIMER: ((trade based on your own decision))
<<press like👍 if you enjoy💚
HASCOL – TECH BUY TRADE / INVESTMENT SET-UP |1W| 17 DEC | BY TCAHASCOL – TECH BUY TRADE / INVESTMENT SET-UP | 1W | 17 DEC 2025 | By The Chart Alchemist
• Buy 1: Rs. 15.63 (current price)
• Buy 2: Rs. 14.10
• Buy 3: Rs. 13.30
Target Prices:
• TP1: Rs. 17.40
• TP2: Rs. 22.00
• TP3: Rs. 23.70
• TP4: Rs. 26.65
SL (TF closing): Below Rs. 12.65 | R:R: 9.31
📢 Disclaimer: All trade signals are shared for informational purpose.
Do your own research before taking any position – No claim, No blame
Caution: Cash Levels Among Fund Managers Are at Record LowsAccording to the latest Global Fund Manager Survey conducted by Bank of America, the percentage of cash held by fund managers has fallen to 3.3%, the lowest level since 1999. In terms of asset allocation, historically low cash levels among managers have often coincided with peaks in equity markets. Conversely, periods when cash levels reached elevated zones were frequently precursors to major market bottoms and to the end of bear markets.
At a time when S&P 500 valuations are in an overextended bullish zone, this new historical low in cash holdings among managers therefore constitutes a signal of caution. Sooner or later, cash levels are likely to rebound, which would translate into downward pressure on equity markets. This reflects the basic principle of asset allocation between cash, equities, and bonds, with capital flowing from one reservoir to another. It is the fundamental mechanism of asset allocation: the reservoirs represented by cash, equities, and bonds fill and empty at the expense of one another.
This signal is all the more significant because such a low level of cash implies that managers are already heavily invested. In other words, the vast majority of available capital has already been allocated to equities. In this environment, the pool of marginal buyers shrinks considerably, making the market more vulnerable to any negative shock: macroeconomic disappointment, a rise in long-term interest rates, geopolitical tensions, or even simple profit-taking.
Moreover, historically low cash levels reflect an extreme bullish consensus. Financial markets, however, tend to move against overly established consensuses. When everyone is positioned in the same direction, the risk-reward balance deteriorates. In such cases, the market does not necessarily need a major negative catalyst to correct; the mere absence of positive news can sometimes be enough to trigger a consolidation.
It is also important to recall that the rise in the S&P 500 has been accompanied by an extreme concentration of performance in a limited number of stocks, mainly related to technology and artificial intelligence. In such an environment, a simple portfolio rebalancing or sector rotation can amplify downward moves.
Finally, the gradual return of cash typically does not occur without pain for equity markets. It is often accompanied by a phase of increased volatility, or even a correction, allowing a healthier balance to be restored between valuations, positioning, and economic prospects.
In summary, this historically low level of cash among fund managers is not a signal of an imminent crash, but it clearly calls for caution, more rigorous risk management, and greater selectivity within the S&P 500, in an environment where optimism appears to be largely priced in.
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Market always looking for liquidityUnpopular opinion. But people are still waiting on $135k from 2021.
Markets go up and they go down.
Here's some general info - regardless of up or down.
The basics...
The local Point of control.
The bigger picture.
Once price reaches an external liquidity pocket, it runs out of steam as it's overcrowded in terms of the asset and there's enough supply to fulfil the demand. Depending on up or down directions.
From there, the market looks to work a slower move to find internal liquidity - some will see this as a pullback or searching for an order block or imbalance. But the idea is to take eager players out and load up or sell off more for the bigger players.
The price here has a nice pocket of liquidity sat just under the local low.
The issue here is that there is a fair amount of buying liquidity down a lot lower, too. As you can see at roughly 60k.
Next, we have a good chance that the Bank of Japan will hike rates in the next 24-48 hours.
Anyway, be careful. It could be a thrill or it could be a deep slide before Xmas. Take it easy, be careful and happy Holidays to you!
Disclaimer
This idea does not constitute as financial advice. It is for educational purposes only, our principal trader has over 25 years' experience in stocks, ETF's, and Forex. Hence each trade setup might have different hold times, entry or exit conditions, and will vary from the post/idea shared here. You can use the information from this post to make your own trading plan for the instrument discussed. Trading carries a risk; a high percentage of retail traders lose money. Please keep this in mind when entering any trade. Stay safe.
Bitcoin Is Still 27% Undervalued — Eyes on the Levels 📌 Bitcoin Is Still 27% Undervalued — Eyes on the Levels 📈
Current price: $86,895
Fair price: $118,443 (Power Law Model)
Bottom price: $49,746 — historically never violated.
We remain in the upward sloping power law channel. As it stands, Bitcoin is 27% undervalued , holding above the dynamic EMA and within range of key decision levels.
Main support sits at $78,796 , but expect a quick wick below it — those are the buys I wait for.
Main resistance sits at $91,067 — if I see a breakout above, I buy that too.
Fair value will be lowered by 29% soon to reflect time spent under the mean — but the formula itself stays unchanged. Bitcoin is still the only asset that fits this curve.
🔒 I never go short on Bitcoin.
Why? Because if BTC drops 2%, some alts will drop 20%.
I hedge with those instead — not with BTC. Know your tools, protect your capital. DYOR
Trading Wisdom 📜
You don’t need to catch the bottom or the top.
Just understand the levels and be ready when price comes to them.
When you're prepared, you don't chase — you execute.
Disclaimer: I'm not a financial advisor — I'm just a trader sharing my chart and opinion. This is how I see the market. Always do your own research and manage your risk accordingly.
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
🧠 Know the Fundamentals
Before you trade the levels, understand the asset. Bitcoin isn’t just price action — it’s a response to broken monetary systems, a hedge against inflation, and a protocol for digital scarcity. The more you grasp what problems it solves, the clearer your conviction becomes when volatility hits. And that is the compass to follow..just remember to have patience, persistance and a risk management in place.
LUNA2USDT may continue to dumpThe pump was stopped in the 0.25 zone. Seller strength is beginning to dominate due to profit-taking. The coin is stopping near buyers at 0.1564, but based on market behavior, the bulls have no chance.
Volumes are declining. The reaction to support is weakening, as is buyer strength. A closing price below 0.1564 could mark the beginning of a new phase of decline.
Scenario: consolidation below the nearest key support level. Further decline to 0.1397 - 0.1216
Gold Holds Steady, Eyes Higher in the Short Term📊 Market Overview
• Spot gold is trading around ~$4,300–$4,335/oz in real-time, hovering near multi-week highs as expectations for Fed rate cuts grow and safe-haven demand increases amid weaker-than-expected U.S. labor data.
• Recent news shows gold gaining approximately ~0.3–0.4%, supported by soft U.S. employment figures and a weaker U.S. dollar, which has boosted capital inflows into gold.
📉 Technical Analysis
• Key Resistance Levels:
– ~$4,380–$4,400 — short-term historical highs and a major psychological barrier.
– ~$4,360–$4,370 — recent highs over the past few sessions.
• Key Support Levels:
– ~$4,280–$4,290 — near-term support before deeper pullbacks.
– ~$4,230–$4,240 — short-term moving average (EMA/MA) support zone.
• EMA & Trend:
– Price is currently trading above several key moving averages, indicating a short-term bullish bias remains intact.
• Candlestick / Momentum:
– Momentum is not overly strong, but RSI remains neutral to slightly bullish, supporting a mild upside continuation as long as support holds.
📌 Outlook
In the short term, gold may continue to trade in a mildly bullish or sideways range with an upward bias, especially if the Fed maintains a more dovish stance and the USD continues to weaken. A breakout above $4,360–$4,380 could push prices to retest the $4,400+ zone. Conversely, a drop below $4,280 may trigger a deeper pullback.
💡 Proposed Trading Strategy
📉 SELL XAU/USD:
• Entry zone: 4,367–4,370
• 🎯 TP: +40 / +80 / +200 pips
• ❌ SL: 4,373.5
📈 BUY XAU/USD:
• Support zone: 4,295–4,298
• 🎯 TP: +40 / +80 / +200 pips
• ❌ SL: 4,291.5






















